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Meto Uk Further Outlook

Stuart

By Stuart
in Spring Weather Discussion

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karyo Maestro

karyo

Posted
  • Location: Brighton (currently)
  • Location: Brighton (currently)
Posted
36 minutes ago, Don said:

Not looked at the models today but judging by some comments here would suggest they have not been great this morning?

Basically, they look less cold than yesterday with plenty of Atlantic driven weather. 

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Don Maestro

Don

Posted
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
Posted
59 minutes ago, karyo said:

Basically, they look less cold than yesterday with plenty of Atlantic driven weather. 

The saga continues.........

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Don Maestro

Don

Posted
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
Posted
1 hour ago, Bristle boy said:

Not for long. Any potential will fizzle out.

See you in November then! 

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Summer Sun Maestro

Summer Sun

Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington
Posted

UK Outlook for Sunday 20 Jan 2019 to Tuesday 29 Jan 2019:

Sunday will be cold across the UK, but for many it will be dry; brightest in the southeast. Some light rain or sleet is possible in the southwest at first; then a band of rain, sleet and snow is likely to spread across the northwest later, moving erratically southeast. Overnight frost and freezing fog patches are likely overnight into Monday. Cold weather is likely to continue through mid-week, remaining unsettled and at times windy with fronts spreading southeast across the UK bringing rain, sleet and snow. Snow is most likely over north and eastern areas and over high ground. Similar cold conditions are likely to remain in place until the end of the period, interspersed with brighter showery spells, although these could also be wintry. Overnight frosts will remain likely.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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Summer Sun Maestro

Summer Sun

Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington
Posted

UK Outlook for Wednesday 30 Jan 2019 to Wednesday 13 Feb 2019:

Cold but changeable conditions will be in place at the start of the extended outlook with spells of strong winds and rain, turning to snow at times. Overnight frosts are likely and snow, mainly over higher ground in the north, but with an increased risk to lower levels. The details of any disruptive snow remains uncertain. Milder, wetter interludes are possible, most likely in the south but with these comes an increased risk of snow and ice further north.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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feb1991blizzard Maestro

feb1991blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
Posted (edited)

Knew it once that damn glosea had backtracked - we need another SSW in mid feb now with a quick downwelling so we can have another crack late Feb / Early March.

Edited by feb1991blizzard
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karyo Maestro

karyo

Posted
  • Location: Brighton (currently)
  • Location: Brighton (currently)
Posted
5 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:

GAME OVER!

 

 

It is not that bad. It goes for a wintry mix rather than snow nirvana which is realistic given the lack of deep cold in what the models are showing.

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feb1991blizzard Maestro

feb1991blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
Posted
Just now, karyo said:

It is not that bad. It goes for a wintry mix rather than snow nirvana which is realistic given the lack of deep cold in what the models are showing.

No Greenland block - still think an outside chance of Scandi block in Feb but it will need to start showing in next weeks modelling or the upper westerlies in the strat will downwell and tha twill be the end barring another strat split / warming.

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Neiller22 Community Regular

Neiller22

Posted
  • Location: Castlereagh hills. 160m asl.
  • Location: Castlereagh hills. 160m asl.
Posted (edited)

It’s why I literally for for years Have paid no attention to their long range forecasts. They change with the wind and are utterly pointless. Ok for the north but a shocking update for the south. 

Edited by Neiller22
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karyo Maestro

karyo

Posted
  • Location: Brighton (currently)
  • Location: Brighton (currently)
Posted
1 minute ago, feb1991blizzard said:

No Greenland block - still think an outside chance of Scandi block in Feb but it will need to start showing in next weeks modelling or the upper westerlies in the strat will downwell and tha twill be the end barring another strat split / warming.

It will be a hard kick where it hurts if the upper westerlies downwell quickly after the SSW taken forever to downwell. It is possible though.

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Sceptical Veteran

Sceptical

Posted
  • Location: Alford, Aberdeenshire.
  • Location: Alford, Aberdeenshire.
Posted
Just now, Neiller22 said:

It’s why I literally why for years I  pay no attention to their long range forecasts. They change with the wind and are utterly pointless. Ok for the north but a shocking update for the south. 

Agreed, any UK forecast greater than 3 days, I tend to ignore.

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feb1991blizzard Maestro

feb1991blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
Posted
Just now, karyo said:

It will be a hard kick where it hurts if the upper westerlies downwell quickly after the SSW taken forever to downwell. It is possible though.

they already are showing downwelling in the modelling but there is a missing blank still over scandi, could easily translate to a scandi block in the trop, problem is the canadian segment will still be strong so threrefore could just keep the cold air too far east.

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Weathizard Accomplished

Weathizard

Posted
  • Location: Brighton, East Sussex
  • Location: Brighton, East Sussex
Posted (edited)
15 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:

GAME OVER!

 

 

What a drama queen jesus. Still absolutely cracks me up how people take these updates like they are from the gods and they’ve already decided the weather, utter nonsense

Edited by Weathizard
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northwestsnow Maestro

northwestsnow

Posted
  • Location: Scouthead Oldham 295mASL
  • Location: Scouthead Oldham 295mASL
Posted
15 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:

GAME OVER!

 

 

It isn't game over mate, keep composed

You are in the north with decent altitude so you should do very well in a cold cyclonic set up..

They have mentioned disruptive snow possible which is an upgrade in one sense, lets see how the 12zs look and re assess tomorrow ..

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Polar Maritime Maestro

Polar Maritime

Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
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Posted

Looks absolutely fine to me..

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weirpig Maestro

weirpig

Posted
  • Location: Kensington
  • Location: Kensington
Posted
2 minutes ago, abbie123 said:

How is it game over 

Its not.  Its just the Met office havnt issued a forecast for siberian like conditions that will last till June.  

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Neiller22 Community Regular

Neiller22

Posted
  • Location: Castlereagh hills. 160m asl.
  • Location: Castlereagh hills. 160m asl.
Posted
1 minute ago, abbie123 said:

How is it game over 

Because that update is a huge downgrade from yesterday. That’s just normal winter fair. Possible rain, sleet snow mainly high ground but possible Low ground. Gone is cold or very cold weather expected along with enhanced risk of frost and snow. It’s miles different and a shocking update for the south. The north maybe a bit of snow but more so on hills. 

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feb1991blizzard Maestro

feb1991blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
Posted

You can just tell by the modelling with that PV - it wont be shifted and will just mean mid latt highs - garbage slush fest 2 inches events don't float my boat.

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Neiller22 Community Regular

Neiller22

Posted
  • Location: Castlereagh hills. 160m asl.
  • Location: Castlereagh hills. 160m asl.
Posted
Just now, feb1991blizzard said:

You can just tell by the modelling with that PV - it wont be shifted and will just mean mid latt highs - garbage slush fest 2 inches events don't float my boat.

100% agree. Why are people trying to sugar coat it. It’s a woeful update 

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