Meto Uk Further Outlook

[feb1991blizzard]

GET IN!!
 

[ICE COLD]

1 minute ago, feb1991blizzard said:

GET IN!!
 

Come on feb , what is so excitable?

[feb1991blizzard]

1 minute ago, ICE COLD said:

Come on feb , what is so excitable?

They are talking generally colder as opposed to dryer and colder or coldish short lived spells.

[ICE COLD]

3 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:

They are talking generally colder as opposed to dryer and colder or coldish short lived spells.

Ok got ya . @Glacier Point must of had a say in the outlook . . He seems quite confident around the middle to end of December. Let’s hope he’s on it . 

[matt111]

Yes the bit that mentioned generally colder interested me. While obviously said without any certainly that far ahead, there must’ve been some increase in confidence of something colder for them to put that at the end. 

Edited November 23, 2018 by matt111

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Thursday 29 Nov 2018 to Saturday 8 Dec 2018:

Early rain clearing away to the east, then Thursday will see a mixture of sunshine and blustery showers for many. The showers will be heaviest and most frequent in the southwest, especially later in the day. Winds generally fresh to strong with risk of gales or severe gales in the north and west. Showers or longer spells of rain clearing east on Friday, but generally dry and bright elsewhere. The unsettled weather will probably continue into the weekend, with showers or longer spells of rain, with bright or sunny spells in between. It will stay generally windy with temperatures a touch above normal for some. Further unsettled and milder weather is possible through the first week of December, however it looks like things should start to turn drier and colder.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Sunday 9 Dec 2018 to Sunday 23 Dec 2018:

Any more unsettled weather at the start of this period is likely to be quite short-lived. The weather is then expected to turn calmer and more settled, but this will bring increased likelihood of fog, especially later in the month. Temperatures will probably be around average at first, with a few milder days but also some overnight frosts under clearer skies. Things may then start to turn generally colder later in the period.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Friday 30 Nov 2018 to Sunday 9 Dec 2018:

Friday will remain unsettled with a mixture of bright or sunny spells and showers. Showers could be heavy and perhaps thundery and most frequent in the north and west. The southeast will most likely see the best of any drier and brighter skies. It will stay windy, with gales in the north and west. The unsettled weather will probably continue into the weekend, with showers or longer spells of rain, with bright or sunny spells in between. It will stay generally windy with temperatures a touch above normal for some. Further unsettled and milder weather is possible through the first week of December, however it looks like things should start to turn drier and colder towards the following weekend.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Monday 10 Dec 2018 to Monday 24 Dec 2018:

Should the unsettled weather prior to this period continue, it is likely to be quite short-lived. The weather is then expected to turn calmer and more settled, but this will bring an increased likelihood of fog, especially later in the month. Temperatures may start off around average at first, but are likely to trend to colder than average. This in turn will bring an increased risk of some overnight frosts under any clearer skies.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Bristawl Si]

Latest update - borefest!

[Don]

1 hour ago, Bristle boy said:

Latest update - borefest!

Much rather this than raging zonal conditions!

[Methuselah]

18 minutes ago, Don said:

Much rather this than raging zonal conditions!

And anywho, it doesn't go far enough into the future to pick-up on the Lucremas blizzard!

[Don]

7 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

And anywho, it doesn't go far enough into the future to pick-up on the Lucremas blizzard!

Indeed, get the cold in first and then worry about potential snow.

[Decemberof2010]

This update isn’t the most recent I don’t think SS?

Latest update has an added part at the end that doesn’t look that good for cold lovers 

UK Outlook for Monday 10 Dec 2018 to Monday 24 Dec 2018:

Should the unsettled weather prior to this period continue, it is likely to be quite short-lived. The weather is generally expected to turn calmer and more settled, but this will bring an increased likelihood of fog. Temperatures may start off around average at first, but are likely to trend to colder than average. This in turn will bring an increased risk of some overnight frosts under any clearer skies. However, as we head towards the end of this period, it is likely to become more unsettled once again with temperatures returning to around or a little above average for the time of year.

