Meto Uk Further Outlook

[Summer Sun]

Wednesday 4 Dec - Friday 13 Dec

Much of England and Wales settled at first with areas of fog developing which will locally persist for much of the day on Wednesday and Thursday. Some bright or sunny spells are possible, particularly around coasts. Further northwest, increasingly unsettled conditions are expected to develop during Wednesday with wet and windy weather transferring slowly southeast through Thursday and Friday. Over the weekend and into the following week, the changeable theme is likely to persist with spells of more organised cloud, rain and stronger winds followed by some brighter, showery and colder interludes. The heaviest rainfall is likely across the northwest with snow over northern hills, possibly to lower levels at times. Temperatures are likely to remain at or slightly below normal with occasional milder interludes mainly in the south.

Friday 13 Dec - Friday 27 Dec

Although confidence is low for this period, the unsettled conditions are expected to continue, bringing some rain with interludes of cold but bright weather alongside a risk of showers. There is a continued chance of further wintry showers on high ground in the north. Temperatures will likely tend towards average, or just above, for this time of year. Towards the end of 2019 there is a possibility that we will see a transition to some longer, more settled and colder periods.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

[northwestsnow]

S word to low levels in the northwest !!

Upgrade!!

 

[phil nw.]

23 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

Wednesday 4 Dec - Friday 13 Dec

Much of England and Wales settled at first with areas of fog developing which will locally persist for much of the day on Wednesday and Thursday. Some bright or sunny spells are possible, particularly around coasts. Further northwest, increasingly unsettled conditions are expected to develop during Wednesday with wet and windy weather transferring slowly southeast through Thursday and Friday. Over the weekend and into the following week, the changeable theme is likely to persist with spells of more organised cloud, rain and stronger winds followed by some brighter, showery and colder interludes. The heaviest rainfall is likely across the northwest with snow over northern hills, possibly to lower levels at times. Temperatures are likely to remain at or slightly below normal with occasional milder interludes mainly in the south.

Friday 13 Dec - Friday 27 Dec

Although confidence is low for this period, the unsettled conditions are expected to continue, bringing some rain with interludes of cold but bright weather alongside a risk of showers. There is a continued chance of further wintry showers on high ground in the north. Temperatures will likely tend towards average, or just above, for this time of year. Towards the end of 2019 there is a possibility that we will see a transition to some longer, more settled and colder periods.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

That last sentence suggests they have one eye on the weaker strat.vortex and continuing wave attacks on it.This keeps open the chances of further amplification in the pattern or perhaps blocking at higher latitudes,

A long way out but will be enlightening to see if this idea remains in the MO outlook as we go forward.

[damianslaw]

Reading between the lines, it suggests to me the Met are definately seeing signals of a possible colder pattern predominating as we move through December, and would therefore not be surprised to see them slant more to such a scenario in future updates over coming days, equally the forecasts could stay conservative..

[Summer Sun]

Thursday 5 Dec - Saturday 14 Dec

A north and south split on Thursday, with the south seeing some cold, frosty and settled weather. The far north should see some blustery showers, which will be replaced by more extensive cloudier, windier weather with the northwest upslopes seeing the heaviest rain. Temperatures nearer to normal than recently. Over the weekend and into the following week, a more changeable theme is likely with spells of more organised cloud, rain and stronger winds followed by some brighter, showery and colder interludes. The heaviest rainfall is likely across the northwest with snow over northern hills, possibly to lower levels at times. Temperatures are likely to remain at or slightly below normal with occasional milder interludes mainly in the south.

