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Just a few pics from early this morning at West Sands, St. Andrews  First one was 100iso eq @ f1.8 and 10 sec exposure, strong moonlight about midnight with the faintest of hint of an aurora.

More shots here from Scotland last night. Fingers crossed again tonight as there is another predicted Kp7 ☺

From Salon on the Isle Of Rum & The Isle Of Lewis tonight. Credit; Martin Keivers and Emma Mitchell.  

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Posted
  • Location: Larbert
  • Location: Larbert

    Over on the SC24 forum, Leif Svalgaard (who I respect totally with his thoughts/research) suggest maximum number of spots could be 70. Urghhh!

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    Posted
  • Location: Tornado Alley, west London
  • Location: Tornado Alley, west London

    Over on the SC24 forum, Leif Svalgaard (who I respect totally with his thoughts/research) suggest maximum number of spots could be 70. Urghhh!

    Posted Image

    where that?

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    Posted
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Southerly tracking LPs, heavy snow. Also 25c and calm
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey

    http://www.sott.net/articles/show/185459-S...one-has-arrived

    With regards to a possible Maunder, I dunno. I believe at least a Dalton is on the cards BUT it is cycle 25 that will see first bottom. However, this cycle is even deeper than forecast so a very good start to head us towards a Grand Minima of magnitude.

    BFTP

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    Posted
  • Location: portsmouth uk
  • Weather Preferences: extremes
  • Location: portsmouth uk

    this is so exciting apart from the double post by nasa.

    but surely there is always a possibility that c25 may not be a minimum at all?

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    Posted
  • Location: South Florida
  • Location: South Florida

    I think that solar cycle 23 started early as timed from Jupiter’s perihelion, and ran a relatively normal length of time then shut down. If Solar Cycle 24 starts at the normal interval after perihelion the spot count will start to increase nearer to 2011 with a peak in 2013. Since the Sun Jupiter distance is so much closer than it has been in the last few cycles, I think it might be a little premature to call for a low count cycle following this record minimum based on floating out raw Root Mean Square peak kind-of-look.

    That isn’t much to go on. Which is the main problem anyhow isn’t it? The bankers must have come with this let’s go to Mars to see if any thing died there plan instead of more solar research.

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    Posted
  • Location: portsmouth uk
  • Weather Preferences: extremes
  • Location: portsmouth uk

    Another cycle 24 sunspot has emerged: www.spaceweather.com

    The signs of increasing activity continue... :(

    Karyo

    i know :( i wanna see a real minimum or atleast see it carry on.

    but as tundra said it is still very low,

    but gotta bad feeling this cycle may not be as low for much longer gut feeling telling me it might explode into a pretty high maximum by 2013. http://nwstatic.co.uk/forum/public/style_emoticons/<#EMO_DIR#>/ohmy.gif

    Edited by badboy657
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    Posted
  • Location: portsmouth uk
  • Weather Preferences: extremes
  • Location: portsmouth uk

    i know :( i wanna see a real minimum or atleast see it carry on.

    but as tundra said it is still very low,

    but gotta bad feeling this cycle may not be as low for much longer gut feeling telling me it might explode into a pretty high maximum by 2013. :(

    the new development sc24 spot it looks bigger than most we have seen for sometime :(http://nwstatic.co.uk/forum/public/style_emoticons/<#EMO_DIR#>/ohmy.gif .

    i reckon the peak will be sooner than predicted aswell.

    Edited by badboy657
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    Posted
  • Location: Coalpit Heath, South Gloucestershire
  • Location: Coalpit Heath, South Gloucestershire

    Could some kind person explain what the solar flux is, please? TA!

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    Posted
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Southerly tracking LPs, heavy snow. Also 25c and calm
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey

    the new development sc24 spot it looks bigger than most we have seen for sometime :(:( .

    i reckon the peak will be sooner than predicted aswell.

    Gone as quick too. No it won't be a big cycle this one BUT it isn't the predicted deep minima cycle. We are heading that way into cycle 25. Feel a little assured [or not as it could have big implications] that this is a fair bit lower than anticipated

    BFTP

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    Posted
  • Location: Brighton, East Sussex
  • Location: Brighton, East Sussex

    You guys want solar cycle 24 to be a little'un??! :D I never thought of actually wanting the sun to be blank. perfect and spotless?

    I've been hoping since last year for a ramp up tho.. but the sunspots..they keep dying. http://nwstatic.co.uk/forum/public/style_emoticons/<#EMO_DIR#>/laugh.gif May and June so far looking a Little better, definitely no carrington event style Aurora's yet though!

    Edited by OldGreggsTundraBoy
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    Posted
  • Location: Bethnal Green
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Cold
  • Location: Bethnal Green

    It's my personal preference to experience a deep minimum and I think we are heading that way but it'll be a long process. I do understand the consequences it would have for the World but I still would like to experience it, in the same way that I enjoy seeing floods and hurricanes and volcanic eruptions even though they cause death and suffering.

    Edited by fozi999
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    Posted
  • Location: Larbert
  • Location: Larbert

    It may be small, but sunspot 1020 is yet another SC24 which has formed. Activity sure has gained momentum, albeit most of the sunpsots do vanish after a day or two.

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    Posted
  • Location: Tornado Alley, west London
  • Location: Tornado Alley, west London

    It may be small, but sunspot 1020 is yet another SC24 which has formed. Activity sure has gained momentum, albeit most of the sunpsots do vanish after a day or two.

    And it's gone again, although there is a fair amount of activity at that latitude on the Soho magnetogram so it looks like something's bubbling beneath the surface. It's interesting that all the SC24 activity appears to be concentrated in the northern hemisphere.

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    Posted
  • Location: portsmouth uk
  • Weather Preferences: extremes
  • Location: portsmouth uk

    And another sunspot has emerged! www.spaceweather.com

    Karyo

    its also on the southern half of the sun intresting.

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    Posted
  • Location: Manchester
  • Location: Manchester

    Another sunspot has emerged! Not only that, but there is a burst of energy on the eastern side of the sun according to spaceweather.com

    I am starting to miss the 'sleepy' sun we had until recently!

    Karyo

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    Posted
  • Location: Bethnal Green
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Cold
  • Location: Bethnal Green

    Well it's still sleepy really. This months activity will be comparable to November 2008 however November had bigger more prolonged spots so it could be argued that activity was more vigorous then. Either way the minimum should soon be confirmed at around the turn of the year as counting all these specks will push the smoothed SSN up. Now the next question will be is the SSN going to increase but the size and contrast of the spots going to decline? At the moment it looks like yes but there is a long way to go; L&P still on track.

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