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Sunspot number: 0

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 7 days
2018 total: 149 days (56%)

The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 68 sfu

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Of interest to follow, Schwabe cycle 11 years, last Schwabe minima

2007 = 152 days

2008 = 256 days

2009 = 250 days

 

Now move forward 11 years

2018 = 149 days.......with 102 days to go.  If this is going where anticipated then 2019/2020 could be very very quiet and we ‘could’ be in for a major bottoming out come 2029-2032? The target ‘projection’ of 1st of a double dip Grand Minima this century.

Fascinating observations currently

 

 

BFTP

Edited by BLAST FROM THE PAST

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Sunspot number: 0

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 8 days
2018 total: 150 days (57%)

The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 68 sfu

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9 day's blank, 151 day's  for 2018,  57%

Solar flux 67

Edited by SteveB

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deleted

Edited by ciel

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If the figures stay at 57% , that extrapolated to 208 days blank, which is quite a rapid descent if it's Schwabe cycle based...

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1 hour ago, SteveB said:

10 day's blank, 152 for 2018 57%

Solar flux 68

Now equal to 2007 for blank days.

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exciting times, shame the solar min thread got closed, it was a great thread until it got derailed by global warming stuff.

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1 hour ago, SteveB said:

exciting times, shame the solar min thread got closed, it was a great thread until it got derailed by global warming stuff.

Well, if you're that bothered, why don't you start a new one - in the Climate part of the forum, Steve?:good:

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Because it would soon be closed again, some people just can't help themselves! 

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23 minutes ago, SteveB said:

Because it would soon be closed again, some people just can't help themselves! 

All you can do is try, is it not...? And if it is closed (before anyone starts a bicker fest, that is) you'll be proven right, won't you?

The ball is in your court...:D

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Nah, you're alright, I'll leave it to someone braver than me. 

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3 hours ago, Ed Stone said:

Well, if you're that bothered, why don't you start a new one - in the Climate part of the forum, Steve?

If I can work out how to do it I'll restart it in the climate thread, but ask folk to keep it relevant, might even start one on the Schwabe cycle... 

It'll be later on as I'm back being a wage slave so having to travel on a Sunday night... 

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4 hours ago, JeffC said:

If I can work out how to do it I'll restart it in the climate thread, but ask folk to keep it relevant, might even start one on the Schwabe cycle... 

It'll be later on as I'm back being a wage slave so having to travel on a Sunday night... 

Righto I think I've started it in the right thread... Crack on... 

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Sunspot number: 0
Updated 25 Sep 2018

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 12 days
2018 total: 154 days (58%)

The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 68 sfu

 

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This is heading exactly as anticipated re deep/Grand minima.  Target for Maunder style minima 2032....so 2029-2032 we should see super quiet sun.....and we should see ramifications from this one very very soon.  Jet not firing up as ‘some’ forecast due to AGW....solar Dalton grand minima is here.....hold on to your hats as we look to go deeper

 

BFTP

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Sunspot number: 0
Updated 26 Sep 2018

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 13 days
2018 total: 155 days (58%)

The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 68 sfu

The solar flux has been unchanged for 13 days. I hope that this trend will continue.

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14 day's blank, 156 for 2018, 58%

Solar remains at 68

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10 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

Three days old but still....

 

Not sure what he's on about. There's no way of knowing whether it's solar minimum or not yet, and we won't know until there's a significant uptick in activity. It could start tomorrow or not for another 3 years.

 

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There's some analogue evidence for short, deep minimums however 2008/2009 for example was an alternative anonomy (not the only one). I personally suspect this one will be another long one and near record breaking.

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15 day's blank, 157 for 2018, 58%

Solar flux dipped a little to 67

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