Meto Uk Further Outlook

[MattStoke]

On ‎05‎/‎10‎/‎2019 at 20:56, damianslaw said:

Suggests a very typical October - trough dominating, never particularly mild or cold, though I suspect the north will be generally under quite cold air at times. Could be a notably wet month as well, especially further west and north. 

A continuation of the summer and early Autumn for here. Utterly miserable.

[Summer Sun]

Sunday 13 Oct - Tuesday 22 Oct

The unsettled theme looks set to continue throughout the period with rain or showers at times. Despite this, there should be some brief interludes of more settled periods, with spells of sunshine by day. It will often be windy, particularly in the north and west of the country, with the threat of gales in places. Southern and eastern parts will often be a little drier with more in the way of brightness. Temperatures will remain around the average for this time of the year, although it will often feel colder in the wind and rain. In the short-lived periods of drier and clearer conditions, there is a potential for some overnight frost or fog. This could be slow to clear by day.

Wednesday 23 Oct - Wednesday 6 Nov

Changeable conditions could well dominate through the end of October and into the start of November, bringing further bouts of wet and windy weather. Some drier and brighter spells are likely, though these may be short-lived. Temperatures will probably be around average for the time of year, though in those drier spells, overnight frost and fog will become more widespread. At the end of the period, the northwest is likely to stay on the wet and windy side, with a greater chance of drier and brighter weather 

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

[damianslaw]

A very uninspiring continued set of forecasts! but also very typical for the time of year.

[Summer Sun]

Monday 14 Oct - Wednesday 23 Oct

Monday morning is likely to be bright, although showers could linger in the southeast. Beyond that, the unsettled theme looks set to continue throughout the period with rain or showers at times. There should be some brief interludes of more settled periods, with spells of sunshine by day. It will often be windy, particularly in the north and west, with gales in places. Southern and eastern parts will often be a little drier with more in the way of brightness. Temperatures will remain around average for this time of the year, although it will often feel colder in the wind and rain. In the short-lived periods of drier and clearer conditions, there is a potential for some overnight frost or fog. This could be slow to clear by day.

Thursday 24 Oct - Thursday 7 Nov

Changeable conditions could well dominate through the end of October and into the start of November, bringing further bouts of wet and windy weather. Some drier and brighter spells are likely, though these may be short-lived. Temperatures will probably be around average for the time of year, though in those drier spells, overnight frost and fog will become more widespread. In early November, the northwest is likely to stay on the wet and windy side, with a greater chance of drier and brighter weather in the southeast, though there is low confidence this far in advance.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

[Summer Sun]

Tuesday 15 Oct - Thursday 24 Oct

Tuesday will be mostly dry with sunny spells; however, the northwest will become wetter and windier later. Beyond that, the unsettled theme looks set to continue with rain or showers at times. There should be some brief episodes of more settled weather, with spells of sunshine by day. It will often be windy, particularly in the north and west, with gales in places. Southern and eastern parts will generally be a little drier with more in the way of brightness. Temperatures should remain around average for this time of the year, although it may feel colder at times in the wind and rain. In the short-lived settled periods of drier and clearer conditions, there is the potential for some overnight frost or fog, which would be slow to clear.

Thursday 24 Oct - Thursday 7 Nov

Changeable conditions could well dominate through the end of October and into the start of November, bringing further bouts of wet and windy weather. Some drier and brighter spells are likely, though these may be short-lived. Temperatures will probably be around average for the time of year, though in those drier spells, overnight frost and fog will become more widespread. In early November, the northwest is likely to stay on the wet and windy side, with a greater chance of drier and brighter weather in the southeast, though there is low confidence this far in advance.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

[northwestsnow]

What a thoroughly depressing update.

Wet and windy basically as far as the eye can see, small chance of the euro high bringing some settled weather in early Nov for the SE..

[Summer Sun]

Wednesday 16 Oct - Friday 25 Oct

Wednesday will be primarily wet and windy with sunny spells, with a risk of coastal gales in the northwest. Beyond that, the unsettled theme looks set to continue with rain or showers at times. There should be some brief episodes of more settled weather, with spells of sunshine. It will often be windy, particularly in the north and west, with gales in places. Southern and eastern parts will generally be a little drier with more in the way of brightness. Temperatures should remain around average for this time of the year, although it may feel colder at times in the wind and rain. In the short-lived settled periods of drier and clearer conditions, there is the potential for some overnight frost or fog, which would be slow to clear.

