Meto Uk Further Outlook

[Summer Sun]

Monday 3 Aug - Wednesday 12 Aug

There are some fairly strong signals that unsettled conditions are likely to continue through into the first half of August, with outbreaks of rain and scattered showers affecting all parts of the United Kingdom at times. The heaviest and most prolonged spells of rain are likely to be focussed towards the northwest, where it may also become quite windy at times with a risk of gales in exposed locations. However, there should still be some drier and brighter spells in between the outbreaks of rain, with the driest of these conditions expected towards the southeast. Temperatures are likely to be slightly below average for this time of year, but perhaps near normal towards the southeast.

Thursday 13 Aug - Thursday 27 Aug

This period is likely to see a mixture of dry and settled conditions, interspersed with occasional bouts of wetter and windier weather. The majority of the unsettled weather should most likely be in the north and west, with the south and east seeing the driest conditions, especially later on this period. Temperatures are likely to be around the average for this time of year, with any particularly warm weather being short-lived and generally towards the south or southeast. Looking further ahead into late-August, there are some tentative signs that conditions could become more widely dry and settled across the UK.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

[Summer Sun]

Monday 3 Aug - Wednesday 12 Aug

There are some fairly strong signals that unsettled conditions are likely to continue through into the first half of August, with outbreaks of rain and scattered showers affecting all parts of the United Kingdom at times. The heaviest and most prolonged spells of rain are likely to be focussed towards the northwest, where it may also become quite windy at times with a risk of gales in exposed locations. However, there should still be some drier and brighter spells in between the outbreaks of rain, with the driest of these conditions expected towards the southeast. Temperatures are likely to be slightly below average for this time of year, but perhaps near normal towards the southeast.

Thursday 13 Aug - Thursday 27 Aug

This period is likely to see a mixture of dry and settled conditions, interspersed with occasional bouts of wetter and windier weather. The majority of the unsettled weather should most likely be in the north and west, with the south and east seeing the driest conditions, especially later on this period. Temperatures are likely to be around the average for this time of year, with any particularly warm weather being short-lived and generally towards the south or southeast. Looking further ahead into late-August, there are some tentative signs that conditions could become more widely dry and settled across the UK.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

[DAVID SNOW]

3 hours ago, Summer Sun said:

Monday 3 Aug - Wednesday 12 Aug

There are some fairly strong signals that unsettled conditions are likely to continue through into the first half of August, with outbreaks of rain and scattered showers affecting all parts of the United Kingdom at times. The heaviest and most prolonged spells of rain are likely to be focussed towards the northwest, where it may also become quite windy at times with a risk of gales in exposed locations. However, there should still be some drier and brighter spells in between the outbreaks of rain, with the driest of these conditions expected towards the southeast. Temperatures are likely to be slightly below average for this time of year, but perhaps near normal towards the southeast.

Thursday 13 Aug - Thursday 27 Aug

This period is likely to see a mixture of dry and settled conditions, interspersed with occasional bouts of wetter and windier weather. The majority of the unsettled weather should most likely be in the north and west, with the south and east seeing the driest conditions, especially later on this period. Temperatures are likely to be around the average for this time of year, with any particularly warm weather being short-lived and generally towards the south or southeast. Looking further ahead into late-August, there are some tentative signs that conditions could become more widely dry and settled across the UK.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Automated updates?

Staff all gone on holiday?

 

[Stuart]

There probably updates tomorrow there be waiting for a few days 

[northwestsnow]

Waiting to see if Exeter move away from the unsettled outlook !!

[Summer Sun]

Wednesday 5 Aug - Friday 14 Aug

There are increasing signs that many parts will become drier, brighter and very warm towards the end of next week with the possibility of hot conditions developing again in southeastern areas. However, northwestern parts will probably stay more unsettled with further rain at times. Somewhat cooler conditions may follow from the west over the weekend, perhaps preceded by showers or thunderstorms. For the following week, a fair amount of dry, bright warm weather looks likely for much of the UK with the possibility of some further very warm weather, especially in the southeast. There may well be more changeable, breezy interludes with some rain or showers, more especially for northwestern areas where temperatures will be generally nearer normal.

