Hurricane Predictions Atlantic 2010

[Cookie]

1, What month will Alex form?

2, Total number of Depressions?

3, Name of the first hurricane?

4, Name of first cat 3 hurricane?

5, Name of first cat 5 hurricane?

6, How many landfalls will the U.S have?

7,How many Major Hurricanes will form?

8, Name of strongest hurricane?

9, What month will the last named storm form?

Full names list

Alex

Bonnie

Colin

Danielle

Earl

Fiona

Gaston

Hermine

Igor

Julia

Karl

Lisa

Matthew

Nicole

Otto

Paula

Richard

Shary

Tomas

Virginie

Walter

[Gray-Wolf]

Well Spring is upon us and Arctic melt has begun so I'll have a poke at this!

It's been a very hot couple of global months and the Nino may well rumble on into Summer proper so I'm kinda expecting a much busier time than last year (not difficult I know!!!).

Alex will be a T.D. at the least and will form around the 3rd week in May.

Are we counting depressions that then turn into something nastier or just those that make it to T.D.? If it's all then 19 for the season.

Colin is our first 'cane and comes in at a respectable cat 4 at the back end of May. I'm not liking Haiti's prospects this summer as even close shaves will prove disastrous for them.

Colin.

Gaston.

6 (8 if you count double strikes, poor Florida)

We'll have 5 Cat. 5's

Lisa will be removed from the list.

November will give us our last named system.

All gut instinct ,no knowledge apart from my 'common'.

I have been told I am a proficient 'scryer' so we'll see eh? (better hope those folk are totally wrong or we're doomed by AGW eh? )

[Cat 5]

Hi Cookie,

It seems the professionals are all hyping up the season yet again. I think they will all be disappointed yet again. There will probably be 1 cat 5 and yes, it may make landfall and cause massive destruction but overall I think it will be a below average season.

To answer your questions...

1, What month will Alex form? 2nd June 10

2, Total number of Depressions? 13

3, Name of the first hurricane? Colin

4, Name of first cat 3 hurricane? Colin

5, Name of first cat 5 hurricane? Gaston

6, How many landfalls will the U.S have? 2

7,How many Major Hurricanes will form? 1

8, Name of strongest hurricane? Gaston

9, What month will the last named storm form? Nov

[Somerset Squall]

1, What month will Alex form? June

2, Total number of Depressions? Twenty

3, Name of the first hurricane? Bonnie

4, Name of first cat 3 hurricane? Colin

5, Name of first cat 5 hurricane? Fiona

6, How many landfalls will the U.S have? Eight

7,How many Major Hurricanes will form? Six

8, Name of strongest hurricane? Fiona

9, What month will the last named storm form? December

[Cookie]

1, What month will Alex form? Back end of may

2, Total number of Depressions? 21

3, Name of the first hurricane? Danielle

4, Name of first cat 3 hurricane? Fiona

5, Name of first cat 5 hurricane? Richard

6, How many landfalls will the U.S have? 7

7,How many Major Hurricanes will form? 4

8, Name of strongest hurricane? Richard

9, What month will the last named storm form? Nov

again mainly guess work from me, but thats whole fun of this.

[sammie]

1, What month will Alex form? June

2, Total number of Depressions? 16

3, Name of the first hurricane? Danielle

4, Name of first cat 3 hurricane? Fiona

5, Name of first cat 5 hurricane? Hermine

6, How many landfalls will the U.S have? Four

7,How many Major Hurricanes will form? Three

8, Name of strongest hurricane? Hermine

9, What month will the last named storm form? November.

Edited March 15, 2010 by sammie

[Iceberg]

1, What month will Alex form? June, however the first TD will be in May.

2, Total number of Depressions? 18

3, Name of the first hurricane? Earl (quite alot of TD's and TS's IMO)

4, Name of first cat 3 hurricane? Fiona

5, Name of first cat 5 hurricane? Gaston (has to be the ladybird)

6, How many landfalls will the U.S have? 6 (predominently east coast hits and near Fishes)

7,How many Major Hurricanes will form? 6

8, Name of strongest hurricane? Matthew

9, What month will the last named storm form? December

[Katherine]

1, What month will Alex form? - 1st week of June

2, Total number of Depressions? - 17

3, Name of the first hurricane? - Alex

4, Name of first cat 3 hurricane? - Alex

5, Name of first cat 5 hurricane? - Earl

6, How many landfalls will the U.S have? - 4

7, How many Major Hurricanes will form? - 4

8, Name of strongest hurricane? - Gaston

9, What month will the last named storm form? - November.

