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It does of course depend on which model they are believing, almost certainly their own outputs which we have little sight of. Maybe Ian F will be able to enlighten us as to the values they are showing?

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So this is what Exeter actually published UK Outlook for Sunday 20 Jan 2019 to Tuesday 29 Jan 2019: Sunday will be cold across the UK, but for many it will be dry; brightest in the southeast

Yes I have just spent some time comparing their forecast issued on their web site at 0025 with the two latest Fax charts for Tuesday. They seemed at odds and this forecast seems to suggest what I beli

In reply to this  My thoughts on this are that met 9 times out of 10 will go for the default outcome which is the milder weather or high pressure over the uk scenario!!its just easier for them co

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Met office still hinting at it turning less cold later in today's update, potential as well for locally significant snow accumulations over higher ground

 

UK Outlook for Tuesday 19 Nov 2013 to Thursday 28 Nov 2013:

 

Frequent showers in the north will spread south through Tuesday, and continue into the middle of week one. These showers will be a wintry combination of rain, sleet and snow, giving locally significant snow accumulations over higher ground, and perhaps locally to lower levels in the north. There is a risk these showers could merge into longer spells of rain, sleet or snow, especially in the west, and later the south. Cold, with more widespread overnight frosts likely, although becoming less cold later. The best of any drier, more settled weather in central and eastern areas. Showers gradually dying out during Thursday of week one. Thereafter generally becoming drier especially across the north and west, with variable cloud and scattered showers elsewhere. Windy at first, gradually becoming lighter.

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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Met office still hinting at it turning less cold later in today's update, potential as well for locally significant snow accumulations over higher ground

Not just to high ground in the north. Even to lower levels, locally, some accumulative snowfall possible.Also highlighting the possibility of a wintry mix (rain/sleet/snow) further south and west too. Plenty of use of the S word there.For the timescale still involved, that to me, is a good sensible forecast for the cold admirer!
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Not just to high ground in the north. Even to lower levels, locally, some accumulative snowfall possible.Also highlighting the possibility of a wintry mix (rain/sleet/snow) further south and west too. Plenty of use of the S word there.For the timescale still involved, that to me, is a good sensible forecast for the cold admirer!

 

Yes more sensible than what the express and co print looks like Tuesday to Thursday is going to be the coldest period at this stage

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UK Outlook for Wednesday 20 Nov 2013 to Friday 29 Nov 2013:

 

On Wednesday, many places will have mostly dry and bright weather but with some showers, these mainly affecting coastal counties in the east and northeast. Showers will be a wintry combination of rain, sleet and snow, giving locally significant snow accumulations over higher ground, and perhaps even to lower levels at times. Showers will probably become less frequent and lighter in northern Britain by Thursday. Cold, with widespread overnight frosts likely and icy stretches in places. Thereafter, with higher pressure to the north of the UK, it should become drier across the north and west, with the most unsettled conditions towards central, southern and eastern parts of Britain. It will stay rather cold with an ongoing risk of frost, especially in the north and west where winds will be lighter.

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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UK Outlook for Saturday 30 Nov 2013 to Saturday 14 Dec 2013:

 

Pressure to the north of the UK looks more likely than not to remain fairly high at first, suggesting more in the way of dry but cold weather, with overnight frosts likely. More unsettled conditions may continue further south and east for a time but there are indications that rainfall amounts could fall slightly below average even here. In terms of temperature, it is likely to remain on the colder side of normal but there are signs of a slight recovery nearer to normal by the middle of December.

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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UK Outlook for Thursday 21 Nov 2013 to Saturday 30 Nov 2013:

Many places will have mostly dry and bright weather at first but with scattered showers, these mainly affecting coastal counties in the east and northeast. Showers will be a wintry combination of rain, sleet and snow, maybe giving locally significant snow accumulations over higher ground, and perhaps even to lower levels at times. The best of the dry weather will be most likely in central, western and northwestern Britain. Cold, with widespread overnight frosts likely and icy stretches in places. Thereafter, rather cold and more settled weather is most likely across the UK, especially in the north and west, although slightly more unsettled weather is possible in southeastern parts. There will be an ongoing risk of frost, especially in the north and west where winds will be lighter.

Updated: 1205 on Sat 16 Nov 2013

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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UK Outlook for Sunday 1 Dec 2013 to Sunday 15 Dec 2013:

Pressure to the north of the UK looks more likely than not to remain fairly high at first, suggesting more in the way of dry but cold weather, with overnight frosts likely. More unsettled conditions may continue further south and east for a time but there are indications that rainfall amounts could fall slightly below average even here. In terms of temperature, it is likely to remain on the colder side of normal but there are signs of a slight recovery nearer to normal by the middle of December.

Updated: 1206 on Sat 16 Nov 2013

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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The Meto outlook suggests high pressure is likely to rule the roost - probably located centrally over the country or to our east, but in time the atlantic will make inroads probably from the NW - but this could be precursor to proper cold thereafter.

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UK Outlook for Friday 22 Nov 2013 to Sunday 1 Dec 2013:

Many western and northern areas will be mainly dry and fine at first with a few wintry showers. Southern and eastern parts of the UK will be cloudier with a greater risk of showers, perhaps heavy near North Sea coasts. Showers are likely to fall as snow over high ground, and it will be cold generally with overnight frosts. Thereafter, it will probably stay mainly dry and settled in northwestern areas but rather cold with a raw easterly wind. Southern and eastern parts are likely to stay unsettled with further wintry showers but these will tend to increasingly fall as rain. Towards the end of the month there are signs that temperatures may return nearer to normal with more unsettled weather affecting northern and western Britain.