Saturday 15 Aug - Saturday 29 Aug

This period is likely to see a mixture of dry and settled conditions, interspersed with occasional bouts of wetter and windier weather. The majority of the unsettled weather seems more likely to be in the northwest, with the south and southeast seeing the driest conditions. Temperatures will probably be around or slightly above the average for this time of year. There may be further short lived very warm spells, these more likely across the south or southeast. There are some tentative signs that conditions could become more widely dry and settled across the UK towards the end of the month.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

[northwestsnow]

Booom !!

A change in emphasis at last ..

[mb018538]

3 hours ago, northwestsnow said:

Booom !!

A change in emphasis at last ..

Even yesterday that forecast looked dreadful given the change in model output. Another one for the bin.

[joggs]

What took them so long?......

[Don]

1 hour ago, mb018538 said:

Even yesterday that forecast looked dreadful given the change in model output. Another one for the bin.

It seems the Metoffice like to remain cautious before committing.  I suspect the south east will see temps approaching 100f again next week.  Would never have said that a few days ago!

[Summer Sun]

Thursday 6 Aug - Saturday 15 Aug

There are increasing signs that many parts will become drier, brighter and very warm towards the end of next week with the possibility of hot conditions developing again in southeastern areas. However, northwestern parts will probably stay more unsettled with further rain at times. Somewhat cooler conditions may follow from the west over the weekend, perhaps preceded by showers or thunderstorms. For the following week, a fair amount of dry, bright warm weather looks likely for much of the UK with the possibility of some further very warm weather, especially in the southeast. There may well be more changeable, breezy interludes with some rain or showers, more especially for northwestern areas where temperatures will be generally nearer normal.

Sunday 16 Aug - Sunday 30 Aug

This period is likely to see a mixture of dry and settled conditions, interspersed with occasional bouts of wetter and windier weather. The majority of the unsettled weather seems more likely to be in the northwest, with the south and southeast seeing the driest conditions. Temperatures will probably be around or slightly above the average for this time of year. There may be further short lived very warm spells, these more likely across the south or southeast. There are some tentative signs that conditions could become more widely dry and settled across the UK towards the end of the month.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

[Summer Sun]

Thursday 6 Aug - Saturday 15 Aug

There are increasing signs that many parts will become drier, brighter and very warm towards the end of next week with the possibility of hot conditions developing again in southeastern areas. However, northwestern parts will probably stay more unsettled with further rain at times. Somewhat cooler conditions may follow from the west over the weekend, perhaps preceded by showers or thunderstorms. For the following week, a fair amount of dry, bright warm weather looks likely for much of the UK with the possibility of some further very warm weather, especially in the southeast. There may well be more changeable, breezy interludes with some rain or showers, more especially for northwestern areas where temperatures will be generally nearer normal.

Sunday 16 Aug - Sunday 30 Aug

This period is likely to see a mixture of dry and settled conditions, interspersed with occasional bouts of wetter and windier weather. The majority of the unsettled weather seems more likely to be in the northwest, with the south and southeast seeing the driest conditions. Temperatures will probably be around or slightly above the average for this time of year. There may be further short lived very warm spells, these more likely across the south or southeast. There are some tentative signs that conditions could become more widely dry and settled across the UK towards the end of the month.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

[Summer Sun]

Saturday 8 Aug - Monday 17 Aug

Over the weekend, there should be a good deal of sunny and very warm weather across the UK, with the hottest conditions likely to be in the southeast. Most places will be dry, although there is a small risk that some isolated thunderstorms may break out, especially across the south of the UK. Moving into the following week, a fair amount of dry, bright and warm weather looks likely for much of the UK with a possibility of some further very warm weather, especially in the southeast. More changeable, breezy interludes with some rain or showers are possible at times in the period, more especially for the northwest of the UK where temperatures will be nearer normal.