[kold weather]

1, What month will Alex form?

June, if I had to put a rough date on it, I'd go for about the 25th.

2, Total number of Depressions?

19, I'm seeing a exceptionally busy season at the moment!

3, Name of the first hurricane?

Danielle, first CV system reaching cat-2 IMO lol!

4, Name of first cat 3 hurricane?

Fiona.

5, Name of first cat 5 hurricane?

Matthew, classic late season NW Caribbean monster.

6, How many landfalls will the U.S have?

7, 3 majors (Severe season in prospect for the US I fear!), 2 hurricanes and 2 TS's.

7,How many Major Hurricanes will form?

4 Majors, but could easily be a little higher...

8, Name of strongest hurricane?

Matthew, at 145kts.

9, What month will the last named storm form?

November.

[Cookie]

Thanks for takeing part so far guys

1, What month will Alex form? - 1st week of June

2, Total number of Depressions? - 17

3, Name of the first hurricane? - Alex

The first hurricane to be a cat 3? that would be intresting!

[Somerset Squall]

It wuild be, especially as it happened in 2004 (also of course, named Alex, which reached cat 3).

[kold weather]

It actually happens surprisingly often, you've also got Andrew in 92, Alicia in 83, Allen in 80, Anita in 77, Audrey in 57, Anna in 61, Alma of 66, Able of 50, Able of 51 (In MAY!)

[joggs]

1, What month will Alex form?May

2, Total number of Depressions?19

3, Name of the first hurricane?Colin

4, Name of first cat 3 hurricane?Colin

5, Name of first cat 5 hurricane?Danielle

6, How many landfalls will the U.S have?7

7,How many Major Hurricanes will form?12

8, Name of strongest hurricane?Igor

9, What month will the last named storm form?December

Full names list

Alex

Bonnie

Colin

Danielle

Earl

Fiona

Gaston

Hermine

Igor

Julia

Karl

Lisa

Matthew

Nicole

Otto

Paula

Richard

Shary

Tomas

Virginie

Walter

[Cookie]

16 days to go.

would be good to get a few more predictions in before the start of the season.

[pyrotech]

1, What month will Alex form? Early June

2, Total number of Depressions? 21

3, Name of the first hurricane? Bonnie

4, Name of first cat 3 hurricane? Colin

5, Name of first cat 5 hurricane? Lisa

6, How many landfalls will the U.S have? 6

7,How many Major Hurricanes will form? 5

8, Name of strongest hurricane? Lisa

9, What month will the last named storm form? November

[Cookie]

Not long left to enter

[ukweathergirl]

1, What month will Alex form? Mid june

2, Total number of Depressions? 5

3, Name of the first hurricane? Danielle

4, Name of first cat 3 hurricane? Fiona

5, Name of first cat 5 hurricane? Karl

6, How many landfalls will the U.S have? 4

7,How many Major Hurricanes will form? 6

8, Name of strongest hurricane? Karl

9, What month will the last named storm form? late October/ early November

[masheeuk]

1, What month will Alex form? Late July

2, Total number of Depressions? 14

3, Name of the first hurricane? Danielle

4, Name of first cat 3 hurricane? Danielle

5, Name of first cat 5 hurricane? Gaston

6, How many landfalls will the U.S have? 3

7,How many Major Hurricanes will form? 5

8, Name of strongest hurricane? Gaston

9, What month will the last named storm form? late October/ early November

Edited May 31, 2010 by masheeuk

[Iceberg]

Thought it would be nice to have a look at 2005 since it was the mother of active hurricane seasons, it was also very typical with the first few storms out east and then the middle part of the season saw some mid atlantic storms develop and then some later storms further north.

I won't point out the tracks of say the current 91L on here and where they *might best fit certain hurricanes in 2005.

[Iceberg]

I think it's time that a few organisations reviewed their forecasts now for this season.

I fully admit it's not what I was expecting and I think that an average at best season is most likely now.

[Somerset Squall]

Did well on number of cyclones (underestimated by 1) and not bad on number of Majors. Number of US landfalls was well off however