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Solar and Aurora Activity Chat


shuggee

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Posted
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Severe frosts, Heavy snowfall, Thunder and lightning, Stormy weather
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex

The sunspot number is 0. It was updated on 22 Nov 2018

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 2 days
2018 total: 192 days (59%)

The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 69 sfu

 

 

 

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Posted
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Severe frosts, Heavy snowfall, Thunder and lightning, Stormy weather
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 3 days
2018 total: 193 days (59%)

The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 69 sfu 

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Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

1 day blank, 195 for 2018, 59%

Solar flux 69

Thermosphere 3.87 = cold

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Posted
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Severe frosts, Heavy snowfall, Thunder and lightning, Stormy weather
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex

INCREDIBLE SKI HALOS: Ski resorts are one of the best places to see sun halos--rings of light that surround the sun when ice crystals fill the air. Spaceweather.com reader Julie Morris was skiing at the Snowbasin Resort in Huntsville, Utah, on Nov. 25th when she witnessed this incredible specimen.

skihalo_strip.jpg

Edited by Katrine Basso
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Posted
  • Location: Shrewsbury,Shropshire
  • Location: Shrewsbury,Shropshire
On 03/08/2018 at 10:37, drgl said:

It looks spotless now, can't see a thing yet Space Weather claims there is a small spot! Must be a single pixel! I'm going for 220 spotless days :)

Looking good for my guess of 220 spotless days, just need another run like the last without any TINY pesky spots spoiling things!!!

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Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

2 day's blank, 196 for 2018, 59%

Solar flux 68

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Posted
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Severe frosts, Heavy snowfall, Thunder and lightning, Stormy weather
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex

Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 3.83x1010 W Cold
Max: 49.4x1010 W Hot (10/1957)
Min: 2.05x1010 W Cold (02/2009)

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Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

3 day's blank, 197 for 2018, 59%

Solar flux 68

Edited by SteveB
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Posted
  • Location: York
  • Weather Preferences: Long warm summer evenings. Cold frosty sunny winter days.
  • Location: York

Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 3.78
x1010W Cold
Max: 49.4
x1010 W Hot (10/1957)
Min: 2.05x1010W Cold (02/2009)
explanation | more data
Updated 28 Nov 2018

We continue to see a cooling of the upper atmosphere

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Posted
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Severe frosts, Heavy snowfall, Thunder and lightning, Stormy weather
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex
 

Daily Sun: 30 Nov 2018

Sunspot number: 0

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 4 days
2018 total: 198 days (59%)

The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 67 sfu

Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 3.73x1010 W Cold
Max: 49.4x1010 W Hot (10/1957)
Min: 2.05x1010 W Cold (02/2009)

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Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

5 day's blank, 199 for 2018 59%

Solar flux 68

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Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

Amazing day tomorrow.

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Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

There we have it, 200 spotless day's for 2018 60%

6 day's in a row blank

Solar flux 69

Where do we go from here?

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Posted
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Severe frosts, Heavy snowfall, Thunder and lightning, Stormy weather
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex

Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 3.71x1010 W Cold
Max: 49.4x1010 W Hot (10/1957)
Min: 2.05x1010 W Cold (02/2009)

Updated 02 Dec 2018

The sun spotless count could reach 2010 or more

 

 

Edited by Katrine Basso
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Posted
  • Location: Galway
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, frost hail, ice.
  • Location: Galway
1 hour ago, Katrine Basso said:

Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 3.71x1010 W Cold
Max: 49.4x1010 W Hot (10/1957)
Min: 2.05x1010 W Cold (02/2009)

Updated 02 Dec 2018

The sun spotless count could reach 2010 or more

 

 

The thermosphere climate index isnt updated yet, still on 1st december. With kp index low, continuing sunspotless activity and low sfu, im guessing thermosphere temps down to 3.68 billion watts. Getting very close to that all time record low set in february 2009.   210 sunspotless for 2018 looks possible, 2019 even less sunspots.