Tuesday 18 Aug - Tuesday 1 Sep

This period is likely to see a mixture of dry and settled conditions, interspersed with occasional bouts of wetter and windier weather. The majority of the unsettled weather seems more likely to be in the northwest, with the south and southeast seeing the driest conditions. Temperatures will probably be around or slightly above the average for this time of year. There may be further short lived very warm spells, these more likely across the south or southeast. There are some tentative signs that conditions could become more widely dry and settled across the UK towards the end of the month.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

[Summer Sun]

Sunday 9 Aug - Tuesday 18 Aug

There should be a gradual change in conditions through this period as the warm or very warm weather will most likely be displaced east and southeastwards. It will be replaced by fresher, changeable conditions from the west. There should still be a good deal of fine and dry weather across the UK through the period. However, there is a continued risk of heavy showers and thunderstorms in many areas, particularly across the south earlier on in the period. It will be widely warm or very warm at the start of the period, and it could be hot in the southeast at times. Towards the end of the period, temperatures will trend back to near the average for most areas, with the southeast possibly staying warm

Wednesday 19 Aug - Wednesday 2 Sep

Confidence remains fairly low for the last two weeks of August and into early September. The south is most likely to see the best of any fine and dry weather as westerlies and southwesterlies dominate. Elsewhere could see some periods of dry and settled weather interspersed with occasional bouts of wetter and windier weather, primarily from Atlantic frontal systems. The wettest and windiest conditions will most likely be towards the northwest, with the southeast staying driest. Temperatures will be most likely around average or slightly above. There could be some short-lived very warm spells, most likely confined to the south and southeast of the UK.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

[Summer Sun]

Monday 10 Aug - Wednesday 19 Aug

There should be a gradual change in conditions through this period as the warm or very warm weather will most likely be displaced east and southeastwards. It will be replaced by fresher, changeable conditions from the west. There should still be a good deal of fine and dry weather across the UK through the period. However, there is a continued risk of heavy showers and thunderstorms in many areas, particularly across the south earlier on in the period. It will be widely warm or very warm at the start of the period, and it could be hot in the southeast at times. Towards the end of the period, temperatures will trend back to near the average for most areas, with the southeast possibly staying warm.

Thursday 20 Aug - Thursday 3 Sep

Confidence remains fairly low for this period. The south is most likely to see the best of any fine and dry weather as westerlies and southwesterlies dominate. Elsewhere could see some periods of dry and settled weather interspersed with occasional bouts of wetter and windier weather, primarily from Atlantic frontal systems. The wettest and windiest conditions will most likely be towards the northwest, with the southeast staying driest. Temperatures will be most likely around average or slightly above. There could be some short-lived very warm spells, most likely confined to the south and southeast of the UK.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

[Summer Sun]

Tuesday 11 Aug - Thursday 20 Aug

There should be a gradual change in conditions through this period as the warm or very warm weather will most likely be displaced east and southeastwards. It will be replaced by fresher, changeable conditions from the west. There should still be a good deal of fine and dry weather across the UK through the period. However, there is a continued risk of heavy showers and thunderstorms in many areas, particularly across the south earlier on in the period. It will be widely warm or very warm at the start of the period, and it could be hot in the southeast at times. Towards the end of the period, temperatures will trend back to near the average for most areas, with the southeast possibly staying warm.

