Meto Uk Further Outlook

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Sunday 5 Oct 2014 to Tuesday 14 Oct 2014:

During the weekend and into the following week most places will be generally unsettled with showers or longer spells of rain, which are likely to be heavy at times, mainly across western and northern parts. There is also likely to be some drier and brighter interludes in between. Breezy at times, with a risk of gales in the north and west. Temperatures generally on the cool side, especially in the wet and windy spells. There will be a risk of local frost and fog patches developing where clear skies prevail and winds fall light during the nights, particularly across northern parts. Thereafter the unsettled conditions are likely to continue across most areas. However, it is possible that later in the period eastern and southeastern may become increasingly drier and brighter

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Wednesday 15 Oct 2014 to Wednesday 29 Oct 2014:

Current indications now suggest that generally unsettled conditions are likely to affect many areas of the UK during this period, with spells of wet and windy weather. However these are likely to be interspersed with drier and clearer interludes, which will also bring an increasing risk of overnight frosts and fog patches, especially across northern parts. Daytime temperatures generally close to the seasonal average.

Issued at: 0500 on Wed 01 Oct 2014

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Wednesday 8 Oct 2014 to Friday 17 Oct 2014:  

Generally unsettled on Wednesday and Thursday with most regions seeing a mixture of sunny spells and showers, some heavy. However, central, eastern and southern parts may be affected by a spell of more persistent rain for a time. It will often be windy, especially in exposed western and also English Channel coasts, with the risk of gales. Temperatures will be near average, or a little below, but feeling cold at times in the wind and rain. Whilst the wind will gradually ease into the weekend, further showers are likely, especially across the northwest, with spells of more persistent rain continuing across southern areas at times. The unsettled conditions are then likely to continue through the following week, although southeastern and eastern parts are more likely to see prolonged drier periods.

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Saturday 18 Oct 2014 to Saturday 1 Nov 2014:

Current indications suggest that generally unsettled conditions are likely to affect many areas of the UK during this period, with spells of wet and windy weather, particularly in the north and west at first. However, these are likely to be interspersed with drier and clearer interludes, which will also bring an increasing risk of overnight frosts and fog patches, especially across northern parts. Daytime temperatures generally close to the seasonal average.

Issued at: 0500 on Sat 04 Oct 2014

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Thursday 9 Oct 2014 to Saturday 18 Oct 2014:

Unsettled on Thursday and Friday with a mixture of sunny spells and showers. Some of these will be heavy with a risk of thunder. Often windy, with the risk of gales in exposure. Temperatures will be near, or a little below, average and feeling rather cold in the strong winds and rain. Remaining unsettled and windy at times into the weekend with further showers or longer spells of rain, especially across northern and western areas. The changeable conditions are then likely to continue into the following week, with further periods of rain and wind interspersed by brighter days with showers. Southeastern and eastern parts will be most likely to see the best of any drier weather. Daytime temperatures mostly near the October average, but perhaps becoming a little above later.

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Sunday 19 Oct 2014 to Sunday 2 Nov 2014:

Current indications suggest that generally unsettled conditions are likely to affect many areas of the UK during this period, with spells of wet and windy weather, particularly in the north and west at first. However, these are likely to be interspersed with drier and clearer interludes, which will also bring an increasing risk of overnight frosts and fog patches, especially across northern parts. Daytime temperatures generally close to the seasonal average.

Issued at: 0500 on Sun 05 Oct 2014

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Friday 10 Oct 2014 to Sunday 19 Oct 2014:

Unsettled and windy in places on Friday with a mixture of sunny spells and showers. Some of these will be heavy with a risk of thunder. Temperatures will be near, or a little below, average and feeling rather cold in the strong wind and rain. There is then risk of more organised heavy rain crossing southern England on Saturday, with sunny spells and showers continuing elsewhere. It will also stay breezy. These unsettled conditions are then likely to continue into the following week, with further periods of rain and strong wind interspersed by brighter days with showers. Southeastern and eastern parts will be most likely to see the best of any drier weather. Daytime temperatures will mostly be near, and occasionally above the October average, and often relatively mild overnight.

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Monday 20 Oct 2014 to Monday 3 Nov 2014:

The current signal is for generally unsettled conditions to continue during this period. These will bring spells of wet and windy weather across the UK, but particularly in the north and west at first. However these spells are likely to be interspersed with some drier and clearer interludes at times, which will also bring an increasing risk of overnight frosts and fog patches, especially across northern parts. Daytime temperatures are then likely to be near to or above the seasonal average.

Issued at: 0500 on Mon 06 Oct 2014

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Sunday 12 Oct 2014 to Tuesday 21 Oct 2014:

The unsettled theme to the weather continues with outbreaks of rain or heavy, thundery showers at times, although there will be some drier and brighter interludes too. Showers are likely to be most frequent in western and northern coastal districts, and may be more scattered elsewhere. Winds are expected to be light to moderate at first however it will probably turn windier by the middle to end of next week with a risk of gales for many. Drier and brighter conditions are possible across southern and eastern parts by the end of the forecast period with a greater chance of settled and sunnier conditions. Temperatures will mostly be near the October average at first, but will rise above average from the middle of next week, especially the southeast.