Saturday 26 Oct - Saturday 9 Nov

Changeable conditions could well dominate through the end of October and into the start of November, bringing further bouts of wet and windy weather. Some drier and brighter spells are likely, though these may be short-lived. Temperatures will probably be around average for the time of year, though in those drier spells, overnight frost and fog will become more widespread. In early November, the west is likely to stay on the wet and windy side, with an increasing chance of drier and brighter weather in the east. Temperatures under these conditions would feel mild by day and cool by night. Early signs for mid November indicate a return to frequent bands of rain and strong winds moving from west to east, though there is low confidence at this stage.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

[Summer Sun]

Thursday 17 Oct - Saturday 26 Oct

Sunny spells and scattered showers on Thursday, with the best of the sunshine in southern and eastern parts. The northwest may see heavy thundery showers, with a risk of coastal gales. Beyond that, the unsettled theme looks set to continue with rain or showers at times. There should be some brief episodes of more settled weather and sunny spells. Often windy, particularly in the north and west, with gales in places. Southern and eastern parts will generally be drier and brighter. Temperatures should remain around average for this time of the year, although it may feel colder at times in the wind and rain. In the short-lived settled periods of drier and clearer conditions, there is the potential for some overnight frost or fog, which would be slow to clear.

Sunday 27 Oct - Sunday 10 Nov

Changeable conditions could well dominate through the end of October and into the start of November, bringing further bouts of wet and windy weather. Some drier and brighter spells are likely, though these may be short-lived. Temperatures will probably be around average for the time of year, though in those drier spells, overnight frost and fog will become more widespread. In early November, the west is likely to stay on the wet and windy side, with an increasing chance of drier and brighter weather in the east. Temperatures under these conditions would feel mild by day and cool by night. Early signs for mid November indicate a return to frequent bands of rain and strong winds moving from west to east, though there is low confidence at this stage.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

[lassie23]

4 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

Thursday 17 Oct - Saturday 26 Oct

Sunny spells and scattered showers on Thursday, with the best of the sunshine in southern and eastern parts. The northwest may see heavy thundery showers, with a risk of coastal gales. Beyond that, the unsettled theme looks set to continue with rain or showers at times. There should be some brief episodes of more settled weather and sunny spells. Often windy, particularly in the north and west, with gales in places. Southern and eastern parts will generally be drier and brighter. Temperatures should remain around average for this time of the year, although it may feel colder at times in the wind and rain. In the short-lived settled periods of drier and clearer conditions, there is the potential for some overnight frost or fog, which would be slow to clear.

Sunday 27 Oct - Sunday 10 Nov

Changeable conditions could well dominate through the end of October and into the start of November, bringing further bouts of wet and windy weather. Some drier and brighter spells are likely, though these may be short-lived. Temperatures will probably be around average for the time of year, though in those drier spells, overnight frost and fog will become more widespread. In early November, the west is likely to stay on the wet and windy side, with an increasing chance of drier and brighter weather in the east. Temperatures under these conditions would feel mild by day and cool by night. Early signs for mid November indicate a return to frequent bands of rain and strong winds moving from west to east, though there is low confidence at this stage.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

I never knew the Met Office used the October Fog index for their LRF

[Don]

4 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

Thursday 17 Oct - Saturday 26 Oct

Sunny spells and scattered showers on Thursday, with the best of the sunshine in southern and eastern parts. The northwest may see heavy thundery showers, with a risk of coastal gales. Beyond that, the unsettled theme looks set to continue with rain or showers at times. There should be some brief episodes of more settled weather and sunny spells. Often windy, particularly in the north and west, with gales in places. Southern and eastern parts will generally be drier and brighter. Temperatures should remain around average for this time of the year, although it may feel colder at times in the wind and rain. In the short-lived settled periods of drier and clearer conditions, there is the potential for some overnight frost or fog, which would be slow to clear.

Sunday 27 Oct - Sunday 10 Nov

Changeable conditions could well dominate through the end of October and into the start of November, bringing further bouts of wet and windy weather. Some drier and brighter spells are likely, though these may be short-lived. Temperatures will probably be around average for the time of year, though in those drier spells, overnight frost and fog will become more widespread. In early November, the west is likely to stay on the wet and windy side, with an increasing chance of drier and brighter weather in the east. Temperatures under these conditions would feel mild by day and cool by night. Early signs for mid November indicate a return to frequent bands of rain and strong winds moving from west to east, though there is low confidence at this stage.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

As you were with general unsettled conditions continuing with only brief settled periods.  Same theme will probably continue until April (joke by the way)!  

