Meto Uk Further Outlook

[Don]

16 minutes ago, Sceptical said:

Pretty sure that 2013/14 produced some incredible conditions for the Scottish ski centres. I'd gladly settle for that again.

Just checked and it was the same time as the Sochi winter Olympics. 

 

Correct, they did have a good season.  However, I like many live a fair distance from the Scottish ski centres! 

[Frost HoIIow]

1 hour ago, northwestsnow said:

Lots of rain in the forecast, seems to me Exeter have moved towards the BBC monthly.

Fingers crossed this is not the start of a raging Atlantic for the forseeable!!

I wouldn't worry about it mate. If I recall last Winter they sometimes in the extended outlook said "chance of it turning colder or much colder later in the period. However signals are weak for this at present"....... only for it to be the complete opposite come the time.

[Sceptical]

1 hour ago, Frost HoIIow said:

I wouldn't worry about it mate. If I recall last Winter they sometimes in the extended outlook said "chance of it turning colder or much colder later in the period. However signals are weak for this at present"....... only for it to be the complete opposite come the time.

Correct, but now we have Met Office and Meteogroup in general agreement.

[Summer Sun]

Friday 1 Nov - Sunday 10 Nov

On Friday, overall conditions are expected to be more unsettled than of late for western regions, but still a lot of dry weather for central and eastern parts, with temperatures recovering to around average for the time of year. Moving towards next weekend and early next week, more unsettled wet and windy weather may return to all parts, however, there is low confidence during this period. The first part of November will probably have some unsettled spells again with further bouts of wind and rain moving in from the west across most regions. Temperatures will probably be around average for the time of year, or slightly below, with night frosts probably becoming widespread during quieter drier spells.

Monday 11 Nov - Monday 25 Nov

Through this period confidence is low. However, unsettled conditions look more likely, giving showers or longer spells of rain, with snow likely at times on high ground, especially in the north. Some more settled spells are possible, with driest conditions most likely to be in the north and northwest of the UK. Through mid to late November we may see a change to more frequent west or southwesterly winds with wetter conditions in the west and drier spells in the east. Although temperatures may be below average at first, they are expected to become near average through mid to late November, with more in the way of mild spells.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

[Summer Sun]

Saturday 2 Nov - Monday 11 Nov

Saturday is looking very unsettled, with rain and low cloud clearing slowly east and stronger winds across the country. The west and southwest may see brighter conditions for a time but with a risk of heavy rain later. Temperatures around normal for the time of year and feeling on the mild side at night. More unsettled wet and windy weather may return to all parts early next week, however there is low confidence during this period. The rest of the period will probably have some unsettled spells again with further bouts of wind and rain moving in from the west across most regions. Temperatures will probably be around average for the time of year, or slightly below, with night frosts probably becoming widespread during quieter drier spells.

Tuesday 12 Nov - Tuesday 26 Nov

Through this period confidence is low. However, unsettled conditions look more likely, giving showers or longer spells of rain, with snow possible at times on high ground in the north. Some more settled spells are possible, with driest conditions most likely to be in the north and northwest of the UK. Through mid to late November we may see a change to more frequent west or southwesterly winds with wetter conditions in the west and drier spells in the east. Although temperatures may be below average at first, they are expected to become near average through mid to late November, with more in the way of mild spells.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

[Summer Sun]

Sunday 3 Nov - Tuesday 12 Nov

Sunday is looking very unsettled with rain and showers, heavy in places, pushing across the UK with a few limited drier spells in-between. A windy day with gales, especially in the far southwest and northeast. Through the following week the unsettled theme continues with further areas of rain for most parts interspersed with some drier and brighter spells. It may become drier and cooler at times in the far north, allowing any rain arriving from the south, to turn wintry over northern hills. The unsettled weather is likely to erratically clear southeastwards towards the end of the week, to perhaps become more settled by the following weekend, perhaps lasting until the end of the period. Temperatures mainly cooler than average normal, exacerbated by the wind and rain at times.

Wednesday 13 Nov - Wednesday 27 Nov

Through mid to late November confidence remains very low. The period may start more settled with colder, dry weather and widespread overnight frosts. If it has not already happened, signals are that a switch to more frequent west and southwesterly winds is most likely to occur, which would bring more unsettled conditions across the country once again. This would mean wetter conditions, especially in the west of the UK where there is also a potential for gales. The east will see the best of any drier weather. Temperatures may start below average at the start of the period but warming up slightly by the end of the month with more in the way of mild spells.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

[Don]

6 hours ago, Summer Sun said:Temperatures may start below average at the start of the period but warming up slightly by the end of the month with more in the way of mild spells.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

Setting us up nicely for winter!

[Summer Sun]

Monday 4 Nov - Wednesday 13 Nov

Monday is looking very unsettled with patchy rain and showers, heavy in places, pushing across the UK with a few drier spells in between. A windy day with gales, especially in northern and eastern areas. Through the following week, the unsettled theme continues with further outbreaks of rain for most parts interspersed with some drier and brighter spells. It may become drier and cooler at times in the far north, allowing any rain to turn wintry over northern hills. The unsettled weather is likely to erratically clear southeastwards towards the end of the week, to perhaps become more settled by the following weekend, perhaps lasting until the end of the period. Temperatures mainly cooler than average normal, exacerbated by the wind and rain at times.

