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UK Outlook for Wednesday 31 Jan 2018 to Friday 9 Feb 2018:

Rain will clear on Wednesday leaving a mixture of bright spells and blustery showers. These will be heavy at times with a risk of hail and thunder, particularly across the north and west and they may also be wintry on high ground in the north. Showers are likely to ease on Thursday, giving more prolonged sunshine. Feeling cold on Wednesday and Thursday, especially in the wind. Confidence is then low but an unsettled picture is most likely, with brighter showery periods interspersed with bands of cloud and rain crossing from west to east. It may become colder with an increased risk of snow in the north. Towards the end of the period drier weather is increasingly likely with lighter winds. It is also likely to remain cold, with widespread frosts.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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So this is what Exeter actually published UK Outlook for Sunday 20 Jan 2019 to Tuesday 29 Jan 2019: Sunday will be cold across the UK, but for many it will be dry; brightest in the southeast

Yes I have just spent some time comparing their forecast issued on their web site at 0025 with the two latest Fax charts for Tuesday. They seemed at odds and this forecast seems to suggest what I beli

In all the years of model watching 12-15 years, I cannot ever remember UK Met trawling a deep cold spell so far ahead, so consistently, and for such duration after its arrival. Not even the late Novem

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UK Outlook for Saturday 10 Feb 2018 to Saturday 24 Feb 2018:

A large degree of uncertainty exists in the forecast through this period, but it looks most likely that the second week of February should start with only slow moving weather patterns, these probably bringing a period of drier and brighter weather with overnight frosts. However some spells of milder, wet and windy weather cannot be ruled out, with these most likely across the north and west. Into the second half of February the forecast remains very uncertain. However, we are most likely to see short spells of wet and windy weather move across the UK, interspersed with colder, brighter and drier interludes. Although there will be variation through the period, temperatures will probably end up slightly below average for the time of year.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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UK Outlook for Thursday 1 Feb 2018 to Saturday 10 Feb 2018:

Thursday brings a mix of sunny spells and wintry showers, these becoming increasingly confined to the north later in the day. It will be windy for many, and it will be cold with overnight frost and a risk of ice in places. It's likely to remain cold on Friday, but with a risk of some rain and hill snow affecting the north and west. Into the weekend and rest of the period confidence is low, but an unsettled picture is most likely, with brighter showery periods interspersed with bands of cloud and rain crossing from west to east. It may become colder with an increased risk of snow in the north. Late in the period drier weather looks increasingly likely, but it is likely to remain cold, with widespread frosts.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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UK Outlook for Sunday 11 Feb 2018 to Sunday 25 Feb 2018:

A large degree of uncertainty exists in the forecast through this part of February, but it looks most likely that the start of this period should begin with only slow moving weather patterns, these probably bringing a period of drier and brighter weather with overnight frosts. Into the second half of February the forecast remains very uncertain. However, we are most likely to see short spells of wet and windy weather move across the UK, interspersed with colder, brighter and drier interludes. Although there will be variation through the period, temperatures will probably end up slightly below average for the time of year.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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UK Outlook for Friday 2 Feb 2018 to Sunday 11 Feb 2018:

Friday will be another cold day with a sharp frost at first. There is then sunshine in store for eastern parts for a time, along with some wintry showers. However, further west rain is set to push in, perhaps preceeded by some snow. Into the weekend and through the rest of the period an unsettled picture is most likely, with brighter showery periods interspersed with bands of cloud and rain crossing from west to east. Temperatures will generally be around normal, or rather cold with overnight frosts and a risk of snow at times in the north. Around the middle of next week there is a chance it may turn colder and drier but confidence at this stage is quite low.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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UK Outlook for Monday 12 Feb 2018 to Monday 26 Feb 2018:

A large degree of uncertainty exists in the forecast through this part of February, but it looks increasingly likely that settled and largely dry weather will dominate, at least to start with. Temperatures will be rather cold with widespread frosts and a chance of snow showers, especially in the east. During the latter stages of February we may some milder spells of weather, which will also deliver cloud and rain. These are likely to be interspersed with colder, brighter and drier conditions.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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UK Outlook for Saturday 3 Feb 2018 to Monday 12 Feb 2018:

After a mild start to Saturday, rain will clear to the east sometime during the day, leaving brighter, breezier, showery and colder weather for the rest of the weekend. The changeable showery weather will probably continue in the north into next week with wintry showers on hills. For the southern half of the UK, longer spells of dry, clearer weather are likely to develop. These could well be accompanied by overnight frost and fog, taking a long time to clear on some mornings. The settled drier weather may well spread further north during the week and into next weekend, though an easterly wind could bring some wintry showers in the east. Temperatures across the whole country are likely to stay below average for the time of year.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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UK Outlook for Tuesday 13 Feb 2018 to Tuesday 27 Feb 2018:

It looks increasingly likely that settled and largely dry weather will dominate for a few days in mid-February. Temperatures will be rather cold with widespread frosts and a chance of snow showers, especially in the east. A large degree of uncertainty exists in the forecast for the second half of February, but we may have some milder spells of weather, with more cloud, wind and rain. These are likely to be interspersed with colder, brighter and drier conditions.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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8 minutes ago, abbie123 said:

Easterly flow wintery showers in the east below average temperature uk wide interesting 

Well, there are plenty of "may" and "coulds" in there. Regrettably, a UK mid latitude high is the best we can get. Maybe Folkestone picking up a Kent clipper, but that's about it.

