Jump to content
Holidays
Local
Radar
Snow?
shuggee

Solar and Aurora Activity Chat

Recommended Posts

7 day's blank, 87 day's for 2018, 53%

Solar flux 70

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
On 07/06/2018 at 12:53, SteveB said:

I can't see us getting to 200+ days this year. When there have been spots, they've been hanging around long enough to keep the spotless count down.

It's been nearly two weeks between spotless day's, we haven't been able to string a spotless run along for that amount of time yet.

In theory the frequency should increase the further we go into the year. If we are running at over 50% now, it's not a stretch to push that.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

At the moment though, impossible to string more than 10 day's spotless.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
On 14/06/2018 at 06:43, SteveB said:

At the moment though, impossible to string more than 10 day's spotless.

Sadly true. I was hoping we would reach 100 spotless days in June but this chance has long gone. 

Today we have three spots and the solar flux has reached 77. 😐

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Yep, suspect 150 spotless days is probably the most we are likely to get. More realistically around the 120 is a safer bet

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
12 hours ago, SteveB said:

Yep, suspect 150 spotless days is probably the most we are likely to get. More realistically around the 120 is a safer bet

The solar flux today has risen to 82 - quite dismal! 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

If sunspots do affect our weather and can lead to warmer weather in winter, I would rather it be high now, and come Autumn Winter be lower flux and spotless!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
22 minutes ago, SteveB said:

If sunspots do affect our weather and can lead to warmer weather in winter, I would rather it be high now, and come Autumn Winter be lower flux and spotless!

That's the only positive I can see from this but it may mean that the current cycle will not be as quiet as we were hoping.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
6 minutes ago, karyo said:

That's the only positive I can see from this but it may mean that the current cycle will not be as quiet as we were hoping.

We are considerably lower than the last minimum. There will always be bursts of activity and this present activity is still low compared to past cycles Have faith in a couple of days we will be spotless again.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Given the phenomenal amount of thermal inertia contained within the oceanic-atmospheric system as a whole, I simply can't see how a few spotless/spotty days are either here or there, meteorologically speaking...? IMO, teleconnections are far more down-to-Earth.🤔

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

After 16 day's of spots, the sun is blank again

1 day blank, 88 for 2018, 49%

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

That's great news to hear that the sun is blank again and that the solar flare count has gone down to 70.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

2 days blank, 89 for 2018, 50%

Solar flux 70

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

3 days blank, 90 for 2018, 50%

Solar flux 69

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, SteveB said:

3 days blank, 90 for 2018, 50%

Solar flux 69

So hopefully 100 days will be reached in July. The % of spotless days has dropped from earlier in the year.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

This is fantastic news that the solar flux has gone down to normal levels.  Hopefully it will go further down

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
8 minutes ago, Katrine Basso said:

This is fantastic news that the solar flux has gone down to normal levels.  Hopefully it will go further down

But why is it 'fantastic news', Katrine...what's it going to do?🤔

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
10 hours ago, karyo said:

So hopefully 100 days will be reached in July. The % of spotless days has dropped from earlier in the year.

Hope so, but need a good run of spotless days now before it's interrupted again. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

4 days blank, 91 for 2018 50%

Solar flux 68%

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Daily Sun: 02 July 18

Sunspot number: 0

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 5 days
2018 total: 92 days (50%)

The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 68 sfu

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

5 Day's blank, 92 for 2018, 50%

Solar flux 68

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

6 day's blank, 93 for 2018, 50%

Solar flux 68

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Daily Sun: 04 July 18

Sunspot number: 0

Current Stretch: 7 days
2018 total: 94 days (51%

The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 67 sfu

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Daily Sun: 5th July 2018

Sunspot number: 0

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 8 days
2018 total: 95 days (51%)

The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 67 sfu

Spaceweather.com says on it's website that the sun is rapidly descending into deep solar minimum.  It also states that by the end of 2018, the spotless intervals will be measured in weeks.  

 

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

It's getting near to the spotless count where spots start to show up.

Will we 5 more spotless day's!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...