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  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 75.8

    Adjusted Flux Density 74.7 = low

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    Just a few pics from early this morning at West Sands, St. Andrews  First one was 100iso eq @ f1.8 and 10 sec exposure, strong moonlight about midnight with the faintest of hint of an aurora.

    From Salon on the Isle Of Rum & The Isle Of Lewis tonight. Credit; Martin Keivers and Emma Mitchell.  

    More shots here from Scotland last night. Fingers crossed again tonight as there is another predicted Kp7 ☺

    Posted Images

    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 81.6

    Adjusted Flux Density 80.3 = low

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    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
    3 hours ago, Crepuscular Ray said:

    Giant new, cycle 25 sunspot group emerging over the limb.  😀

    I was hoping for a silent Sun to reduce the issues associated with the planetary heating...

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    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 82.9

    Adjusted Flux Density 81.6 = low

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    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 86.9

    Adjusted Flux Density 85.4 = low

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    Posted
  • Location: Irlam
  • Location: Irlam

    I'm struggling with this one. Why would that that sunspot group have that much effect?

    My point is that 4 of the severest winters of the 20th century occurred around solar maximum, they shouldn't have been if you extrapolate his point, the dice should be well and truly loaded against it

    Look at this sunspot chart from December 1978 and we all know what happened from the end of December 

     a_7812-1.gif

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    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 90.7

    Adjusted Flux Density 89.1 = low

     

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    Posted
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Severe frosts, Heavy snowfall, Thunder and lightning, Stormy weather
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex

    THE SOLAR WIND HAS ARRIVED: As predicted, Earth is entering a stream of solar wind flowing from a southern hole in the sun's atmosphere. First contact on Nov. 6th sparked bright auroras over Utsjoki, Finland

     

    finland_strip The solar wind has finally arrived.png

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    Posted
  • Location: sunny sunny Bournemouth
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Bartlett style mild and benign
  • Location: sunny sunny Bournemouth
    On 05/11/2020 at 14:11, Weather-history said:

    I'm struggling with this one. Why would that that sunspot group have that much effect?

    My point is that 4 of the severest winters of the 20th century occurred around solar maximum, they shouldn't have been if you extrapolate his point, the dice should be well and truly loaded against it

    Look at this sunspot chart from December 1978 and we all know what happened from the end of December 

     a_7812-1.gif

    Personally think that sunspot activity has no discernable effect on our weather at all.

    Winters 1978/9 and 1981/2 occurred near to or during solar max, as did 1990/91.

    Granted, 1985/6 and 1986/7 were close to solar minimum, but where were the severe winters of 1975/6 and 1976/7?

    I can point at both good and bad summers at both solar min and solar max down the years, so I really don't buy it.

    Solar flux now into the 90s for the first time since October 2017. We will still get some days when we drop to the low 70s and spotless in the coming months, but these days will get less and less as we move into 2021.

    I have seen some suggestions that this cycle could be a big one. Great from my POV if this were to come about, but I have seen nothing at this stage to suggest this cycle will be much different in magnitude to Cycle 24.

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 93.8

    Adjusted Flux Density 92.1 = low

    Whoa! It's going up!!

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  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 90.6

    Adjusted Flux Density 88.9 = low

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    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 92.9

    Adjusted Flux Density 91.2 = low

    Note how, as the earth gets nearer to the sun due to the elliptical nature of the orbit, the compensation factor has changed from positive to negative, to adjust the reading to 1 sfu which is based on the mean of the distance of earth from the sun.

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    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 91.3

    Adjusted Flux Density 89.5 = low

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    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 93.2

    Adjusted Flux Density 91.4 = low

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    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 89.9

    Adjusted Flux Density 88.1 = low

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    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 87.6

    Adjusted Flux Density 85.8 = low

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    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 85.1

    Adjusted Flux Density 83.3 = low

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    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    I think there's a glitch... showing as 

    Observed Flux Density 65.5

    Adjusted Flux Density 64.1 ....

    If that's for real it's a BIG drop...

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  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Definitely something wrong with previous figures!

    Observed Flux Density 82.5

    Adjusted Flux Density 80.7 = low

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 81.6

    Adjusted Flux Density 79.8 = low

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    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 78.7

    Adjusted Flux Density 76.9 = low

    Suggests recent activity may be on the wane.

    Edited by JeffC
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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

    1 day blank,  205 for 2020, 64%

    Solar flux 79

    Thermosphere: 5.62

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    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
    11 hours ago, SteveB said:

    1 day blank,  205 for 2020, 64%

    Solar flux 79

    Thermosphere: 5.62

    Yay!

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