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4 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:

Well, there are plenty of "may" and "coulds" in there. Regrettably, a UK mid latitude high is the best we can get. Maybe Folkestone picking up a Kent clipper, but that's about it.

If we don't get the snow I be looking forward to cold temperatures still changes to come 

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UK Outlook for Sunday 4 Feb 2018 to Tuesday 13 Feb 2018:

Cloud, outbreaks of rain and a possible risk of sleet or snow will continue on Sunday over parts of the south and east, clearing later, leaving the UK mainly dry with the best of the sunny spells in the north and west. Cloud, rain and drizzle may well return on Monday, perhaps becoming showery in the north on Tuesday. Changeable wet and windy weather will probably return on Wednesday before showers return on Thursday. By the following weekend, settled drier weather may become more dominant, accompanied by overnight frost and fog, taking a long time to clear on some mornings. An easterly wind could bring some wintry showers in the east. Temperatures are likely to stay below average for the time of year.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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UK Outlook for Wednesday 14 Feb 2018 to Wednesday 28 Feb 2018:

It looks increasingly likely that settled and largely dry weather will dominate for a few days in mid-February. Temperatures will be rather cold with widespread frosts and a chance of snow showers, especially in the east. A large degree of uncertainty exists in the forecast for the second half of February, but we may have some milder spells of weather, with more cloud, wind and rain. These are likely to be interspersed with colder, brighter and drier conditions.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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UK Outlook for Monday 5 Feb 2018 to Wednesday 14 Feb 2018:

Cloud, rain and snow are likely on Monday across much of the UK, clearing to sunshine and showers, although the southeast may stay largely dry. Outbreaks of rain and snow could then arrive in the north through Tuesday, with sunny spells elsewhere, although it will be cold. Changeable and windy weather will probably come back on Wednesday with rain and snow, before showers return on Thursday. By the following weekend, settled drier weather with lighter winds may become more dominant, accompanied by overnight frost and fog, which may take a long time to clear on some mornings. It will be windy at times, with a chance of snow showers in the east towards the end of the period. Temperatures are likely to stay below average for the time of year.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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UK Outlook for Thursday 15 Feb 2018 to Thursday 1 Mar 2018:

It looks increasingly likely that settled and largely dry weather will dominate for a few days in mid-February. Temperatures will be rather cold with widespread frosts and a chance of snow showers. A large degree of uncertainty exists in the forecast for the second half of February, but we may have some milder spells of weather, with more cloud, wind and rain. These are likely to be interspersed with colder, brighter and drier conditions.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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UK Outlook for Tuesday 6 Feb 2018 to Thursday 15 Feb 2018:

Outbreaks of snow and coastal rain will spread eastwards across England and Wales on Tuesday, followed by sunshine and scattered wintry showers, particularly in the west. Many may then be drier on Wednesday, however further rain and snow may arrive from the northwest later. Thereafter, much of this period will remain colder than normal, with the risk of snow as frontal systems bump in to the cold air across the UK. In between, there will be a mixture of sunny spells and wintry showers with the strongest winds in the north and west, although where winds are lighter overnight there will be some severe frost. Towards the middle of the month, it may turn more settled bringing more prolonged drier weather, with frost and fog becoming more widespread.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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UK Outlook for Friday 16 Feb 2018 to Friday 2 Mar 2018:

Through the middle of February it will remain cold but the weather may be more settled for a time with widespread frost and fog overnight. Later in the month, there is a large degree of uncertainty in the forecast, but it may turn more changeable again. This will bring a mixture of milder spells with cloud, wind and rain, as well as colder but drier spells. There remains a risk of snow as frontal systems spread in, as temperatures may often be below average. However, temperatures may return closer to normal towards the end of February.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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4 minutes ago, abbie123 said:

No mention of easterly so where is cold coming from?

The Easterly  at the moment is only forecast before the 6th   after that they assume  fronts from the Northwest will attack the UK

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3 minutes ago, abbie123 said:

No mention of easterly so where is cold coming from?

The set up currently doesn't look like bringing a sustained convective type easterly. However the bank of cold air is likely to stay wedged over mainland Europe with the UK at the meeting point between frontal systems from the Atlantic and that colder air.

The cold air originally comes in from the projected set up we're seeing now and will be topped up from time to time as pressure is likely to stay high to the ne.

The UKMO can't be more exact with detail this far out because  the strength of any blocking to the ne is difficult to pin down this far out.

 

 

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