Wednesday 13 Nov - Wednesday 27 Nov

Through mid to late November confidence remains very low. The period may start more settled with colder, dry weather and widespread overnight frosts. If it has not already happened, signals are that a switch to more frequent west and southwesterly winds is most likely to occur, which would bring more unsettled conditions across the country once again. This would mean wetter conditions, especially in the west of the UK where there is also a potential for gales. The east will see the best of any drier weather. Temperatures may start below average at the start of the period but warming up slightly by the end of the month with more in the way of mild spells.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

[Summer Sun]

Tuesday 5 Nov - Thursday 14 Nov

Tuesday is looking rather unsettled with patchy rain and showers, some heavy, for much of the UK. The worst of the weather looks to be in the southeast with drier conditions further north with a few showers. It will be rather cold for most and remaining breezy. Looking further ahead, the unsettled theme continues with further outbreaks of rain for most parts interspersed with drier and brighter spells. The far north may become drier and cooler at times with some wintry showers over northern hills. The changeable weather is likely to clear southeastwards towards the end of the week leaving more settled conditions for the following weekend, perhaps lasting until the end of the period. Temperatures a little lower than average, exacerbated by the wind and rain at times.

Friday 15 Nov - Friday 29 Nov

Through mid to late November, confidence remains very low. The period may start more settled with cold, dry weather and widespread overnight frosts. More changeable conditions may occur in the latter part of the period in alignment with a switch to more frequent west and southwesterly winds over the UK. This could bring more unsettled weather, especially to western parts where there could be the possibility of gales. The east looks like it may see the best of any drier weather, though probably staying windy. Although temperatures are more likely to be below average at the start of the period, they are expected to come near average towards the end of the month with more in the way of mild spells.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

[Summer Sun]

Wednesday 6 Nov - Friday 15 Nov

Overnight frost and light winds on Wednesday. It will be dry and bright for most with scattered showers along northern and eastern coasts. A band of rain and windy conditions should move in from the west through the day. Some snow possible on northern hills.Looking further ahead, the unsettled theme continues with further outbreaks of rain for most parts interspersed with drier and brighter spells. The far north may become drier and cooler at times with some wintry showers over northern hills. The changeable weather is likely to clear southeastwards towards the end of the week leaving more settled conditions for the following weekend, perhaps lasting until the end of the period. Temperatures a little lower than average, exacerbated by the wind and rain at times.

Saturday 16 Nov - Saturday 30 Nov

Through mid to late November, confidence remains very low. The period may start more settled with cold, dry weather and widespread overnight frosts. More changeable conditions may occur in the latter part of the period in alignment with a switch to more frequent west and southwesterly winds over the UK. This could bring more unsettled weather, especially to western parts where there could be the possibility of gales. The east looks like it may see the best of any drier weather, though probably staying windy. Although temperatures are more likely to be below average at the start of the period, they are expected to come near average towards the end of the month with more in the way of mild spells.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

[northwestsnow]

Little change.

Seems the UK will get some settled cold frosty weather this November which is a nice bonus.

Coldies hope the extended forecast for later in Nov changes soon.

[Don]

5 hours ago, northwestsnow said:

Little change.

Seems the UK will get some settled cold frosty weather this November which is a nice bonus.

Coldies hope the extended forecast for later in Nov changes soon.

Indeed as the seasonal models remain adamant for a mild/zonal winter.....

[DAVID SNOW]

Met office went for a mild if not very mild Autumn.......

Hope they continue this for the winter......

[Mapantz]

4 minutes ago, DAVID SNOW said:

Met office went for a mild if not very mild Autumn.......

Hope they continue this for the winter......

Well, it hasn't been cold, has it?

[Jordan S]

8 minutes ago, DAVID SNOW said:

Met office went for a mild if not very mild Autumn.......

Hope they continue this for the winter......

Doesn't quite work like that.. 

[DAVID SNOW]

11 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

Well, it hasn't been cold, has it?

Has Autumn so far, that being September and October been very mild, mild, average or below?

[DAVID SNOW]

10 minutes ago, jordan smith said:

Doesn't quite work like that.. 

What doesn't

[Mapantz]

6 minutes ago, DAVID SNOW said:

Has Autumn so far, that being September and October been very mild, mild, average or below?

It has been above average here. What about your stats?

As I said to you in the other thread.. the Met Office didn't forecast a 'very mild' Autumn. You take the contingency planning forecast the wrong way and come up with your own conclusion.

[feb1991blizzard]

1 minute ago, Mapantz said:

It has been above average here. What about your stats?

As I said to you in the other thread.. the Met Office didn't forecast a 'very mild' Autumn. You take the contingency planning forecast the wrong way and come up with your own conclusion.

No, they forecast with a high degree of confidence that it would fall into their coldest category available in their method, it will now more than likely fall into the average category.

[Mapantz]

3 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:

No, they forecast with a high degree of confidence that it would fall into their coldest category available in their method, it will now more than likely fall into the average category.

Coldest? lol

You're just making it up now..

[Jordan S]

15 minutes ago, DAVID SNOW said:

What doesn't

Well your comment seems to suggest that because temperatures in your opinion have been cold this autumn as opposed to met offices mild forecast then winter will follow the same but that's not how it works that's all. Just saying.

Edited November 1, 2019 by jordan smith

[Mike Poole]

3 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:

No, they forecast with a high degree of confidence that it would fall into their coldest category available in their method, it will now more than likely fall into the average category.

Warmest, surely?

[DAVID SNOW]

6 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

It has been above average here. What about your stats?

As I said to you in the other thread.. the Met Office didn't forecast a 'very mild' Autumn. You take the contingency planning forecast the wrong way and come up with your own conclusion.

Central England Temperature.

[Don]

4 minutes ago, Mike Poole said:

Warmest, surely?

I think he meant to say warmest!

[feb1991blizzard]

7 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

Coldest? lol

You're just making it up now..

Warmest sorry