Meto Uk Further Outlook

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Thursday 3 Jan 2019 to Thursday 17 Jan 2019:

The beginning of this period most likely brings further dry weather in the south but showers and longer spells of rain in the north. However, the unsettled weather may extend to all parts for a time in early January. There is low confidence in the forecast thereafter, although we will most probably see a colder and drier period with the potential for easterly winds and a chance of some wintry weather for parts of the UK. We may also see occasional frontal systems try to make inroads, bringing the chance of further wintry weather in the west. However, despite this potential shift to colder weather, wet, windy and mild weather may still be possible at times.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[swfc]

2 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

UK Outlook for Thursday 3 Jan 2019 to Thursday 17 Jan 2019:

The beginning of this period most likely brings further dry weather in the south but showers and longer spells of rain in the north. However, the unsettled weather may extend to all parts for a time in early January. There is low confidence in the forecast thereafter, although we will most probably see a colder and drier period with the potential for easterly winds and a chance of some wintry weather for parts of the UK. We may also see occasional frontal systems try to make inroads, bringing the chance of further wintry weather in the west. However, despite this potential shift to colder weather, wet, windy and mild weather may still be possible at times.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

Prepare for imminent breakdowns on here altho its ok

Edited December 20, 2018 by swfc

[No Balls Like Snow Balls]

It’s the same as yesterday. Wait for tomorrow’s as that is when the Ec46 updates.

[Leo97t]

Similar to yesterday. Pretty much just reworded

[Decemberof2010]

14 minutes ago, swfc said:

Prepare for imminent breakdowns on here altho its ok

The breakdowns happened yesterday as it’s exactly the same

[ALL ABOARD]

Here is today's update.


At the start of this period it is most likely that southern parts will be mostly dry, whilst further north it should be more changeable with spells of rain. The weather will probably turn more unsettled for a time during early January. Showers or longer spells of rain, along with strong winds, are likely to affect most parts with some hill snow in the north. Further into January there is an increased chance of a colder but drier than average spell, with the potential for snow across many areas. Despite this, some milder, wetter and windier interludes remain possible throughout the period.

[Always a red]

It hasn`t been updated since yesterday yet!!!!! Read back peeple

[weirpig]

Im now  confused   which update is which   because both are quite different   oh my head. 

[northwestsnow]

2 minutes ago, ALL ABOARD said:

Here is today's update.


At the start of this period it is most likely that southern parts will be mostly dry, whilst further north it should be more changeable with spells of rain. The weather will probably turn more unsettled for a time during early January. Showers or longer spells of rain, along with strong winds, are likely to affect most parts with some hill snow in the north. Further into January there is an increased chance of a colder but drier than average spell, with the potential for snow across many areas. Despite this, some milder, wetter and windier interludes remain possible throughout the period.

Thats a bit of a swing back in my book..

[weirpig]

Just now, northwestsnow said:

Thats a bit of a swing back in my book..

A bit  for me thats a corker   but as you know i dont take any notice of these forecasts    anyway  whoop whoop 

[Froze were the Days]

'further into January'...hmmmmm, it will be February next (in the updates towards the New Year)

[Weathizard]

They literally mention every possible weather type in this, obviously it’s extremely difficult to make forecasts this far out but honestly why do they bother??

 

Possibly colder and drier with milder and wetter interludes with wind and rain possible and frosts, anything else? Might rain cats and dogs also

[Neiller22]

Same every year. I agree. Long range forecasts change daily. I pay no attention to them really. 

[bluearmy]

To me - that says they are expecting the ssw could deliver a downwelling neg AO phase mid jan onwards and are covering that base 

[MattStoke]

50 minutes ago, ALL ABOARD said:

Here is today's update.


At the start of this period it is most likely that southern parts will be mostly dry, whilst further north it should be more changeable with spells of rain. The weather will probably turn more unsettled for a time during early January. Showers or longer spells of rain, along with strong winds, are likely to affect most parts with some hill snow in the north. Further into January there is an increased chance of a colder but drier than average spell, with the potential for snow across many areas. Despite this, some milder, wetter and windier interludes remain possible throughout the period.

That bit at least sounds like an ‘upgrade’ of sorts.

[phil nw.]

Pretty much as expected based on the forecasted ssw around Christmas and allowing for the down welling period after before it affects the trop. 

[phil nw.]

9 minutes ago, .jay said:

Yet they've apparently enough uncertainty to be unable to resist changing the wording every single day.

Recent theme of cold in January is still there though.How the NH pattern ends up is the uncertainty hence the mention of possible milder interludes.

[wightwootton]

Seen this video from Met Office on the Express page today 

 

Called: MetDesk  Probability of falling snow (%) - three quarters down the page 

 

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/1061582/UK-snow-forecast-BBC-Weather-London-Met-Office-Britain-winter-Christmas-Day-weather#t=1s

Edited December 20, 2018 by wightwootton

[Don]

7 hours ago, Froze were the Days said:

'further into January'...hmmmmm, it will be February next (in the updates towards the New Year)

If I remember correctly, the timings of the February cold spell this year changed in these updates and I think I commented on it at the time.  However, it did eventually arrive with a vengeance!

[feb1991blizzard]

I like the way people who 'pay no attention at all to long range forecasts' are posting every day in a thread that is specifically dedicated to updates to them!!

Edited December 20, 2018 by feb1991blizzard

[Rambo]

3 hours ago, feb1991blizzard said:

I like the way people who 'pay no attention at all to long range forecasts' are posting every day in a thread that is specifically dedicated to updates to them!!

The Goldfish effect

[northwestsnow]

Its late today..?

[MattStoke]

20 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

Its late today..?

Perfection takes time ️ 

[No Balls Like Snow Balls]

Summer sun doesn't want to post it as it shows cold and snow

[Methuselah]

2 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

Perfection takes time ️ 

And they come out in hives, if they have to type 'snow' too many times...