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Found 25 results

  1. A rare combination of snow and cloudless skies in Surrey at the partially-frozen fishing lake below Betchworth Castle, Surrey. 25 January 2021.

    © Ian Docwra

  2. I was surprised there was no thread, so here’s one. A thread for all discussion related to the upcoming cold spell. Try to keep things civil and nice please!... I bet most folk if not all, never expected for us to be staring down the barrel of a potentially prolonged cold quite wintry pattern. It was only last week when NWP painted a quite sterile picture, with some providing commentary of the fat lady in full voice following the less successful blocking outcome. ECM / GFS / UKMO @T72 & 96hrs Universal agreement on a ‘very’ cold sourced northerly airstream a stone’s throw away, it’s been a while, however this may be the appetiser to the main event into week 2 - I’ve seen been thrown about. In recent days we’ve seen the models lower the uppers, thus increasing the chance of wintry precipitation to low levels - mid next week. Our mid Atlantic ridge does not look to persist stationary, there is considerable uncertainty as we enter early December, nonetheless there is certainty that it will be cold & blocked. Indications are it will topple but not as we know it, ultimately cutting off the cold flow, however remaining cold to very cold on the surface. Thereafter, these +ve heights could retrogress to the north west with another Arctic blast or northeast with an easterly flow. Very interesting times
  3. Could anyone give beginners tips about taking photos of the Northern Lights. For Scotland or Scandinavia. Without investing huge amounts of money or carrying loads of kit, can decent images be taken by an amateur?
  4. Welcome To The Snow And Ice NH thread for 2015 ​I have to Attach the latest snow/ice map due to somehow unable to paste it It seems that Northern Russia seems to be having a bit of a early snowfall. Enjoy Edit: The picture came out well in the end
  5. ADS extent lowest on record by about 196k. The melt is currently 18 days ahead of 2012, and 7 days ahead of last year. Things looking interesting to say the least.
  6. I am enrolled at UNIS,Svalbard, studying Arctic glaciers till September. I am hoping to keep this blog updated with details of what I am up to and pictures. So far I am limited to Longyearbyen, having not received gun training, but next week will start with fieldwork. The weather has so far been sunny, and rather warm, reaching a high of 15c yesterday. The constant light is taking some getting use too! I'll be visiting a local glacier on Thursday, where I hope to update!
  7. The sea ice growth appears to be accelerating now, with NSIDC extent up over 300k on the minimum. including an increase of almost 60k yesterday, while the 5 day trailing average is up 165k on the minimum and 36k up on yesterday. Below is the extent increase (with the 5 day trailing average), between the minimum and September 30th for each year. The same, but for the minimum to October 31st each year is below it. Extent increases over the last week have been well above recent and long term averages, but temperatures look like warming up relative to average across much of the Arctic during the weekend and early next week, so closer to average sea ice coverage increases may occur next week.
  8. There may already be a thread for this so lock this if that's the case.... Met Office weather warnings have been issued for much of the country for heavy, frequent snow showers from tomorrow morning. Warning map: Here is the latest output from the models: 850hpa Temps: Precipitation Type: Very interesting spell of weather coming up very soon, lets all keep everyone informed of what's happening across the country.
  9. Here is a selection of wild weather photos that I have collected from the web. The thread gallery here contains almost 70 incredible photos. Apart from an amazing gallery of photos the question is are these severe weather events around the world becoming more extreme, not only this but are they becoming more frequent? (Have placed each image onto a same size background to enable easy viewing without size changing) Gallery: === === === === === ------
  10. Looks like there will be SNOW ICE AND COLD! Hope they enjoy it. Edit:Might want to watch this too.http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UNPeCZE_dWU
  11. Hi guys, Following the discussion on here regarding the links between UK winters and the Eurasian snow buildup in autumn, I've decided to open a comparison topic. Specifically, we'll be comparing this years run up to winter with some of the previous autumn/winter data. As the weeks progress, I will add to this thread. Please contribute anything if you feel I've missed anything. Solar Situation More data plots available here. http://sidc.oma.be/sunspot-index-graphics/sidc_graphics.php 2010 Snow & Ice 2011 Snow & Ice 2012 Snow & Ice 2013 Snow & Ice October 4th October 4th October 4th October 3rd Ice: 5,696,935 KM2 Ice: 5,045,982 KM2 Ice: 3,927,099 KM2 Ice: 5,675,521 KM2 October 27th October 27th October 27th Ice: 7,751,957 KM2 Ice: 7,688,250 KM2 Ice: 7,169,323 KM2 November 20th November 10th November 13th Ice: 9,575,789 KM2 Ice: 8,861,284 KM2 Ice: 8,714,262 KM2 November 26th November 26th November 26th Ice: 9,920,062 KM2 Ice: 10,163,067 KM2 Ice: 10,050,317 KM2 December 1st December 1st December 1st Ice: 10,281,787 KM2 Ice: 10,505,579 KM2 Ice: 10,487,669 KM2 Arctic Oscillation Links: http://www.ijis.iarc.uaf.edu/en/home/seaice_extent.htm http://www.natice.noaa.gov/ims/ http://www.nc-climate.ncsu.edu/climate/patterns/NAO.html http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/month_ao_index.shtml Personal Thought. Looking at the IMS images, its apparent that although October 10 started off with a higher Ice Extent value, both 2011, and 2012 saw 1st December kick off ahead of 2010. Taking into account what happened in 2010, If I remember correctly, there was a SSW event 6 weeks prior to the widespread snow event. (Chiono could perhaps confirm this) and if I recall correctly, a SSW can weaken the polar vortex which could go some way to explaining why the Ice extent slowed its advance compared with both 2011 and 2012. The AO index also shows a very negative index value for the winter of 2010/11. 500mb Height Anomalies During a Negative AO So if i'm correct about there being a SSW in 2010, then coupled with a severely negative AO, then the conditions were just perfect for the snow and cold event which ensued. Throw in a spotless sun and you could say it was the 'perfect storm'.
  12. From the album: Ice melting on a car rear window

