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shuggee

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Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.

The newest Solar Storm Forecast from Dr. Tamitha Skov.

 

Edited by Polar Maritime
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Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.

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Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.

A very strong M7 Flare earlier..

 

Xray_1m.gif

 

Edited by Polar Maritime
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Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.

Well "spotted" bjay

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  • 2 weeks later...
Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.

WANING CHANCE OF FLARES: There are only two sunspots visible on the solar disk, and both of them appear to be in a state of decay. http://spaceweather.com/

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Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.

Yes K, Sunspot count only 38 now. And activity dropping rapidly.

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Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.

1010393_10152553104849263_54895725678283

 

 At Canisbay 10 mins ago...

 

M Flare just.

 

goes-xray-flux.gif

Edited by Polar Maritime
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Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.

 A CME sideswiped Earth's magnetic field on Oct. 14th. Shortly thereafter, Earth passed through a fold in the heliospheric current sheet (a "solar sector boundary crossing"). The combined effect was to ignite a spectacular light show around the Arctic Circle. "Auroras were running across the sky as soon as the daylight faded," reports Frank Olsen who sends this picture from Sortland, Norway:


auroras_strip.jpg


"The display lasted for more than 10 hours, and was still going on at 5 am Norwegian time on Oct. 15th," continues Olsen. "This night has been awesome!"


Arctic sky watchers should remain alert for auroras on Oct. 15-16. Earth's magnetic field is still reverberating from the CME strike and the solar sector boundary crossing. NOAA forecasters estimate a whopping 50% chance of polar geomagnetic storms during the next 24 hours.  http://spaceweather.com/


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Posted
  • Location: Near King's Lynn 13.68m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Hoar Frost, Snow, Misty Autumn mornings
  • Location: Near King's Lynn 13.68m ASL

Interesting article here about the effect of solar activity on polar ozone.

 

http://www.photonicsonline.com/doc/nature-communications-solar-activity-impacts-polar-ozone-0001

Edited by Yarmy
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Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.

Strong X-Flare just now from region 2192..

goes-xray-flux.gif

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Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.

Update (8:30 AM PDT): Remarkably, this explosion did not yield a significant CME. Just-arriving coronagraph images from SOHO show no cloud emerging from the blast site.

Big sunspots tend to produce big flares, and clearly AR2192 is no exception. More X-flares are likely as AR2192 turns toward Earth in the days ahead. Also, if you have a solar telescope, point it at the sun. This active region is a real beautyhttp://spaceweather.com/

 

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Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset

I'm surprised there's been no chat about the largest collection of sunspots for 25 years? They're keeping a close eye on them of course, there's a chance of flares that could cause a few problems for us.

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Posted
  • Location: York
  • Weather Preferences: Long warm summer evenings. Cold frosty sunny winter days.
  • Location: York

 

I'm surprised there's been no chat about the largest collection of sunspots for 25 years? They're keeping a close eye on them of course, there's a chance of flares that could cause a few problems for us.

 

Don't understand your comment at all can you please explain what you mean by 'largest collection of sunspots'

Edited by jonboy
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Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset

Don't understand your comment at all can you please explain what you mean by 'largest collection of sunspots'

An area of sunspots has been growing, a few days ago it was the largest area for 5 years, then 11 years, according to a post by Simon King, it is now the largest area for 25 years.

post-15177-0-65310400-1414062952_thumb.j

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Posted
  • Location: York
  • Weather Preferences: Long warm summer evenings. Cold frosty sunny winter days.
  • Location: York

It is true that sunspot 2192 at 69095 pixels is the largest sunspot of this cycle whether for the last twenty five years i can't verify. This sunspot if flaring well but is yet to produce a CME of any significance

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Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

It's a big old sunspot alright - the size of Jupiter

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Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.

X3+ Flare ! From giant sunspot AR2192.

 

goes-xray-flux.gif

 

CHANCE OF FLARES: Despite shrinking by ~10% on Oct. 24th, sunspot AR2192 remains the largest and most active sunspot of the current solar cycle. By far. NOAA forecasters estimate an 85% chance of M-class flares and a 45% chance of X-flares on Oct. 25th. http://spaceweather.com/

 

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Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.

Another X-Flare from giant sunspot AR2192.

 

goes-xray-flux.gif

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Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.

Yes Snowy, A big up-tick in activity over the last few days.

 

goes-xray-flux.gif

Edited by Polar Maritime
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Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.

Another X2 today from AR2192.

 

goes-xray-flux.gif

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