Updated: 1208 on Sun 17 Nov 2013

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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UK Outlook for Monday 2 Dec 2013 to Monday 16 Dec 2013:

Current indications are that high pressure will tend to transfer southwards, gradually bringing more unsettled conditions to the north of the UK. This suggests that southern and eastern parts may have more settled conditions, with drier weather and an increased risk of overnight frosts. In terms of temperature, it is likely to remain on the colder side of normal in the south but there are signs of a slight recovery nearer to normal by the middle of December.

Updated: 1205 on Sun 17 Nov 2013

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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UK Outlook for Tuesday 3 Dec 2013 to Tuesday 17 Dec 2013:

Current indications are that high pressure will tend to transfer southwards, gradually bringing more unsettled conditions to the north of the UK. This suggests that southern and eastern parts may have more settled conditions, with drier weather and an increased risk of overnight frosts. In terms of temperature, it is likely to remain on the colder side of normal in the south but there are signs of a slight recovery nearer to normal by the middle of December.

Updated: 1206 on Mon 18 Nov 2013

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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UK Outlook for Saturday 23 Nov 2013 to Monday 2 Dec 2013:

Many western and northern areas will be mainly dry and fine next weekend, but with overnight fog patches slow to clear. Southern and eastern parts of the UK will be cloudier with wintry showers, perhaps heavy near North Sea coasts. It will be cold generally with overnight frosts and a risk of ice, strong winds accentuating the cold in the southeast. Thereafter, it will probably stay mainly dry and settled in northwestern areas but rather cold, especially at first. Southeastern parts are likely to see wintry showers initially, but these will tend to fade with time. Towards December, there is probably little change, but temperatures may return nearer to normal with the north and west becoming more unsettled.

Updated: 1206 on Mon 18 Nov 2013

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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UK Outlook for Saturday 23 Nov 2013 to Monday 2 Dec 2013:

Many western and northern areas will be mainly dry and fine next weekend, but with overnight fog patches slow to clear. Southern and eastern parts of the UK will be cloudier with wintry showers, perhaps heavy near North Sea coasts. It will be cold generally with overnight frosts and a risk of ice, strong winds accentuating the cold in the southeast. Thereafter, it will probably stay mainly dry and settled in northwestern areas but rather cold, especially at first. Southeastern parts are likely to see wintry showers initially, but these will tend to fade with time. Towards December, there is probably little change, but temperatures may return nearer to normal with the north and west becoming more unsettled.

Updated: 1206 on Mon 18 Nov 2013

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

 

 

That seems to tie with our forecasts provided this morning. This weekend seeing high pressure hold over Scotland with a keen NEly devloping over Southeast Britain. Early next week indicates slow changes with the low circulation persisting over the Alps and high pressure holding over the UK with a slight shift SW wards of the centre. Wintry showers close to the South coast of England but more likely in Northern France.

The snow computer charts show some snow over the high ground of Wales and into Gloucestershire and Wiltshire early Friday morning and then parts of central Southern England by Friday. 0-5cm predicted. Thereafter , a mainly dry weekend apart from some wintry showers along the south coast.

Beyond early next week still a big doubt whether a Altlantic zonal flow will erode the high quickly. But for us in the Alps looking good for a prolonged colder spell.

c

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UK Outlook for Sunday 24 Nov 2013 to Tuesday 3 Dec 2013:

Sunday and Monday will see a good deal of dry weather with variable amounts of cloud and sunny spells by day, particularly across western areas. Eastern areas are more likely to be cloudy at times with scattered light showers, possibly wintry over higher ground. It will stay cold, particularly so in the south east with brisk winds, and overnight frosts are likely to be widespread. Western areas in particular are likely to see localised fog or freezing fog patches. The generally settled but cold weather continues thereafter with persistent fog patches possible in places, especially in the south and west. There are signs that more unsettled, milder and windy weather may affect more northwestern parts later in the period, but confidence of this is currently low.

Updated: 1135 on Tue 19 Nov 2013

 

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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UK Outlook for Wednesday 4 Dec 2013 to Wednesday 18 Dec 2013:

Current indications are that high pressure is likely to continue to dominate the weather over this period, with generally settled and dry conditions for many. Despite this, there is an increased risk of fog or freezing fog patches that may be slow to clear in places through the day. In terms of temperatures, it is likely to remain on the colder side of normal but there are signs of a slight recovery nearer to normal by the middle of December. During the latter part of the period, there is a greater chance of the weather turning more unsettled, mainly across northern and western parts. This would bring wetter, windier and milder conditions here.

Updated: 1147 on Tue 19 Nov 2013

 

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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UK Outlook for Monday 25 Nov 2013 to Wednesday 4 Dec 2013:

At first there will generally be a good deal of dry weather with variable amounts of cloud and sunny spells by day, though some persistent fog or freezing fog patches are likely by night. Southeastern parts however may be cloudier with scattered showers and brisk northeasterly breeze at first. It will stay cold, particularly so in the south and east with brisk winds, and overnight frosts likely to be widespread. The generally settled but cold weather continues thereafter with persistent fog patches possible in places, especially in the south and west. There may however be a more unsettled period over parts of the north. There are signs that the more unsettled, milder and windy weather may then affect most parts for a time, but confidence of this is currently low.

Updated: 1203 on Wed 20 Nov 2013

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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UK Outlook for Thursday 5 Dec 2013 to Thursday 19 Dec 2013:

Current indications are that high pressure is likely to dominate the weather especially over southern and central parts, which would bring generally settled and dry conditions here. There is an increased risk of fog or freezing fog patches that may be slow to clear in places through the day. In terms of temperatures, it is likely to remain on the colder side of normal. Across northern parts there are some indications that the weather may be rather more unsettled. This would bring wetter, windier and milder conditions here.

Updated: 1220 on Wed 20 Nov 2013

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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