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Meto Uk Further Outlook


Stuart
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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    UK Outlook for Monday 14 Jan 2019 to Wednesday 23 Jan 2019:

    After a colder, brighter interlude for many areas on Monday, a return to milder, cloudier conditions is expected by early Tuesday. Through Tuesday, rain and strong winds will move into the northwest, with gale force winds possible in the northeast. Generally rather unsettled conditions are likely to continue for the rest of the period, with spells of rain interspersed with colder, showery weather. Snow is likely on northern hills, and perhaps to lower levels in the far north. The best of any drier and brighter interludes will be towards the south. Temperatures overall will be close to the seasonal average, but from late next week onwards there is a greater chance of cold spells giving more widespread frosts and an enhanced risk of snow, especially in the north and east.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    UK Outlook for Thursday 24 Jan 2019 to Thursday 7 Feb 2019:

    During the last week of January and into early February, there is an increased likelihood of cold conditions being established generally across all of the UK. This would bring an enhanced risk of snow and widespread frost, especially in the north. These notably colder conditions are by no means certain though, and even if they do occur, they will probably still be interspersed with some milder, wetter and windier interludes, especially for the south.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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    Posted
  • Location: Royston , Herts
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW
  • Location: Royston , Herts
    1 minute ago, Summer Sun said:

    UK Outlook for Monday 14 Jan 2019 to Wednesday 23 Jan 2019:

    After a colder, brighter interlude for many areas on Monday, a return to milder, cloudier conditions is expected by early Tuesday. Through Tuesday, rain and strong winds will move into the northwest, with gale force winds possible in the northeast. Generally rather unsettled conditions are likely to continue for the rest of the period, with spells of rain interspersed with colder, showery weather. Snow is likely on northern hills, and perhaps to lower levels in the far north. The best of any drier and brighter interludes will be towards the south. Temperatures overall will be close to the seasonal average, but from late next week onwards there is a greater chance of cold spells giving more widespread frosts and an enhanced risk of snow, especially in the north and east.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

    Upgrade ?

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    Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.

    No change, Very good...

    Edited by Polar Maritime
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    Posted
  • Location: Aberporth S W Wales
  • Location: Aberporth S W Wales

    Good for the North...Doesn't exactly hint at a cold blocked pattern with wet and milder interludes in the south, in fact sounds pretty much as the latter part of GFS runs have been showing for days now. 

     

    Quote

    These notably colder conditions are by no means certain though, and even if they do occur, they will probably still be interspersed with some milder, wetter and windier interludes, especially for the south.

     

    Edited by KTtom
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    Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
    3 minutes ago, KTtom said:

    Good for the North...Doesn't exactly hint at a cold blocked pattern with wet and milder interludes in the south, in fact sounds pretty much as the latter part of GFS runs have been showing for days now. 

    Really? 

    Quote

    During the last week of January and into early February, there is an increased likelihood of cold conditions being established generally across all of the UK

    Not how i read it..... 

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    Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
    12 minutes ago, ICE COLD said:

    The meto further ahead is good too ?

    That is the meto further ahead.

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    4 minutes ago, KTtom said:

    Good for the North...Doesn't exactly hint at a cold blocked pattern with wet and milder interludes in the south, in fact sounds pretty much as the latter part of GFS runs have been showing for days now. 

    Excatly ktom good for north but for the rest of uk it’s a poor update oh well good luck to northern folks 

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    Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
    1 minute ago, karlos1983 said:

    Really? 

    Not how i read it..... 

    In fact you could argue it could be brilliant for the South, snow events as milder air pushes in.

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    Posted
  • Location: Royston , Herts
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW
  • Location: Royston , Herts
    2 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:

    That is the meto further ahead.

    This one feb upto day 16 

    2E533E10-9DB5-4DEC-8FFC-1D212EC48482.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Aberporth S W Wales
  • Location: Aberporth S W Wales

    Cherry picking again @karlos1983

     

    Quote

    ''These notably colder conditions are by no means certain though, and even if they do occur, they will probably still be interspersed with some milder, wetter and windier interludes, especially for the south.''

     

    Edited by KTtom
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    Posted
  • Location: Orpington Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Snow freezing rain heat waves
  • Location: Orpington Kent
    1 minute ago, KTtom said:

    Cherry picking again Karlos!

     

     

    Yes all looking very good now for U.K. To go in to freezer happy days 

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    Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
    8 minutes ago, KTtom said:

    Cherry picking again Karlos!

     

     

    Cherry picking again? More like Quoting facts rather than the conjecture of your post!

    Who cares about an interlude anyway..... I'll often have a Lager between Whiskey shots ? 

    Edited by karlos1983
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    Posted
  • Location: ramsgate 42m asl
  • Location: ramsgate 42m asl
    19 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

    Happy with that!

    ?

    yes everybody up north is happy with that but the way I read it , it does mention that us down south will possibly have mlider wetter interludes, no change there then?

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    Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
    Just now, MattStoke said:

    ‘....especially for the south’.

    Sounds like the risk of sliders to me.

    probably especially..... almost an oxymoron ? 

    If sliders are all that's on offer (I don't think that's the case), I'll take that at the end of Jan/early Feb. Much better chance of delivering the goods compared to December 2017, which was too early in the season.

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    Posted
  • Location: Gourock, Scotland
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms, Severe Gales, Hot & Sunny or Cold & Sunny!
  • Location: Gourock, Scotland

    Oooooft that is a bobby dazzler of an update for here! (Scotland)

    Surely the majority of the UK and Ireland will be building a snowman soon? ❄️☃️

    Bring it onnnnnn! Yaaaaaassss! ?

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    Posted
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level

    Clearly they still expecting PM transitioning to High lat blocking and a bone fida cold spell..

    Think we would all be happy with that.

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    Posted
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
    37 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

    probably especially..... almost an oxymoron ? 

    If sliders are all that's on offer (I don't think that's the case), I'll take that at the end of Jan/early Feb. Much better chance of delivering the goods compared to December 2017, which was too early in the season.

    December 2017 sure delivered here ?. I think my family in London saw some snow but it was more marginal.

    This MO update and the ECM seasonal model charts suggest a risk of low pressure pushing up from the south at times, into the cold air. Good setup for battleground snow events. 

    Edited by MattStoke
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    Posted
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, Bristol
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, Bristol
    1 hour ago, feb1991blizzard said:

    In fact you could argue it could be brilliant for the South, snow events as milder air pushes in.

    My interpretation FWIW is that it points more to a NW flow, with the South's weather being influenced, at times, by the HP to the S West. So South less cold and the North colder with snow shower potential.

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    Posted
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire

    Not sure what to make of that update.  Clearly good for the northern half of the country but looks knife edge for the south.  However, there is potential for this to work on our favour at times.

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