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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    Friday 22 Jan - Sunday 31 Jan

    From Thursday onwards, rather cold and unsettled conditions look likely for most of the UK, as a low pressure system remains to the northeast. Northwesterly winds from this system are expected to bring frequent showers, particularly to north and west-facing coasts, and this will likely fall as snow over high level areas, and also down to lower levels at times. Atlantic low-pressure systems are expected to cross the south of the country at times, bringing rainfall and periods of slightly milder temperatures, and there will be a risk of snowfall on the boundary between the mild and cold air masses. Northern and central areas are more likely to be affected by wintry hazards during this period.

    Sunday 31 Jan - Sunday 14 Feb

    Confidence for this period is low, though there is a signal for weaker than average westerly winds and for Atlantic low-pressure systems to track further south than normal. This will bring below-average temperatures to the north of the UK, with a greater than normal risk of wintry precipitation. Further south, there is a continued risk of unsettled conditions, with above-average rainfall and periods of slightly above average temperatures. There remains the potential for significant snowfall along the boundary between colder air to the north, and the milder air in the south, with the greatest risk across central and northern areas. Through this period there is a greater than average chance of cold spells spreading across the whole UK at times with the associated risk of wintry hazards.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

     

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    So this is what Exeter actually published UK Outlook for Sunday 20 Jan 2019 to Tuesday 29 Jan 2019: Sunday will be cold across the UK, but for many it will be dry; brightest in the southeast

    Yes I have just spent some time comparing their forecast issued on their web site at 0025 with the two latest Fax charts for Tuesday. They seemed at odds and this forecast seems to suggest what I beli

    In reply to this  My thoughts on this are that met 9 times out of 10 will go for the default outcome which is the milder weather or high pressure over the uk scenario!!its just easier for them co

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    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    Saturday 23 Jan - Monday 1 Feb

    Rather cold and unsettled conditions look likely for most of the UK, as a low pressure system remains to the northeast. Northwesterly winds from this system are expected to bring frequent showers, particularly to north and west-facing coasts, and this will likely fall as snow over high level areas, and also down to lower levels at times. Atlantic low-pressure systems are expected to cross the south/central parts of the country at times, bringing rainfall and periods of slightly milder temperatures, and there will be a risk of snowfall on the boundary between the mild and cold air masses. Northern and central areas are more likely to be affected by wintry hazards during this period. Temperatures mostly rather cold, but closer to average near approaching lows in the south.

    Monday 1 Feb - Monday 15 Feb

    Confidence for this period is low, though there is a signal for weaker than average westerly winds and for Atlantic low-pressure systems to track further south than normal. This will bring below-average temperatures to the north of the UK, with a greater than normal risk of wintry precipitation. Further south, there is a continued risk of unsettled conditions, with above-average rainfall and periods of slightly above average temperatures. There remains the potential for significant snowfall along the boundary between colder air to the north, and the milder air in the south, with the greatest risk across central and northern areas. Through this period there is a greater than average chance of cold spells spreading across the whole UK at times with the associated risk of wintry hazards.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

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    Posted
  • Location: Nuneaton,Warks. 128m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow then clear and frosty.
  • Location: Nuneaton,Warks. 128m asl

    Yes that's fair enough.The continuing battle for supremacy between the mild and cold with the boundary varying north and south  over the UK.

     

     

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    Posted
  • Location: sheffield
  • Weather Preferences: cold ,snow
  • Location: sheffield

    Broken clock scenario again 🙄🙄🙄

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    Posted
  • Location: bingley,west yorks.81 absl
  • Location: bingley,west yorks.81 absl

    No update this morn.......

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    Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
    1 hour ago, joggs said:

    No update this morn.......

    Here they are.

