Return for the Atlantic Lows [Next week}

[Zenarcher]

Update

[Mondy]

[Zenarcher]

Update,

[Mondy]

12z has NI blown away:

Friday night now too.

Edited May 15, 2007 by Mondy

[Greyowl]

12z has NI blown away:

Friday night now too.

That looks a bit more serious than the little breeze the other day Mondy.

[Mondy]

Aye, been watching the devlopment since KW mentioned it yesterday somewhere. Been brought forward at least 6 hours by the 12z run to Friday evening.

If it comes off, people will be taken by surprise, especially since it reached over 20c here today, with blue skies

[Lenticular]

Evening all.

having watched this for a little while and the GFS has been slowly moving it forward since, so it wouldn't surprise me if it turned up Friday morning.

Think if its as strong as forecast Most of the UK as far down as Bristol are going to get a hammering, but as the low is proged to move NE the only area to escape will be the SE. think winds could get as high as 75mph+ in the west if the isobars are right, and there looks to be a healthy number of cold & occluded fronts so plenty of rain too.

Interestingly the MetO have the centre of the low a little further north than the GFS but both have the centre as 970mb so definitely something to watch.

Rob

[stormchaser1]

wind charts for saturday

Nigel

[johnholmes]

one or two of you may be interested to look at blog 22 about this storm, or rather its track and development.

[Mondy]

Thanks for the update jh..keep forgetting abt your blog..chuck it in your signature so it's easy to find..

Meteoblue have their run on it

ps, i like how meteoblue now have a solar radiation run too! http://www.meteoblue.ch/

Edited May 15, 2007 by Mondy

[stormchaser1]

These are from weather on line

nigel

[Zenarcher]

Update,

At the moment its getting stronger and by 6pm to 9pm on thursday in the Atlantic the wind speeds could reach 74mph and during friday early morning into dawn it will move closer to the UK but wind speeds will drop and around about 12am to 12pm on friday at west of Ireland the winds will be strong around about 54mph and western scotland it will start getting windy around 6am to 9pm with wind speeds around about 54mph.

Will update on wednesday.

[Mondy]

Anyone using the premium account on Meteoblue? It's free!

Dunno what i'm doing yet , but it looks pretty good..

Edited May 15, 2007 by Mondy

[johnholmes]

for Monday

its in the sig but just to put it this area=

here is my weather station, for local written forecasts or simply browsing further afield.

http://www.johnholmes-weather.co.uk/

see my blog for weather, now at No 23, a look at perhaps why forecasts even at T+72 can be difficult.

and also my plea for preventing getting skin cancer

Edited May 15, 2007 by johnholmes

[Cookie]

Update,

At the moment its getting stronger and by 6pm to 9pm on thursday in the Atlantic the wind speeds could reach 74mph and during friday early morning into dawn it will move closer to the UK but wind speeds will drop and around about 12am to 12pm on friday at west of Ireland the winds will be strong around about 54mph and western scotland it will start getting windy around 6am to 9pm with wind speeds around about 54mph.

Will update on wednesday.

how accutre is that?

[Cookie]

have found anything else to back up 70mph + winds 4 the weekend

[RoisinD]

have found anything else to back up 70mph + winds 4 the weekend

Cookie I am sure some of the others will post more interesting information later. In the meantime have a look on:

http://www.xcweather.co.uk/

Predicted to be pretty bad.

[Mondy]

System for Fri evening/sat morning still showing to be nasty looking.

I'm not clued up enough on what's going on out there in the Atlantic at the moment, but looking at the models, fax charts, sat images etc something is happening and looks to develop quite potently.

A Spring storm, perhaps?

[Snowyowl9]

Hi Mondy yes did notice this yesterday.

A May storm for the North perhaps not something we see usually with gales/severe gales for the NW.

Fresh or strong winds further south which is strong enough this time of year.

Edited May 16, 2007 by Snowyowl9

[Mondy]

Indeed, snowyowl. Gonna be interesting watching this thing develop. Where's all the experts/forecasters?

We novices need to know!!

Edited May 16, 2007 by Mondy

[PB22]

Certainly looking like a windy old end to the week, but nothing too extreme. Looking at the charts/date avaiable, I wouldn't be surprised to see some gusts of 50-60MPH in exposed parts of western Scotland and Northern Ireland, which would be unusual certainly for the mid-end of May.

[johnholmes]

Indeed, snowyowl. Gonna be interesting watching this thing develop. Where's all the experts/forecasters?

We novices need to know!!

try the blog I did advertise for you yesterday Mondy. it will keep you up to date on what one 'so called' expert thinks!

and read what Paul B has posted, another one from the team!

How many 'expert' posts do you want chum?

Edited May 16, 2007 by johnholmes

[johnholmes]

I've updated my blog 22 to 23 with the latest view of Saturday with the 3 main models.

[Gray-Wolf]

I think the fact that many trees are in 'full sail' would mean that you didn't need a full blown gale for it to cause disruption. Probably a heck of a time to be sat on a nest/rearing young too!!!

[Zenarcher]

how accutre is that?

It is accurate because i use Magic Sea Weed

Its accurate because i have tested it once it said for my area i will get 40mph and on that day i did get 40mph but other websites and charts say i would get 50mph and it only reaches 30mph.