Solar and Aurora Activity Chat

[JeffC]

Adjusted flux now.67.8

[SteveB]

14 days blank,  30 for 2020, 64%

Solar flux 71

Thermosphere: 3.54

[Minus 10]

neutron count 10.3% very high

[SteveB]

15 days blank, 31 for 2020, 65%

Solar flux 71

Thermosphere: 3.60

[JeffC]

Adjusted flux 69.0

[Minus 10]

neutron count 10.8% very high

kp index 1 quiet

[JeffC]

Adjusted flux 69.1

[SteveB]

16 days blank, 32 for 2020, 65%

Solar flux 71

Thermosphere: 3.53

 

[Katrine Basso]

"Surprise auroras strike big!" exclaims Alexander Kuznetsov, who photographed the display from Kilpisjärvi, Finland. "At one point they went pink and moved very fast! I also saw a fast corona unfolding above me, reminding me of an angel."

[Minus 10]

neutron count 11.3% very high

kp index 4 unsettled

[Katrine Basso]

MAGNETIC CRACK SPARKS RARE BLUE AURORAS: Yes, there really are cracks in Earth's magnetic field. One of them opened on Feb. 18th, sparking some of the strangest auroras in years. First, the night sky turned blue over the Lofoten Islands of Norway:

[SteveB]

17 days blank, 33 for 2020, 66%

Solar flux 71

Thermosphere: 3.47

[JeffC]

Adjusted flux 69.0

[SteveB]

18 days blank,  34 for 2020, 67%

Solar flux 71

Thermosphere: 3.71

[JeffC]

Adjusted flux 69.2

[SteveB]

19 days blank,  35 for 2020, 67%

Solar flux 71

Thermosphere: 3 71

[JeffC]

Adjusted flux 69.6

[SteveB]

20 days blank, 36 for 2020 68%

Solar flux 71

Thermosphere: 3 70

[JeffC]

Adjusted flux 70.7

[SteveB]

21 days blank, 37 for 2020, 69%

Solar flux 72

Thermosphere: 3.81

[JeffC]

Adjusted flux 69.9

[SteveB]

22 days blank,  38 for 2020, 69%

Solar flux 70

Thermosphere: 3.86

[summer blizzard]

Just looking through the historical record and assuming 2020 is declared solar minimum (forecasts seem to be around April) the winters of 1811 and 1824 are the most relevant next year since they also followed weak peaks. 

[JeffC]

Adjusted flux 69.0

[SteveB]

23 days blank, 39 for 2020. 70%

Solar flux 70

Thermosphere: 3.82