Jump to content
Cold?
Local
Radar
Snow?

Meto Uk Further Outlook


Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: Gatwick
  • Location: Gatwick
    2 hours ago, Don said:

    Yes, that does look increasingly frustrating for us southerners!  However, as other have alluded to, a very uncertain outlook and things could well fall in our favor yet.

    At least life expectancy is longer for Southerners. Gives us longer to enjoy the mild dross! 

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Spotted a post you think may be an issue? Please help the team by reporting it.
    • Replies 9.1k
    • Created
    • Last Reply

    Top Posters In This Topic

    Top Posters In This Topic

    Popular Posts

    So this is what Exeter actually published UK Outlook for Sunday 20 Jan 2019 to Tuesday 29 Jan 2019: Sunday will be cold across the UK, but for many it will be dry; brightest in the southeast

    Yes I have just spent some time comparing their forecast issued on their web site at 0025 with the two latest Fax charts for Tuesday. They seemed at odds and this forecast seems to suggest what I beli

    In reply to this  My thoughts on this are that met 9 times out of 10 will go for the default outcome which is the milder weather or high pressure over the uk scenario!!its just easier for them co

    Posted Images

    Posted
  • Location: West/East/Sussex Surrey border
  • Location: West/East/Sussex Surrey border
    45 minutes ago, Rapodo said:

    Well that's a ramp if I've ever seen one.

    121903750_842539802982900_26408542326946
    M.FACEBOOK.COM

    The wintry theme looks set to continue for parts of the UK into next week 🌨️❄️ Here's the latest 10 Day Trend with a look at the weather a little...

     

    really? just seems pretty standard to me

     

    and northerly = zzzzzzzz boring

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Poole, BH14
  • Location: Poole, BH14
    4 minutes ago, steveinsussex said:

    really? just seems pretty standard to me

     

    and northerly = zzzzzzzz boring

    Rare for them to mention snow word 10 days out. Let alone the fact they favour the colder outcome. 

    Edited by Rapodo
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Bexleyheath (south), Kent
  • Location: Bexleyheath (south), Kent

    Very good presentation of the current state of play. Delivered calmly and succinctly. Unlike the Model thread 😉

    • Like 2
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: bingley,west yorks.81 absl
  • Location: bingley,west yorks.81 absl

    You would think a backtrack on the Scandinavian cold spreading our way will come later!?!?!?!?

    • Like 2
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms in the summer, frost fog & snow in winter.
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
    Just now, joggs said:

    You would think a backtrack on the Scandinavian cold spreading our way will come later!?!?!?!?

    Why? The meto have a lot more data to look at than what we have access to on this & other sites & that could still be indicating the colder scenario being the way forward. 

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: winscombe north somerset
  • Weather Preferences: action weather
  • Location: winscombe north somerset

    Just updated ,but no change .I take that as good ,on now with tonights runs ,fingers crossed 🤞.

    • Like 1
    • Thanks 3
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Coggeshall, Nr Colchester, Essex
  • Location: Coggeshall, Nr Colchester, Essex
    44 minutes ago, legritter said:

    Just updated ,but no change .I take that as good ,on now with tonights runs ,fingers crossed 🤞.

    Looks different to yesterday's. 19th to 28th Jan definitely less wintery away from the North. Sound like a continuation of what we have currently. Tuesday's update was good but yesterday's and today's have got progressively worse.

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
    43 minutes ago, snowblind said:

    Looks different to yesterday's. 19th to 28th Jan definitely less wintery away from the North. Sound like a continuation of what we have currently. Tuesday's update was good but yesterday's and today's have got progressively worse.

    Yes, nowt to get excited about next week in the south from the latest update, unless you're a fan of cold rain!

    Edited by Don
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    Tuesday 19 Jan - Thursday 28 Jan

    From Tuesday onwards unsettled conditions look likely to continue for most of the UK, with cloud, rain, and strong winds. A north-easterly flow will bring cold conditions and possibly frequent showers, particularly to the northern windward coasts, which may fall as snow over high ground and sometimes down to lower levels. Towards the end of the period conditions are likely to remain colder than average in the north, with the south likely to see more unsettled conditions and slightly above average temperatures at times. These conditions would likely bring periods of above average precipitation to the UK, with a likelihood of more organised snowfall for northern areas, and rain in southern areas. Central and northern areas may see wintry hazards due to this.

