Jump to content
Holidays
Local
Radar
Snow?
shuggee

Solar and Aurora Activity Chat

Recommended Posts

14th December:

206 sunspotless days running at 59%

Kp index=1=quiet

Radio sun  10.7cm flux   70sfu

Solar wind 368.7km/sec

 

Edited by Minus 10
  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
23 minutes ago, Minus 10 said:

14th December:

Thermosphere climate index:  33.4 billion watts.

 Still dropping nicely. 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, Chris.R said:

 Still dropping nicely. 

Yes it is and nearing that record low set in feb 2009

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
24 minutes ago, Minus 10 said:

Yes it is and nearing that record low set in feb 2009

Of the satelite era we have no idea what it was say in the dalton minimum !!

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
22 hours ago, jonboy said:

Of the satelite era we have no idea what it was say in the dalton minimum !!

The Maunder minimum would be intriguing.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Sunspot ar2731 is a typical solar minimum sunspot and poses no threat for solar flares.

Kp index=0=quiet

Solar winds 331.7km/sec

Radio sun   10.7cm flux 71sfu

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
13 minutes ago, Minus 10 said:

The Maunder minimum would be intriguing.

It would but i think this minimum is more dalton in intensity

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Thermosphere Climate Index
3.30x1010 W Cold

Updated 15 Dec 2018

Edited by Katrine Basso
Add date
  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
15 hours ago, jonboy said:

It would but i think this minimum is more dalton in intensity

Ive heard varying opinions from extremity to extremity, ie: the earths gonna freeze over, the earths gonna boil up. Basically im gonna sit back, observe and learn as the years go by.

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Tiny sunspot ar2731 unleased a b1 class type flare, no black outs of note as of 15th December 2018.

Sunspot ar2731 is almost gone, possibly the rest of december could be spotless.

Solar wind 299.4km/sec

Radio sun 10.7cm flux  71sfu

Kp index=1=quiet.

Edited by Minus 10
  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Thermosphere climate index:   32.2 billion watts. By goodness that really is dropping like a stone.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, Minus 10 said:

Thermosphere climate index:   32.2 billion watts. By goodness that really is dropping like a stone.

 Wow! If it continues at that rate then we will have beaten 2009 by NewYear’s Day. 

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

1 day blank, 207 for 2018 59%

Solar flux 70

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Thermosphere climate index:  31.9 billion watts.

Kp index=1=quiet

Solar wind   429.3km/sec

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

December 17th.

Minor geomagnetic unrest possible due to earth facing coronal hole. Some aurora could be witnessed in the arctic circle.

Edited by Minus 10
  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

2 day's blank, 208 for 2018, 59%

Solar flux 70

Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 3.19
x1010 W Cold
Max: 49.4
x1010 W Hot (10/1957)
Min: 2.05x1010 W Cold (02/2009)

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

December 18th:

Thermosphere climate index:  31.6 billion watts. 

Kp index=2=quiet

Solar wind 429.2km/sec

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

With solar minimum deepening, expect sunspotless days in 2019 to be in the hundreds according to spaceweather.com

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Solar wind density: 9.7 protons/cm3

Apparently the solar wind density is responsible for how much cosmic rays penetrate into our atmosphere, combined with the suns magnetic field. The lower the solar wind density  the more cosmic rays penetrate our atmosphere. Solar wind density "im guessing" is low due to solar minimum. What ive learnt so far regarding cosmic rays: cosmic rays can seed clouds thus creating and altering weather patterns, and keeping a weather pattern in a rut for prolonged periods. Atmospheric compression events also known as ACE, can create tremendous amounts of rainfall and the phenomenon of destructive hail in short spaces of time.

Edited by Minus 10
  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

3 day's blank, 209 for 2018 59%

Solar flux 70

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

December 19th 2018:

Thermosphere climate index: 32.0 billion watts.

Kp index=2=quiet.

Solar wind: 503.5km/sec

Solar wind density: 7.3 protons/cm3

Solar wind density reduced today, solar wind has increased, thermosphere heated a little today, another sunspotless day, kp index quiet again.

 

Edited by Minus 10
  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

4 day's blank, 210 for 2018 59%

Solar flux 70

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Unexpectedly, solar wind has reached a speed of 600km/sec. The pressure of this high speed wind on our earths magnetic field could cause auroras in the arctic circle today.

Edited by Minus 10

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

December 20th:

Thermosphere climate index: 33.0 billion watts.

Kp index=1=quiet.

Solar wind: 536.2km/sec

Solar wind density: 4.4/protons cm3

 

Edited by Minus 10
  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now

×
×
  • Create New...