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  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 67.6

    Adjusted Flux Density 69.9 = very low

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    Just a few pics from early this morning at West Sands, St. Andrews  First one was 100iso eq @ f1.8 and 10 sec exposure, strong moonlight about midnight with the faintest of hint of an aurora.

    From Salon on the Isle Of Rum & The Isle Of Lewis tonight. Credit; Martin Keivers and Emma Mitchell.  

    More shots here from Scotland last night. Fingers crossed again tonight as there is another predicted Kp7 ☺

    Posted Images

    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

    6 days blank, 128 for 2020, 74%

    Solar flux 68

    Thermosphere: 2.62

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    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 68.1

    Adjusted Flux Density 70.3 = low

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

    7 days blank,  129 for 2020, 74%

    Solar flux 68

    Thermosphere: 2.58

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    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 67.0

    Adjusted Flux Density 69.2 = very low

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

    8 days blank,  130 for 2020, 74%

    Solar flux 67

    Thermosphere: 2.53

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    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 67.9

    Adjusted Flux Density 70.2 = low

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    Posted
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Severe frosts, Heavy snowfall, Thunder and lightning, Stormy weather
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex

    -

    Edited by Katrine Basso
    Mistaken thread
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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

    9 days blank,  131 for 2020, 74%

    Solar flux 67

    Thermosphere: 2.51

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    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 68.6

    Adjusted Flux Density 70.9 = low

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

    10 days blank, 132 for 2020, 74%

    Solar flux 69

    Thermosphere: 2.51

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    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 67.8

    Adjusted Flux Density 70.0 = very low

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

    11 days blank,  133 for 2020, 74%

    Solar flux 68

    Thermosphere: 2.44

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    Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

    Just totting up and we are coming in around 75% for Q2. While ahead of 2019 now we should lose ground although the 208 in 2018 is possible to beat.

    On a 12 month basis it looks like June 2020 may be declared solar minimum.

    The thermosphere cooling is strange given that solar activity was most dead late last year.

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    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 68.9

    Adjusted Flux Density 71.2 = low

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    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 68.9

    Adjusted Flux Density 71.3 = low

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    Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

    We may have had a sunspot yesterday it seems. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

    1 day blank, 135 for 2020, 75%

    Solar flux 69

    Thermosphere: 2.42

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    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 68.6

    Adjusted Flux Density 70.9 = low

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    Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

    Just looking at the stats and if we can maintain a 60%+ rate in H2 then we should be able to get a second top 10 spotless year (242 needed). If we achieve that we will have also beaten the last solar cycle for spotless numbers (818 needed).

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

    2 days blank,  136 for 2020, 75%

    Solar flux 69

    Thermosphere: 2.47

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    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 68.1

    Adjusted Flux Density 70.4 = low

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

    3 days blank,  137 for 2020, 75%

    Solar flux 68

    Thermosphere: 2.46

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    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 68.9

    Adjusted Flux Density 71.2 = low

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    Posted
  • Location: sunny sunny Bournemouth
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Bartlett style mild and benign
  • Location: sunny sunny Bournemouth

    Article here suggesting that solar minimum was reached last November.

    largepreview.png
    WWW.RESEARCHGATE.NET

    PDF | In our previous article we found a relationship between the adjusted solar flux and the start of sunspot cycles. We used the 13 month smoothed... | Find, read...

    While it is probably too early to state this categorically for sure, the slow  but steady increase in the appearance of Cycle 25 spot groups, and some low sunspot numbers/solar flux readings from a year ago dropping from the reckoning, I think the article will end up being pretty close to the mark.

    There are also a couple of interesting graphs on solen.info by Jan Alvestad detailing the running 365-day smoothed means of both sunspot numbers and daily solar flux readings. These figures are always centred on 6 months ago, so today's rolling solar flux average over the past year is stated as being for (and centred on) early January. The graph focussing on the 24/25 transition is here

    Cycles_24_25_minimum.png

     

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