Edited by Minus 10
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Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
13 minutes ago, Minus 10 said:

The thermosphere climate index isnt updated yet, still on 1st december. With kp index low, continuing sunspotless activity and low sfu, im guessing thermosphere temps down to 3.68 billion watts. Getting very close to that all time record low set in february 2009.   210 sunspotless for 2018 looks possible, 2019 even less sunspots.

At current run rate of 59-60% spotless that would perhaps mean 220 spotless days. 

I'm not sure if there's any way to predict frequency or likely development of sunspots, but theoretically could be higher still percentage wise. 

Interesting times... 

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Posted
  • Location: Galway
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, frost hail, ice.
  • Location: Galway
13 minutes ago, JeffC said:

At current run rate of 59-60% spotless that would perhaps mean 220 spotless days. 

I'm not sure if there's any way to predict frequency or likely development of sunspots, but theoretically could be higher still percentage wise. 

Interesting times... 

Yes interesting times...the thermosphere being that cold can only downwell and have ramifications on our atmosphere, god only knows how cold the thermosphere was back during the maunder minimum...looking at trends from previous solar minimums, one would have to assume that 2019 will peak with sunspotless activity. I dont think solar physicists can predict sunspots but constantly observing activity on the sun, still a lot to be learned...  Tamitha Skov is a great youtube channel...

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Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

7 day's blank, 201 for 2018,  60%

Solar flux 69

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Posted
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Severe frosts, Heavy snowfall, Thunder and lightning, Stormy weather
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex

Solar wind sparks Polar auroras

Polar auroras turned the Northern landscape green.

 

greenvalley_strip Polar auroas seen from Northern Norway.jpg

Edited by Katrine Basso
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Posted
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Severe frosts, Heavy snowfall, Thunder and lightning, Stormy weather
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex

Daily Sun: 04 Dec 2018

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 8 days
2018 total: 202 days (60%)

The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 68 sfu

 

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Posted
  • Location: Near Allenheads,1400 feet up in northumberland
  • Location: Near Allenheads,1400 feet up in northumberland

New solar activity forescast and it’s quite shocking. When or where is cycle 25? 

 

7D7F5F66-1A0D-4366-8E58-E49782AAD441.jpeg

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Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
On 02/12/2018 at 10:42, Minus 10 said:

Yes interesting times...the thermosphere being that cold can only downwell and have ramifications on our atmosphere, god only knows how cold the thermosphere was back during the maunder minimum...looking at trends from previous solar minimums, one would have to assume that 2019 will peak with sunspotless activity. I dont think solar physicists can predict sunspots but constantly observing activity on the sun, still a lot to be learned...  Tamitha Skov is a great youtube channel...

The thermosphere contains less that 0.01% of the Earths air, despite ranging up to 1,000km in thickness. The air there is so sparse that most of it is considered outer space, and even when it's over 2,000C, you'd freeze because there not enough air to conduct the heat. As such, there's no known link between temperature variations at that elevation and weather at the surface.

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Posted
  • Location: Galway
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, frost hail, ice.
  • Location: Galway
4 hours ago, Katrine Basso said:

Daily Sun: 04 Dec 2018

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 8 days
2018 total: 202 days (60%)

The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 68 sfu

 

Nearly doubled last years sunspotless days. Interesting times...

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Posted
  • Location: Near King's Lynn 13.68m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Hoar Frost, Snow, Misty Autumn mornings
  • Location: Near King's Lynn 13.68m ASL
7 hours ago, tynevalleysnow said:

New solar activity forescast and it’s quite shocking. When or where is cycle 25? 

 

7D7F5F66-1A0D-4366-8E58-E49782AAD441.jpeg

Not sure what method is being employed there. SIDC use a couple of methods which have very different forecasts.

http://sidc.oma.be/silso/dayssnplot

Who knows? 

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Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

9 day's blank, 203 for 2018 60%

Solar flux 68

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