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Posted
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level
    1 hour ago, damianslaw said:

    The above suggests the ridge building strongly to the NW with winds backing into the north east and east.

    And yet Marco has this evening tweeted nothing majorly cold in the outlook... unsure about SSW...

    Edited by northwestsnow
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    So this is what Exeter actually published UK Outlook for Sunday 20 Jan 2019 to Tuesday 29 Jan 2019: Sunday will be cold across the UK, but for many it will be dry; brightest in the southeast

    Yes I have just spent some time comparing their forecast issued on their web site at 0025 with the two latest Fax charts for Tuesday. They seemed at odds and this forecast seems to suggest what I beli

    In reply to this  My thoughts on this are that met 9 times out of 10 will go for the default outcome which is the milder weather or high pressure over the uk scenario!!its just easier for them co

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    Posted
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
    22 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

    And yet Marco has this evening tweeted nothing majorly cold in the outlook... unsure about SSW...

    As always we will just have to wait and see.

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    Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(100m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(100m asl)

    Friday 25 Dec - Sunday 3 Jan
    An area of high pressure is expected over the west of the UK during Christmas Day and Boxing Day, bringing cold and generally dry conditions for most. A few showers may occur in eastern coastal areas, and light rain and stronger winds will affect the northwest. Fog formation and overnight frosts are possible over these days, more so in the south. Towards the new year, a shift to far more unsettled conditions is looking likely. Atlantic low pressure systems could bring potentially stormy weather at times, with strong northerly winds, heavy rain, and potentially snow. These conditions being more severe in the north but could affect all areas of the UK at times. Temperatures either close to or below average for the time of year.

    Updated: 04:00 (UTC) on Sun 20 Dec 2020

    Saturday 2 Jan - Saturday 16 Jan

    Although confidence is low going into the new year, it looks as though high pressure will remain dominant over the UK, meaning dry but cold weather for many parts. This will increase the potential for overnight frosts and fog formation, with the fog possibly being slow to clear during the day. Some periods of wetter weather may develop at times, most likely in the south and east, and with temperatures forecast to remain colder than average, this precipitation could be wintry at times. Towards mid-January, a gradual change to more unsettled conditions is likely with Atlantic low pressure systems moving in from the west, bringing milder temperatures, rain and stronger winds to the UK.

    Updated: 04:00 (UTC) on Sun 20 Dec 2020

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    WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK

    Met Office weather forecasts for the UK. World leading weather services for the public.

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
    9 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

    Friday 25 Dec - Sunday 3 Jan
    An area of high pressure is expected over the west of the UK during Christmas Day and Boxing Day, bringing cold and generally dry conditions for most. A few showers may occur in eastern coastal areas, and light rain and stronger winds will affect the northwest. Fog formation and overnight frosts are possible over these days, more so in the south. Towards the new year, a shift to far more unsettled conditions is looking likely. Atlantic low pressure systems could bring potentially stormy weather at times, with strong northerly winds, heavy rain, and potentially snow. These conditions being more severe in the north but could affect all areas of the UK at times. Temperatures either close to or below average for the time of year.

    Updated: 04:00 (UTC) on Sun 20 Dec 2020

    Saturday 2 Jan - Saturday 16 Jan

    Although confidence is low going into the new year, it looks as though high pressure will remain dominant over the UK, meaning dry but cold weather for many parts. This will increase the potential for overnight frosts and fog formation, with the fog possibly being slow to clear during the day. Some periods of wetter weather may develop at times, most likely in the south and east, and with temperatures forecast to remain colder than average, this precipitation could be wintry at times. Towards mid-January, a gradual change to more unsettled conditions is likely with Atlantic low pressure systems moving in from the west, bringing milder temperatures, rain and stronger winds to the UK.

    Updated: 04:00 (UTC) on Sun 20 Dec 2020

    default_card_315.jpg
    WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK

    Met Office weather forecasts for the UK. World leading weather services for the public.

     

    Oh dear... that's just the sort of update to cause a slight escape of wee-wee!😷

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    Posted
  • Location: Nuneaton,Warks. 128m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow then clear and frosty.
  • Location: Nuneaton,Warks. 128m asl

    Not a bad outlook.Of course at this range they can't promise a white out in any northerly outbreaks but we are in with a shout if the current modeling verifies.If it holds long enough the deeper cold will come further south.

