October CET

[summer blizzard]

Joneseye: 7.5C

Snow-Man2006: 9.5C

Hiya: 9.8C

Summer Blizzard: 10.4C

Intrepid: 10.7C

Snowmaiden: 10.75C

Viking141: 11C

Lesta_snow: 11C

Anti-Mild: 11.2C

Kold weather: 11.5C

Snowyowl9: 11.7C

Bham Chris: 12.1C

Bottesford: 12.2C

Windswept: 12.4C

Snowprincess: 12.7C

West is Best: 13.4C

The Pit, could you give an actual figure??

[stormchaser1]

10.3c

for me please , imgoing for a wet/ windy/ dull/ cold start to the month

nigel

[Rollo]

It looks like another above average month to me with a fair amount of windy changeable weather-C.E.T.11.9c.

[stricklands]

ill go for 11.7

[Guest Mike W]

13.6 might happen but don't put it as a prediction becasue I don't really like to predict these things, but we do need a wet month or two now.

Edited September 27, 2006 by Mike W

[lesta_snow]

i think ppl r just saying random numbers some1 will say 40c soon lol :lol:

[tinybill]

the more i look at the gfs the more blue its geting!!!

temp = 6.4 :lol:

winter coming!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Anti-Mild]

i think ppl r just saying random numbers some1 will say 40c soon lol :lol:

Lesta snow, I'm not trying to be funny or come across as a grumpy old fart but can you please stop posting in text-speak? It's harder to read and it's not as though you have limited space to post.

AM

[Optimus Prime]

I'm going for an October a fraction milder than 2003....like I did last year.

9.3c

[Stratos Ferric]

Lesta snow, I'm not trying to be funny or come across as a grumpy old fart but can you please stop posting in text-speak? It's harder to read and it's not as though you have limited space to post.

AM

I thought I was back on SlowWatch for a moment there.

[Anti-Mild]

I thought I was back on SlowWatch for a moment there.

Don't you mean '**** *****"? :lol:

This forum is too well moderated for it to descend to that level thankfully. The mods do a bang-up job on here, very unlike that 'other place'!

Back on topic (ahem ), it currently looks like early October could see temps at or just below average which puts paid to my forecast of a very mild start to the month !

AM

[beng]

9.9c - I think we're about to start another run of below average CET months.

[West is Best]

This forum is too well moderated for it to descend to that level thankfully. The mods do a bang-up job on here, very unlike that 'other place'!

Don't butter them up too much. It'll go to their heads even more - and OON's head needs no more polishing. Personally I think it's all down to the high standard of clientelle they have on here.

[Optimus Prime]

Going by the current GFS run the 1st-7th will have a CET of 11.1c. That would be 0.5c above the average for the whole October or a little below for the first week.

Edited September 28, 2006 by Optimus Prime

[tugmistress]

i'll have a bit of fun again with this :blink:

i reckon you lot will be about 3 degrees warmer than i was last october, which equates to 12.6c

[Scorcher]

9.9c - I think we're about to start another run of below average CET months.

On what grounds? It's amazing people can say this after what could be the warmest September on record. Maybe you should have said 'hope' instead of 'think', as there is no explanation to back up your view.

I'm going to go for 12.7C, as there is still plenty of warmth around in Europe, particularly Central and Eastern Europe which I think will come into play at some stage. I think a cool start will be offset by a very warm period in the middle of October.

[Snowly does it]

On what grounds? It's amazing people can say this after what could be the warmest September on record. Maybe you should have said 'hope' instead of 'think', as there is no explanation to back up your view.

I'm going to go for 12.7C, as there is still plenty of warmth around in Europe, particularly Central and Eastern Europe which I think will come into play at some stage. I think a cool start will be offset by a very warm period in the middle of October.

August was hardly startling after the warmest July on record.

Overnights can drop much more into the dark of the year and its a guesstimate game.

What grounds do you have for the very warm middle of October out of interest?

[summer blizzard]

Tinybill: 6.4C

Joneseye: 7.5C

Optimus Prime: 9.3C

Snow-Man2006: 9.5C

Hiya: 9.8C

Beng: 9.9C

Stormchaser1: 10.3C

Summer Blizzard: 10.4C

Intrepid: 10.7C

Snowmaiden: 10.75C

Viking141: 11C

Lesta_snow: 11C

Anti-Mild: 11.2C

Kold weather: 11.5C

Snowyowl9: 11.7C

Stricklands: 11.7C

Rollo: 11.9C

Bham Chris: 12.1C

Robbie: 12.1C

Bottesford: 12.2C

Windswept: 12.4C

Tugmistress: 12.6C

Snowprincess: 12.7C

Scorcher: 12.7C

West is Best: 13.4C

Mike W: 13.6C

[tesaro]

11.1 bless it.

[shuggee]

10.0ºC

[Roger J Smith]

I'll hide in the middle of the pack at 10.9, since the first week is not looking any warmer than normal, and perhaps a touch below, and I'm expecting some strong blocking and retrograde highs late in the month, which are often accompanied by cold nights, so that leaves only two weeks in the middle when it could be warmer than average, and these cool weeks should balance out the month to near normal.

That reading in 1740 is quite something, it's hard to visualize an October in that part of the world with an average of 5.3 degrees, that is almost a normal December monthly average. It's a wonder that the winter of 1740-41 didn't then turn out to be colder than 1739-40 when readings were already that low in October.

[Michael Fishermans Friend]

Well after this remarkable September which could be a record breaker the question is will October follow as per August did after July and cool down? Looking at the latest GFS it does show indications of cooling down but not to an extent that we are looking at cold/below normal temps at day, and as mentioned the continent is still warm at present unless we get plenty of days with an airmass with a straight 'pull' from high latitude areas and bearing in mind the + anomolies in the Atlantic. Just before mid-month indicates HP close by so a possibility of cooler nights, so bearing in mind this I will go for a slightly above average 12.4C!

[senior ridge]

In September I thought we'd get a Spanish plume, little did I know that the night time would be so warm

For Oct, I'm expecting a fairly changeable and windy month indispersed with settled spells and a couple of northerly topplers. CET of 10.5

[summer blizzard]

Tinybill: 6.4C

Joneseye: 7.5C

Optimus Prime: 9.3C

Snow-Man2006: 9.5C

Hiya: 9.8C

Beng: 9.9C

Shuggee: 10C

Stormchaser1: 10.3C

Summer Blizzard: 10.4C

Senior Ridge: 10.5C

Intrepid: 10.7C

Snowmaiden: 10.75C

Roger J Smith: 10.9C

Viking141: 11C

Lesta_snow: 11C

Tesaro: 11.1C

Anti-Mild: 11.2C

Kold weather: 11.5C

Snowyowl9: 11.7C

Stricklands: 11.7C

Rollo: 11.9C

Bham Chris: 12.1C

Robbie: 12.1C

Bottesford: 12.2C

Windswept: 12.4C

Timmy H: 12.4C

Tugmistress: 12.6C

Snowprincess: 12.7C

Scorcher: 12.7C

West is Best: 13.4C

Mike W: 13.6C

[Somerset Squall]

12.0C