    Was just about to scrape the ice off the car this morning and noticed how pretty it was.. so turned the engine on and photographed it melting on the rear window (-;

    © © 2013 Pete Stevens

  13. From the album: Ice melting on a car rear window

    Was just about to scrape the ice off the car this morning and noticed how pretty it was.. so turned the engine on and photographed it melting on the rear window (-;

    © © 2013 Pete Stevens

  14. From the album: Ice melting on a car rear window

    Was just about to scrape the ice off the car this morning and noticed how pretty it was.. so turned the engine on and photographed it melting on the rear window (-;

    © © 2013 Pete Stevens

  15. From the album: Ice melting on a car rear window

    Was just about to scrape the ice off the car this morning and noticed how pretty it was.. so turned the engine on and photographed it melting on the rear window (-;

    © © 2013 Pete Stevens

  16. New thread for the Ireland regionals. Ramp away, discuss the ever changing Ireland weather and snow prospects. Be good, no arguing or I'll be chopping heads. Getting colder as the day is coming to an end here, fingers were getting numb under the gloves.
  17. Here ye go scallywags, so Christmas just round the corner with a possible N/NW incursion soon. Discuss.
  18. Okerly dokerly, here's a new one for you all.....just over 24 hours to go to the big one, so keep it on topic please! old thread here -------->
  19. Okey dokey then, a new thread for today's fun & games, so carry on here please! Old thread here --------->
  20. Righty O, please carry on here Old thread ------------------------->
  21. I thought I would post a brief look at one aspect of Nov/Dec 2010, the record breaking cold spell that will remain a 'one-off' within all of our lives. Obviously we know what happened, but put simply, after the onslaught of very cold weather in the final week of November and first week of December, there was a brief rest-bite around the 10th to the14th; this milder spell was almost like the country surfacing for air before the cold air tightened its grip further; after this slightly milder period, the cold air dived back in across the UK from the North East until the close of the year. Okay, so the focus of what im trying to get at here is; This winter has been very very boring. I often check the GFS for signs of cold snowy weather, and i suspect many others do at this time of year, but even the charts past 192hrs+ haven't indicated much potential this year. So, what did the GFS charts hold for Nov/Dec 2010 7 days out? What did the GFS ensembles read 7 days out? Firstly, a brief look at the start of the cold spell: On 19th Nov, i took a screen grab of what the GFS was predicting for the coming Thursday 25th Nov (144hrs+). This 18z run really did start it all off- the cold weather plummeting down from Scandinavia was almost in the reliable time frame: So what happened? Well 5 days later i took a screen grab of the day (Thurs 25th) obviously this time it was a mere 24hrs away....it shows that the GFS was pretty accurate on its previous forecast... Focusing on the 10th Dec onwards, I took a couple more screen grabs from my phone while browsing the ensemble charts. The 850 temp ensembles (Using Cambridgeshire as the control point): On December the 9th the ensembles indicated a slight increase in temperatures (850's) between the 10th to the 14th, with a noticeable cold spell lasting to the 25th Dec. What is amazing here is that the mean (red line) was forecast to stay below -5 for over a week: I then took this screen grab 5 days later. As you can see, the consistency is still there, with the mean line still below -5 for the period: So, in summary: If cold weather is on the way, then i tend to look at the ensembles first. If the 850's 'mean line' is dropping away, and consistently (run after run) then i start to get interested. Obviously the operational and control charts are important, but the ensembles above clearly show the consistency and confidence of the GFS when something special may be on the way. Will that happen this winter? Paul
