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Found 16 results

  1. Good Morning all I thought i would be nice to have a model thread looking for the first signs of warmth as we fast approach spring, For those who are a bit fed up flogging dead horses in the winter model thread this room is for those who wish to hang out on the dark side and partake in a bit of anti winter talk. PS its not a winter is over moan thread but for serious discussion & views on the next few months weather prospects. Enjoy LO
  2. Well, we've passed the point of mid winter, and day light is slowly increasing... So the long range freak in me is naturally starting to think ahead to spring, and what will it bring? Will we get a March like 2012, and an April like 2007 (or 2015), followed by a hot and thundery May? Or will we get that taste of winter like March 2013, and April 2016? Or will it be a season of many weathers? What would you like Spring 2017 to bring to us here in the UK? Personally I'd like to see traditional month of March, a month of many weathers, ranging from snow, with strong squally winds, to that first nice seasonal burst of spring warmth, but with cool nights, and an occasional foggy start. As for April, I'm all in favour of some squally showers, before slowly giving way to pleasant sunny days. And finally, the month of May, this is the time when I like to see the first true burst of summer heat, so I can get the barbecue out accompanied by a good old thundery breakdown So what are everyone else's thoughts, hopes and wishes for spring 2017? PS. Mods, if I've put this in the wrong place, or I'm too early, then feel free to move or delete as required.
  3. A wintry spell in late April - not exactly what one would expect! Many places in Western Europe have experienced wintry temperatures and even snowfall, for instance in the Netherlands people could greet a wintry landscape with snow actually settling! This caused quite some traffic jams and accidents on the road. Snowy landscape in the Netherlands on the 24th of April. Source: Weeronline. Snow did not only reach the Netherlands, but also in low-lying areas of Switzerland some snow fell, although only somewhat higher up the landscape got a wintry white colour. Slide of Arctic air The main culprit of the snow can be traced down to a slide of Arctic air which has come all the way down from areas near the North Pole. Fuelled by the relatively mild waters of the North Sea, this air becomes unstable and a lot of showers and small-scale low pressure areas spin up. Couple this with the unseasonably low temperatures and the snow is there! Slide of cold Arctic air envisaged by a satellite image as of 25-04 18Z. Source: Eumetrain. The image above nicely shows the cold air reaching all the way down into Western Europe. The red colours denote polar/arctic air which is flooding down over Europe from the north. Interestingly, though, this setup has been present for a number of days. This raises the question as to what is causing this persistent northerly airflow. A real traffic jam in the atmospere For the solution we look at a more global picture of the Northern Hemisphere in the midtroposphere. And that is not a usual one to say the least. Pressure at 500 hPa and anomalies (colours) as of Monday 18Z. Source: Tropicaltidbits. The most clear feature that shows up here is very strong ridging (high pressure) at 500 hPa which extends all the way towards Greenland. This is a nice example of a block which has been present for quite some time now. This feature is what is kind of causing the atmosphere to be 'locked'; pressure systems do not move at all or barely in a couple of weeks. Think of it as a traffic jam in the atmosphere. The counterpart of the high pressure area is located over Mid-Europe, which shows itself as a persistent trough even reaching Africa. This feature is partially responsible for the cold temperatures aloft and thereby a generation of a lot of showers. But this is not where the story ends. The same image, but now with airflow direction indicated in white. Source: Tropicaltidbits. The key for the cold air at low levels (and also partially at upper levels) is that between the high pressure area near Greenland, and low pressure over Scandinavia and Central-Europe, there is a deep northerly flow which starts off near Greenland and flows down all the way towards Tunesia. More cold to come? WIll the pressure situation remain locked, and will we continue to experience a brisk northerly airflow? The high pressure area near Greenland appears to be pulling away towards Russia, but this would still cause the cold to remain entrenched over Europe with also more unsettled weather to come. So one thing is for sure: the cold is going to stay around for some time still. Impressive for April to say the least! If we would only have had this in winter...
  4. We're now into meteorological Summer (you'd never know it today) but here's how May ended up here. Temperature: High: 23.7 °C - [May 12th] Low: 0.2 °C - [May 1st] Avg: 13.2 °C MetO Regional Avg: 11.2 °C Humidity: High: 97 % Low: 32 % Pressure: High: 1029.5 hPa - [May 1st] Low: 1004.7 hPa - [May 12th] Wind: Max Gust: 24 mph - [May 21st] Max Speed (10 Min Avg): 10 mph - [May 21st] Avg Speed: 3 mph Rain: Month: 74.6 mm MetO Regional Avg: 77.2 mm High Rain Rate: 39.8 mm/hr - [May 18th] High Daily Rain: 16.4 mm - [May 21st] High Hourly Rain: 7 mm - [May 18th] Solar & Sunshine: Max Daily High Solar: 1245 W/m² - [May 1st] Min Daily High Solar: 436 W/m² - [May 2nd] Max Sunshine: 12 hrs - [May 4th] Min Sunshine: 0 hrs - [May 21st] Total Sunshine: 157.8 hrs MetO Regional Avg: 194.5hrs More details can be seen here: http://www.warehamwx.co.uk/cumulus/graphs_historic.php http://www.warehamwx.co.uk/cumulus/datasummary.php
  5. This is similar to my "Summer vs. Winter" poll I did a few weeks back, but this one has a few differences. You can now choose between any season and also tell us all which one you hate. Why make this thread? - Well why not! My favourite season is quite a difficult choice between Spring and Summer, but I think Summer does just come out a bit farther ahead. This is because I like the feeling of being warm and having long days to do what you want with. I also like the powerful thunderstorms that Summer creates. Spring however does bring quite varied weather, like the possibility of a March snowfall and an early arrival of Summer in May, but as said, I think I prefer Summer slightly more. My least favourite season would definately be Autumn. I absolutely hate Autumn! The only thing I like about it is how beautiful the trees can look but that is about it. September is the only decent month with the other two simply being a mix of horrible wet and windy weather. It is also too cold and too dark to now enjoy the sun and warmth and it's too mild for snow. You're also watching everything die and rot, especially in October and November. Autumn is just depressing in my opinion and that's why I hate it!
  6. April 2011 for me was the best spring month, in my experience. It is currently the warmest April on record with a CET of 11.8°C. It came four years after April 2007, which was also a very warm month with a CET of 11.2°C and I still think it's unbelieveable that that month was bettered, especially in such a short space of time! April 2011 was also the sunniest April on record, only recently beaten by April 2015, and the driest April on record too. It was a month that wouldn't look out of place in July.
  7. New thread for the Atlantic storms during spring of 2015. There seems to be a chance of one between Friday and Sunday. The 18z GFS shows gusts of just over 60mph for Friday evening, 12z GFS had it further North with gusts reaching 60 to 70mph, Then on Saturday night into Sunday widespread 60 to 70mph gusts across the UK,
  8. From the album: Lake District Weather -