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Wednesday 22 Oct 2014 to Wednesday 5 Nov 2014:

A mostly settled and often dry end to October and start to November is expected, especially across southern and eastern areas. Warm sunny spells are then likely at times, especially in the south, although there will be the risk of mist and fog overnight. However a westerly flow will bring the chance of spells of wet and windy weather affecting the UK at times, mainly to the north and west, but perhaps affecting other areas at times too. Daytime temperatures are likely to be above the seasonal average.

Issued at: 0500 on Wed 08 Oct 2014

 

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Monday 13 Oct 2014 to Wednesday 22 Oct 2014:

Good spells of dry weather for many early next week, especially across eastern areas, with any showers lighter than of late. There is however a small chance of some rain in the far southeast. It should stay mostly dry across the north and east on Tuesday, whilst a band of rain with strong winds should move into southwestern areas, slowly spreading eastwards later. Temperatures initially around normal or a little below by day, but rather cold overnight with a risk of isolated air frost and mist/fog patches. As more unsettled conditions return from the west during the week, temperatures should rise with milder nights becoming more likely. The rest of the period should then be fairly autumnal with outbreaks of rain and showers, some strong winds but also brighter spells.

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Thursday 23 Oct 2014 to Thursday 6 Nov 2014:

The autumnal, changeable conditions are likely to continue towards the end of October. Through this period, southern or southeastern areas could see more in the way of dry, settled spells, with warm sunshine at times but with the risk of mist and fog developing overnight. However, the southwesterly flow is likely to bring spells of wet and windy weather which should affect mostly northern and western areas, but perhaps affecting other areas as well at times. Daytime temperatures likely to be near or above the seasonal average.

Issued at: 0500 on Thu 09 Oct 2014

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Tuesday 14 Oct 2014 to Thursday 23 Oct 2014:

Tuesday will probably start dry with sunny spells once any mist/fog clears. Showers should develop and there is also a low risk of some strong wind and rain, heavy at times, spreading from the south across eastern parts at first. Temperatures will be near or slightly below normal with frost possible in the north. The southeast should then have some dry and bright weather, however outbreaks of rain and strong winds will edge in from the west through the week, gradually spreading to all parts. It will then remain generally unsettled with rain or showers, but there will be some brief drier and brighter interludes, best of these in the east/southeast. Temperatures will rise to become rather warm for many, with a lower than normal risk of frost

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Friday 24 Oct 2014 to Friday 7 Nov 2014:

The autumnal, changeable conditions are likely to continue for many through the end of October and the beginning of November. During this period, southern or southeastern areas could see more in the way of dry, settled spells, with sunshine at times making it feel mild, but also the risk of mist and fog developing overnight. However, the southwesterly flow is likely to bring spells of wet and windy weather which should affect mostly northern and western areas, but perhaps reaching other areas as well at times. Daytime temperatures likely to be near or above the seasonal average.

Issued at: 0500 on Fri 10 Oct 2014

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Wednesday 15 Oct 2014 to Friday 24 Oct 2014:

Wednesday will be a largely dry day with sunny spells developing, once any fog patches clear, with perhaps just a few showers around. Similar conditions into Thursday, but cloud and rain may push into the west later. Temperatures near or slightly below normal, but colder overnight with frost possible in the north. Probably starting dry at least across eastern areas on Friday, but rain and strong winds in the west will gradually push across the country. Thereafter, it will then remain rather windy with rain or showers, interspersed with drier and brighter interludes, best of these in the east and southeast. Temperatures will rise above average, especially by night. However, the temperatures by day will be tempered by the wind and rain.

 

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Saturday 25 Oct 2014 to Saturday 8 Nov 2014:

The autumnal, changeable conditions are likely to continue for many through the end of October and the beginning of November. During this period, southern or southeastern areas could see more in the way of dry, settled spells, with sunshine at times making it feel mild, but also the risk of mist and fog developing overnight. However, the southwesterly flow is likely to bring spells of wet and windy weather which should affect mostly northern and western areas, but perhaps reaching other areas as well at times. Daytime temperatures likely to be near or above the seasonal average.

Issued at: 0500 on Sat 11 Oct 2014

 

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Thursday 16 Oct 2014 to Saturday 25 Oct 2014:

After perhaps a dry, bright start in the east and northeast, spells of rain interspersed by sunny spells and showers are expected across much of the UK at first. It will also be windy with the risk of gales, perhaps severe in the far northwest. Remaining unsettled and windy through the weekend, with further rain or showers interspersed by drier and brighter interludes. Temperatures will rise above, perhaps locally well above, average; especially by night. However, the temperatures by day will be tempered by the strong winds and rain. Into the following week, the unsettled conditions may gradually ease somewhat in the south with perhaps an increased incidence in drier spells, bringing the risk of fog and frost by night. Temperatures gradually easing back closer to the average for October.

