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Meto Uk Further Outlook


Stuart

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Posted
  • Location: Nairn
  • Location: Nairn

UK Outlook for Sunday 26 May 2013 to Tuesday 4 Jun 2013:

Through the Bank Holiday weekend and into the new week a general east-west split is likely to persist. The driest and finest weather should be found in the west and southwest especially. More unsettled conditions are likely to prevail in northern, eastern and occasionally central areas, with a mixture of heavy rain or showers, and strong winds at times, especially around the coasts with a risk of gales in more exposed areas. Temperatures will be below average across most of the country with chilly, mainly northerly winds. Towards the end of May and into June, there are signs of more in the way of dry and fine weather, with temperatures returning to nearer average, but still some showers around.

Updated: 1159 on Tue 21 May 2013

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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Posted
  • Location: Nairn
  • Location: Nairn

UK Outlook for Wednesday 5 Jun 2013 to Wednesday 19 Jun 2013:

There are signs that conditions should begin to settle down into the beginning of June, becoming drier than normal for many areas, especially across the west with the influence of high pressure extending from the Azores. Temperatures should also return to normal for early June, so feeling pleasantly warm in the sunshine, but currently no signal for heat wave conditions, and feeling cooler around coastal areas where sea breezes develop. Variable amounts of cloud are likely around the country, but also interspersed with sunnier conditions. Some showers are still possible through the period, especially in the south and east.

Updated: 1159 on Tue 21 May 2013

 

http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

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Posted
  • Location: Nairn
  • Location: Nairn

UK Outlook for Monday 27 May 2013 to Wednesday 5 Jun 2013:

After a largely dry and bright weekend the Bank Holiday Monday is likely to be more unsettled with strengthening winds and outbreaks of rain becoming persistent and heavy at times in places. Through the rest of the week it is likely to remain unsettled with showers or longer spells of rain at times. Rain and showers could be heavy at times with a risk of hail and thunder. Later in the week and into the weekend more prolonged rain may affect western areas, with the best of the drier and brighter weather in the east. Temperatures will start rather cool for the time of year, but should improve slightly through the period becoming near normal, perhaps warm away from windward coasts.

Updated: 1148 on Wed 22 May 2013

 

http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

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Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol

With all the talk of a more settled, high pressure dominated start to June, I would have expected that update to sound a little better in the later stages, considering it now goes out to the 5th of June.

Warming up yes, which sounds good but nothing too settled mentioned really, on a more nationwide scale.

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Posted
  • Location: ILCHESTER
  • Location: ILCHESTER

A shift of emphasis across the last 24hrs for sure......

 

 

UK Outlook for Thursday 6 Jun 2013 to Thursday 20 Jun 2013:

There are signs that conditions may settle down somewhat towards the north and west early in this period, with plenty of dry weather and temperatures around average. Towards the south and east, probably staying rather unsettled with some spells of rain but also some drier, sunnier days. Feeling pleasantly warm in the sunshine, though still rather cool in many coastal areas.

Updated: 1246 on Wed 22 May 2013

 

Edited by shedhead
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Posted
  • Location: Nairn
  • Location: Nairn

UK Outlook for Tuesday 28 May 2013 to Thursday 6 Jun 2013:

Conditions are expected to remain unsettled with showers or longer periods of rain likely to affect many parts of the United Kingdom, but also some drier and brighter conditions. Showers could be heavy at times, particularly through the afternoons with a risk of hail and thunder developing. It is likely to be fairly breezy, particularly around coastal regions and in exposed areas. Temperatures are likely to remain a little below normal for the time of year and some rural spots may even see a localised ground frost developing overnight. Little change is expected through the period, but through the first week of June there is a better chance that most places will see some drier and brighter weather.

Updated: 1227 on Thu 23 May 2013

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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Posted
  • Location: Fazendas de,Almeirim, Portugal
  • Weather Preferences: The most likely outcome. The MJO is only half the story!
  • Location: Fazendas de,Almeirim, Portugal

Wes I was dissappointed with the Met latest update.

This one today is no better, in truth pretty awful mostly, and that suggested possible improvement seems to be leaking further away if anything with the wording for the first week of June very hesitant with what it suggests. Unfortunately it isn't surprising really to be honest

Edited by Tamara Road
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Posted
  • Location: Nairn
  • Location: Nairn

UK Outlook for Friday 7 Jun 2013 to Friday 21 Jun 2013:

There are signs that the more settled conditions may persist towards the north and west early in this period, with plenty of dry weather and temperatures around average. Towards the south and east, probably becoming a little more unsettled with some spells of rain but still with some drier, sunnier days. Feeling pleasantly warm in the sunshine, though still rather cool in many coastal areas.

Updated: 1226 on Thu 23 May 2013

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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Posted
  • Location: Monaghan, Ireland.
  • Location: Monaghan, Ireland.

I think any good weather is being pushed out a little but the over all trend is for settled weather.

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington
UK Outlook for Wednesday 29 May 2013 to Friday 7 Jun 2013:

 

Remaining unsettled with showers or longer periods of rain affecting many parts of the United Kingdom, but also some drier and brighter conditions, the best of these probably in the west around the beginning of June. Showers could be heavy at times, particularly through the afternoons and evenings with a risk of hail and thunder developing. Fairly windy at times, particularly around coastal regions and in exposed areas. Temperatures are likely to remain a little below normal for the time of year and some rural spots may even see a localised ground frost developing overnight. Little change is expected as we head through the first week of June, but temperatures may recover to near normal values in some southern and western parts, at least for a time.