    From the Leeming Hotel looking down Ullswater Lake in Cumbria. Spring is very much here, lambs and daffodils.
  9. From the album: Lake District Weather -

    Mid March in the lakes. In the space of ten minutes my wife and I experienced heavy hail, snow and burning sunshine. All experienced from the indoors of a fine hotel I am glad to say.
  10. I was just thinking about my favourite season and why, and was wondering on other peoples opinions. Mine is Winter!
  11. A fresh topic for us to discuss, report and forecast our local weather for Spring 2013.
  12. Tim B

    Another 2006?

    Another 2006? This March sure feels like it at the moment, bitterly cold with snow fall as you can see. http://youtu.be/wmLBR2UY0uE But 2006 was the last of the good, "hot" summers in recent years so I am hoping this is a good omen as it turned out to be then. Fingers crossed.
  13. [b]No this isn't an entry about the fall of social taboos! [/b][color=#000080]In fact I am talking about fahrenheit! This week parts of the north-east will experience temperatures in the mid 60s fahrenheit (17-19c). It doesn't sound impressive, but bear in mind temperatures have struggled to get past 12c during the last few weeks, and the brisk northerly winds have made it feel like February![/color] [color=#000080]Happily the weather improves this week, and although those of us on the east coast will see more cloud and lower temperatures, it will nontheless be a substantial improvement. What happens after this weeks warmth is anyones guess, but a return to the cold dross we have seen for most of May looks unlikely, thankfully.[/color] [color=#800000]On to sport, and a big congratulations to York City for their [url="http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/18049175"]play-off win[/url] over Luton Town yesterday. York now return to the football league after an 8-year absence, and while you have to feel sorry for poor ol' Luton, it is terrific to see York back where they belong.[/color] [color=#800000]Plenty of golf action occured yesterday, with the booming Belgian Nicolas Colsaerts [url="http://www.usatoday.com/sports/golf/story/2012-05-20/volvo-world-match-play-championship-nicolas-colsaerts-beats-graeme-mcdowell/55093180/1"]beating[/url] Graeme McDowell in the Volvo Matchplay Final. Colsaerts takes home his biggest paycheque to date and moves to just outside the top 30 in the world rankings. Meanwhile, Jason Dufner [url="http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/golf/2018252094_golf21.html"]won[/url] the corresponding PGA Tour event in Americaland.[/color] [color=#006400]On a wildlife note, it has been more than a little disappointing on the insect front. I still haven't seen one damselfly or dragonfly adult yet, and although I did see a few butterflies around during late March and early April, the first (and in some cases only) generations on the wing have really [url="http://www.bbc.co.uk/nature/18101581"]suffered[/url] in the brutal weather. Happily, birdlife hasn't suffered too much, with plenty of swallows, swifts, house and sand martins about - great to see![/color] [b]That's all from me for now, thanks for reading[/b] [img]http://cdn.nwstatic.co.uk/forum//public/style_emoticons/default/dirol.gif[/img]
  14. hi Please see the link below for the long range forecast ttp://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=longrange;sess= Love weather
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