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Posted
  • Location: Aberporth S W Wales
  • Location: Aberporth S W Wales

    Yea, pretty much countrywide mild next week, but thereafter big hints at yet another easterly, with potential for 'significant snow' in the south... Bless them!, They're not giving up on that one until it happens ūüôā¬†!¬†

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    So this is what Exeter actually published UK Outlook for Sunday 20 Jan 2019 to Tuesday 29 Jan 2019: Sunday will be cold across the UK, but for many it will be dry; brightest in the southeast

    Yes I have just spent some time comparing their forecast issued on their web site at 0025 with the two latest Fax charts for Tuesday. They seemed at odds and this forecast seems to suggest what I beli

    In reply to this  My thoughts on this are that met 9 times out of 10 will go for the default outcome which is the milder weather or high pressure over the uk scenario!!its just easier for them co

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    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    Monday 15 Feb - Wednesday 24 Feb

    Rather cloudy with rain at times into Monday with any snow likely being restricted to the high grounds of Scotland, though there is signal for some widespread snow to low levels plausible. Temperatures remain split, with the northeast seeing around average while feeling milder in the south and west. However, the boundary between these two layers moves slightly north - giving some milder and wetter conditions into central and western areas. Through the rest of next week, conditions look likely to turn milder and wetter than seen recently. The heaviest and most frequent spells of rain and showers are likely in the west, with conditions drier and brighter at times in the east. By next weekend colder and drier conditions may gradually become established once again.

    Wednesday 24 Feb - Wednesday 10 Mar

    Into late February there is a signal for higher than average pressure to expand westwards leading to an increased chance of snow showers redeveloping in the east, for conditions in the north to become generally quite settled and for unsettled weather in the south, with disruptive snow possible. A similar picture continues into March, though milder conditions in the west look more likely to spread northwards.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Orpington Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Snow freezing rain heat waves
  • Location: Orpington Kent

    Seems there suggesting very cold spell England and Wales dryer in the north.

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    Posted
  • Location: Wigan,North west England 38m asl
  • Location: Wigan,North west England 38m asl
    2 minutes ago, Ackkers said:

    Interesting MO update suggests they are convinced by the EC46 model output with heights rising to the north again retrogressing and continental low pressure setting up another easterly.

    Confusing/conflicting models ....lots to sort out over the next few runs??

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    Posted
  • Location: Edinburgh (previously Chelmsford and Birmingham)
  • Weather Preferences: Unseasonably cold weather (at all times of year), wind, and thunderstorms.
  • Location: Edinburgh (previously Chelmsford and Birmingham)
    16 hours ago, bluearmy said:

    I expect a further downwelling Wave so maybe next week is just an interlude ....Marco tweeted that less cold is likely coming next week 

    Seems consistent with the latest update.

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    Posted
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
    2 hours ago, Battleground Snow said:

    Bit disappointed with that update, but at least they are seeing the cold try to return later in the week, which the ECM is not showing at all

    Seems to be inline with latest ECMWF 42 day forecast.

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    Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl

    Suggests to me the Met Office see a signal for heights to ridge back westwards into the UK through latter half of next week, and thereafter retrogress towards Greenland pulling in a cold easterly feed. Pity the low pressure in the atlantic has positioned itself in an unfavourable place right now, a few tweaks and we could have had an undercutter.

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    Posted
  • Location: Bishops Cleeve, Cheltenham. 300 M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Extremes, the very hot and the very cold.
  • Location: Bishops Cleeve, Cheltenham. 300 M ASL
    14 minutes ago, tight isobar said:

    After the mildER blip thre are signs of a pathway bk to cold.. via gefs/eps 500s this is a classic point of crossroads-revert!.. much to be deciphered over nxt two days .. where imo by then a notable shift via outs of falling bk into preety much where we are now... with the outside chance of an-even more fridged incursion... as per time will tell...  the pole is carved open

    EDBC6CC3-8389-4EA3-9B35-B622DAC3ADE4.png

    7067BFB8-807B-4841-9157-DB15133CCBBB.png

    DDA42085-0C7B-408D-B214-BC6594BCA5B2.png

    Met Office is saying the same 

    Friday 26 Feb - Friday 12 Mar

    Into late February there is a signal for higher than average pressure to expand westwards leading to an increased chance of snow showers redeveloping in the east, for conditions in the north to become generally quite settled and for unsettled weather in the south, with disruptive snow possible. A similar picture continues into March, though milder conditions in the west look more likely to spread northwards.

