Meto Uk Further Outlook

[iceman1991]

24 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

Thursday 31 Dec - Saturday 9 Jan

Generally unsettled conditions will continue during the beginning of this period, with spells of rain, sleet and snow likely across many areas. Any occurrences of snow are likely to be over higher ground, but there is also a chance of snow occurring over lower-level areas that are away from coasts. There is a possibility of drier and more settled conditions developing during this period, primarily across northern parts of the UK, and across areas in the west near the end of the period. At times it will be windy, particularly in western parts at first. Temperatures are likely to be low, feeling cold or rather cold, and bringing a risk of frost, ice and freezing fog.

Saturday 9 Jan - Saturday 23 Jan

Cold or rather cold conditions are generally likely to continue during this period, with a risk of wintry hazards. At times conditions will generally be settled for parts of the north, and possibly extending to western areas too. There are currently no indications of exceptionally cold conditions occurring anywhere; however, some harsh frosts are likely over areas with snow cover. As we approach the end of the month, it is likely that colder-than-average conditions will generally persist through the country, rather than mild, wet and windy weather. However, it is possible for some areas to see milder spells.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

Is this today’s update it exactly the same as yesterday’s ain’t it ? 

[Summer Sun]

3 minutes ago, iceman1991 said:

Is this today’s update it exactly the same as yesterday’s ain’t it ? 

It is today's update. Probably more focused on Bella for now to make a lot of changes to the wording

[Scott Ingham]

11 hours ago, iceman1991 said:

Is this today’s update it exactly the same as yesterday’s ain’t it ? 

This is an exceptional update.

The best long range update i have ever seen from Exeter talk of below average temperatures for ALL of january and into February. 

Wow wow wow!

I dont think people understand how signoficant that is. 

Weeks on end of below average temperature in January and February in winter when its the coldest period of the year anyway? 

How anyone can anyone say this wouldnt be historic. Even im 2010 it only lasted 3 weeks.

1963 was the last time.

Ive been through and cant find any othet year to have such persistently low temperatures. If you dont get snow when you have 4-6 weeks of temperatures supporting it youve been very unlucky.

If we get quick snow cover ill be mightily interested in the ongoing cold period

Edited December 27, 2020 by Scott Ingham

[pureasthedriven]

27 minutes ago, tight isobar said:

Just read this nick exactly my thoughts.. we “SHOULD “ see the 6z making much less of the energy dramas .. and have at least our partial block set bk in place throughout... .. ps.. don’t shoot the commentator!!!

At least Exeter has held firm overnight

[Scandinavian High.]

Hi all I no lot are getting excited prospects of colder weather and ssw what could happen in January the meto seem onboard with cold temperatures and some snow. But they said in there update Below there is no exceptionally colder conditions occurring anywhere; however, some harsh frost and snow cover..

 

 

 

Cold or rather cold conditions are generally likely to continue during this period, with a risk of wintry hazards. At times conditions will generally be settled for parts of the north, and possibly extending to western areas too. There are currently no indications of exceptionally cold conditions occurring anywhere; however, some harsh frosts are likely over areas with snow cover. As we approach the end of January, it is likely that colder-than-average conditions will generally persist through the country. However, it is possible for some areas to see milder wetter and windier spells, but less frequently than usual.

Updated: 04:00 (UTC) on Sun 27 Dec 202

[Methuselah]

13 minutes ago, Scandinavian High. said:

Hi all I no lot are getting excited prospects of colder weather and ssw what could happen in January the meto seem onboard with cold temperatures and some snow. But they said in there update Below there is no exceptionally colder conditions occurring anywhere; however, some harsh frost and snow cover..

 

 

 

Cold or rather cold conditions are generally likely to continue during this period, with a risk of wintry hazards. At times conditions will generally be settled for parts of the north, and possibly extending to western areas too. There are currently no indications of exceptionally cold conditions occurring anywhere; however, some harsh frosts are likely over areas with snow cover. As we approach the end of January, it is likely that colder-than-average conditions will generally persist through the country. However, it is possible for some areas to see milder wetter and windier spells, but less frequently than usual.

Updated: 04:00 (UTC) on Sun 27 Dec 202

That's true. But the MetO is hardly going to preempt an SSW that hasn't happened yet. Unlike us!

[Summer Sun]

Friday 1 Jan - Sunday 10 Jan

Generally unsettled conditions will continue during the beginning of this period, with spells of rain, sleet and snow likely across many areas. Significant accumulations of snow are likely to be over higher ground, but there is also a chance of snow occurring over lower-level areas that are away from coasts. There is a possibility of drier and more settled conditions developing during this period, primarily across northern parts of the UK, and across areas in the west near the end of the period. At times it will be windy, particularly in western parts at first. Temperatures are likely to be low, feeling cold or rather cold, and bringing a risk of frost, ice, and freezing fog.