Friday 21 Aug - Friday 4 Sep

Confidence remains fairly low for this period. The south is most likely to see the best of any fine and dry weather as westerlies and southwesterlies dominate. Elsewhere could see some periods of dry and settled weather interspersed with occasional bouts of wetter and windier weather, primarily from Atlantic frontal systems. The wettest and windiest conditions will most likely be towards the northwest, with the southeast staying driest. Temperatures will be most likely around average or slightly above. There could be some short-lived very warm spells, most likely confined to the south and southeast of the UK.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

[Summer Sun]

Tuesday 11 Aug - Thursday 20 Aug

There should be a gradual change in conditions through this period as the warm or very warm weather will most likely be displaced east and southeastwards. It will be replaced by fresher, changeable conditions from the west. There should still be a good deal of fine and dry weather across the UK through the period. However, there is a continued risk of heavy showers and thunderstorms in many areas, particularly across the south earlier on in the period. It will be widely warm or very warm at the start of the period, and it could be hot in the southeast at times. Towards the end of the period, temperatures will trend back to near the average for most areas, with the southeast possibly staying warm.

Friday 21 Aug - Friday 4 Sep

Confidence remains fairly low for this period. The south is most likely to see the best of any fine and dry weather as westerlies and southwesterlies dominate. Elsewhere could see some periods of dry and settled weather interspersed with occasional bouts of wetter and windier weather, primarily from Atlantic frontal systems. The wettest and windiest conditions will most likely be towards the northwest, with the southeast staying driest. Temperatures will be most likely around average or slightly above. There could be some short-lived very warm spells, most likely confined to the south and southeast of the UK.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

[Summer Sun]

Thursday 13 Aug - Saturday 22 Aug

Warm or very warm for many through to the end of next week, although cooler and fresher conditions will gradually move in from the west. A mixture of sunny spells and showers is expected, with a risk of some heavy downpours and thunderstorms. Over the weekend and into the following week, more settled, drier conditions will probably become established, although some thundery showers may still affect the southeast at first and there is a chance of thicker cloud bringing outbreaks of rain to the northwest at times. Fog patches are possible overnight for many although these will quickly clear through the mornings. Temperatures are likely to be warm for most parts of the UK well into the middle of August.

Sunday 23 Aug - Sunday 6 Sep

Confidence is low for this period. Northwestern areas of the UK will probably be changeable with periods of cloudy skies, outbreaks of rain and strengthening winds interspersed with drier, brighter spells. Further south and southeast it is likely to be drier and warmer with more in the way of sunshine. Hot conditions may affect the southeast at times, bringing a risk of thunderstorms which may spread further north at times. Towards the end of August and into early September, more changeable and cooler conditions may become more widely established across the UK as a whole.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

[Don]

An upgrade for heat lovers there.  I hope cooler and more changeable conditions do become established towards the end of the month.  Would be nice to have a cool September, following a hot August similar to 1995.

[Summer Sun]

Friday 14 Aug - Sunday 23 Aug

Warm or very warm for many through to the end of next week, although cooler and fresher conditions will gradually move in from the west. A mixture of sunny spells and showers is expected, with a risk of some heavy downpours and thunderstorms. Over the weekend and into the following week, more settled, drier conditions will probably become established, although some thundery showers may still affect the southeast at first and there is a chance of thicker cloud bringing outbreaks of rain to the northwest at times. Fog patches are possible overnight for many although these will quickly clear through the mornings. Temperatures are likely to be warm for most parts of the UK well into the middle of August.

Monday 24 Aug - Monday 7 Sep

Confidence is low for this period. Northwestern areas of the UK will probably be changeable with periods of cloudy skies, outbreaks of rain and strengthening winds interspersed with drier, brighter spells. Further south and southeast it is likely to be drier and warmer with more in the way of sunshine. Hot conditions may affect the southeast at times, bringing a risk of thunderstorms which may spread further north at times. Towards the end of August and into early September, more changeable and cooler conditions may become more widely established across the UK as a whole.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

[Summer Sun]

Saturday 15 Aug - Monday 24 Aug

Warm or very warm for many through to the end of next week, although cooler and fresher conditions will gradually move in from the west. A mixture of sunny spells and showers is expected, with a risk of some heavy downpours and thunderstorms. Over the weekend and into the following week, more settled, drier conditions will probably become established, although some thundery showers may still affect the southeast at first and there is a chance of thicker cloud bringing outbreaks of rain to the northwest at times. Fog patches are possible overnight for many although these will quickly clear through the mornings. Temperatures are likely to be warm for most parts of the UK well into the middle of August.