[Summer Sun]

Friday 18 Oct - Sunday 27 Oct

Friday should see sunny spells and scatted showers, with possible heavy thundery showers in the south and southwest. There is a risk of coastal gales especially in northern and western parts. Beyond that, the unsettled theme looks set to continue with rain or showers at times. There should be some brief episodes of more settled weather and sunny spells. Often windy, particularly in the north and west, with gales in places. Southern and eastern parts will generally be drier and brighter. Temperatures should remain around average for this time of the year, although it may feel colder at times in the wind and rain. In the short-lived settled periods of drier and clearer conditions, there is the potential for some overnight frost or fog, which would be slow to clear.

Monday 28 Oct - Monday 11 Nov

Changeable conditions could well dominate through the end of October and into the start of November, bringing further bouts of wet and windy weather. Some drier and brighter spells are likely, though these may be short-lived. Temperatures will probably be around average for the time of year, though in those drier spells, overnight frost and fog will become more widespread. In early November, the west is likely to stay on the wet and windy side, with an increasing chance of drier and brighter weather in the east. Temperatures under these conditions would feel mild by day and cool by night. Early signs for mid November indicate a return to frequent bands of rain and strong winds moving from west to east, though there is low confidence at this stage.

 

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

[Guest Delete Me]

The atlantic sure is Tuted off with us

[Summer Sun]

Saturday 19 Oct - Monday 28 Oct

Saturday should see sunny spells and scattered showers, some heavy and thundery at times and often windy. Looking ahead, the unsettled theme is set to continue with showers and longer spells of rain, especially in the west and northwest. There should be some brief episodes of more settled weather with bright and sunny spells. It will often be windy across most areas, particularly in the north and west with coastal gales possible. Temperatures should remain around average for this time of the year, although it may feel colder at times in the wind and rain. In the short-lived settled periods of drier and clearer conditions, there is the potential for some overnight frost or fog, which would be slow to clear.

Tuesday 29 Oct - Tuesday 12 Nov

Changeable conditions could well dominate through the end of October and into the start of November, bringing further bouts of wet and windy weather. Some drier and brighter spells are likely, though these may be short-lived. Temperatures will probably be around average for the time of year, though in those drier spells, overnight frost and fog will become more widespread. In early November, the west is likely to stay on the wet and windy side, with an increasing chance of drier and brighter weather in the east. Temperatures under these conditions could feel mild by day and cool by night. Early signs for mid November indicate a return to frequent bands of rain and strong winds moving from west to east, though there is low confidence at this stage.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

[Summer Sun]

Sunday 20 Oct - Tuesday 29 Oct

Sunday should see sunny spells and blustery scattered showers, some of which could be heavy. Looking ahead, the unsettled theme is set to continue for a brief period in the northwest with blustery showers and longer spells of rain. There should then be some longer episodes of more settled weather with bright and sunny spells mainly in the central, southern and eastern areas of the UK. The fine conditions should spread into the northwest towards the end of October. Temperatures should remain around average for this time of the year, which means there could be potential for overnight frost or fog on clear nights, but it may feel milder in any sunshine during the day.

Tuesday 29 Oct - Tuesday 12 Nov

Changeable conditions could well dominate through the end of October and into the start of November, bringing further bouts of wet and windy weather. Some drier and brighter spells are likely, though these may be short-lived. Temperatures will probably be around average for the time of year, though in those drier spells, overnight frost and fog will become more widespread. In early November, the west is likely to stay on the wet and windy side, with an increasing chance of drier and brighter weather in the east. Temperatures under these conditions could feel mild by day and cool by night. Early signs for mid November indicate a return to frequent bands of rain and strong winds moving from west to east, though there is low confidence at this stage.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

[Summer Sun]

18 hours ago, Summer Sun said:

Sunday 20 Oct - Tuesday 29 Oct

Sunday should see sunny spells and blustery scattered showers, some of which could be heavy. Looking ahead, the unsettled theme is set to continue for a brief period in the northwest with blustery showers and longer spells of rain. There should then be some longer episodes of more settled weather with bright and sunny spells mainly in the central, southern and eastern areas of the UK. The fine conditions should spread into the northwest towards the end of October. Temperatures should remain around average for this time of the year, which means there could be potential for overnight frost or fog on clear nights, but it may feel milder in any sunshine during the day.