Sunday 10 Jan - Sunday 24 Jan

Cold or rather cold conditions are generally likely to continue during this period, with a risk of wintry hazards. At times conditions will generally be settled for parts of the north, and possibly extending to western areas too. There are currently no indications of exceptionally cold conditions occurring anywhere; however, some harsh frosts are likely over areas with snow cover. As we approach the end of January, it is likely that colder-than-average conditions will generally persist through the country. However, it is possible for some areas to see milder wetter and windier spells, but less frequently than usual.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

[feb1991blizzard]

2 hours ago, General Cluster said:

That's true. But the MetO is hardly going to preempt an SSW that hasn't happened yet. Unlike us!

Its simple, they must have numerous data that suggests the SSW will propagate but nothing which suggests proper uppers being associated with any resultant Easterly, we can't see the glosea, no point going on the EC46 as a lot has changed since then, but what we can see is a tiny percentage of the EPS going for a brutal Easterly and 1/30 GEFS, so basically they are saying there is no current evidence, They might be just covering themselves in case the Daily Express use the Met Office in their headline but then actually quote Exacta Weather in their article, that said i personally wouldn't have said it to be honest, for the very reason that if we got max's of 3's and 4's and mins of 0 and -1c right through the month we could end up with a CET in the region of 1.5, which would be 'exceptional' relative to what we are used to in Jan these days, in fact very exceptional since it has happened about twice in 40 odd years, add in some snow and icy conditions and it could end up an impactful month in terms of loss of elderly lives and disruption to the economy but without actually being what you and me at our age would actually describe as exceptional in the context that it looks like it was meant, like Feb 86, Jan 87, Feb 91 and Dec 10.

 

 

Edited December 27, 2020 by feb1991blizzard

[Deep Snow please]

MetO going for cold and very cold through January. You can write off the cold spell now then.

 

Saturday 2 Jan - Monday 11 Jan

Mixed conditions are likely during the beginning of this period. It will be dry at times, more so in the west, with intervals of rain, sleet and snow more likely affecting northern and eastern coastal areas. Significant accumulations of snow are likely to be over higher ground, but there is also a chance of snow falling down to lower-level areas inland. There is a possibility of drier and more settled conditions developing during this period, primarily across northern parts of the UK, and across areas in the west near the end of the period. At times it will be windy, particularly in western parts at first. Temperatures are likely to be low, feeling cold or even very cold, bringing a risk of frost, ice, and freezing fog.

Monday 11 Jan - Monday 25 Jan

Cold or rather cold conditions are generally likely to continue during this period, with a risk of wintry hazards. At times conditions will generally be settled for parts of the north, and possibly extending to western areas too. There are currently no indications of exceptionally cold conditions occurring anywhere; however, some harsh frosts are likely over areas with snow cover. As we approach the end of January, it is likely that colder-than-average conditions will generally persist through the country. However, it is possible for some areas to see milder wetter and windier spells, but less frequently than usual.

[Chesil View]

21 hours ago, feb1991blizzard said:

Its simple, they must have numerous data that suggests the SSW will propagate but nothing which suggests proper uppers being associated with any resultant Easterly, we can't see the glosea, no point going on the EC46 as a lot has changed since then, but what we can see is a tiny percentage of the EPS going for a brutal Easterly and 1/30 GEFS, so basically they are saying there is no current evidence, They might be just covering themselves in case the Daily Express use the Met Office in their headline but then actually quote Exacta Weather in their article, that said i personally wouldn't have said it to be honest, for the very reason that if we got max's of 3's and 4's and mins of 0 and -1c right through the month we could end up with a CET in the region of 1.5, which would be 'exceptional' relative to what we are used to in Jan these days, in fact very exceptional since it has happened about twice in 40 odd years, add in some snow and icy conditions and it could end up an impactful month in terms of loss of elderly lives and disruption to the economy but without actually being what you and me at our age would actually describe as exceptional in the context that it looks like it was meant, like Feb 86, Jan 87, Feb 91 and Dec 10.

 

 

To be honest Feb. The most important word in that meto up date is the word ,’currently,. ‘It gives them the get out they need when /if a beasterly comes into view as a result of  of an ssw.

Edited December 28, 2020 by Broadmayne blizzard

[damianslaw]

Rare for a 4 week Met Office outlook to suggest colder than average conditions prevailing.. and possibly very cold as we move through January, but not super cold, though the fact the Met is mentioning no current evidence for it, suggests that it may well happen.