 

Updated: 1212 on Fri 24 May 2013

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

The back track away from a settled start to June is complete now

 

UK Outlook for Saturday 8 Jun 2013 to Saturday 22 Jun 2013:

 

Probably staying rather changeable with further spells of unsettled weather, but some drier and brighter interludes are likely too. Temperatures generally near, or on the cool side of normal, although still feeling pleasant in sunnier interludes.

 

Updated: 1213 on Fri 24 May 2013

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

 

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Posted
  • Location: Fazendas de,Almeirim, Portugal
  • Weather Preferences: The most likely outcome. The MJO is only half the story!
  • Location: Fazendas de,Almeirim, Portugal

Yes looks like it Tamara-not a bad outlook at all.No great heat promised yet but acceptable for many outdoor activities i should think.Should give us a lot of dry and fine conditions.

The key is lower Polar heights so far as we enter Summer with mid-latitude highs -always a chance of some decent spells from that pattern.

I've just seen your replyPosted Image  Latest update seems to confirm that the pattern will remain amplified and so the Azores High will stay out in the atlantic and not ridge towards us other than fringe the west occasionally. On that basis the south west may occasionally see some drier conditions, but otherwise it looks like low pressure is going to stay fairly close to, or perhaps a little to the east of the UK

Edited by Tamara Road
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Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.

I've just seen your replyPosted Image  Latest update seems to confirm that the pattern will remain amplified and so the Azores High will stay out in the atlantic and not ridge towards us other than fringe the west occasionally. On that basis the south west may occasionally see some drier conditions, but otherwise it looks like low pressure is going to stay fairly close to, or perhaps a little to the east of the UK

At least it looks like being a little below average...It could be worse!Posted Image 

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Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.

This one today is no better, in truth pretty awful mostly, and that suggested possible improvement seems to be leaking further away if anything with the wording for the first week of June very hesitant with what it suggests. Unfortunately it isn't surprising really to be honest

We should listen to you more often, Tamara...Posted Image

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Posted
  • Location: Nairn
  • Location: Nairn

UK Outlook for Thursday 30 May 2013 to Saturday 8 Jun 2013:

Remaining rather unsettled with showers affecting many parts of the United Kingdom, but also some drier and brighter conditions, the best of these probably in the southwest at first, and then transferring to the northwest into next week. Showers could be heavy at times, particularly through the afternoons and evenings with a risk of hail and thunder. Fairly windy at times, particularly in the north and east. Temperatures are likely to remain a little below normal for the time of year, but near normal in brighter interludes. Risk of overnight ground frost in prone rural locations. Little change is expected as we head through the first week of June, with temperatures remaining rather cool, but locally warm in some northern and western parts, at least for a time.

Updated: 1144 on Sat 25 May 2013

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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Posted
  • Location: Nairn
  • Location: Nairn

UK Outlook for Sunday 9 Jun 2013 to Sunday 23 Jun 2013:

Probably staying rather changeable with further spells of unsettled weather, but some drier and brighter interludes are likely too. Temperatures generally near, or on the cool side of normal, although still feeling pleasant in sunnier interludes.

Updated: 1258 on Sat 25 May 2013

 

http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

At the moment what does it look like the weather will be for the 5 days throughout Glastonbury festival? (26th June - 1st July)

 

http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/76531-glastonbury-wed-26-to-sun-30-june-2013/?p=2701902

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Posted
  • Location: Nairn
  • Location: Nairn

UK Outlook for Friday 31 May 2013 to Sunday 9 Jun 2013:

Rain spreading from the west on Friday, with some heavier bursts possible in the south and on some western upslopes. The rain is likely to clear eastern parts later on Saturday, with brighter, showery conditions following behind. Showers will be mainly in the north, perhaps heavy with a risk of hail and thunder. A northwest, southeast split is then set to develop into the first week of June with the coolest and wettest conditions in the south and east, with some heavy rain possible at times. Conversely, the best of any drier and brighter conditions will be in the north and west, though a few showers still possible here. Temperatures will be near or a little below average in the southeast, whilst becoming rather warm in the drier, sunnier northwest.

Updated: 1126 on Sun 26 May 2013

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol

That's a lot different to what I'm reading in the MOD thread, especially the first half of that forecast.

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Posted
  • Location: Nairn
  • Location: Nairn

UK Outlook for Monday 10 Jun 2013 to Monday 24 Jun 2013:

Probably staying rather changeable with further spells of unsettled weather, but some drier and brighter interludes are likely too. Temperatures generally near, or on the cool side of normal, although still feeling pleasant in sunnier interludes.

Updated: 1237 on Sun 26 May 2013

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Indeed there been very cautious however this afternoons UKMO run for the end of the week could see that changed come tomorrow

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Posted
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks

A look at the less volatile anomaly charts gives a clue as to why they say what they do.

Look at either the GFS or ECMWF synoptic outputs today for 00 and 12z, spot the continuity-if so I must be missing something. A nw-se split looks the most likely option to me around day 10, and for once the better area being the nw.

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