Tuesday 29 Oct - Tuesday 12 Nov

Changeable conditions could well dominate through the end of October and into the start of November, bringing further bouts of wet and windy weather. Some drier and brighter spells are likely, though these may be short-lived. Temperatures will probably be around average for the time of year, though in those drier spells, overnight frost and fog will become more widespread. In early November, the west is likely to stay on the wet and windy side, with an increasing chance of drier and brighter weather in the east. Temperatures under these conditions could feel mild by day and cool by night. Early signs for mid November indicate a return to frequent bands of rain and strong winds moving from west to east, though there is low confidence at this stage.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Yesterday's long ranger hadn't updated when posted correct update below

Wednesday 30 Oct - Wednesday 13 Nov

The end of October looks to be largely settled and dry for most areas with a mixture of cloud and sunshine. Any spells of rain are likely to be confined to the far northwest. Clear conditions at night may allow temperatures to fall a little below average with overnight frosts and fog patches likely. During November, there is a chance of more unsettled conditions with some rain or showers possible at times, however there is high uncertainty this far ahead.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

[Summer Sun]

Monday 21 Oct - Wednesday 30 Oct

Monday should see sunny spells with easing winds and isolated showers, some of which could be heavy. Looking ahead, the unsettled theme is set to continue for a brief period in the northwest with blustery showers and longer spells of rain. There should then be some longer episodes of more settled weather with bright and sunny spells mainly in the central, southern and eastern areas of the UK. The fine conditions should spread into the northwest towards the end of October. Temperatures should remain around average for this time of the year, which means there could be potential for overnight frost or fog on clear nights, but it may feel milder in any sunshine during the day.

Thursday 31 Oct - Thursday 14 Nov

The end of October looks to be largely settled and dry for most areas with a mixture of cloud and sunshine. Any spells of rain are likely to be confined to the far northwest. Clear conditions at night may allow temperatures to fall a little below average with overnight frosts and fog patches likely. During November, there is a chance of more unsettled conditions with some rain or showers possible at times, however there is high uncertainty this far ahead.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

[Summer Sun]

Tuesday 22 Oct - Thursday 31 Oct

Tuesday should be mostly sunny, with some coastal showers in the south and outbreaks of rain and strong winds expected in the northwest. Looking ahead, the unsettled theme is set to continue for a brief period in the northwest with blustery showers and longer spells of rain. There should then be some longer episodes of more settled weather with bright and sunny spells mainly in the central, southern and eastern areas of the UK. The fine conditions should spread into the northwest towards the end of October. Temperatures should remain around average for this time of the year, which means there could be potential for overnight frost or fog on clear nights, but it may feel milder in any sunshine during the day.

Friday 1 Nov - Friday 15 Nov

The beginning of November looks to be largely settled and dry for most areas with a mixture of cloud and sunshine. Any spells of rain are likely to be confined to the far northwest. Clear conditions at night may allow temperatures to fall a little below average with overnight frosts and fog patches likely. Towards the middle of the month, there is a chance of more unsettled conditions with some rain or showers possible at times, however there is high uncertainty this far ahead.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

[Summer Sun]

Wednesday 23 Oct - Friday 1 Nov

A north/south split is expected during the start of this period with unsettled conditions in the north and drier conditions further south. Next weekend becomes increasingly uncertain, but unsettled and perhaps very windy conditions could extend across much of the UK. Through the rest of October unsettled conditions are more likely to dominate but with some periods of fine weather, especially in the south east. There will probably be some marked variations in temperature across the UK throughout. Predominantly below average temperatures in the north and above average temperatures in the south. However, there is a chance that drier, brighter, but colder conditions could extend south across all areas at times from next weekend onwards. This would lead to frosts, with a small chance that more settled conditions could persist.

Saturday 2 Nov - Saturday 16 Nov

There is significant uncertainty through this period. However, the beginning of November may become more settled and dry for many areas with a mixture of cloud and sunshine. Any spells of rain are more likely in southern and southwestern areas. Temperatures will probably be a little below average with overnight frosts and fog patches likely, which could persist well into the mornings. Further spells of unsettled, windy conditions with some rain or showers are likely at times, more especially towards the middle of the month.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

[Summer Sun]

The met office have finally issued the long range update for yesterday still nothing on the mid range

Sunday 3 Nov - Sunday 17 Nov

There is significant uncertainty through this period. However, the beginning of November may become more settled and dry for many areas with a mixture of cloud and sunshine. Any spells of rain are more likely in southern and southwestern areas. Temperatures will probably be a little below average with overnight frosts and fog patches likely, which could persist well into the mornings. Further spells of unsettled, windy conditions with some rain or showers are likely at times, more especially towards the middle of the month.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