Could we about to see our coldest January since 2010, quite probably based on this outlook. Mind our Januaries since have been average, mild or very mild with very little in the way of cold conditions.

[Summer Sun]

Sunday 3 Jan - Tuesday 12 Jan

Likely remaining cold throughout this period with the risk of wintry hazards. It will be dry at times, with the driest and clearest conditions likely in the west and northwest, and showers likely further east. These showers often wintry with hill snow but with a chance of snow falling to lower-levels at times. There is potential for spells of more organised precipitation, accompanied by stronger winds to move north from the continent into southern and central areas. Additionally, there is also the potential for precipitation to move into northern areas if high pressure declines. Both scenarios could bring an associated snow risk particularly over hills. Temperatures are likely to be below average bringing the risk of frost and freezing fog along with very cold overnight temperatures over any snow cover.

Tuesday 12 Jan - Tuesday 26 Jan

Cold or rather cold conditions are likely to continue into this period, with associated wintry hazards. At times conditions will generally be drier and more settled in the north and possibly extending into western areas. Exceptionally cold conditions are not expected however some severe overnight frosts are likely over any snow cover. Through the second half of the month the chance of colder than average conditions remain most likely, although occasional milder spells are possible. There is potential for unsettled conditions to develop across the south bringing above average precipitation, although the risk of wintry hazards would persist nationwide.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

[Sweatyman]

11 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

Sunday 3 Jan - Tuesday 12 Jan

Likely remaining cold throughout this period with the risk of wintry hazards. It will be dry at times, with the driest and clearest conditions likely in the west and northwest, and showers likely further east. These showers often wintry with hill snow but with a chance of snow falling to lower-levels at times. There is potential for spells of more organised precipitation, accompanied by stronger winds to move north from the continent into southern and central areas. Additionally, there is also the potential for precipitation to move into northern areas if high pressure declines. Both scenarios could bring an associated snow risk particularly over hills. Temperatures are likely to be below average bringing the risk of frost and freezing fog along with very cold overnight temperatures over any snow cover.

Tuesday 12 Jan - Tuesday 26 Jan

Cold or rather cold conditions are likely to continue into this period, with associated wintry hazards. At times conditions will generally be drier and more settled in the north and possibly extending into western areas. Exceptionally cold conditions are not expected however some severe overnight frosts are likely over any snow cover. Through the second half of the month the chance of colder than average conditions remain most likely, although occasional milder spells are possible. There is potential for unsettled conditions to develop across the south bringing above average precipitation, although the risk of wintry hazards would persist nationwide.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

i very much like this outlook !!

[ALL ABOARD]

18 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

Sunday 3 Jan - Tuesday 12 Jan

Likely remaining cold throughout this period with the risk of wintry hazards. It will be dry at times, with the driest and clearest conditions likely in the west and northwest, and showers likely further east. These showers often wintry with hill snow but with a chance of snow falling to lower-levels at times. There is potential for spells of more organised precipitation, accompanied by stronger winds to move north from the continent into southern and central areas. Additionally, there is also the potential for precipitation to move into northern areas if high pressure declines. Both scenarios could bring an associated snow risk particularly over hills. Temperatures are likely to be below average bringing the risk of frost and freezing fog along with very cold overnight temperatures over any snow cover.

Tuesday 12 Jan - Tuesday 26 Jan

Cold or rather cold conditions are likely to continue into this period, with associated wintry hazards. At times conditions will generally be drier and more settled in the north and possibly extending into western areas. Exceptionally cold conditions are not expected however some severe overnight frosts are likely over any snow cover. Through the second half of the month the chance of colder than average conditions remain most likely, although occasional milder spells are possible. There is potential for unsettled conditions to develop across the south bringing above average precipitation, although the risk of wintry hazards would persist nationwide.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

May as well just write... 

 

Cold.. Then colder.. 

Snow.. Chances of blizzards from lows bumping into the cold 

Northerly snow machine getting going. 

Buy a shovel. 

[ALL ABOARD]

Just now, ALL ABOARD said:

May as well just write... 

 

Cold.. Then colder.. 

Snow.. Chances of blizzards from lows bumping into the cold 

Northerly snow machine getting going. 

Buy a shovel. 

On a more serious note this is about as wintry and snowy as you can get? 

