Jump to content
Thunder?
Local
Radar
Pollen

Meto Uk Further Outlook


Stuart
 Share

Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: Essex Riviera aka Burnham
  • Weather Preferences: 30 Degrees of pure British Celsius
  • Location: Essex Riviera aka Burnham
    8 minutes ago, Northern Sky said:

    Does anyone take note of how accurate these forecasts are? I just wondered if you went back a month and compared the forecast to the actual weather we got, what the success rate is - in broad terms of course.

    Well that's true but...they did say they generally had not much confidence and as we all know Atlantic conditions on a prevailing jet stream is easier 'to pin down' and to forecast into the foreseeable than cold/blocked conditions!

    Edited by Froze were the Days
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Spotted a post you think may be an issue? Please help the team by reporting it.
    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    UK Outlook for Monday 3 Dec 2018 to Wednesday 12 Dec 2018:

    Monday and Tuesday look generally unsettled with rain and mild temperatures in the south, and some brighter, colder, more showery weather affecting the north. Gales are possible in places. Some frost is expected in the north, and the Scottish mountains could have some snow. The rest of the period is likely to see a more changeable pattern becoming established, with some longer spells of dry, albeit colder weather developing. The east and southeast should see the best of the drier conditions, with overnight frost and fog, whilst spells of wet and windy weather become more confined towards the west and northwest, with further hill snow in Scotland. There is a very low likelihood of a cold northerly pattern developing instead, in which snow showers could affect northern and eastern parts.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    UK Outlook for Thursday 13 Dec 2018 to Thursday 27 Dec 2018:

    The first few days of this period are likely to see an east to west split. Some wet and possibly windy weather is likely in the west, with the east having generally drier weather with some fog, frost and possibly some snow showers too. The second half of December looks most likely to see a return to generally more unsettled weather. Spells of rain and strong winds are set to spread across the British Isles from the west, although remaining most active across western and north-western areas. Temperatures may begin relatively mild in the west and southwest, but colder towards the east, perhaps becoming normal to mild across all parts for the second half of the month.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Darlington 63 m or 206ft above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Storms, Snow Thunder, Supercells, all weather extremes
  • Location: Darlington 63 m or 206ft above sea level

    Battleground scenario maybe 

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
    1 hour ago, Essex snowman said:

    I NEED HELP TO STAND UP FINALLY A GOOD UPDATE ESPECIALLY FOR EASTERN AREAS AND WORD SNOW ALL LOOKING GOOD NOW WINTER TO ARRIVE MID DECEMBER 

    Do you originally hale from Luton?

     

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    UK Outlook for Tuesday 4 Dec 2018 to Thursday 13 Dec 2018:

    Tuesday and Wednesday look fairly unsettled with rain in the south where generally mild, and brighter, cooler and showery weather affecting the north. Gales are possible in places. Some frost is expected in the north, and the Scottish mountains could have some snow. The rest of the period is likely to see a more changeable pattern becoming established, with most places seeing some rainfall, but a lower likelihood of the longer spells of fine, dry weather between systems than previously suggested. As rainbands move into colder air, there is the increased chance of snow, mainly on northern hills. Northerly winds following rain-bearing systems could bring snow showers to northern parts at times. Temperatures generally around normal to above average in any windier and wetter spells.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

    Edited by Summer Sun
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    UK Outlook for Friday 14 Dec 2018 to Friday 28 Dec 2018:

    The first few days of this period are likely to see an east to west split. Some wet and possibly windy weather is likely in the west, with the east having generally drier weather with some fog, frost and possibly some snow showers too. The second half of December looks most likely to see a return to generally more unsettled weather. Spells of rain and strong winds are set to spread across the British Isles from the west, although remaining most active across western and northwestern areas. The start of the period may be relatively mild in the west and southwest, but colder towards the east, perhaps becoming milder across all parts for the second half of the month.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level
    6 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

    UK Outlook for Tuesday 4 Dec 2018 to Thursday 13 Dec 2018:

    Tuesday and Wednesday look fairly unsettled with rain in the south where generally mild, and brighter, cooler and showery weather affecting the north. Gales are possible in places. Some frost is expected in the north, and the Scottish mountains could have some snow. The rest of the period is likely to see a more changeable pattern becoming established, with most places seeing some rainfall, but a lower likelihood of the longer spells of fine, dry weather between systems than previously suggested. As rainbands move into colder air, there is the increased chance of snow, mainly on northern hills. Northerly winds following rain-bearing systems could bring snow showers to northern parts at times. Temperatures generally around normal to above average in any windier and wetter spells.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

    Upgrade!!

