Day 7 Discussion.

[MAF]

We are heading south to get the warmer temps, grungefest here in Central Kansas, the tornado damage we have passed on the way is pretty spectacular, trailers rammed into the side of buildings, snapped trees and power lines sheared off, roads flooded and fields have turned into lakes. Devastating scenes here in Kansas it has to be said. State of Emergency in Greensburg, we had to let a Supercell go yesterday as it tracked near to the town again, we later caught it near Pratt and had the most spectacular chase down red dirt roads, this is one video you have to watch, wall cloud and rotation crossing the road in front of us.

Paul Sherman

made the news over here too mate. looks pretty bad in some places. From BBC

At least eight people died in Kiowa County, where Greensburg is located, and one in the neighbouring Pratt County, as winds of up to 250mph (400km/h) tore buildings from their foundations and uprooted trees. The tornado was described as a "wedge", a particularly wide formation said to be - in this instance - at least one mile in diameter.

lots of flash flood warnings tonight from NOAA

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/

Edited May 6, 2007 by Mick

[kold weather]

By the way new tornado watch:

TORNADO WATCH

TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 245

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

110 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2007

TORNADO WATCH 245 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR THE

FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

NDC003-005-015-019-027-029-031-037-039-043-045-047-049-051-055-

057-059-063-065-069-071-079-083-085-093-095-101-103-070000-

/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0245.070506T1810Z-070507T0000Z/

ND

. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BARNES BENSON BURLEIGH

CAVALIER EDDY EMMONS

FOSTER GRANT GRIGGS

KIDDER LAMOURE LOGAN

MCHENRY MCINTOSH MCLEAN

MERCER MORTON NELSON

OLIVER PIERCE RAMSEY

ROLETTE SHERIDAN SIOUX

STUTSMAN TOWNER WARD

WELLS

$$

ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...

Low level shea risn't quite a simpressive a sprevious days but given the jet streak still has quite strong winds this is still a severe set-up.

New cell has exploded upwards by the way in the SW part of OK, close to the Texas border...also very powerful supercell heading towards SW KS, its the western cell of the mass of cells heading into South Kansas and its also the strongest from the looks of the radar. Lots of cells are pumping out cloud tops of 45-55,000 feet as wlel by the way so they should all be visable for miles to the SW.

[MAF]

Thanks KW am keeping an eye on the warnings from NOAA. current warning 245 gives 40% chance of 2 or more tornados

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0245.html

Edited May 6, 2007 by Mick

[MAF]

current radar

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?r...111&loop=no

[NL]

Threat of golfball sized hail and 65-70mph winds, approaching the city of Witchita.

Wall cloud now in west witchita looking very ominous...meteorologists are commenting that this

is becoming a serious situation.. On ksn now.. www.ksn.com

No rotation at the moment but serious lowering..

Edited May 6, 2007 by Northern Light

[MAF]

Tornado warning for kingman and anthony. tornado watch for wikita

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ict/

watch 246 now in force

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 246

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

200 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

PARTS OF SOUTHERN KANSAS

LARGE PART OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA

PARTS OF NORTHWEST TEXAS INCLUDING EASTERN PANHANDLE

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 200 PM UNTIL

1000 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND

GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE

AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 120 STATUTE

MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WICHITA

FALLS TEXAS TO 30 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF WICHITA KANSAS. FOR A

COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE

UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

[Roger J Smith]

Tornadic cell moved north of Woodward in nw OK, this town was devastated by an F4 in May 1947 (around the 9th I believe).

Another potentially severe tornadic cell forming SSW of there near the OK-TX border. All of this activity likely to drift northeast or NNE for a while, then expand and move more east later this afternoon local time (current time 3 pm CDT).

Still think that 30-50 miles west of Enid OK is the target zone for eventual major tornado development.

Team is probably heading south through various levels of TRW located between the cells I am describing here, and other tornadic cells closer to Wichita KS. Some gaps in this line at present, hopefully with all the bad weather and previous storm damage including a fair amount of flooding, they can shoot through by 4-5 pm and be in position for what looks like a fairly widespread outbreak around 5-7 pm.

Temp (28), dewpoint (21) and strong SSE wind 25-40 mph at Enid look promising also, satellite presentation appears typical of 2-3 hours before tornadic outbreak with discontinuous line of developing cells not yet at supercell levels. Once this fires up, conventional parameters only moderately helpful because the squall line will create its own meso-scale environment and there is very good dew point contrast between the Gulf air and the dry slot (5-7 C dew points there in w KS and nw OK panhandle).

Expect a very active end to the day around 01-02z.

[RisingStar]

A long line of severe storms is moving north down near the western boarder of Oklahoma at the moment.

TORNADO WARNING is in effect for Woodward County.