 

[SMU]

Wintry hazard

 

[Catacol]

On 20/12/2020 at 15:43, Summer Sun said:

Friday 25 Dec - Sunday 3 Jan

An area of high pressure is expected over the west of the UK during Christmas Day and Boxing Day, bringing cold and generally dry conditions for most. A few showers may occur in eastern coastal areas, and light rain and stronger winds will affect the northwest. Fog formation and overnight frosts are possible over these days, more so in the south. Towards the new year, a shift to far more unsettled conditions is looking likely. Atlantic low pressure systems could bring potentially stormy weather at times, with strong northerly winds, heavy rain, and potentially snow. These conditions being more severe in the north but could affect all areas of the UK at times. Temperatures either close to or below average for the time of year.

Sunday 3 Jan - Sunday 17 Jan

High pressure may build from the southwest at the start of January, bringing more settled conditions to the UK. Northwesterly winds are likely, bringing wintery showers to western and northern areas, and causing the east to experience drier weather. These settled conditions are likely to persist for the rest of this period, increasing the potential for overnight frosts and fog formation, with the fog possibly being slow to clear during the day. Although less likely, there is still a chance that a few low pressure systems may affect the UK, temporarily bringing bouts of rain, stronger winds and milder temperatures. Temperatures will likely remain below average, though short-lived spells of more average temperatures are possible.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

The forecast only 9 days ago. HP to the SW, LP to the NW and a polar maritime airstream for January. Complete misreading of the degree of amplification that has occurred over the 8 days following this text. Just shows - these text forecasts are of very minimal use.

[winterof79]

3 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

Wintry hazard

 

The dreaded low flying snowball

Edited December 29, 2020 by winterof79

[Bristawl Si]

2 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

Wintry hazard

 

Who writes their updates? Think their Comms peeps need retraining

[Cloud 10]

13 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

Wintry hazard

 

 

[username home]

18 minutes ago, Bristle boy said:

Who writes their updates? Think their Comms peeps need retraining

They are definitely single - very clear to see that they are afraid of commitment!

[Summer Sun]

Monday 4 Jan - Wednesday 13 Jan

Likely remaining cold throughout this period with the risk of wintry hazards. It will be dry at times, with the driest and clearest conditions likely in the west and northwest, and showers likely further east. These showers often wintry with hill snow but with a chance of snow falling to lower-levels at times. There is potential for spells of more organised precipitation, accompanied by stronger winds to move north from the continent into southern and central areas. Additionally, there is also the potential for precipitation to move into northern areas if high pressure declines. Both scenarios could bring an associated snow risk particularly over hills. Temperatures are likely to be below average bringing the risk of frost and freezing fog along with very cold overnight temperatures over any snow cover.

Wednesday 13 Jan - Wednesday 27 Jan

Cold or rather cold conditions are likely to continue into this period, with associated wintry hazards. At times conditions will generally be drier and more settled in the north and possibly extending into western areas. Exceptionally cold conditions are not expected however some severe overnight frosts are likely over any snow cover. Through the second half of the month the chance of colder than average conditions remain most likely, although occasional milder spells are possible. There is potential for unsettled conditions to develop across the south bringing above average precipitation, although the risk of wintry hazards would persist nationwide.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

[georgiedre]

27 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

Monday 4 Jan - Wednesday 13 Jan

Likely remaining cold throughout this period with the risk of wintry hazards. It will be dry at times, with the driest and clearest conditions likely in the west and northwest, and showers likely further east. These showers often wintry with hill snow but with a chance of snow falling to lower-levels at times. There is potential for spells of more organised precipitation, accompanied by stronger winds to move north from the continent into southern and central areas. Additionally, there is also the potential for precipitation to move into northern areas if high pressure declines. Both scenarios could bring an associated snow risk particularly over hills. Temperatures are likely to be below average bringing the risk of frost and freezing fog along with very cold overnight temperatures over any snow cover.

Wednesday 13 Jan - Wednesday 27 Jan

Cold or rather cold conditions are likely to continue into this period, with associated wintry hazards. At times conditions will generally be drier and more settled in the north and possibly extending into western areas. Exceptionally cold conditions are not expected however some severe overnight frosts are likely over any snow cover. Through the second half of the month the chance of colder than average conditions remain most likely, although occasional milder spells are possible. There is potential for unsettled conditions to develop across the south bringing above average precipitation, although the risk of wintry hazards would persist nationwide.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

It says it was updated 16.00 today....... its only 14.50 now hahahaha

[Polar Maritime]

7 minutes ago, georgiedre said:

It says it was updated 16.00 today....... its only 14.50 now hahahaha

Noticed the same the other day.

[snowblind]

18 minutes ago, georgiedre said:

It says it was updated 16.00 today....... its only 14.50 now hahahaha

Doesn't look like it's been updated at all. Looks identical to yesterday's.