Meto Uk Further Outlook

[Summer Sun]

Monday 23 Dec - Wednesday 1 Jan

It looks likely to start rather unsettled and possibly windy, with further showers or perhaps some longer spells of rain in places, but also drier brighter interludes. However, after a mostly mild start to next week, there are signs that the weather may become drier and quieter, at least for a time, around Christmas, with an increased risk of frost and patchy fog. How long any such quieter, somewhat colder spell lasts is very uncertain, but there is a possibility that it could last to the end of next week. However it seems more likely that the weather will become more changeable again with near normal temperatures, particularly in the north and west, with more spells of rain and strong winds. Southeastern areas may well have longer dry spells.

Wednesday 1 Jan - Wednesday 15 Jan

Confidence is low throughout this period. By New Year and into the first week of January, we may be seeing some longer spells of more widely dry, quiet and bright weather, especially for southern and central areas, with the northwest more likely to remain unsettled. Thereafter it may become more unsettled again with the bulk of the rain and strongest winds in the west and northwest of the UK and the best of any drier and brighter conditions in the east and southeast. Temperatures should be near average overall, but with the usual day to day variations. However in quieter spells, it is likely to be colder generally, with an increased risk of frost and fog.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

[Summer Sun]

Tuesday 24 Dec - Thursday 2 Jan

It looks likely to start rather unsettled and possibly windy, with further showers or perhaps some longer spells of rain in places, but also drier brighter interludes. However, after a mostly mild start to next week, there are signs that the weather may become drier and quieter, at least for a time, around Christmas, with an increased risk of frost and patchy fog. How long any such quieter, somewhat colder spell lasts is very uncertain, but there is a possibility that it could last to the end of next week. However it seems more likely that the weather will become more changeable again with near normal temperatures, particularly in the north and west, with more spells of rain and strong winds. Southeastern areas may well have longer dry spells.

Thursday 2 Jan - Thursday 16 Jan

Confidence is low throughout this period. By New Year and into the first week of January, we may be seeing some longer spells of more widely dry, quiet and bright weather, especially for southern and central areas, with the northwest more likely to remain unsettled. Thereafter it may become more unsettled again with the bulk of the rain and strongest winds in the west and northwest of the UK and the best of any drier and brighter conditions in the east and southeast. Temperatures should be near average overall, but with the usual day to day variations. However in quieter spells, it is likely to be colder generally, with an increased risk of frost and fog.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

[northwestsnow]

No change..

[Sceptical]

19 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

No change..

Yup, makes you wonder what the MAD thread see.

[Don]

28 minutes ago, Sceptical said:

Yup, makes you wonder what the MAD thread see.

Always hope but the Metoffice probably don’t have enough confidence to change their outlook yet?

[Summer Sun]

Wednesday 25 Dec - Friday 3 Jan

Drier and brighter conditions are likely over the festive period which will bring an increased risk of frost and patchy fog overnight. This more settled spell of weather could last till the end of next week, however it is more likely that there is a return to more unsettled and windier conditions, especially across northern and western parts. Southeastern areas may well have a longer drier spells. Towards the end of the period there may be a return to more settled conditions nationwide but confidence is low at this stage. Temperatures should be around normal for the time of year but with some colder spells at times in any settled periods bringing a risk of frost and fog.

Friday 3 Jan - Friday 17 Jan

Confidence is low throughout this period. Drier and brighter conditions should become prevalent through the first week of January. Thereafter it may turn more unsettled again with the worst of the rain and strong winds focused across the west and north west. The east and the southeast should see the best of any drier and brighter weather. Temperatures should be near average for the time of year. However, in any more settled spells, it is likely to be colder generally, with an increased risk of frost and fog.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

[swfc]

2 hours ago, Summer Sun said:

Wednesday 25 Dec - Friday 3 Jan

Drier and brighter conditions are likely over the festive period which will bring an increased risk of frost and patchy fog overnight. This more settled spell of weather could last till the end of next week, however it is more likely that there is a return to more unsettled and windier conditions, especially across northern and western parts. Southeastern areas may well have a longer drier spells. Towards the end of the period there may be a return to more settled conditions nationwide but confidence is low at this stage. Temperatures should be around normal for the time of year but with some colder spells at times in any settled periods bringing a risk of frost and fog.

