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Meto Uk Further Outlook

Stuart

By Stuart
in Spring Weather Discussion

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Southender Seasoned

Southender

Posted
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea, South East Essex.
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea, South East Essex.
Posted (edited)
11 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

I've always thought that Scandinavia was NW Europe...? Perhaps they really mean Greenland?:yahoo:

Fair comment. I guess they mean towards us and Iceland....Which I think is classed as part of Europe! 

But yes hints of retrogression that way it seems, week 2-3 of Feb. Lets hope so....

Edited by Southender
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Summer Sun Maestro

Summer Sun

Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington
Posted

UK Outlook for Thursday 14 Feb 2019 to Thursday 28 Feb 2019:

Generally cold conditions are often likely to dominate the weather through mid to late February, however confidence is low. The weather is likely to be a mixture of cold wintry, showery days and more mobile days with Atlantic fronts bringing rain across the UK, and occasional milder interludes remain possible. Towards late February there is the possibility of a colder, more easterly flow developing, though the signal for this has decreased in recent days.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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Summer Sun Maestro

Summer Sun

Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington
Posted

UK Outlook for Monday 4 Feb 2019 to Wednesday 13 Feb 2019:

Rain and hill snow will clear later on Monday, however further rain, sleet and snow will possibly arrive from the west on Tuesday. It will stay mostly cold, with frost and ice likely overnight. Thereafter, it is likely to stay changeable, with further spells of rain, sleet and snow interspersed by sunshine and showers. The wind will be brisk at times, with gales around exposed coasts and over higher ground. After a cold start to February, temperatures may temporarily return closer to normal, although further colder interludes are still possible. Overnight frosts are still likely to be widespread and towards the end of this period there is a greater chance of it becoming even colder.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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Decemberof2010 Seasoned

Decemberof2010

Posted
  • Location: Leeds
  • Weather Preferences: Bitter Cold in winter and Extreme heat in summer
  • Location: Leeds
Posted (edited)

:clap:The words even colder moving back into the further outlook

 

EDIT: after then reading the 16-30 dayer:wallbash:

Edited by Decemberof2010
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ICE COLD Maestro

ICE COLD

Posted
  • Location: Hertfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW AND FREEZING TEMPS
  • Location: Hertfordshire
Posted
2 minutes ago, Decemberof2010 said:

The words even colder moving back into the further outlook

Yes great news .

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feb1991blizzard Maestro

feb1991blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
Posted

The 30 dayer is a downgrade though - chance of an Easterly now late Feb, we will get an Easterly at some point - probably July, when we don't want one as that would bring heat then.

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ICE COLD Maestro

ICE COLD

Posted
  • Location: Hertfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW AND FREEZING TEMPS
  • Location: Hertfordshire
Posted (edited)
3 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:

The 30 dayer is a downgrade though - chance of an Easterly now late Feb, we will get an Easterly at some point - probably July, when we don't want one as that would bring heat then.

Yer it’s strange it says chance of even colder on this one but the longer one is a bit meh ?? Confused. Com 

Edited by ICE COLD
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ICE COLD Maestro

ICE COLD

Posted
  • Location: Hertfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW AND FREEZING TEMPS
  • Location: Hertfordshire
Posted
1 minute ago, cobbett said:

ah well the optimistic updates had to end sometime !

It’s strange because the the further outlook up to the 13th says there is an increased chance of even colder weather ?? 

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bluearmy Maestro

bluearmy

Posted
  • Location: st albans
  • Location: st albans
Posted

looks to me like they see the Canadian vortex persisting and keeping the northern arm strong. glosea must have lost its downwelling signal strength for later in feb over recent runs …….. could return ...

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MATTWOLVES 3 Maestro

MATTWOLVES 3

Posted
  • Location: Sedgley 175metres above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Any kind of extremes. But the more snow the better.
  • Location: Sedgley 175metres above sea level
Posted

Yeh, bizarre!! They state greater chance of much colder later in the period, then play it down a bit in the extended, blatantly obvious they ain't got a clue, on a positive note though, colder shots a plenty, so gonna be a continued risk of snow at times 

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ICE COLD Maestro

ICE COLD

Posted
  • Location: Hertfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW AND FREEZING TEMPS
  • Location: Hertfordshire
Posted
1 minute ago, bluearmy said:

looks to me like they see the Canadian vortex persisting and keeping the northern arm strong. glosea must have lost its downwelling signal strength for later in feb over recent runs …….. could return ...

Yes that’s true but why does it say greater chance of cold on the update up to the 13th Nick ?? 

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cobbett Rising Star

cobbett

Posted
  • Location: Wyck Nr Alton- Hants
  • Location: Wyck Nr Alton- Hants
Posted
3 minutes ago, ICE COLD said:

It’s strange because the the further outlook up to the 13th says there is an increased chance of even colder weather ?? 

Suppose as this is 2 weeks away it should be classed as low confidence anyway. Still at least its not showing raging south westerlies !

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March Enthusiast

March

Posted
  • Location: Ouse Valley, N. Bedfordshire. 48m asl.
  • Location: Ouse Valley, N. Bedfordshire. 48m asl.
Posted

How is there confusion? The forecasts cover 2 different time periods!

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Don Maestro

Don

Posted
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
Posted (edited)

As thought, cold spells similar to this current one look likely through February with some short lived snowfalls for some.  That’s about as good as it gets for now.

PS

It seems that as the BBC monthly upgrades the chance of cold, the Metoffice backs away?

Edited by Don
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Don Maestro

Don

Posted
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
Posted
32 minutes ago, bluearmy said:

looks to me like they see the Canadian vortex persisting and keeping the northern arm strong. glosea must have lost its downwelling signal strength for later in feb over recent runs …….. could return ...

Hopefully but I’m doubtful.

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Penicuikblizzard Experienced

Penicuikblizzard

Posted
  • Location: Straiton 145m asl
  • Location: Straiton 145m asl
Posted
53 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

UK Outlook for Thursday 14 Feb 2019 to Thursday 28 Feb 2019:

Generally cold conditions are often likely to dominate the weather through mid to late February, however confidence is low. The weather is likely to be a mixture of cold wintry, showery days and more mobile days with Atlantic fronts bringing rain across the UK, and occasional milder interludes remain possible. Towards late February there is the possibility of a colder, more easterly flow developing, though the signal for this has decreased in recent days.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

At last!!!! A more realistic forecast 

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O'Maille80 Enthusiast

O'Maille80

Posted
  • Location: Kildare, Ireland. 76m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Warm Summer. Snowy Winter.
  • Location: Kildare, Ireland. 76m asl
Posted

Just as the models start to hint at an easterly the Met Office downgrade. Ever get the feeling you're been taken for a ride?

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Don Maestro

Don

Posted
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
Posted (edited)
3 minutes ago, O'Maille80 said:

Just as the models start to hint at an easterly the Met Office downgrade. Ever get the feeling you're been taken for a ride?

Weather forecasting for you!  Having a break from the weather models at the moment.

Edited by Don
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Wimbledon88 Seasoned

Wimbledon88

Posted
  • Location: Wimbledon,SW London
  • Location: Wimbledon,SW London
Posted
On 29/01/2019 at 13:36, lassie23 said:

had two days of cold lol

You only had two days of cold?? 

We had three days down here in South London. Tuesday to Friday afternoon. 2cm of snow. Amazing it was.  

It was truly memorable. Not! 

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Methuselah Maestro

Methuselah

Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
Posted

No need to fret, peeps: It's coming! as the Met Office forecaster said to the actress...

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