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Meto Uk Further Outlook

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UK Outlook for Sunday 11 Mar 2018 to Tuesday 20 Mar 2018:

A very unsettled period, with rain and hill snow across northern parts of the UK during Sunday, which will be followed by bands of rain and showers, perhaps locally heavy, with the risk of hail and thunder at times. Into next week, and it remains unsettled, with further spells of rain, heavy at times, but interspered with brighter and showery interludes. Probably the wettest and windiest conditions are likely to be across the south and west. Snow is likely at times in the north, mainly on higher ground. Probably staying rather cold in the north, but perhaps becoming milder in the south and east at times. Overnight frost are likely in any brief quieter interludes.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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UK Outlook for Monday 12 Mar 2018 to Wednesday 21 Mar 2018:

An unsettled period, with spells of heavy rain probably extending northwards across much of the UK early next week, followed by sunny spells and blustery showers. After a milder interlude, there is an increasing risk of snow over northern hills. Becoming increasingly windy, with greatest risk of gales in the south and west. It looks like the unsettled conditions remaining through much of next week and beyond, with further spells of rain, interspersed with brighter and showery interludes. Probably the wettest and windiest conditions across the south and west. Snow remains likely at times in the north, mainly on hills. Probably staying rather cold in the north, but perhaps becoming milder in the south and east at times. Overnight frost and fog patches are likely in any brief quieter interludes.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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UK Outlook for Tuesday 13 Mar 2018 to Thursday 22 Mar 2018:

It will be fairly unsettled through next week, with outbreaks of rain at times, heaviest in the west and southwest of the UK where gales are possible too. There is a risk of snow over northern hills, but temperatures will be around normal for the time of year with frost and fog possible overnight. The unsettled conditions will remain through the rest of the period, with further spells of rain, interspersed with brighter and showery interludes. There is a risk it could turn colder again with a greater chance of overnight frosts for all, but snow will mainly be confined to the north of the UK, and will mainly be falling across the hills and high ground, with outbreaks of rain more likely in the south.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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UK Outlook for Wednesday 14 Mar 2018 to Friday 23 Mar 2018:

Unsettled through next week, with outbreaks of rain at times, heaviest in the west and southwest of the UK, where gales are possible too. There is a risk of snow over northern hills, but temperatures will be around normal for the time of year, with a risk of overnight frost at times in the north. The unsettled conditions will probably remain through the rest of the forecast period, with further spells of rain, interspersed with brighter and showery interludes. Snow will mainly be confined to the north of the UK, and will mainly be falling across the hills and high ground, with outbreaks of rain more likely in the south.There is a risk it could turn colder again with a greater chance of overnight frosts and perhaps wintry showers.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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UK Outlook for Thursday 15 Mar 2018 to Saturday 24 Mar 2018:

On Thursday and Friday outbreaks of rain are likely to affect some western and southern areas, where gales are possible too. The rain is likely to gradually fragment as drier conditions already in the east and north, spread slowly westwards with time. Over the weekend slightly more settled conditions may develop across the whole country, but with an ongoing risk of rain and gales in the west and south while in the north and east some snow showers are possible. Rather cold for most, though perhaps nearer normal in the southwest at first. There's low confidence in the forecast detail through the rest of this period, but probably continuing unsettled and cold, with further rain or showers in all areas, and a risk of snow and widespread frost at times.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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UK Outlook for Friday 16 Mar 2018 to Sunday 25 Mar 2018:

For Friday, outbreaks of rain are likely to affect some northern and eastern areas, where gales are possible too. The rain is likely to gradually fragment as showery conditions already in the south and west, spread slowly eastwards with time. Over the weekend slightly more settled conditions may develop across the whole country, but with a risk of rain and gales returning to the west and south, while in the north and east some snow showers are possible. It may become rather cold for most, with frosts possible. It will be drier, although further wintry showers are likely in the east and northeast, and this is likely to continue towards the end of March. It will be mostly breezy, and gales are likely in the northeast.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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Posted (edited)

 It will be mostly breezy, and gales are likely in the northeast.

If that is what they mean then there is absolutely no indication of a ridge over Scandinavia, more like a marked trough!