Theres also some very large hail associated with these storms (2.5-2.75").

[MAF]

current for Alva

Humidity: 83 %

Wind Speed: E 8 MPH

Barometer: 29.78"

Dewpoint: 70°F (21°C)

Visibility: 7.00 mi.

[kold weather]

Another potentially severe tornadic cell forming SSW of there near the OK-TX border. All of this activity likely to drift northeast or NNE for a while, then expand and move more east later this afternoon local time (current time 3 pm CDT).

I agree with your ideas Roger, for what its worth that cell near the Ok/TX border is from the line of CU developing that i was mentioning about 2hrs ago, needs to be watched a sit heads to the NNE.

(large hail falling now in Greensburg.)

Edited May 6, 2007 by kold weather

[NL]

Tornado warning Comanche County heading towards Protection S/W Kansas

[MAF]

am tracking it on the NOAA Radar. good potential

[RisingStar]

TORNADO WARNING

* AT 306 PM CDT...A DEVELOPING TORNADO WAS DETECTED BY DOPPLER RADAR

7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FREEDOM...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...

FREEDOM AROUND 315 PM CDT...

CAMP HOUSTON AROUND 320 PM CDT...

------------------------------

Some of the predicted hail sizes are getting up to 3.5"

[NL]

am tracking it on the NOAA Radar. good potential

This area has been hammered this weekend, 'ping-pong' sized hail was at Greensburg 20-30 mins ago, cleanup operation must be a nightmare!

[MAF]

yep, lets hope the lads are safe out there. yesterdays carnage must have been pretty scary

[Roger J Smith]

On the subject of Friday's Greensburg tornado disaster, reporters on scene are saying damage looks as severe as the Moore OK tornado in May 99, which was eventually re-classified F6 ... so this may be either an F5 or F6 that hit on Friday evening.

One of the things that has gone missing is a large meteorite that was housed in a museum building.

Even by the normal standards the damage scenes in Greensburg are quite alarming. Basically the whole town (I was close when I said 2,000, it was 1,600) is levelled and a huge debris field now. Can you imagine the death toll if people in that part of the USA were not tornado-prepared and listening closely to warnings on Friday? Of course nowadays, a lot of people understand how to boot up their internet radar connection and watch that too.

On Saturday, it got rather lost in the news, but Sweetwater OK was hit by what looked like an F3 on video, and the high school there was largely destroyed. Not too bad otherwise, the track was a glancing blow for that town luckily.

[MAF]

what amazes me is the low fatality/injury rate. these poor people must be so thankful that even the worst that nature can throw has not claimed more lives. hopefully no more will be lost.

latest NOAA

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/enhanced.php

[NL]

Absolutely , especially that these tornadoes hit well after dark and were disguised as most of the time they were rain-wrapped!..

[MAF]

tornado watch 247 now issued

Courtesy NOAA

SEL7

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 247

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

235 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

LARGE PART OF WESTERN TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 235 PM UNTIL

1000 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND

GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE

AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE

MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF

ABILENE TEXAS TO 80 MILES SOUTHWEST OF JUNCTION TEXAS. FOR A

COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE

UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

[mettalfabrik]

my thoughts are with the people of greenburg

thought that this might be interesting .latest metars from KANSAS

==================================================

ICAO : KAAO

Station Name : Wichita/Jabara

Location : 37-45N 097-13W

Time : 6 / 21:02Z

Temperature : 18.0°C

Dew Point : 17.0°C

RH : 94%

Wind : NE (50 degrees) at 24 km/h

Visibility : 16000m

Pressure : 1010.8 mb

Sky Condition : Broken clouds at 790m, Broken clouds at 940m, Overcast at 1700m

Weather : Thunderstorm In Vicinity

==================================================

==================================================

ICAO : KEWK

Station Name : Newton

Location : 38-02N 097-16W

Time : 6 / 20:55Z

Temperature : 18.0°C

Dew Point : 16.0°C

RH : 88%

Wind : ENE (60 degrees) at 26 km/h, 37 km/h gusts

Visibility : 16000m

Pressure : 1012.9 mb

Sky Condition : Few clouds at 880m, Broken clouds at 1200m, Overcast at 1500m

Weather : Thunderstorm In Vicinity

==================================================

==================================================

ICAO : KFOE

Station Name : Topeka/Forbes

Location : 38-56N 095-39W

Time : 6 / 20:53Z

Temperature : 18.3°C

Dew Point : 16.1°C

RH : 87%

Wind : E (90 degrees) at 24 km/h, 35 km/h gusts

Visibility : 16000m

Pressure : 1014.6 mb

Sky Condition : Overcast at 1800m

Weather : Thunderstorm In Vicinity

================================================================================

====================

ICAO : KGBD

Station Name : Great Bend

Location : 38-21N 098-52W

Time : 6 / 20:55Z

Temperature : 17.0°C

Dew Point : 17.0°C

RH : 100%

Wind : WNW (290 degrees) at 13 km/h, 30 km/h gusts

Visibility : 4000m

Pressure : 1011.9 mb

Sky Condition : Scattered clouds at 270m, Broken clouds at 820m, Overcast at 3400m