Updated: 13:52 on Sun 25 Nov 2018 GMT

[Dancerwithwings]

22 minutes ago, Decemberof2010 said:

This update isn’t the most recent I don’t think SS?

Latest update has an added part at the end that doesn’t look that good for cold lovers 

UK Outlook for Monday 10 Dec 2018 to Monday 24 Dec 2018:

Should the unsettled weather prior to this period continue, it is likely to be quite short-lived. The weather is generally expected to turn calmer and more settled, but this will bring an increased likelihood of fog. Temperatures may start off around average at first, but are likely to trend to colder than average. This in turn will bring an increased risk of some overnight frosts under any clearer skies. However, as we head towards the end of this period, it is likely to become more unsettled once again with temperatures returning to around or a little above average for the time of year.

Updated: 13:52 on Sun 25 Nov 2018 GMT

2

When SS posted it it was, Anyway I prefer SS version

[Summer Sun]

31 minutes ago, Decemberof2010 said:

This update isn’t the most recent I don’t think SS?

Latest update has an added part at the end that doesn’t look that good for cold lovers 

UK Outlook for Monday 10 Dec 2018 to Monday 24 Dec 2018:

Should the unsettled weather prior to this period continue, it is likely to be quite short-lived. The weather is generally expected to turn calmer and more settled, but this will bring an increased likelihood of fog. Temperatures may start off around average at first, but are likely to trend to colder than average. This in turn will bring an increased risk of some overnight frosts under any clearer skies. However, as we head towards the end of this period, it is likely to become more unsettled once again with temperatures returning to around or a little above average for the time of year.

Updated: 13:52 on Sun 25 Nov 2018 GMT

Looks like they've issued a 2nd update on the longer range one. Very unusual.

 

[Decemberof2010]

That’s what I thought. The one you post daily is always the most up to date. Very strange and for the worse for coldies like me

[northwestsnow]

Oh that is a real kick in the goolies.

[SLEETY]

How accurate is anything at that range.If the meto are correct then thats one month of winter gone.Hope this isn’t another winter of chasing rainbows again.Its not like we ever get a cold january  anymore,i

Look at the C.E.T since 87.

[northwestsnow]

That updated update is now beginning to sound like a euro high, at best sceuro high sinkng into Europe!!

 

[SLEETY]

As i said last winter we can get northern blocking a plenty but never in the depth of winter!, Is this happening again?

[Don]

Oh no, that’s not a good update!  They obviously now see little chance of any sustained cold for December and the fact that they see milder unsettled weather returning at the end of the period does not bode well for January, either.  Let’s hope this changes otherwise the likes of Chris Fawkes could be correct with their winter thoughts!

Edited November 25, 2018 by Don

[Methuselah]

But, looking on the bright side of life, it's consistent with all but one of the seasonal models Gavin P was showing...the German one, I think? Let's hope that the legendary German efficiency has let them down, on this occasion?

[doghouse]

Taken in conjunction with the tweet from Fawkes this highlights the folly of paying any attention to the hysteria and misleading nonsense in the model thread. Good reason for closing down that particular thread until 1st Dec. Same every year....hysteria regarding  high latitude blocking in October which has no relevance when we hit the first day of winter. Never learn and all the while posters,either keeping the traffic moving or  more worryingly allowed to keep the gullible forever addicted to synoptics which will rarely deliver on expectations

[Don]

28 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

But, looking on the bright side of life, it's consistent with all but one of the seasonal models Gavin P was showing...the German one, I think? Let's hope that the legendary German efficiency has let them down, on this occasion?

Yes, the long range model outlooks generally strongly point towards a cold winter (particularly late on).  However, Chris Fawkes winter thoughts and now this update from the metoffice has somewhat peed on my optimism!  It doesn’t sound like they are buying any stratospheric warming either.

Edited November 25, 2018 by Don