 

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Sunday 26 Oct 2014 to Sunday 9 Nov 2014:

The autumnal, changeable conditions are likely to continue for many through the end of October and into the beginning of November. During this period, southern or southeastern areas could see more in the way of dry, settled spells, with sunshine at times making it feel mild, but also the risk of mist and fog developing overnight. However, the southwesterly flow is likely to bring spells of wet and windy weather which should affect mostly northern and western areas, but perhaps reaching other areas as well at times. Daytime temperatures likely to be near or above the seasonal average.

Issued at: 0500 on Sun 12 Oct 2014

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[damianslaw]

I always think late October early November is a time of major change in the feel of things with the clocks going back there is a shift to an early winter state. It is often a disturbed period but on occasion can deliver settled colder conditions or arctic incursions as opposed to the atlantic ruling the roost.

 

Mmm not enthused by the Met office updates of recent days - sounds all too familiar.. if the atlantic has to rule things I hope we see at least a few shorter lived quieter cooler interludes with more of a NW influence bringing the first sprinkles of snow for the hills and that bright polar air.

 

I loved 2008, 2012 in this respect.

 

The safe default position with the UK weather is always to say westerlies/southwesterlies more likely though, and the Met office is very conservative. The only time I remember it being very bullish about  a pattern at odds with the norm was November 2010.

[Gael_Force]

We don't often get to see the ECM32 forecast charts that a large part of the UKMO 15 to 30 day outlook is based on. WSI blog has done a European write up, showing charts from the latest run of ECM32.

 

http://www.wsi.com/blog/energy/europe-ecmwf-discussion-13th-october-9th-november/

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Friday 17 Oct 2014 to Sunday 26 Oct 2014:

Mostly dry across the UK to start on Friday, although isolated outbreaks of rain are possible at times. However thicker cloud and more persistent rain could spread into western parts later in the day and overnight into Saturday, with strengthening winds. It will then remain unsettled and very windy through the weekend, particularly in the northwest, with further rain or showers interspersed by drier and brighter interludes. Temperatures will be above average, especially by night, although feeling cooler in the wind and rain. Into the following week it is likely to remain changeable, with southern parts seeing more in the way of drier and brighter spells. However this would then bring the risk of fog and frost overnight. Temperatures will then gradually trend closer to the average for late October.

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Monday 27 Oct 2014 to Monday 10 Nov 2014:

The changeable conditions are likely to continue for many through the end of October and during the start of November. During this period, the southwesterly flow is likely to bring spells of wet and windy weather which should affect mostly northern and western areas, but perhaps reaching other areas as well at times. However southern or southeastern areas could see more in the way of dry, settled spells, with sunshine at times making it feel mild, but also the risk of mist and fog developing overnight. Daytime temperatures likely to be near or above the seasonal average, although cooler at times during wet and windy spells.

Issued at: 0500 on Mon 13 Oct 2014

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Sunday 19 Oct 2014 to Tuesday 28 Oct 2014:

Southeastern parts should start generally dry, however, a band of heavy rain and strong winds is set to erratically push southeastwards across the whole country. Showery conditions behind will bring the risk of hail and thunder to the north and west, where gales are likely. Whilst temperatures should be mainly above average, they are likely to be tempered in the wind and rain. Next week it is expected to remain unsettled with further spells of rain, heavy in places. It will remain windy too with the risk of gales or severe gales, most likely in the west. Some eastern and southeastern areas may see less in the way of unsettled weather, especially later in the period, with overnight mist or fog possible. Temperatures should remain near or just above normal.

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Wednesday 29 Oct 2014 to Wednesday 12 Nov 2014:

The unsettled conditions are likely to continue for many through the end of October and during the start of November. During this period, the west to southwesterly flow is likely to bring spells of wet and windy weather which should affect mostly northern and western areas, but perhaps reaching other areas as well at times. However southern or southeastern areas could see more in the way of dry, settled spells by the second week of November, with sunshine at times making it feel mild, but also the risk of mist and fog developing overnight. Daytime temperatures likely to be mostly above the seasonal average, although feeling cooler at times during wet and windy spells.

Issued at: 0500 on Wed 15 Oct 2014

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Summer Sun]

The 'S' word has made an appearance in the met office update today

 

UK Outlook for Tuesday 21 Oct 2014 to Thursday 30 Oct 2014:

 

The recent unsettled theme will continue on Tuesday with sunny spells, showers and strong winds. Showers are likely to turn heavy in the north and west, with snow over high ground here, along with gales, perhaps severe in places. Temperatures should also ease back to near normal, perhaps below in the north, and feeling cold in the strong winds. Through the rest of the period, a generally westerly flow will develop, bringing further unsettled conditions, with a mixture of sunshine and showers or longer spells of rain. These most likely across northwestern parts, with the risk of further gales. The best of any prolonged drier and brighter conditions will be in the southeast. Temperatures are likely to be around normal, although with the potential for large day to day oscillations.

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast