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UK Outlook for Tuesday 27 Feb 2018 to Tuesday 13 Mar 2018:

The end of February is likely to stay cold but often dry and settled with widespread frost overnight. This weather could last into early March, with a greater chance of easterly winds, which would bring very cold weather at times and the potential for some snowfall. Heading through the second week of March there are indications that conditions may become more unsettled and somewhat less cold, with the wettest weather and mildest temperatures likely to be in the south or the southwest of the UK.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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So this is what Exeter actually published UK Outlook for Sunday 20 Jan 2019 to Tuesday 29 Jan 2019: Sunday will be cold across the UK, but for many it will be dry; brightest in the southeast

Yes I have just spent some time comparing their forecast issued on their web site at 0025 with the two latest Fax charts for Tuesday. They seemed at odds and this forecast seems to suggest what I beli

In all the years of model watching 12-15 years, I cannot ever remember UK Met trawling a deep cold spell so far ahead, so consistently, and for such duration after its arrival. Not even the late Novem

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UK Outlook for Sunday 18 Feb 2018 to Tuesday 27 Feb 2018:

After a frosty start, Sunday is likely to stay dry and fine for most, especially in England and Wales, but the northwest will be more changeable with further wintry showers. Dry and bright weather will predominate in England and Wales throughout next week, with a greater than average chance of overnight frost. Light rain or drizzle is possible at times, mainly in north and west Scotland and perhaps Northern Ireland. Temperatures at the start of next week will be around average for the time of year, but there will be a trend toward colder weather by the end of the week and into the start of the following week, as prevailing winds turn easterly. Where this happens, wintry showers may develop near the east coast.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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UK Outlook for Wednesday 28 Feb 2018 to Wednesday 14 Mar 2018:

As we move into the first week of March, it is likely to stay cold but often dry and settled with widespread overnight frost. There will be a greater chance than usual of easterly winds, which would bring very cold weather at times and the potential for some snowfall in eastern and even southern parts. In the second week of March there are indications that it may eventually become more unsettled and less cold, with the wettest weather and mildest temperatures likely to be in the south or the southwest of the UK.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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UK Outlook for Monday 19 Feb 2018 to Wednesday 28 Feb 2018:

Dry, sometimes bright weather and light winds will predominate in the UK throughout next week, with increasing amounts of overnight frost. Rain or drizzle and stronger winds are possible at times in northwestern areas. Temperatures at the start of next week will be around average for the time of year, and probably slightly above average in the north. However, there will be a trend toward colder weather by the end of the week and into the following week, as winds turn predominately easterly. Wintry showers may develop,with the potential for some significant snowfalls focused on southern, central or eastern areas. The location and intensity of any snowfall will be uncertain until much nearer the time.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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UK Outlook for Wednesday 28 Feb 2018 to Wednesday 14 Mar 2018:

As we move into the first week of March, it is likely to stay cold but often dry and settled with widespread overnight frost. There will be a greater chance than usual of easterly winds, which would bring very cold weather at times and the potential for some snowfall in eastern and even southern parts. In the second week of March there are indications that it may eventually become more unsettled and less cold, with the wettest weather and mildest temperatures likely to be in the south or the southwest of the UK.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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UK Outlook for Friday 2 Mar 2018 to Friday 16 Mar 2018:

In first week of March, it is likely to stay cold with widespread overnight frost. There will be a greater chance than usual of easterly winds developing, which would bring very cold weather at times and the potential for some snowfall in eastern and even southern parts. Unusually, it will probably be driest in the northwest. In the second week of March there are indications that it may become more changeable and less cold, with the wettest weather and mildest temperatures likely to be in the south or the southwest of the UK.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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UK Outlook for Tuesday 20 Feb 2018 to Thursday 1 Mar 2018:

Dry, but often bright weather will dominate across the UK throughout next week, with overnight frosts becoming widespread. However, outbreaks of rain or drizzle along with some hill snow and stronger winds are possible at times across northwestern areas. Temperatures will be around average for the time of year to begin. However, it will turn much colder by the end of the week and into the following week, as the wind tends to turn east or southeasterly in direction. Wintry showers may develop,with the potential for some significant snowfalls focused on southern, central or eastern areas. The location and intensity of any snowfall will be uncertain until much nearer the time. However, some milder unsettled weather still may occur at times, especially in the west.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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3 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

