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Just a few pics from early this morning at West Sands, St. Andrews  First one was 100iso eq @ f1.8 and 10 sec exposure, strong moonlight about midnight with the faintest of hint of an aurora.

From Salon on the Isle Of Rum & The Isle Of Lewis tonight. Credit; Martin Keivers and Emma Mitchell.  

More shots here from Scotland last night. Fingers crossed again tonight as there is another predicted Kp7 ☺

Posted Images

Posted
  • Location: Erith. SE London/kent 40m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Winter Snow, extreme weather, mainly sunny mild summers though.
  • Location: Erith. SE London/kent 40m asl

    Hi Snowray, sunspot 1034 is still hanging in there, but is not very active, may produce some B class flares, but over all remaining quiet.

    Solar flux has gone up though to 75, from 71 when it was spotless.

    Hi Steve. Looks like things are getting a bit more active then, never know though, could still calm down again before the end of the year maybe. http://nwstatic.co.uk/forum/public/style_emoticons/<#EMO_DIR#>/laugh.gif

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

    Hi Steve. Looks like things are getting a bit more active then, never know though, could still calm down again before the end of the year maybe. Posted Image

    Solar flux up to 82, spot looks huge. Good job we have 15 day's left of 2009. We need 6 more to level with 2008.

    It really is going to be a push.

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    Posted
  • Location: portsmouth uk
  • Weather Preferences: extremes
  • Location: portsmouth uk

    Solar flux up to 82, spot looks huge. Good job we have 15 day's left of 2009. We need 6 more to level with 2008.

    It really is going to be a push.

    i dont think we will beat 2008 record.

    anyway i just wondered does anyone know what this cycle would need to reach average or above in terms of activity,

    im starting to get a little concerned that this could be the start of a uptrend?

    ofcoarse id rather it stayed as is has done for the last couple of years,

    i think i jinxed our sun.

    :):good:

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    Posted
  • Location: ilminster Somerset
  • Location: ilminster Somerset

    latest from SIDC

    :Issued: 2009 Dec 16 1242 UTC

    :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/xut

    #--------------------------------------------------------------------#

    # GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #

    #--------------------------------------------------------------------#

    GEOALERT BRU350

    UGEOA 30512 91216 1223/ 9930/

    11162 20162 30162

    99999

    PLAIN

    NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 16 Dec 2009 until 18 Dec 2009

    PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Dec 2009 10CM FLUX: 083 / AP: 001

    PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Dec 2009 10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 012

    PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Dec 2009 10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 007

    COMMENT: Solar activity is expected to reach active levels, with risks

    of C-class flaring activity from NOAA AR 1035. A C5 flare occurred in

    this AR at 01:35UT on Dec. 16th. This region still has potential for

    producing new C-class flares. Geomagnetic activity is expected to be

    mostly quiet for the next 48 hours.

    CHEERS

    BLACKDOWN

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    Posted
  • Location: Kingdom of Fife: 56.2º N, 3.2º W
  • Location: Kingdom of Fife: 56.2º N, 3.2º W

    Well, at least the sun is trying to wake up. Been a right old sleepy head this last couple of years :air_kiss:

    Still a ways off Earth directed X class flares though, and me waiting to get the camera out and snap some auroras. By the time cycle 25 comes round I'll be in me 70's http://nwstatic.co.uk/forum/public/style_emoticons/<#EMO_DIR#>/laugh.gif

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    Posted
  • Location: ilminster Somerset
  • Location: ilminster Somerset

    the latest fom SIDC and 1035

    #--------------------------------------------------------------------#

    # GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #

    #--------------------------------------------------------------------#

    GEOALERT BRU351

    UGEOA 30512 91217 1238/ 9930/

    11172 20172 30172

    99999

    PLAIN

    NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 17 Dec 2009 until 19 Dec 2009

    PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Dec 2009 10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 010

    PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Dec 2009 10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 011

    PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Dec 2009 10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 012

    COMMENT: Solar activity is expected to stay at moderately active

    levels, with risks for C-class flaring activity from NOAA AR 1035. Three

    C-class flares occurred on Dec. 16th, the first one being associated

    with a partial halo CME. This CME might increase geomagnetic activity

    from quiet to unsettled on late Dec. 18th or early Dec. 19th.