[Summer Sun]

Friday 25 Oct - Sunday 3 Nov

Rain across the northwest on Friday, possibly snow over Scottish mountains. Elsewhere, largely dry with sunny spells after fog patches clear. Next weekend becomes increasingly uncertain, but unsettled and perhaps very windy conditions could extend across much of the UK. Through the following week it may become drier and more settled again with some sunshine but also overnight fog patches, which could be slow to clear by day. However, Atlantic fronts could still bring further rain and strong winds northwards and eastwards into the UK at times. There will probably be some marked variations in temperature across the UK but more often below average in the north and above average in the south. However, the more settled spells could bring colder conditions more widely at times, accompanied by night frosts.

Monday 4 Nov - Monday 18 Nov

There is significant uncertainty through this period. However, the beginning of November may become more settled and dry for many areas with a mixture of cloud and sunshine. Any spells of rain are more likely in southern and southwestern areas. Temperatures will probably be a little below average with overnight frosts and fog patches likely, which could persist well into the mornings. Further spells of unsettled, windy conditions with some rain or showers are likely at times, more especially towards the middle of the month.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

[MattStoke]

Sounds like high pressure to our north/north east into November, with low pressure to the south/south west. That would be an interesting setup in winter.

[Summer Sun]

Saturday 26 Oct - Monday 4 Nov

Rain and strong winds are likely at times, especially in northern and western parts during Saturday and spread to most areas by the end of the weekend followed by colder, showery weather. Next week it may become drier and more settled again with some sunshine but also overnight fog patches, which could be slow to clear by day. However, Atlantic fronts could still bring further rain and strong winds across western parts of UK at times. There will probably be some marked variations in temperature across the UK but more often below average in the north and above average in the south. However, the more settled spells could bring colder conditions more widely at times, accompanied by night frosts.

Monday 4 Nov - Monday 18 Nov

There is significant uncertainty through this period. However, the second week of November may become more settled and dry for many areas with a some sunny spells. Any spells of rain are more likely in southern and southwestern areas. Temperatures will probably be a little below average with overnight frosts and fog patches likely, which could persist well into the mornings. Further spells of unsettled, windy conditions with some rain or showers are expected to become more likely towards the middle of the month.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

[Summer Sun]

Sunday 27 Oct - Tuesday 5 Nov

After a wet start to the weekend, Sunday will be drier and cooler with sunny spells for most of the UK. Scattered showers will continue in the north with some turning heavy at times. Into next week, it is likely we will see some dry spells with plenty of sunshine across all areas. It may also be windy, with severe gales possible in places. Northern areas may see some colder outbreaks leading to overnight frosts and some showers may turn wintry over the hills. However, in the south it may be milder overall. Moving into November, it is possible that drier, more settled spells will continue with temperatures near or a little below average with night frosts at times.

Tuesday 5 Nov - Tuesday 19 Nov

The first half of November should be mostly settled and dry for the majority of the UK with plenty of sunny spells. Although there is significant uncertainty for this period, any rain or showers are most likely to be in southern and southwestern areas. It seems probable that temperatures will be a little below average with the potential of frosts and fog patches forming overnight. Despite the mainly settled outlook, more changeable periods of rain or showers may be possible too.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

[MattStoke]

1 hour ago, Summer Sun said:

Sunday 27 Oct - Tuesday 5 Nov

After a wet start to the weekend, Sunday will be drier and cooler with sunny spells for most of the UK. Scattered showers will continue in the north with some turning heavy at times. Into next week, it is likely we will see some dry spells with plenty of sunshine across all areas. It may also be windy, with severe gales possible in places. Northern areas may see some colder outbreaks leading to overnight frosts and some showers may turn wintry over the hills. However, in the south it may be milder overall. Moving into November, it is possible that drier, more settled spells will continue with temperatures near or a little below average with night frosts at times.

Tuesday 5 Nov - Tuesday 19 Nov

The first half of November should be mostly settled and dry for the majority of the UK with plenty of sunny spells. Although there is significant uncertainty for this period, any rain or showers are most likely to be in southern and southwestern areas. It seems probable that temperatures will be a little below average with the potential of frosts and fog patches forming overnight. Despite the mainly settled outlook, more changeable periods of rain or showers may be possible too.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

First mention of wintry precipitation this season.

[Summer Sun]

15 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

First mention of wintry precipitation this season.

2nd 

Take a look at Sunday's update a few posts up