    Thursday 28 Jan - Thursday 11 Feb

    Confidence for this period is low, though there is a signal for weaker than average westerly winds with Atlantic systems likely to track further south than normal. Therefore, for the north of the UK a risk of wintry precipitation is expected with temperatures around average to a little below. Further south there is an increased chance of unsettled conditions, with above average precipitation and with periods where temperatures may be slightly above average. Through this period there is a greater than average chance of cold spells across the UK with the associated risk of wintry hazards. There is potential at times for significant snowfall on the boundary between milder and colder air masses, with greatest risk across central and northern areas.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

     

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    Wednesday 20 Jan - Friday 29 Jan

    Rain and strong winds clear from the southeast during Wednesday. Most areas will see bright and mostly dry conditions following, but showers will affect the north and northwest. From Thursday onwards rather cold and unsettled conditions look likely for most of the UK, northwesterly winds will bring frequent showers, particularly to north and west-facing coasts, falling as snow over high ground and also down to lower levels at times. Atlantic low-pressure systems are expected to cross the south of the county at times, bringing rainfall and periods of slightly milder temperatures, and there will be a risk of snowfall on the boundary between the mild and cold airmasses. Northern and central areas are more likely to be affected by wintry hazards during this period.

    Friday 29 Jan - Friday 12 Feb

    Confidence for this period is low, though there is a signal for weaker than average westerly winds and for Atlantic low-pressure systems to track further south than normal. This will bring below-average temperatures to the north of the UK, as well as a higher likelihood of wintry precipitation. Further south, there is a continued risk of unsettled conditions, with above-average rainfall and periods of slightly above average temperatures. There remains the potential for significant snowfall along the boundary between colder air to the north and the milder air in the south, with the greatest risk across central and northern areas. Through this period there is a greater than average chance of cold spells spreading across the whole UK at times with the associated risk of wintry hazards

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

     

    • Like 4
    • Thanks 2
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
    4 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

    Wednesday 20 Jan - Friday 29 Jan

    Rain and strong winds clear from the southeast during Wednesday. Most areas will see bright and mostly dry conditions following, but showers will affect the north and northwest. From Thursday onwards rather cold and unsettled conditions look likely for most of the UK, northwesterly winds will bring frequent showers, particularly to north and west-facing coasts, falling as snow over high ground and also down to lower levels at times. Atlantic low-pressure systems are expected to cross the south of the county at times, bringing rainfall and periods of slightly milder temperatures, and there will be a risk of snowfall on the boundary between the mild and cold airmasses. Northern and central areas are more likely to be affected by wintry hazards during this period.

    Friday 29 Jan - Friday 12 Feb

    Confidence for this period is low, though there is a signal for weaker than average westerly winds and for Atlantic low-pressure systems to track further south than normal. This will bring below-average temperatures to the north of the UK, as well as a higher likelihood of wintry precipitation. Further south, there is a continued risk of unsettled conditions, with above-average rainfall and periods of slightly above average temperatures. There remains the potential for significant snowfall along the boundary between colder air to the north and the milder air in the south, with the greatest risk across central and northern areas. Through this period there is a greater than average chance of cold spells spreading across the whole UK at times with the associated risk of wintry hazards

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

     

    Slight downgrade in the 15 dayer - upgrade in the 30 dayer!  Changes highlighted.

     

     

    • Like 2
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.

    Taking 1963 and, to a lesser extent, 1979 out of the equation, that seems like one of the best outlooks, we've seen for years. Something akin to 1970, perhaps?👍

    Edited by General Cluster
    • Like 5
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Gorslas 178m abs
  • Location: Gorslas 178m abs
    2 hours ago, feb1991blizzard said:

    Slight downgrade in the 15 dayer - upgrade in the 30 dayer!  Changes highlighted.

     

     

    How can you state northwesterly winds as a downgrade? 

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire

    Still looks rather poor for the south in the mid term at least.  Sorry to keep on about it but it is where I live!

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
    1 hour ago, Cymro said:

    How can you state northwesterly winds as a downgrade? 