Saturday 14 Dec - Saturday 28 Dec

Although confidence is low for this period, the unsettled conditions are expected to continue. There will be some rain with interludes of cold but bright weather alongside a risk of showers. There is a continued chance of further wintry showers on high ground in the north. Temperatures will likely tend towards average, or just above, for this time of year. Towards the end of 2019 there is a possibility that we will see a transition to some longer, more settled and colder periods.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

[Summer Sun]

Friday 6 Dec - Sunday 15 Dec

Thick cloud and hill fog will move south across much of the UK on Friday, accompanied by periods of rain. Showers will follow behind, these turning wintery in northern Scotland. A milder day and night compared to recently, with most areas frost free, away from the far north. Over the weekend and into the following week, a more changeable theme is likely with spells of more organised cloud, rain and stronger winds followed by some brighter, showery and colder interludes. The heaviest rainfall is likely across the northwest with snow over northern hills, possibly to lower levels at times. Temperatures are likely to remain at or slightly below normal with occasional milder interludes, mainly in the south.

Sunday 15 Dec - Sunday 29 Dec

Although confidence is low for this period, the unsettled conditions are expected to continue. There will be some rain with interludes of cold but bright weather alongside a risk of showers. There is a continued chance of further wintry showers on high ground in the north. Temperatures will likely tend towards average, or just above, for this time of year. Towards the end of 2019 there is a possibility that we will see a transition to some longer, more settled and colder periods.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

[Summer Sun]

Saturday 7 Dec - Monday 16 Dec

On Saturday morning there may be a return to widespread frost for many parts of the UK, though it will likely turn much milder by the end of the day. There may be a few showers in the northeast, which should clear quickly to leave a mostly dry day everywhere. Overnight, strong winds and rain should approach from the west. Into the next week, the more changeable theme is likely to persist with spells of more organised cloud, rain and stronger winds followed by some brighter, showery and colder interludes. The heaviest rainfall is likely across the northwest with snow over northern hills, possibly to lower levels at times. Temperatures are likely to remain at or slightly below normal with occasional milder interludes, mainly in the south.

Monday 16 Dec - Monday 30 Dec

Although confidence is low for this period, the unsettled conditions are expected to continue. There will be some rain with interludes of cold but bright weather alongside a risk of showers. There is a continued chance of further wintry showers on high ground in the north. Temperatures will likely tend towards average, or just above, for this time of year. Towards the end of 2019, there is a possibility that we will see a transition to some longer, more settled and colder periods.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

[ItNeverSnowsInWindsor]

All eyes on the update today! 

[ItNeverSnowsInWindsor]

The forecast has changed and it’s an upgrade for next week! 

Edited December 3, 2019 by prolongedSnowLover

[ItNeverSnowsInWindsor]

.deleted

Edited December 3, 2019 by prolongedSnowLover

[Summer Sun]

Sunday 8 Dec - Tuesday 17 Dec

On Sunday, rain and transient mountain snow will cross the UK, followed by blustery showers, heaviest in the west. It should be windy with the risk of coastal gales. Into the next week, the more unsettled theme is likely to persist with longer spells of rain and showers with drier interludes remaining short-lived. Initially mild, temperatures are more likely to soon dip below normal, allowing an increasing risk of wintry showers the further north you go. Also a low risk of more widespread snow on northern edge of rain bands. Strong winds possible across the UK, especially in the south. Frost and freezing fog possible, particularly in the north. Temperatures may begin to recover by the end of the period.

Tuesday 17 Dec - Tuesday 31 Dec

A more changeable spell is expected during this period, with the greatest potential for heavy rain in the south and east at first, with any snow becoming confined to northern hills. A more typical northwest/southeast split looks likely to develop with time bringing rain to the northwest interspersed with showers, and drier periods further south. This would be accompanied by a general upturn in temperatures, as well as the risk of strong winds at times.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Edited December 3, 2019 by Summer Sun

[mountain shadow]

2 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

Sunday 8 Dec - Tuesday 17 Dec

On Sunday, rain and transient mountain snow will cross the UK, followed by blustery showers, heaviest in the west. It should be windy with the risk of coastal gales. Into the next week, the more unsettled theme is likely to persist with longer spells of rain and showers with drier interludes remaining short-lived. Initially mild, temperatures are more likely to soon dip below normal, allowing an increasing risk of wintry showers the further north you go. Also a low risk of more widespread snow on northern edge of rain bands. Strong winds possible across the UK, especially in the south. Frost and freezing fog possible, particularly in the north. Temperatures may begin to recover by the end of the period.