    Disruptive snow possible in the South. That's worth staying tuned in for. 

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    Posted
  • Location: winscombe north somerset
  • Weather Preferences: action weather
  • Location: winscombe north somerset

    A   good update, will be watching with fingers crossed .who knows we could get a good block to our north ,then Atlantic lows moving across northern france , so think we can  relax for now ,but hopefully have another Hunt very soon, cheers. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
    21 minutes ago, Cleeve Hill said:

    Met Office is saying the same 

    Friday 26 Feb - Friday 12 Mar

    Into late February there is a signal for higher than average pressure to expand westwards leading to an increased chance of snow showers redeveloping in the east, for conditions in the north to become generally quite settled and for unsettled weather in the south, with disruptive snow possible. A similar picture continues into March, though milder conditions in the west look more likely to spread northwards.

    Disruptive snow possible in the South. That's worth staying tuned in for. 

    Is that not yesterday's update?

    As for disruptive snow, I'm still patiently waiting for mine......

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Bishops Cleeve, Cheltenham. 300 M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Extremes, the very hot and the very cold.
  • Location: Bishops Cleeve, Cheltenham. 300 M ASL
    7 minutes ago, Don said:

    Is that not yesterday's update?

    As for disruptive snow, I'm still patiently waiting for mine......

     

    I took from the Met Office website and then posted it in here. Ties in with @tight isobar post. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    Tuesday 16 Feb - Thursday 25 Feb

    This period begins with temperatures much milder than as of late, with temperatures returning to around average/ slightly about average for most and with some mild spells being seen in the south and west. The UK looks to be split broadly east and west in terms of the general weather types with the west being wet with strong winds at times, and the east being drier and finer. Any snowfall also then most likely becomes restricted to the Scottish mountains. From the weekend of the 20th, there are signs of more widespread settled conditions becoming established - which would correspond with temperatures falling back to below average, and with increased incidence of overnight frost and fog.

    Thursday 25 Feb - Thursday 11 Mar

    Into late February there is a signal for higher than average pressure to expand westwards leading to an increased chance of snow showers redeveloping in the east, for conditions in the north to become generally quite settled and for unsettled weather in the south, with disruptive snow possible. A similar picture continues into March, though milder conditions in the west look more likely to spread northwards.


    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
    On 10/02/2021 at 13:25, Summer Sun said:

     

     

    Slightly about average... what, exactly, is that supposed to mean!

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    Posted
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
    4 minutes ago, General Cluster said:

    Slightly about average... what, exactly, is that supposed to mean!

    0.5 degrees above average lol!  They still haven't given up on a colder outlook in the extended just yet.  Will be interesting to see what today's ECMWF 46 day shows.

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    Posted
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks
    4 minutes ago, General Cluster said:

    Slightly about average... what, exactly, is that supposed to mean!

    I would have thought exactly what it says!

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    Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
    4 minutes ago, johnholmes said:

    I would have thought exactly what it says!

    Had it said  'slightly above average', I'd agree... But 'slightly about'? What's that supposed to mean?

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    Posted
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
    2 minutes ago, General Cluster said:

    Had it said  'slightly above average', I'd agree... But 'slightly about'? What's that supposed to mean?

    Sorry, I didn’t notice that!  They really need to proof read these updates before publishing!

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    Posted
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast

    back to snow again then after next week ,cold air to come back

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
    31 minutes ago, SLEETY said:

    back to snow again then after next week ,cold air to come back

     

    If only it were that straight forward but at lease we are still in the game for now!

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    Posted
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks
    2 hours ago, General Cluster said:

    Had it said  'slightly above average', I'd agree... But 'slightly about'? What's that supposed to mean?

    hovering either side of normal?

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    Posted
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
    14 minutes ago, johnholmes said:

    hovering either side of normal?

    I think it's probably a typo John and should read slightly above normal.

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    Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl

    Still running with the idea of high pressure building back westward then retrogressing to the NW, with low pressure tracking on a southerly trajectory, cold east winds and possible snow.

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    Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
    3 hours ago, johnholmes said:

    I would have thought exactly what it says!

    And therein lies the problem, John!

    How¬†about we do a deal:¬†when I want to know something meteorological, I ask you, but, when I struggle with abuses of the English language, I won't?ūüĎć

    And, before anyone says anything, I'm more than capable, where mangling the English language is concerned -- I need no help, on that score!ūüėĀ

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