Tuesday 25 Aug - Tuesday 8 Sep

Confidence is low for this period. Northwestern areas of the UK will probably be changeable with periods of cloudy skies, outbreaks of rain and strengthening winds interspersed with drier, brighter spells. Further south and southeast it is likely to be drier and warmer with more in the way of sunshine. Hot conditions may affect the southeast at times, bringing a risk of thunderstorms which may spread further north at times. Towards the end of August and into early September, more changeable and cooler conditions may become more widely established across the UK as a whole.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

[Summer Sun]

Sunday 16 Aug - Tuesday 25 Aug

The beginning of the period should see settled conditions persisting with cloudy and humid conditions interspersed with sunny spells. Some light rain may spread north-westwards at times towards the middle of August. Southern and southeastern areas may see further periods of hot weather and thunderstorms at times throughout the period. Elsewhere it is likely to remain warm or very warm though cooler than last week. Fog patches are possible overnight for many which should readily clear during the mornings. Northwestern areas may see more changeable conditions developing towards the end of the period with a mixture of windier and wetter days mingled with drier days. Eastern and northeastern areas are likely to remain more settled throughout.

Wednesday 26 Aug - Wednesday 9 Sep

Although confidence is low for this period, conditions will likely become more changeable with periods of rain and breezier days at times at the end of August and into September, with temperatures returning to around average for the time of year. However, eastern areas will see the best of more settled weather with lighter winds and drier days. There is a possibility that some southern regions will turn very warm with thunderstorms at times.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

[Don]

3 hours ago, Summer Sun said:

Wednesday 26 Aug - Wednesday 9 Sep

There is a possibility that some southern regions will turn very warm with thunderstorms at times.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

Enough’s enough!!

Edited August 11, 2020 by Don

[Summer Sun]

Monday 17 Aug - Wednesday 26 Aug

The beginning of the period should see settled conditions persisting with cloudy and humid conditions interspersed with sunny spells. Some light rain may spread north-westwards at times towards the middle of August. Southern and southeastern areas may see further periods of hot weather and thunderstorms at times throughout the period. Elsewhere it is likely to remain warm or very warm though cooler than last week. Fog patches are possible overnight for many which should readily clear during the mornings. Northwestern areas may see more changeable conditions developing towards the end of the period with a mixture of windier and wetter days mingled with drier days. Eastern and northeastern areas are likely to remain more settled throughout.

Thursday 27 Aug - Thursday 10 Sep

Although confidence is low for this period, conditions will likely become more changeable with periods of rain and breezier days at times at the end of August and into September, with temperatures returning to around average for the time of year. However, eastern areas will see the best of more settled weather with lighter winds and drier days. There is a possibility that some southern regions will turn very warm with thunderstorms at times.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

[Summer Sun]

Tuesday 18 Aug - Thursday 27 Aug

The beginning of this period is likely to be generally unsettled, with showers and longer spells of rain at times. There is also a low chance that there could be some further thundery weather, although this would most likely be confined towards the southeast of the UK. It is likely to be windier than of late, especially in the west where there is also a risk of gales. Temperatures should start rather warm for many, despite the spells of unsettled weather. However, temperatures may cool slightly by the end of this period as the low pressure system, which was situated over the west of the UK, pushes towards the east and allows for a freshening breeze to develop from the northwest.

Friday 28 Aug - Friday 11 Sep

Although confidence is low for this period, it is likely that conditions will become more changeable with settled days interspersed with periods of rain and strengthening winds, especially in the northwest. However, the east and southeast will perhaps remain slightly more settled throughout with temperatures around or above average. There is also a possibility for southern regions to turn very warm at times, with a potential for thunderstorms to develop.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/