Friday 3 Jan - Friday 17 Jan

Confidence is low throughout this period. Drier and brighter conditions should become prevalent through the first week of January. Thereafter it may turn more unsettled again with the worst of the rain and strong winds focused across the west and north west. The east and the southeast should see the best of any drier and brighter weather. Temperatures should be near average for the time of year. However, in any more settled spells, it is likely to be colder generally, with an increased risk of frost and fog.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Wow basically average again then

[Summer Sun]

Thursday 26 Dec - Saturday 4 Jan

Drier and brighter conditions are likely for a time over the festive period which will bring an increased risk of overnight frost and patchy fog. However, there is a possibility of a wetter, windier interlude in places on Boxing Day. Although the more settled spell could last until next weekend, it is more likely that there will be a return to milder, unsettled, windier conditions, especially across northern and western parts, with heavy rain possible in the northwest. Southeastern areas will probably have longer dry spells. These conditions may well persist beyond New Year with temperatures varying around or above average. However, there is always a chance that colder, more settled conditions could become re-established, bringing night frosts and a risk of fog, especially for central and southern areas.

Saturday 4 Jan - Saturday 18 Jan

Confidence is low throughout this period. Drier and brighter conditions should become prevalent through the first week of January. Thereafter it may turn more unsettled again with the worst of the rain and strong winds focused across the west and north west. The east and the southeast should see the best of any drier and brighter weather. Temperatures should be near average for the time of year. However, in any more settled spells, it is likely to be colder generally, with an increased risk of frost and fog.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

[Summer Sun]

Friday 27 Dec - Sunday 5 Jan

There is considerable uncertainty by the latter part of this week. However, wet and windy weather looks increasingly likely to spread across much of the UK on Boxing Day, with a drier interlude possibly following for Friday. However, over next weekend, northwestern areas will probably have a change to milder, unsettled, windier conditions, with some heavy rain possible at times. By contrast, central and especially southeastern areas will probably have a good deal of dry, relatively quiet weather, perhaps with patchy fog and occasional night frosts. It may become more widely unsettled across the UK in early January with gales at times and temperatures still varying around or above average. However, some colder interludes with north or northwest winds and wintry showers are also possible.

Sunday 5 Jan - Sunday 19 Jan

Confidence is low throughout this period. Drier and brighter conditions should become prevalent through the first week of January. Thereafter it may turn more unsettled again with the worst of the rain and strong winds focused across the west and north west. The east and the southeast should see the best of any drier and brighter weather. Temperatures should be near average for the time of year. However, in any more settled spells, it is likely to be colder generally, with an increased risk of frost and fog.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

[Summer Sun]

Saturday 28 Dec - Monday 6 Jan

There is considerable uncertainty by the latter part of this week. Over the weekend, northwestern areas are likely to see mild, unsettled and windy conditions, with some heavy rain possible at times. By contrast, central and especially southeastern areas may have a good deal of dry, relatively quiet weather, with a risk of patchy fog and occasional overnight frosts. Looking further ahead, it may become more widely unsettled across the UK through early January, especially in the north and west, with gales at times and temperatures still varying around or above average. Longer spells of drier weather, however are likely for the southeast. Some colder interludes with north or northwest winds and wintry showers are also possible through this period.