    Northwesterly winds as opposed to northerlies?

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Gorslas 178m abs
  • Location: Gorslas 178m abs
    5 hours ago, Don said:

    Northwesterly winds as opposed to northerlies?

    That’s pure Imbysm! 

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Essex, Southend-On-Sea
  • Weather Preferences: Warm, bright summers and Cold, snowy winters
  • Location: Essex, Southend-On-Sea
    3 minutes ago, Cymro said:

    That’s pure Imbysm! 

    You can't negate IMBYism.  A direct Northerly is more likely to deliver for many more areas than a NW'ly.

    Not everyone will win on a cold spell, but the more that do the more people will remember them.

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Gorslas 178m abs
  • Location: Gorslas 178m abs
    Just now, Snowman. said:

    You can't negate IMBYism.  A direct Northerly is more likely to deliver for many more areas than a NW'ly.

    Not everyone will win on a cold spell, but the more that do the more people will remember them.

    You certainly can. Most northerlies by default are largely dry with HP sitting close to the UK with wishbone snow showers. Unless you have embedded cold from a Northerly with a LP running down or bumping into, they are mostly dry affairs. 

    NWstly however are far higher risk and more uncertain but can deliver wintry conditions country wide. It’s simple ridiculous to call the 15 dayer a downgrade based purely on that! 

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Essex, Southend-On-Sea
  • Weather Preferences: Warm, bright summers and Cold, snowy winters
  • Location: Essex, Southend-On-Sea
    7 minutes ago, Cymro said:

    You certainly can. Most northerlies by default are largely dry with HP sitting close to the UK with wishbone snow showers. Unless you have embedded cold from a Northerly with a LP running down or bumping into, they are mostly dry affairs. 

    NWstly however are far higher risk and more uncertain but can deliver wintry conditions country wide. It’s simple ridiculous to call the 15 dayer a downgrade based purely on that! 

    And a notherly has a chance of lows also being embeded in the cold, its a case by case scenario and while NW'ly can deliver a lot of the time it is associated with relentless cold rain and flooding in the NW.

    We could argue about it forever but the wording change to NW'ly says to me less Atlantic ridging and 0 chance of Greenland heights which to many is the downgrade. People want stable cold where it's no knife edge stuff.

     

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
    13 hours ago, Cymro said:

    That’s pure Imbysm! 

    Not at all, I was referring to the country as a whole.  My area has done well out of north westerlies in the past and not saying they don't deliver, it's just that northerlies are more reliable for snow.

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    Thursday 21 Jan - Saturday 30 Jan

    From Thursday onwards rather cold and unsettled conditions look likely for most of the UK, as a low pressure system remains to the northeast. Northwesterly winds from this system are expected to bring frequent showers, particularly to north and west-facing coasts, and this will likely fall as snow over high level areas, and also down to lower levels at times. Atlantic low-pressure systems are expected to cross the south of the country at times, bringing rainfall and periods of slightly milder temperatures, and there will be a risk of snowfall on the boundary between the mild and cold air masses. Northern and central areas are more likely to be affected by wintry hazards during this period.

    Saturday 30 Jan - Saturday 13 Feb

    Confidence for this period is low, though there is a signal for weaker than average westerly winds and for Atlantic low-pressure systems to track further south than normal. This will bring below-average temperatures to the north of the UK, with a greater than normal risk of wintry precipitation. Further south, there is a continued risk of unsettled conditions, with above-average rainfall and periods of slightly above average temperatures. There remains the potential for significant snowfall along the boundary between colder air to the north and the milder air in the south, with the greatest risk across central and northern areas. Through this period there is a greater than average chance of cold spells spreading across the whole UK at times with the associated risk of wintry hazards.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

     

    • Thanks 4
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: sheffield
  • Weather Preferences: cold ,snow
  • Location: sheffield
    21 hours ago, iceman1991 said:

    Pretty much same as yesterday update 

    Todays update out at 4 am is very similar 

    Link to post
    Share on other sites

    Create an account or sign in to comment

    You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

    Create an account

    Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

    Register a new account

    Sign in

    Already have an account? Sign in here.

    Sign In Now
    ×
    ×
    • Create New...