    Interesting they have mentioned westerlies coming back later in January.Their modeling must be seeing zonal winds,ie pv strength increasing.We will see.

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    Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(100m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(100m asl)
    7 minutes ago, phil nw. said:

    Not a bad outlook.Of course at this range they can't promise a white out in any northerly outbreaks but we are in with a shout if the current modeling verifies.If it holds long enough the deeper cold will come further south.

    Interesting they have mentioned westerlies coming back later in January.Their modeling must be seeing zonal winds,ie pv strength increasing.We will see.

    They keep on putting this date back though Phil,it was the first half of Jan last Wednesday.

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    Posted
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast

    Covered everything but at least they mention the SNOW word,which COULD effect all areas,hoping for upgrades  nearer the time.

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    Friday 25 Dec - Sunday 3 Jan

    An area of high pressure is expected over the west of the UK during Christmas Day and Boxing Day, bringing cold and generally dry conditions for most. A few showers may occur in eastern coastal areas, and light rain and stronger winds will affect the northwest. Fog formation and overnight frosts are possible over these days, more so in the south. Towards the new year, a shift to far more unsettled conditions is looking likely. Atlantic low pressure systems could bring potentially stormy weather at times, with strong northerly winds, heavy rain, and potentially snow. These conditions being more severe in the north but could affect all areas of the UK at times. Temperatures either close to or below average for the time of year.

    Sunday 3 Jan - Sunday 17 Jan

    High pressure may build from the southwest at the start of January, bringing more settled conditions to the UK. Northwesterly winds are likely, bringing wintery showers to western and northern areas, and causing the east to experience drier weather. These settled conditions are likely to persist for the rest of this period, increasing the potential for overnight frosts and fog formation, with the fog possibly being slow to clear during the day. Although less likely, there is still a chance that a few low pressure systems may affect the UK, temporarily bringing bouts of rain, stronger winds and milder temperatures. Temperatures will likely remain below average, though short-lived spells of more average temperatures are possible.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Aberporth S W Wales
  • Location: Aberporth S W Wales

    They have pretty much given up on the return of the Atlantic now up to mid month at least. A refreshing change after the recent flooding here in the west.

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    Posted
  • Location: Nuneaton,Warks. 128m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow then clear and frosty.
  • Location: Nuneaton,Warks. 128m asl
    36 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

    They keep on putting this date back though Phil,it was the first half of Jan last Wednesday.

    Yes i noticed .Still the effects on the strat to be ascertained as well with all the wave action.We can see why the uncertainty is there.

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    Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl

    They seem to suggest a holding pattern, of strong mid atlantic heights ridging north and a predominant flow from between north and west, with the odd low pressure filtering around the high. Mention of snow for end of December as well.

    A very wintry outlook for northern high ground, ski resorts will be very disappointed this year if they get a great season yet no-one can use the facilities - it will be sod's law this happens!

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    Posted
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level
    9 minutes ago, damianslaw said:

    They seem to suggest a holding pattern, of strong mid atlantic heights ridging north and a predominant flow from between north and west, with the odd low pressure filtering around the high. Mention of snow for end of December as well.

    A very wintry outlook for northern high ground, ski resorts will be very disappointed this year if they get a great season yet no-one can use the facilities - it will be sod's law this happens!

    Indeed...

    I've been thinking high ground locally might do well in the run up to the New Year...

    Altitude required difficult to call but I'm thinking 250m Pennine areas, 300m + is almost certainly getting clobbered...

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    Posted
  • Location: Wakefield, West Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Anything except blazing hot summers!
  • Location: Wakefield, West Yorkshire

    That’s a massive upgrade from them compared to 2-3 days ago. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    Saturday 26 Dec - Monday 4 Jan

    A ridge of high pressure extending across the country on Christmas Day bringing mainly dry conditions with southern areas seeing the most prolonged sunshine. Rather cold with a widespread frost to start the day. Cloud amounts increasing from northwest with more unsettled conditions spreading southeast across the country into Boxing Day. Very unsettled conditions continuing to dominate through to the end of the year with spells of heavy rain and strong winds. After a milder interlude on Boxing Day, turning colder again with hill snow expected, also a chance of snow down to lower levels in places. Rather cold, showery conditions look likely to continue into early January. However, there is an increased chance of pressure building from the southwest which may bring drier, more settled conditions for a time.

