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Major Hurricane Rick


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Posted
  • Location: Saddleworth, Oldham , 175m asl
  • Weather Preferences: warm and sunny, thunderstorms, frost, fog, snow, windstorms
  • Location: Saddleworth, Oldham , 175m asl

Rick has weakened slightly to 140kts/160mph but still a Cat 5. I'm impressed by the length of time it has stayed as a Cat 5, but can't be for much longer now though.

Edited by James M
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Posted
  • Location: Tiree
  • Location: Tiree

Is the eye of a Hurricane ALWAYS completley calm?

I will let Somerset answer that one as I ain't entirely sure and good question.

also some of the models are showing the remnants of rick in the GOM further down the line.

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Posted
  • Location: Saddleworth, Oldham , 175m asl
  • Weather Preferences: warm and sunny, thunderstorms, frost, fog, snow, windstorms
  • Location: Saddleworth, Oldham , 175m asl

I will let Somerset answer that one as I ain't entirely sure and good question.

also some of the models are showing the remnants of rick in the GOM further down the line.

Here's a question I've been wondering about, if the remnants of Rick for example, remerged in the Atlantic and reintensified would it still be called Rick or would they give it a new Atlantic name?

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Posted
  • Location: Tiree
  • Location: Tiree

Here's a question I've been wondering about, if the remnants of Rick for example, remerged in the Atlantic and reintensified would it still be called Rick or would they give it a new Atlantic name?

new name we had that last year with Arthur going into the east Pacific

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Posted
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunder, strong winds
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset

Is the eye of a Hurricane ALWAYS completley calm?

Not completely calm, light breezes are possible. But it never windy in the eye. The strongest winds in a hurricane are located in the eyewall.

Here's a question I've been wondering about, if the remnants of Rick for example, remerged in the Atlantic and reintensified would it still be called Rick or would they give it a new Atlantic name?

If it retained the same surface circulation then it will keep the name Rick. If the remnant moisture made it but the circulation didn't and a storm reforms in the remains with a new low then a new name would be given. A good example is last year, TS Alma's remains moved from East Pac to Atlantic but as the orignal circulation was not intact it was renamed Arthur.

Rick has weaked to 140kts, still cat 5 as you say James. The hurricane has become a little lopsided with convection thinner in the western quadrant of the hurricane. Hurricanes such as Rick never keep the amazing intensity it had for long, and later tomorrow shear will begin to increase and sea temps cool which will induce further weakening. Rick is still likely to be a cat 2 when reaching Baja California which will bring severe winds and heavy rains.

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Posted
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunder, strong winds
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset

Rick is suffering at the hand of moderate to high southwesterly shear, and has weakened to 100kts. Convection on the western side of the eye remains thin with most ocnvection displaced to the northeast. Continued shear and decreasing sea temps will cause the weakening trend to continue. Rick is forecast to make landfall on Baja California as a cat 1 hurricane which will still cause flooding and potential damage.

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Posted
  • Location: SE London
  • Location: SE London

Hurricane Rick has strengthened to an extremely dangerous category 5 as it tracks northwestwards off the Pacific coast of Mexico, with maximum sustained winds of 180mph (285kph) and higher gusts.

It has intensified very rapidly and is now the second strongest hurricane in the eastern North Pacific since records began. The strongest ever was Hurricane Linda in 1997 which produced sustained winds of 185mph.

Hurricane Rick is predicted to make landfall on Wednesday having weakened to a category 2 storm, but will remain an extremely dangerous storm for the next couple of days. The outer areas of the storm are currently lashing the coast with heavy rain, with Acapulco's Civil Protection Department warning of potential flooding and landslides.

the earlier report from BBC.

and latest from NHC

...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS RICK WEAKER...

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA

FROM SANTA FE SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM SAN EVARISTO

SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS. A HURRICANE

WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH

AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN WESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF

THIS HURRICANE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS

ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RICK WAS LOCATED

BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 18.2

NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.6 WEST OR ABOUT 340 MILES...550 KM...

SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO AND ABOUT 55 MILES...

90 KM...SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND.

RICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A TURN

TOWARD THE NORTH WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED IN

THE NEXT 24 HOURS. RICK IS THEN FORECAST TO ACCELERATE TOWARD THE

NORTH-NORTHEAST AND NORTHEAST BY LATE TUESDAY AND EARLY WEDNESDAY.

ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE NEARING

SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA BY LATE TUESDAY OR EARLY WEDNESDAY

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Posted
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunder, strong winds
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset

Rick continues to rapidly fall apart, and intensity has decreased to 85kts, which I think is a little generous. Strong southwesterly shear continues to remove convection from the LLC, which is partially exposed. If current trends continue, Rick should weaken to a tropical storm by morning. The curve to the northeast is now underway, but it seems Rick will no longer be a hurricane when it visits the southern tip of Baja California based on the current rapid demise.

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Posted
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunder, strong winds
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset

Rick has remained a 55kt tropical storm all day. Moderate to high shear is being offset by increasing sea temps as Rick moves northeastwards towards the coast of Mexico. The storm is likely to roughly maintain intensity until landfall later tomorrow. Rick will pass south of the southern tip of Baja California tomorrow morning, where some rain is expected but nothing too severe.

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