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level
    1 minute ago, Don said:

    I don’t know about that?

    Sorry Don i should have qualified that with the caveat if you live in the north with altitude. ?

    • Thanks 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Medlock Valley, Oldham, 103 metres/337 feet asl.
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and/or snow in Winter and thunderstorms any time of the year.
  • Location: Medlock Valley, Oldham, 103 metres/337 feet asl.
    49 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

    Upgrade!!

    I'm not really a fan of Northerlies as being near the centre of the UK they usually mean cold and sun(unless there's embedded troughs) meanwhile places like Braemar and Tomintoul get a tonking. 

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Sedgley Black country 731ft 222 metres
  • Location: Sedgley Black country 731ft 222 metres
    48 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

    Sorry Don i should have qualified that with the caveat if you live in the north with altitude. ?

    Yep  awaiting the phrase M4 

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    UK Outlook for Wednesday 5 Dec 2018 to Friday 14 Dec 2018:

    Southeastern parts of the UK may start wet on Wednesday, but rain will clear, with most areas becoming dry and bright. This will lead to a cold night and a widespread frost to start Thursday, but many will begin bright before wet and windy weather arrives later. Thereafter, for the remainder of this period it is likely to be more unsettled with further spells of wet and windy weather, interspersed by drier, brighter and showery interludes. Rain will be heavy at times, particularly in western and southwestern areas. Gales are likely at times, and overall temperatures will probably average out on the mild side for most, with any colder spells confined to the north. Later in this period it may turn less unsettled with some longer drier interludes.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    UK Outlook for Saturday 15 Dec 2018 to Saturday 29 Dec 2018:

    As we head into the middle of December there are signs that it will turn unsettled again with more generally wet and windy weather affecting the UK. This will bring heavy rain and gales or severe gales, with a chance that it may even turn stormy at times. Overall, it is likely to be mild across much of the country with snow tending to be confined to hills in the north. However, in any drier interludes it will turn colder.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Darlington 63 m or 206ft above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Storms, Snow Thunder, Supercells, all weather extremes
  • Location: Darlington 63 m or 206ft above sea level

    ??

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    7 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

    UK Outlook for Saturday 15 Dec 2018 to Saturday 29 Dec 2018:

    As we head into the middle of December there are signs that it will turn unsettled again with more generally wet and windy weather affecting the UK. This will bring heavy rain and gales or severe gales, with a chance that it may even turn stormy at times. Overall, it is likely to be mild across much of the country with snow tending to be confined to hills in the north. However, in any drier interludes it will turn colder.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

    Dreadful update oh dear I’m resigning myself to a bitter January and February now merry Xmas to all posters 

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.

    I suspect that that update will be pretty much 'on the money'...I hope not, but any evidence pointing to the contrary, is scant indeed. As far as snow/cold are concerned, very little in the way of interest??

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level

    Gawd that is a horrendous update..

    Sounds like 2014, gulp.

    I'm not buying it though, i think it will change for the better.

    Edited by northwestsnow
    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Cowbridge
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, cold snowy winters, thunderstorms
  • Location: Cowbridge

    Tbh I would take any long range outlook with a pinch of salt at the moment. The met office the other day were saying it would turn colder with frost and fog. That is yet to happen. Then there could be snow showers and colder in the east and North. That has now changed to this. Their updates changes as often as the ECM and GFS models lol. Weather is hard to predict that far ahead:-). A cold spell could come out of the blue anytime. All we can do is watch and wait ?

     

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Live Haddenham (Bucks). Work Heathrow Airport
  • Location: Live Haddenham (Bucks). Work Heathrow Airport

    Ties with ECM monthly update. My favourite whether type after cold and snow is wet and windy, so all is not lost for me personally LOL. 

     

     

    Edited by No Balls Like Snow Balls
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Create an account or sign in to comment

    You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

    Create an account

    Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

    Register a new account

    Sign in

    Already have an account? Sign in here.

    Sign In Now
     Share

    ×
    ×
    • Create New...