Sunday 5 Jan - Sunday 19 Jan

Confidence is low throughout this period. Drier and brighter conditions should become prevalent through the first week of January. Thereafter it may turn more unsettled again with the worst of the rain and strong winds focused across the west and north west. The east and the southeast should see the best of any drier and brighter weather. Temperatures should be near average for the time of year. However, in any more settled spells, it is likely to be colder generally, with an increased risk of frost and fog.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

[Summer Sun]

Sunday 29 Dec - Tuesday 7 Jan

Sunday is likely to be a mild day across the UK, staying dry away from the north where there will be plentiful bright or sunny spells. Across the north, it looks to be more unsettled with the northwest seeing cloudy skies with rain or drizzle, perhaps heavy in northwest Scotland for a time. It is likely to be windy, particularly in the far northwest where there is a risk of coastal gales. Next week, it looks to remain rather unsettled at first as bands of wet and windy weather cross the UK. Gales are possible at times, especially across northern and western parts. Somewhat drier and colder conditions seem likely thereafter and look to continue into the first week of January. During this more settled period, overnight frost is possible.

Tuesday 7 Jan - Tuesday 21 Jan

After a quieter start to the year, there looks to be a shift to more changeable conditions through the middle of January with something of a northwest/southeast split. The majority of the wet and windy weather seems to be confined to northern and western parts, whereas the best of any bright and dry conditions look most probable in the east and southeast. Temperatures should be near average for the time of year. However, in any more settled spells in the southeast, it is likely to be colder generally, with an increased risk of frost and fog.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

[Summer Sun]

Monday 30 Dec - Wednesday 8 Jan

Rain affecting the far northwest Monday morning will begin to move south and east through the day. This will be followed by clearer, colder weather with a few showers in the northwest. It is likely to be windy with a risk of gales in places. Very mild at first but temperatures returning to average by the end of the day. Next week, it looks to remain rather unsettled for a time as bands of wet and windy weather cross the UK. Gales are possible at times, especially across northern and western parts. Somewhat drier and colder conditions seem likely thereafter and look to continue into the first week of January. During this more settled period, overnight frost is possible.

Wednesday 8 Jan - Wednesday 22 Jan

After a quieter start to the year, there looks to be a shift to more changeable conditions through the middle of January with something of a northwest/southeast split. The majority of the wet and windy weather seems to be confined to northern and western parts, whereas the best of any bright and dry conditions look most probable in the east and southeast. Temperatures should be near average for the time of year. However, in any more settled spells in the southeast, it is likely to be colder generally, with an increased risk of frost and fog.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

[lassie23]

4 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

Monday 30 Dec - Wednesday 8 Jan

Rain affecting the far northwest Monday morning will begin to move south and east through the day. This will be followed by clearer, colder weather with a few showers in the northwest. It is likely to be windy with a risk of gales in places. Very mild at first but temperatures returning to average by the end of the day. Next week, it looks to remain rather unsettled for a time as bands of wet and windy weather cross the UK. Gales are possible at times, especially across northern and western parts. Somewhat drier and colder conditions seem likely thereafter and look to continue into the first week of January. During this more settled period, overnight frost is possible.

Wednesday 8 Jan - Wednesday 22 Jan

After a quieter start to the year, there looks to be a shift to more changeable conditions through the middle of January with something of a northwest/southeast split. The majority of the wet and windy weather seems to be confined to northern and western parts, whereas the best of any bright and dry conditions look most probable in the east and southeast. Temperatures should be near average for the time of year. However, in any more settled spells in the southeast, it is likely to be colder generally, with an increased risk of frost and fog.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

sounds as boring as it can possibly get lol

[Summer Sun]

Tuesday 31 Dec - Thursday 9 Jan

After any frost or fog clears, Tuesday will be fine and dry for many with plenty of bright or sunny spells. Some light, patchy rain may linger in the far southwest, as well as some showers in the far north and northwest. Further rain and strong winds perhaps arriving into the far west late in the day. Towards the middle of next week, it looks to remain rather unsettled for a time as bands of wet and windy weather cross the UK. Gales are possible at times, especially across northern and western parts. Somewhat drier and colder conditions seem likely thereafter and look to continue into the first week of January. During this more settled period, overnight frost is possible.