    Sunday 24 Jan - Tuesday 2 Feb

    At the start of this period it will remain unsettled with north-westerly winds likely, bringing frequent showers and outbreaks of rain, particularly to the north and west. Likely falling as snow over high ground and at times to lower levels. Windy, especially in the north. Into this period unsettled conditions look most likely with low pressure dominant across the UK, bringing changeable weather with periods of rain, showers and strong winds at times. Northerly winds are expected at times, which increases the risk of snowfall especially in the north but may bring wintry hazards further south. In the south milder interludes may occur at times bringing at or above average temperatures. Overall temperatures are likely to be rather cold in the north but close to average in the south.

    Updated: 04:00 (UTC) on Tue 19 Jan 2021

    Tuesday 2 Feb - Tuesday 16 Feb

    Confidence for this period is low, though low pressure is likely to be dominant at first with an increased chance of northerly winds. This will therefore increase the risk of snowfall especially in the north along with colder than average temperatures. Potentially bringing wintry hazards more widely. Through mid-February higher pressure may develop for a time which would bring drier conditions with an increased likelihood of fog and cold nights.

    Updated: 04:00 (UTC) on Tue 19 Jan 2021

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    Posted
  • Location: Aberporth S W Wales
  • Location: Aberporth S W Wales

    Finally had a proper ammendment! Northerlies seem to be the theme, drier mid Feb. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire

    Yes a marked change in the longer range forecast.  Not quite sure what to make of it really, is it actually an upgrade overall for cold potential compared to the recent forecasts?  I suppose a bit!

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    Posted
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
    1 hour ago, georgiedre said:

    Sounds OK to me

    The mention of significant snowfall dropped though.

    If the Northerlies are like what we have had so far this Winter, i won't be expecting too much.

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    Posted
  • Location: Leeds
  • Weather Preferences: Bitter Cold in winter and Extreme heat in summer
  • Location: Leeds

    Mmmm not sure this is an upgrade in all honesty. With these Meto updates is always wise to look for what wording they drop too. And like Mountain Shadow says significant snowfall is now dropped. I’m not saying it’s a bad update by any means, just something to be aware of

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    Posted
  • Location: caernarfon(gwynedd)
  • Location: caernarfon(gwynedd)

    I was thinking northerly airstream with snow showers around costal areas with areas of precipitation in the flow.. yes not significant falls but colder and drier air which is better than the last spell

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    Posted
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
    34 minutes ago, Decemberof2010 said:

    Mmmm not sure this is an upgrade in all honesty. With these Meto updates is always wise to look for what wording they drop too. And like Mountain Shadow says significant snowfall is now dropped. I’m not saying it’s a bad update by any means, just something to be aware of

    That's exactly what I was thinking, hence my comment above.  However, at least there is no mention of the return to south westerlies and plenty of time for upgrades.

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    Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl

    For those who like snow and cold, the Met Office updates since the turn of the year have made by and large for good reading, more so if in the north, compared to any we had last season when cold and snow was barely if ever mentioned. Indeed the tilt of balance in every update so far this year has been for cold to win out against mild. Today's to me continues with this theme, some temporary milder incursions more so in the south, but generally quite cold or cold most of the time, with always the threat of some snow - again more so in the north.

    Trying to think of a winter that has had felt similar to this one so far, struggling to think of many recent ones, some hallmarks with 2008-2009, would be great if we saw the snowy first half to Feb 2009. The spell end of Dec and first part of this month was very reminiscent of 2008/2009. Early Dec 08 and 20 quite similiar with some cold settled conditions, and then the mild wet middle. Second half of Jan 2019 brought episodic cold and mild, just like we have now, and we also had a SSW in early Jan 2009.. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    Monday 25 Jan - Wednesday 3 Feb

    At the start of this period it will remain unsettled with north-westerly winds probable, bringing frequent showers and outbreaks of rain, particularly to the north and west. This will likely fall as snow over high ground and may at times to lower levels too. Windy, especially in the north. Further into this period unsettled conditions look most likely with low pressure dominant across the UK, bringing changeable weather with periods of rain, showers, and strong winds. Northerly winds are expected at times, increasing the risk of snowfall especially in the north but may also bring wintry hazards further south. In the south, milder interludes may occur bringing at or above average temperatures. Overall temperatures are likely to be rather cold in the north but close to average in the south.