UK Outlook for Tuesday 20 Feb 2018 to Thursday 1 Mar 2018:

Dry, but often bright weather will dominate across the UK throughout next week, with overnight frosts becoming widespread. However, outbreaks of rain or drizzle along with some hill snow and stronger winds are possible at times across northwestern areas. Temperatures will be around average for the time of year to begin. However, it will turn much colder by the end of the week and into the following week, as the wind tends to turn east or southeasterly in direction. Wintry showers may develop,with the potential for some significant snowfalls focused on southern, central or eastern areas. The location and intensity of any snowfall will be uncertain until much nearer the time. However, some milder unsettled weather still may occur at times, especially in the west.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

No downgrade there peeps ?

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10 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

UK Outlook for Friday 2 Mar 2018 to Friday 16 Mar 2018:

In first week of March, it is likely to stay cold with widespread overnight frost. There will be a greater chance than usual of easterly winds developing, which would bring very cold weather at times and the potential for some snowfall in eastern and even southern parts. Unusually, it will probably be driest in the northwest. In the second week of March there are indications that it may become more changeable and less cold, with the wettest weather and mildest temperatures likely to be in the south or the southwest of the UK.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

 

Edited by johnholmes
my error
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7 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

that link still shows 02:28 when i open it?

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

Is there a cache issue with their website...

Ignore the time just check the dates it covers the update is today's the time generally updates early hours and the afternoon

Edited by Summer Sun
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Now that is bullish, no 'may' or 'might'

However, it will turn much colder by the end of the week and into the following week, as the wind tends to turn east or southeasterly in direction. Wintry showers may develop,with the potential for some significant snowfalls focused on southern, central or eastern areas. The location and intensity of any snowfall will be uncertain until much nearer the time. However, some milder unsettled weather still may occur at times, especially in the west.

UK Outlook for Friday 2 Mar 2018 to Friday 16 Mar 2018:

In first week of March, it is likely to stay cold with widespread overnight frost. There will be a greater chance than usual of easterly winds developing, which would bring very cold weather at times and the potential for some snowfall in eastern and even southern parts. Unusually, it will probably be driest in the northwest.

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Just now, Seasonality said:

Now that is bullish, no 'may' or 'might'

However, it will turn much colder by the end of the week and into the following week, as the wind tends to turn east or southeasterly in direction. Wintry showers may develop,with the potential for some significant snowfalls focused on southern, central or eastern areas. The location and intensity of any snowfall will be uncertain until much nearer the time. However, some milder unsettled weather still may occur at times, especially in the west.

UK Outlook for Friday 2 Mar 2018 to Friday 16 Mar 2018:

In first week of March, it is likely to stay cold with widespread overnight frost. There will be a greater chance than usual of easterly winds developing, which would bring very cold weather at times and the potential for some snowfall in eastern and even southern parts. Unusually, it will probably be driest in the northwest.

That suggest to me undercutting scenarios... interesting. Shall watch the UKMO 12z between my fingers I think 

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1 minute ago, titchjuicy said:

That's last night's update. This afternoon's hasn't been published yet.

It is today's don't know why so many are suddenly confused over this

Ignore the time and follow the date it covers

 

Edited by Summer Sun
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Just now, titchjuicy said:

That's last night's update. This afternoon's hasn't been published yet.

Wording has been changed from may to will. It has been changed.

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Just now, Summer Sun said:

It is today's don't know why so many are suddenly confused over this

 

 

I think it's due to the fact that they either forget to check when the update was released or, in some cases, because the Met Office's thoughts contradict their biases. 

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Either way, it's quite a ridiculous update if you ask me! No model agreement at +96 never mind later next week. Far to bullish and they could come out with egg on their faces! Perhaps it's a punt that they hope will come off given they've just lost a huge contract, then they can shout from the roof tops that they said it first. Probably worth the risk in the grand scheme of things! 

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