Tuesday 17 Dec - Tuesday 31 Dec

A more changeable spell is expected during this period, with the greatest potential for heavy rain in the south and east at first, with any snow becoming confined to northern hills. A more typical northwest/southeast split looks likely to develop with time bringing rain to the northwest interspersed with showers, and drier periods further south. This would be accompanied by a general upturn in temperatures, as well as the risk of strong winds at times.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Well, they've dropped the reference to colder and drier in the extended, so looks like the Atlantic will be piling through again.

[Don]

28 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

Sunday 8 Dec - Tuesday 17 Dec

On Sunday, rain and transient mountain snow will cross the UK, followed by blustery showers, heaviest in the west. It should be windy with the risk of coastal gales. Into the next week, the more unsettled theme is likely to persist with longer spells of rain and showers with drier interludes remaining short-lived. Initially mild, temperatures are more likely to soon dip below normal, allowing an increasing risk of wintry showers the further north you go. Also a low risk of more widespread snow on northern edge of rain bands. Strong winds possible across the UK, especially in the south. Frost and freezing fog possible, particularly in the north. Temperatures may begin to recover by the end of the period.

Tuesday 17 Dec - Tuesday 31 Dec

A more changeable spell is expected during this period, with the greatest potential for heavy rain in the south and east at first, with any snow becoming confined to northern hills. A more typical northwest/southeast split looks likely to develop with time bringing rain to the northwest interspersed with showers, and drier periods further south. This would be accompanied by a general upturn in temperatures, as well as the risk of strong winds at times.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Short term gain, long term pain!  Either way, not looking particularly good for snow in the south, although subject to change of course.

[joggs]

Well that dry colder spell at the end of dec lasted long lolol.

Just shows how volatile these forecasts are and weather.

[Don]

4 minutes ago, joggs said:

Well that dry colder spell at the end of dec lasted long lolol.

Just shows how volatile these forecasts are and weather.

That’s just it, who knows where we’re heading?!

[Summer Sun]

Monday 9 Dec - Wednesday 18 Dec

Unsettled with blustery showers on Monday, and these could turn wintry over higher ground in the north. The heaviest showers will be seen along North Sea coastal areas, with the northwest staying dry. It will be rather cold with some patchy frost overnight. The more unsettled theme is likely to persist with showers or longer spells of rain, with drier interludes remaining short-lived. Initially mild, temperatures are more likely to soon dip below normal, allowing an increasing risk of wintry showers the further north you go. Also a low risk of more widespread snow on the northern edge of rain bands. Strong winds possible across the UK, especially further south. Frost and freezing fog possible, particularly in the north. Temperatures may begin to recover by the end of the period.

Wednesday 18 Dec - Wednesday 1 Jan

A more changeable spell is expected during this period, with the greatest potential for heavy rain in the south and east at first, with any snow becoming confined to northern hills. A more typical northwest/southeast split looks likely to develop with time bringing rain to the northwest interspersed with showers, and drier periods further south. This would be accompanied by a general upturn in temperatures, as well as the risk of strong winds at times.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

[bluearmy]

Also a low risk of more widespread snow on the northern edge of rain bands. 
 

Clever phrase to use Imo 

[Summer Sun]

Tuesday 10 Dec - Thursday 19 Dec

After a cold night, wet and windy weather will arrive in the west by dawn before quickly spreading east across the UK. Most areas will see rain throughout the day, with transient hill snow in the north. Rain will clear most places later to leave blustery, heavy showers. The unsettled theme is likely to continue into next weekend with showers or longer spells of rain throughout. Any drier interludes are likely to be short-lived in any one place. Temperatures look likely to dip below normal, allowing for an increased risk of wintry showers further north. There is also a low risk of widespread snow on the northern edge of rain bands. Strong winds are possible across the UK, especially further south. Frost and freezing fog possible, particularly in the north.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

No update to the longer range forecast as of 14:50

[Summer Sun]

Thursday 19 Dec - Thursday 2 Jan

A more changeable spell is expected during this period, with the greatest potential for heavy rain in the south and east at first, with any snow becoming confined to northern hills. A more typical northwest/southeast split looks likely to develop with time bringing rain to the northwest interspersed with showers, and drier periods further south. This could be accompanied by a general upturn in temperatures, as well as the risk of strong winds at times.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

[phil nw.]