Weather : Thunderstorm

================================================================================

====================

ICAO : KIXD

Station Name : Olathe/Industria

Location : 38-49N 094-53W

Time : 6 / 20:53Z

Temperature : 18.3°C

Dew Point : 16.7°C

RH : 90%

Wind : ENE (60 degrees) at 19 km/h

Visibility : 16000m

Pressure : 1014.6 mb

Sky Condition : Few clouds at 1500m

Weather : Thunderstorm

==================================================

==================================================

ICAO : KOJC

Station Name : Olathe/Executive

Location : 38-51N 094-44W

Time : 6 / 20:53Z

Temperature : 18.3°C

Dew Point : 16.7°C

RH : 90%

Wind : ENE (70 degrees) at 26 km/h

Visibility : 16000m

Pressure : 1014.6 mb

Sky Condition : Scattered clouds at 1700m

Weather : Thunderstorm

==================================================

==================================================

ICAO : KPTT

Station Name : Pratt Indust

Location : 37-42N 098-45W

Time : 6 / 20:50Z

Temperature : 18.0°C

Dew Point : 16.0°C

RH : 88%

Wind : ENE (70 degrees) at 7 km/h

Visibility : 16000m

Pressure : 1009.1 mb

Sky Condition : Broken clouds at 240m, Broken clouds at 700m, Overcast at 980m

Weather : Thunderstorm In Vicinity

================================================================================

====================

ICAO : KTOP

Station Name : Topeka

Location : 39-04N 095-38W

Time : 6 / 20:53Z

Temperature : 18.9°C

Dew Point : 16.1°C

RH : 84%

Wind : E (90 degrees) at 24 km/h, 37 km/h gusts

Visibility : 16000m

Pressure : 1014.6 mb

Sky Condition : Broken clouds at 2000m, Broken clouds at 2600m

Weather : Thunderstorm In Vicinity

==================================================

[pottyprof]

Latest satellite picture..

Some impressive looking supe's there..

[*Stormforce~beka*]

We are heading south to get the warmer temps, grungefest here in Central Kansas, the tornado damage we have passed on the way is pretty spectacular, trailers rammed into the side of buildings, snapped trees and power lines sheared off, roads flooded and fields have turned into lakes. Devastating scenes here in Kansas it has to be said. State of Emergency in Greensburg, we had to let a Supercell go yesterday as it tracked near to the town again, we later caught it near Pratt and had the most spectacular chase down red dirt roads, this is one video you have to watch, wall cloud and rotation crossing the road in front of us.

Paul Sherman

Y0u cant say that and n0t p0st it PauI!!

[pottyprof]

Y0u cant say that and n0t p0st it PauI!!

H3 ju5t d1d 63ka..

[NL]

KSN was hit by a huge lightning strike knocked off all tv station, only internet can see whats happening, tornadoes dropping now and the studio meteorologists feel helpless as they can't warn the viewers..

[mettalfabrik]

http://newsok.com/weather/ CHECK IT OUT

METARS FROM OKLAHOMA

==================================================

ICAO : KAVK

Station Name : Alva

Location : 36-46N 098-40W

Time : 6 / 22:12Z

Temperature : 21.0°C

Dew Point : 17.0°C

RH : 78%

Wind : NW (310 degrees) at 19 km/h

Visibility : 16000m

Pressure : 1009.1 mb

Sky Condition : Broken clouds at 820m, Broken clouds at 980m, Overcast at 1500m

Weather : Thunderstorm In Vicinity

==================================================

==================================================

ICAO : KGAG

Station Name : Gage

Location : 36-18N 099-46W

Time : 6 / 22:04Z

Temperature : 17.0°C

Dew Point : 16.0°C

RH : 94%

Wind : NNW (330 degrees) at 11 km/h

Visibility : 16000m

Pressure : 1008.8 mb

Sky Condition :

Weather : Thunderstorm In Vicinity, Light Rain==================================================

ICAO : KWWR

Station Name : Woodward

Location : 36-36N 099-31W

Time : 6 / 21:36Z

Temperature : 18.0°C

Dew Point : 17.0°C

RH : 94%

Wind : Calm

Visibility : 11000m

Pressure : 1009.1 mb

Sky Condition : Broken clouds at 120m, Overcast at 520m

Weather : Light Rain with Thunderstorm

==================================================

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