Edited by johnholmes

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34 minutes ago, johnholmes said:

 It will be mostly breezy, and gales are likely in the northeast.

If that is what they mean then there is absolutely no indication of a ridge over Scandinavia, more like a marked trough!

‘Screaming’ easterly / northeasterly winds John.  ;)

Makes sense they’re seeing cold coming from the east with mention of snow showers are possible..

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UK Outlook for Saturday 17 Mar 2018 to Monday 26 Mar 2018:

Saturday will begin mainly cloudy with further rain in places. Snow is probable over high ground in the northeast and possibly to lower levels. South and southwestern parts may start off with brighter, showery conditions. Through the weekend it will probably become drier and brighter with the best of the brightness in the northwest, although with a risk of snow showers across the east and southeast. It may become rather cold for most, accentuated by the wind, with widespread frosts possible. Very uncertain into the following week, but with a high chance of colder than normal conditions. Probably mainly dry and bright at first, but becoming rather unsettled heading into the week, with snow possible across central and northern areas at times. Breezy with strong winds occasionally possible for all.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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21 hours ago, johnholmes said:

 It will be mostly breezy, and gales are likely in the northeast.

If that is what they mean then there is absolutely no indication of a ridge over Scandinavia, more like a marked trough!

But all models do indeed show high pressure over scandanavia?

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21 hours ago, johnholmes said:

 It will be mostly breezy, and gales are likely in the northeast.

If that is what they mean then there is absolutely no indication of a ridge over Scandinavia, more like a marked trough!

The ridge looks transitory on the eps john - the scuro trough will become the main feature 

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6 minutes ago, bluearmy said:

The ridge looks transitory on the eps john - the scuro trough will become the main feature 

Transient it maybe but its enough to pull the cold uppers into the UK.

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10 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

Transient it maybe but its enough to pull the cold uppers into the UK.

Yes indeed but the point being is that any ridging up there currently looks unsustainable so winds are expected to strengthen between the developing sceuro trough and mid Atlantic ridging 

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24 minutes ago, bluearmy said:

The ridge looks transitory on the eps john - the scuro trough will become the main feature 

Yes that must be where the NE gales come from.

I note the Met keeping "gales and rain for the west and south" this weekend - I suspect this might be an unwillingness by Exeter to make a knee-jerk reaction to the models this morning - but if the ECM 12Z is on the same page as the 00Z, I think tomorrow they'll be talking less of rain and more of snow even by Saturday.

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UK Outlook for Sunday 18 Mar 2018 to Tuesday 27 Mar 2018:

Very cold through Sunday and Monday with widespread, locally severe, frosts overnight. Quite frequent snow showers for a time across central, eastern and southeastern parts, with a few showers reaching the west. There is a low risk of more persistent snow moving west across southern and some central areas, this more likely on Sunday. The brightest and driest conditions in the northwest, but probably extending across other parts, with snow showers confined to the southeast. Windy for many, accentuating the cold feel. Increasingly uncertain later in the week, but with a high chance of colder than normal conditions, after a short anticyclonic spell with severe frosts in places. Probably becoming rather unsettled and sometimes windy from the west with rain possibly turning to snow as it moves northeastwards.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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Could see some amber warnings being put on in the next two days with the frequency of the snow showers higher than the last beast from the east!

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UK Outlook for Monday 19 Mar 2018 to Wednesday 28 Mar 2018:

Monday will be another very cold day, it will also be largely dry and bright aside from a few snow showers. Gradually, from Tuesday onwards, wet, windy and milder weather is expected to make a return, particularly in the north where rain is likely to be preceded by a spell of snow. In the south it should remain dry, bright and cold with some sunshine. However, later in the week, wet and windy weather is likely to push across all parts before we see a return to colder and brighter weather by the weekend. Into the following week there is significant uncertainty in the forecast but a blocked or only slowly changing weather pattern seems most likely.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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Latest weather on BBC News preseter stated that the Met Office are becoming concerned about some substantial snowfall over the weekend did not state were though

C.S

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UK Outlook for Tuesday 20 Mar 2018 to Thursday 29 Mar 2018:

After a few very cold days, temperatures will slowly start to recover through the start of this period. Tuesday and Wednesday will be largely cloudy but mostly dry aside from a few showers. Some spells of wet and windy weather are then expected to arrive from the west later in the week, with rain likely to be preceded by a spell of snow in the north. Inbetween spells of wet and windy weather, there will be some drier, brighter but colder interludes. Into the following week there is significant uncertainty in the forecast but a blocked or only slowly changing weather pattern seems most likely with the wettest weather likely to be in the south and the greatest chance of any snow in the north.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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UK Outlook for Wednesday 21 Mar 2018 to Friday 30 Mar 2018:

There will be a frosty start for some on Wednesday, especially in the east. Otherwise it will be a largely dry day with sunny spells for many before strong winds and a band of rain pushes into the northwest later. This band of cloud and rain will then spread across all parts on Thursday, followed by blustery showers in the west. Low pressure is then likely to be in charge of our weather for the rest of the period bringing spells of rain, especially across the south and southwest. Inbetween spells of rain there will be some drier, brighter and colder interludes. After a cold start to this period, temperatures will tend to recover before it then turns rather cold from the west again later, giving a chance of frost.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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An error with the dates not updating the below is for the 22nd to 31st

After a clear frosty start across southern areas on Thursday, a band of cloud and rain will spread across all parts, followed by blustery showers, these heaviest in the northwest. Showers will die out on Friday as thicker cloud and rain spreads in from the west, becoming windy. While daytime temperatures will recover to around normal, for a time we may still see overnight frosts. By the weekend it will turn unsettled and rather cold across most parts with some prolonged outbreaks of rain, particularly in western areas. Low pressure is expected to be close to the UK by the start of Easter week, with a mixture of showers, more prolonged spells of rain and some snow likely in the north.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

 

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UK Outlook for Friday 23 Mar 2018 to Sunday 1 Apr 2018:

The end of the week is likely to be unsettled with showers or longer spells of rain, interspersed by periods of drier, brighter, and sunnier weather. It will often be windy with a coastal gales, at times, and a low risk of severe gales on Friday. Temperatures will be near to normal but locally rather cold, with a risk of overnight frosts. As we head into the final week of March the UK's weather is likely to stay changeable, but with slightly longer periods of drier and bright weather. There remains uncertainty for the Easter Weekend, but there is a signal that we could see weather patterns becoming slow-moving or stalled by cold air and high pressure in the northeast.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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UK Outlook for Saturday 24 Mar 2018 to Monday 2 Apr 2018:

The weekend will be unsettled with sunshine and showers for most, although some longer spells of rain are possible, with perhaps some hill snow in the north. It will be windy, with coastal gales at first. Temperatures will be slightly below normal and locally rather cold, with a risk of overnight frosts, chiefly in the north. During the final week of March the UK's weather is likely to stay changeable, with showers and rain at times, interspersed by drier and brighter interludes. There remains some uncertainty in the forecast for the Easter Weekend, but we are likely to see slow moving weather systems across the UK, with wetter weather more probable in the south. and with drier, colder conditions in the north albeit with a risk of snow at times.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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UK Outlook for Sunday 25 Mar 2018 to Tuesday 3 Apr 2018:

There will be sunshine and showers for most on Sunday, and some of these could be heavy and slow-moving with a risk of hail and thunder. Through the early part of next week the weather is likely to become changeable once again, with showers and rain at times, interspersed by drier and brighter interludes. Temperatures will be near average or rather cold during the day, with a risk of overnight frosts. The Easter weekend is still too far away to be confident with any details. The most likely scenario currently is a spell of colder than average weather, with increased likelihood of overnight frosts, and a greater than normal chance of snow, especially in the north.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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UK Outlook for Monday 26 Mar 2018 to Wednesday 4 Apr 2018:

There will be sunshine and showers on Monday, though rain is likely to spread in from the west later and through into Tuesday. Sunshine and showers following, these falling as snow over the high ground in the north. For the rest of this period, the weather will remain changeable, with showers and rain at times, interspersed by drier and brighter interludes. Snow may also occur at times, more especially in the north. Temperatures are likely to be rather cold, with a risk of overnight frosts. The Easter weekend is too far away to be confident with any details. The most likely scenario currently is a spell of colder than average weather, with increased likelihood of overnight frosts, and a greater than normal chance of snow showers, especially in the north.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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