    Wednesday 3 Feb - Wednesday 17 Feb

    Confidence for this period is low, though low pressure is likely to be dominant at first with an increased chance of northerly winds. This will therefore increase the risk of snowfall especially in the north along with colder than average temperatures. Potentially bringing wintry hazards more widely. Through mid-February higher pressure may develop for a time which would bring drier conditions with an increased likelihood of fog and cold nights.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    Tuesday 26 Jan - Thursday 4 Feb

    The start of the period remains unsettled with strong winds and frequent outbreaks of rain across much of the country, particularly in the north and west. This will likely fall as snow over high ground and may also at times fall to lower levels too, especially over northern and eastern areas. Further into this period unsettled conditions look most likely with low pressure dominant across the UK, bringing changeable weather with periods of rain, showers, and strong winds. Northerly winds are expected at times, increasing the risk of snowfall especially in the north. In the south, milder interludes may occur bringing at or above average temperatures. Overall temperatures are likely to be rather cold in the north but close to average in the south.

    Thursday 4 Feb - Thursday 18 Feb

    Confidence for this period is low, though low pressure is likely to be dominant at first with an increased chance of northerly winds. This will therefore increase the risk of snowfall especially in the north along with colder than average temperatures, potentially bringing wintry hazards more widely. Through mid-February higher pressure may develop for a time which would bring drier conditions with an increased likelihood of fog and cold, frosty nights.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

     

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    Posted
  • Location: caernarfon(gwynedd)
  • Location: caernarfon(gwynedd)
    37 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

    Tuesday 26 Jan - Thursday 4 Feb

    The start of the period remains unsettled with strong winds and frequent outbreaks of rain across much of the country, particularly in the north and west. This will likely fall as snow over high ground and may also at times fall to lower levels too, especially over northern and eastern areas. Further into this period unsettled conditions look most likely with low pressure dominant across the UK, bringing changeable weather with periods of rain, showers, and strong winds. Northerly winds are expected at times, increasing the risk of snowfall especially in the north. In the south, milder interludes may occur bringing at or above average temperatures. Overall temperatures are likely to be rather cold in the north but close to average in the south.

    Thursday 4 Feb - Thursday 18 Feb

    Confidence for this period is low, though low pressure is likely to be dominant at first with an increased chance of northerly winds. This will therefore increase the risk of snowfall especially in the north along with colder than average temperatures, potentially bringing wintry hazards more widely. Through mid-February higher pressure may develop for a time which would bring drier conditions with an increased likelihood of fog and cold, frosty nights.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

     

    I see central parts has been removed lately 

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    Posted
  • Location: Penn, Wolverhampton
  • Weather Preferences: Cold snowy and frosty
  • Location: Penn, Wolverhampton
    3 hours ago, georgiedre said:

    I see central parts has been removed lately 

    Yes, we have been deleted 😂😂  Does that mean they have no idea what the weather will be in the central swathe of the country then?  🤔

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    Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl

    The forecast suggests a signal for a more amplified flow as we enter February, with mid atlantic heights and trough to our east, hence the northerly airstream, heights eventually toppling through the UK to bring cold settled frosty conditions.

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
    2 hours ago, damianslaw said:

    The forecast suggests a signal for a more amplified flow as we enter February, with mid atlantic heights and trough to our east, hence the northerly airstream, heights eventually toppling through the UK to bring cold settled frosty conditions.

     

    I suspect we will see a change tomorrow highlighting the milder weather next week.

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    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    Wednesday 27 Jan - Friday 5 Feb

    Unsettled conditions look likely to dominate for this period, with low pressure across the UK. This should bringing changeable weather to most of the country, with periods of rain, showers, and strong winds at times. While westerly and southwesterly winds are expected to be dominant for most of the period, occasional northerly winds are possible, brining a chance of snowfall, likely confined to the far north. Milder conditions in generally may start to spread across most of the UK at points during most of this period. Towards the end of the period, we may see high pressure bringing a higher than average chance of cold weather with wintry outbreaks. However, there is a chance of drier than average conditions, which would bring increased frost and fog risks.

    Thursday 4 Feb - Thursday 18 Feb

    Confidence for this period is low, though low pressure is likely to be dominant at first with an increased chance of northerly winds. This will therefore increase the risk of snowfall especially in the north along with colder than average temperatures, potentially bringing wintry hazards more widely. Through mid-February higher pressure may develop for a time which would bring drier conditions with an increased likelihood of fog and cold, frosty nights.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Berkshire
  • Location: Berkshire
    39 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

    Wednesday 27 Jan - Friday 5 Feb

    Unsettled conditions look likely to dominate for this period, with low pressure across the UK. This should bringing changeable weather to most of the country, with periods of rain, showers, and strong winds at times. While westerly and southwesterly winds are expected to be dominant for most of the period, occasional northerly winds are possible, brining a chance of snowfall, likely confined to the far north. Milder conditions in generally may start to spread across most of the UK at points during most of this period. Towards the end of the period, we may see high pressure bringing a higher than average chance of cold weather with wintry outbreaks. However, there is a chance of drier than average conditions, which would bring increased frost and fog risks.

    Thursday 4 Feb - Thursday 18 Feb

    Confidence for this period is low, though low pressure is likely to be dominant at first with an increased chance of northerly winds. This will therefore increase the risk of snowfall especially in the north along with colder than average temperatures, potentially bringing wintry hazards more widely. Through mid-February higher pressure may develop for a time which would bring drier conditions with an increased likelihood of fog and cold, frosty nights.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

     

    Corrected

    UPGRADE for cold

     

    Friday 5 Feb - Friday 19 Feb

    Confidence is low for this period, but current signals indicate a possible high pressure system around or near the UK during this period. This would likely bring cold northerly winds, producing colder than average temperatures and wintry outbreaks. The second half of February is likely to have a mixture of weather types, with periods of wet, windy and milder weather interspersed with drier, calmer, colder periods.

    Updated: 04:00 (UTC) on Fri 22 Jan 2021

    Edited by Bermuda High
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    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    Thursday 28 Jan - Saturday 6 Feb

    Unsettled conditions look likely to dominate for this period, with low pressure across the UK. Therefore, this should, bring changeable weather to most of the country, with periods of rain, showers, and strong winds at times. While mild westerly and southwesterly winds are expected to be dominant for most of the period, occasional colder northerly winds are possible, bringing a chance of snowfall, likely confined to the far northern parts. Towards the end of the period, we may see high pressure bringing a higher than average chance of cold weather more widely with wintry outbreaks. However, there is a chance of drier than average conditions, which would bring an increased risk of frost and fog.

    Saturday 6 Feb - Saturday 20 Feb

    Confidence is low for this period, but current signals indicate a possible high pressure system around or near the UK during this period. This would likely bring cold northerly winds, producing colder than average temperatures and wintry outbreaks. The second half of February is likely to have a mixture of weather types, with periods of wet, windy and milder weather interspersed with drier, calmer, colder periods.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    Friday 29 Jan - Sunday 7 Feb

    Unsettled conditions look likely to dominate for this period, with low pressure across the UK. Therefore, this should bring changeable weather to most of the country, with periods of rain, showers, and strong winds at times. While mild westerly and southwesterly winds are expected to be dominant for most of the period, occasional colder northerly winds are possible, bringing a chance of snowfall, likely confined to the far northern parts. Towards the end of the period, we may see high pressure bringing a higher than average chance of cold weather more widely with wintry outbreaks. If this were to occur many inland and southern areas would likely see drier than average conditions, with some overnight of frost and fog.

    Sunday 7 Feb - Sunday 21 Feb

    Confidence is low for this period, but current signals indicate a possible high pressure system around or near the UK during this period. This would likely bring cold northerly winds, producing colder than average temperatures and wintry outbreaks. The second half of February is likely to have a mixture of weather types, with periods of wet, windy and milder weather interspersed with drier, calmer, colder periods.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

     

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