They now expect the jet to angle more sw-ne later by the looks then,hence the expectation of higher temperatures at the end.

[ItNeverSnowsInWindsor]

Old news that. Need something to change dramatically to avoid the storms and floods looking likely currently!

Edited December 5, 2019 by prolongedSnowLover

[Don]

1 hour ago, phil nw. said:

They now expect the jet to angle more sw-ne later by the looks then,hence the expectation of higher temperatures at the end.

Yep, back to typical mild zonal dross....

[Summer Sun]

Wednesday 11 Dec - Friday 20 Dec

An unsettled picture for Wednesday with blustery showers and bright spells. Showers may merge to longer spells of rain in the south, some turning heavy with a risk of thunder and hail. Further north, staying windy with a chance for some wintry showers over the hills. The changeable theme looks to continue over the next few weeks with showers or longer spells of rain throughout. Any drier interludes are likely to be short-lived in any one place. Temperatures look likely to dip below normal, increasing the risk of wintry showers further north. There is also a low risk of widespread snow on the northern edge of rain bands. Strong winds are possible across the UK, with risk of coastal gales. Frost and freezing fog possible too, particularly in the north.

Friday 20 Dec - Friday 3 Jan

A more changeable spell is expected towards the end of December, with the greatest potential for heavy rain in the south and east at first, with any snow becoming confined to northern hills. A more typical northwest/southeast split looks likely to develop into the New Year bringing rain to the northwest interspersed with showers, and drier periods further south. This could be accompanied by a general upturn in temperatures, as well as the risk of strong winds at times.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

[Summer Sun]

Thursday 12 Dec - Saturday 21 Dec

Thursday should see locally heavy showers across the north which may turn wintry over higher ground. Longer spells of rain are possible over central and southern regions. Winds should ease through the day. The changeable theme looks to continue over the next few weeks with showers or longer spells of rain throughout. Any drier interludes are likely to be short-lived in any one place. Temperatures are likely to fall below average, which will increase the risk of wintry showers further north and allow for a low risk of snow along northern edges of rain bands. Some frost and freezing fog is possible at times, mainly across northern regions. Strong winds and a risk of coastal gales throughout the period.

Saturday 21 Dec - Saturday 4 Jan

A more changeable spell is expected towards the end of December, with the greatest potential for heavy rain in the south and east at first, with any snow becoming confined to northern hills. A more typical northwest/southeast split looks likely to develop into the New Year bringing rain to the northwest interspersed with showers, and drier periods further south. This could be accompanied by a general upturn in temperatures, as well as the risk of strong winds at times.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk

[Summer Sun]

Friday 13 Dec - Sunday 22 Dec

Staying unsettled throughout Friday with blustery showers and spells of rain. Some drier or brighter interludes may develop in the afternoon before further rain arrives later. Staying windy, particularly in the south, with a risk of coastal gales. Temperatures near average in the south, but turning colder further north. The changeable theme looks to continue over the next few weeks with showers or spells of rain throughout. Any drier interludes are likely to be short-lived in any one place. Temperatures look likely to fall below average with the risk of wintry showers in the north alongside a low risk of snow along northern edges of rain bands. Some possible frost and freezing fog at times, mainly across northern regions. Strong winds and a risk of coastal gales throughout the period.

Sunday 22 Dec - Sunday 5 Jan

A more changeable spell is expected towards the end of December, with the greatest potential for heavy rain in the south and east at first, with any snow becoming confined to northern hills. A more typical northwest/southeast split looks likely to develop into the New Year bringing rain to the northwest interspersed with showers, and drier periods further south. This could be accompanied by a general upturn in temperatures, as well as the risk of strong winds at times.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/