Thursday 9 Jan - Thursday 23 Jan

After a quieter start to the year, there looks to be a shift to more changeable conditions through the middle of January with something of a northwest/southeast split. The majority of the wet and windy weather seems to be confined to northern and western parts, whereas the best of any bright and dry conditions look most probable in the east and southeast. Temperatures should be near average for the time of year. However, in any more settled spells in the southeast, it is likely to be colder generally, with an increased risk of frost and fog.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

[Summer Sun]

Wednesday 1 Jan -  Friday 10 Jan

After any frost or fog clears, Wednesday morning will be mostly dry and cloudy with some bright or sunny spells in central and eastern areas. Further north, it will turn increasingly windy during the day with outbreaks of rain developing for a time. Quite mild across the northwest, but temperatures near normal elsewhere. Looking further ahead, there looks to be something of a northwest/southeast split. The majority of the wet and windy weather seems to be confined to the northwest with spells of heavy rain and strong winds. The region may also see some showery interludes with possible snow over the northern hills. Further south, it looks to be more settled with longer drier, brighter periods as well as occasional overnight frost and fog.

Friday 10 Jan - Friday 24 Jan

There looks to be a continuation of the northwest/southeast split through much of January. Spells of heavy rain and strong winds look most likely across northern and western parts. These could be interspersed by more showery interludes where some snow could fall over higher ground. The best of any bright and dry conditions appear most probable in the east and southeast, though some rain may reach here for a time. Temperatures may be above average in the north at first, though some brief colder interludes are still likely. In the more settled spells in the southeast, it is likely to be colder generally, with an increased risk of fog overnight. Temperatures near normal in the south.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

[northwestsnow]

Snow mentioned not once, not once, but twice..

[swfc]

18 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

Snow mentioned not once, not once, but twice..

Tbh on high ground.that was forecast during the last poor north westerly outbreak.granted it's better but a pre new year claw stretch .happy new year anyway and keep the faith

[Summer Sun]

Thursday 2 Jan - Saturday 11 Jan

After any frost or fog clears, Thursday will be mostly cloudy and dry in central and eastern areas, with showers confined to western coasts and heavy rain across Scotland. Blustery showers will follow the rain over Scotland, with the northwest of England also seeing strengthening winds. Temperatures should become mild, especially in northern Scotland. Looking further ahead, there seems to be something of a northwest/southeast split. The majority of the wet and windy weather seems to be confined to the northwest, with spells of heavy rain and strong winds. The region may also see some showery interludes with possible snow over the northern hills. Further south, it looks to be more settled with longer drier, brighter periods as well as occasional overnight frost and fog.

Saturday 11 Jan - Saturday 25 Jan

There looks to be a continuation of the northwest/southeast split through much of January. Spells of heavy rain and strong winds look most likely across northern and western parts. These could be interspersed by more showery interludes where some snow could fall over higher ground. The best of any bright and dry conditions appear most probable in the east and southeast, though some rain may reach here for a time. Temperatures may be above average in the north at first, though some brief colder interludes are still likely. In the more settled spells in the southeast, it is likely to be colder generally, with an increased risk of fog overnight. Temperatures near normal in the south.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

[karyo]

Dear me... 

[Don]

31 minutes ago, karyo said:

Dear me... 

That’s as good as it gets for now, I think.

[Dorsetbred]

Interesting to see there's been just about no change with the MetO forecast since they issued their longer range forecast for the councils and folk needing the winter synopsis. They must be fairly pleased that they are well on track this winter with 2 months following their earlier synopsis. Just one to go, and guess what that said 

[mountain shadow]

Looks like that's two months down, only February to go.

[northwestsnow]

2 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:

Looks like that's two months down, only February to go.

Its been obvious for a while Dec was a write off, and certainly the first 2/3rds of Jan too.We wait and hope for the EQBO and weakening vortex to offer hope.

[Penicuikblizzard]

The Met Office were spot on with their forecasts for the winter (so far) with above average temps,,,when others thought the cold odd autumn weather was a sign of a possible cold winter. The cold bearing southerly jet will no doubt be back in the spring!

[4wd]

Well kind of, here the December mean is at 5.1C ( +0.7C), compare to 2015 which was +2.5C - hardly notably mild.
I don't suppose other areas are much different on the departure from normal.