The disappearing Winters

[acbrixton]

Osmposm, an alternative (and equally arbitrary) standard might be: at least 2 months with a mean greater than 0.5c below the 1971-2000 mean of which at leaset 1 month must be more than 1.0c below the 1971-2000 mean with the winter's seasonal mean more than 0.5c below the 1971-2000 mean (i.e 3.9c or below).

Historically these 'cold' winters have been recorded over the last 50 years as follows:

13 in the last 50 years

9 in the last 40 years

7 in the last 30 years

twice in the last 20 years

once in the last 15 years

0 in the last 10 years (last two such winters being 1990/91 and 1995/96).

Not much chance of a cold winter in the next 5 years on this basis either.

regards

ACB

[The Eagle]

Osmposm, an alternative (and equally arbitrary) standard might be: at least 2 months with a mean greater than 0.5c below the 1971-2000 mean of which at leaset 1 month must be more than 1.0c below the 1971-2000 mean with the winter's seasonal mean more than 0.5c below the 1971-2000 mean (i.e 3.9c or below).

Historically these 'cold' winters have been recorded over the last 50 years as follows:

13 in the last 50 years

9 in the last 40 years

7 in the last 30 years

twice in the last 20 years

once in the last 15 years

0 in the last 10 years (last two such winters being 1990/91 and 1995/96).

Not much chance of a cold winter in the next 5 years on this basis either.

regards

ACB

Yeah England is getting a raw deal :o

Dont worry on current Artic ice trends you will be frozen over in 15 years!