    cheers

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    Posted
  • Location: ilminster Somerset
  • Location: ilminster Somerset

    solar flux at 88 now possible that one of the flares came from area thats not rotated into view yet

    cheers

    #--------------------------------------------------------------------#

    # GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #

    #--------------------------------------------------------------------#

    GEOALERT BRU352

    UGEOA 30512 91218 1146/ 9930/

    11182 20182 30182

    99999

    PLAIN

    NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 18 Dec 2009 until 20 Dec 2009

    PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Dec 2009 10CM FLUX: 088 / AP: 011

    PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Dec 2009 10CM FLUX: 088 / AP: 012

    PREDICTIONS FOR 20 Dec 2009 10CM FLUX: 087 / AP: 007

    COMMENT: Solar activity is expected to stay at moderately active

    levels, with risks of C-class flares from NOAA AR 1035. Geomagnetic

    activity is expected to be mostly quiet with risks of isolated periods

    of unsettled conditions either late on Dec. 18th or early Dec. 19th. The

    reason is the possible effect of the partial halo CME of Dec. 16th.

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    Posted
  • Location: portsmouth uk
  • Weather Preferences: extremes
  • Location: portsmouth uk

    Sunspot number: 43

    it waking up bigtime spot group south hemisphere two in northern very active as suggest flux 82 and solar wind has picked up so has spot numbers.

    its not looking good if you want the minimum to continue.

    although im not sure if this spell is classed as still low in activity in trems of a minimum.

    would the dalton still have this kind of outbreak?

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    Posted
  • Location: Kingdom of Fife: 56.2º N, 3.2º W
  • Location: Kingdom of Fife: 56.2º N, 3.2º W

    it waking up bigtime spot group south hemisphere two in northern very active as suggest flux 82 and solar wind has picked up so has spot numbers.

    its not looking good if you want the minimum to continue.

    although im not sure if this spell is classed as still low in activity in trems of a minimum.

    would the dalton still have this kind of outbreak?

    I guess it's kind of like buses, you wait around for ages then 3 appear together! 1035, 36 & 37 :pardon:

    http://www.spaceweather.com/

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    Posted
  • Location: frogmore south devon
  • Location: frogmore south devon

    You cannot see 2 of them in the normal spectrum, So is this a ploy to keep sunspot activity going so we don't get more spotless days than last year

    Edited by BARRY
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    Posted
  • Location: Blackburn, Lancs
  • Location: Blackburn, Lancs

    You cannot see 2 of them in the normal spectrum, So is this a ploy to keep sunspot activity going so we don't get more spotless days than last year

    I agree, we should have two separate counts, one involving how spots used to be measured, the other as of now!
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    Posted
  • Location: frogmore south devon
  • Location: frogmore south devon

    I agree, we should have two separate counts, one involving how spots used to be measured, the other as of now!

    Time it was sorted out, How do you measure what is relevant to other minimums

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    Posted
  • Location: Kingdom of Fife: 56.2º N, 3.2º W
  • Location: Kingdom of Fife: 56.2º N, 3.2º W

    Fair point Barry. Any scientific study would need to measure and compare like for like.

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

    Don't like all this activity, I know some do for radio thingy's, but the sooner it goes quieter the better.

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    Posted
  • Location: warwick 74m. asl
  • Weather Preferences: WHITE GOLD
  • Location: warwick 74m. asl

    Don't like all this activity, I know some do for radio thingy's, but the sooner it goes quieter the better.

    Sorry fella, i think it is my fault remember, i asked you how many spotless days to beat last yearPosted Image must still be close.

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    Posted
  • Location: Mytholmroyd, West Yorks.......
  • Weather Preferences: Hot & Sunny, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Mytholmroyd, West Yorks.......

    All we have left to do is figure whether or not there is a delay in 'activity' and global temps.....LOL

    I figure ,like Arctic sea ice gain in winter, the only way is 'up'.

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

    Sorry fella, i think it is my fault remember, i asked you how many spotless days to beat last yearPosted Image must still be close.

    I think we need six spotless days to beat 2008.

    It's not going to happenPosted Image

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    Posted
  • Location: portsmouth uk
  • Weather Preferences: extremes
  • Location: portsmouth uk

    Don't like all this activity, I know some do for radio thingy's, but the sooner it goes quieter the better.

    its still low and dare i say it it looks like staying this way i know what you mean but its slowly calming down again fingers toes crossed lol.

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