    Monday 4 Jan - Monday 18 Jan

    A continuation of rather cold, showery conditions look most likely to continue through the early part of January with showers likely wintry in places. There remains a chance of some more settled spells developing from the southwest at times. These would bring more widespread overnight frosts and fog patches. By mid-January confidence in the prevailing weather patterns becomes much more uncertain. There are tentative signs that more unsettled conditions will develop widely again with temperatures returning to around average.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Wakefield, West Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Anything except blazing hot summers!
  • Location: Wakefield, West Yorkshire

    Another subtle change in the long term output into mid Jan, from:

    "Although less likely, there is still a chance that a few low pressure systems may affect the UK, temporarily bringing bouts of rain, stronger winds and milder temperatures. Temperatures will likely remain below average, though short-lived spells of more average temperatures are possible"....

    To: 

    "By mid-January confidence in the prevailing weather patterns becomes much more uncertain. There are tentative signs that more unsettled conditions will develop widely again with temperatures returning to around average."

    Very long way to go though.... nail biting stuff!!!

    Edited by Paul_1978
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    Posted
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level

    Elevated NW Britain could do quite well ...

    No idea what sort of elevation needed though   

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    Posted
  • Location: caernarfon(gwynedd)
  • Location: caernarfon(gwynedd)
    22 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

    Elevated NW Britain could do quite well ...

    No idea what sort of elevation needed though   

    100m upwards would be great hahaha 

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    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    Sunday 27 Dec - Tuesday 5 Jan

    It will be staying unsettled through to the end of December with a mixture of sunny spells and showers, but also some longer spells of rain. Temperatures are expected to be below average with snow expected over hills, but this is also likely to fall to lower levels at times, especially but not restricted to the north. It will be often windy too, with a risk of coastal gales. Going into early January there are signs that more settled weather will develop, particularly across western areas of the country. Should this occur, overnight frosts will become more widespread and there are likely to be morning fog patches. Temperatures are likely to be remaining below average.

    Tuesday 5 Jan - Tuesday 19 Jan

    A continuation of rather cold conditions look most likely to persist through the early part of January. A decent amount of fine and dry weather is likely to persist too with western areas likely drier than average. Eastern areas have the greatest chance of seeing wintry showers at times. By mid-January confidence in the prevailing weather patterns becomes much more uncertain. There are tentative signs that more unsettled conditions will develop widely again with temperatures returning to around average.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

     

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    Posted
  • Location: nw hampshire salisbury plain
  • Location: nw hampshire salisbury plain
    4 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

    Sunday 27 Dec - Tuesday 5 Jan

    It will be staying unsettled through to the end of December with a mixture of sunny spells and showers, but also some longer spells of rain. Temperatures are expected to be below average with snow expected over hills, but this is also likely to fall to lower levels at times, especially but not restricted to the north. It will be often windy too, with a risk of coastal gales. Going into early January there are signs that more settled weather will develop, particularly across western areas of the country. Should this occur, overnight frosts will become more widespread and there are likely to be morning fog patches. Temperatures are likely to be remaining below average.

    Tuesday 5 Jan - Tuesday 19 Jan

    A continuation of rather cold conditions look most likely to persist through the early part of January. A decent amount of fine and dry weather is likely to persist too with western areas likely drier than average. Eastern areas have the greatest chance of seeing wintry showers at times. By mid-January confidence in the prevailing weather patterns becomes much more uncertain. There are tentative signs that more unsettled conditions will develop widely again with temperatures returning to around average.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

     

    Slight upgrade there for cold 

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    Posted
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level
    2 minutes ago, KTtom said:

    Yep, Met mentioning low level snow, still some in MOD thread are in denial!

    Think there will so much Nowcast over the coming week after boxing day.

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    Posted
  • Location: Staffordshire moorlands 252m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Frosty and fresh
  • Location: Staffordshire moorlands 252m asl

    at last a slight change

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    Posted
  • Location: Broadmayne a few miles north of Weymouth in Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: Snowfall
  • Location: Broadmayne a few miles north of Weymouth in Dorset

    This has been on the cards for sometime, notice how over the last week or so they keep putting back the time at which they make even a tentative stab at a return to normal temps.

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    Posted
  • Location: sheffield
  • Weather Preferences: cold ,snow
  • Location: sheffield

    How is that forecast causing excitement??? Read it all lol 🤔🤔someone put an alert out for it on model output thread🤐

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