  22. I wondered how much NW members thought this year's record ice melt would have an effect on this year's winter and whether it heightens our chances of delivering another cold and blocked winter? On a scale of 0 to 10, with 0 being "It will have absolutely no bearing on whether we get a cold and blocked winter" to 10 "it is certain to result in a cold and blocked winter"
  23. Hi. I’m an Italian boy. I live in San Biagio, a little village between Forlì and Faenza (near Bologna and Rimini), in the Po valley (32 m – 1261 inch), in the North of the Italy. From 01/31/12 to 02/14/12 there was a wave of frost and a lot of snow. In the Forlì’s province has been beaten the record of 1929. There was also need the intervention of snowmobiles to free the city. The drifts of snow came up to the first floor windows. Here the total accumulation (all the follow place are in the plain): San Biagio: 160 cm (63 inch); Forlì: 170 cm (67 inch); Cesena: 200 cm (79 inch); In the hills (300 m of altitude – 11820 inch) there’re more of 300 cm (118 inch), also 400 cm (158 inch) of snow. The temperatures were always below zero for 7 days in San Biagio and, the 02/14/12, the minimum temperature has been-19,2°c (-4°F). Here the photos. PS: I apologize for my bad English. San Biagio (RA): 01/02/12. San Biagio (RA): 01/02/12. Forlì (FC): 01/02/12. San Biagio (RA) - il mio giardino: 01/02/12. San Biagio (RA) - il mio giardino: 01/02/12. Forlì (FC): 01/02/12. Carrelli della spesa. Forlì (FC): 01/02/12. Forlì (FC): 01/02/12. Forlì (FC): 02/02/12. Forlì (FC): 01/02/12 (non sono mie foto ma di Alfista Legend). Forlì (FC): 01/02/12 (non è una mia foto ma di Alfista Legend). Il tetto di Casa mia a San Biagio (RA) il 04/02/12. Villagrappa (FC): 04/02/12. Non si vede la distinzione tra campi, canale e strada. Castrocaro (FC): 04/02/12. Castrocaro (FC): 04/02/12. San Biagio (RA): 05/02/12. Forlì (FC): 05/02/12. San Biagio (RA): 07/02/12. Forte scaccianeve. San Biagio (RA): 11/02/12. In partenza dentro la bufera. Cosina (RA): 11/02/12. Una cascata di neve. Forlì (FC): 11/02/12. Strada del centro in versione "paesino d'alta montagna". Forlì (FC): 11/02/12. Scaccianeve. Forlì (FC): 11/02/12. Scaccianeve. Forlì (FC): 11/02/12. Strade del centro sommerse di neve. Forlì (FC): 11/02/12. Vento violento. Forlì (FC): 11/02/12. Vento violento. Forlì (FC): 11/02/12. Auto sommersa. Forlì (FC): 11/02/12. Bufera. San Biagio (RA): 11/02/12. Davanti alla porta di casa mia, nonostante fosse sotto vento e avessi spalato poche ore prima... Forlì (FC): 12/02/12. Vigili del fuoco di Rovereto. Forlì (FC): 12/02/12. Forlì (FC): 12/02/12. Forlì (FC): 12/02/12. Sembra una stradina di montagna. Forlì (FC): 12/02/12. Auto sommerse. Forlì (FC): 12/02/12. Auto sommerse. Forlì (FC): 12/02/12. Tetti stracolmi. Forlì (FC): 12/02/12. Una strada... San Biagio (RA): 12/02/12. Il tetto di casa mia sommerso. Forlì (FC): 12/02/12. Parcheggio sommerso. Forlì (FC): 12/02/12. Parcheggio sommerso. San Biagio (RA): 12/02/12. Il mio giardino. San Biagio (RA): 12/02/12. Il mio giardino. San Biagio (RA): 12/02/12. San Biagio (RA): 12/02/12. San Biagio (RA): 12/02/12. San Biagio (RA): 12/02/12. Accumuli eolici. San Biagio (RA): 12/02/12. Io! San Biagio (RA): 12/02/12. Non sapevamo più dove metterla! San Biagio (RA): 12/02/12. Igloo in giardino. San Biagio (RA): 12/02/12. Aprendo la porta finestra di casa mia... Cusercoli (FC) - 122 m.: 12/02/12. Cusercoli (FC) - 122 m.: 12/02/12. Cusercoli (FC) - 265 m.: 12/02/12. Carpena (FC): 12/02/12. Accumuli paurosi sui tetti! La nevicata dal satellite il 14/02/12. San Biagio (RA): 14/02/12. Temepratura minima di -19,2°c. Forlì (FC): 16/02/12. Forlì (FC): 16/02/12. Forlì (FC): 16/02/12. Castiglione (FC): 16/02/12. San Biagio (RA): 16/02/12. Reti antigrandine rotte. Forlì (FC): 16/02/12. San Biagio (RA): 16/02/12. http://geloneveromagna.altervista.org/viewtopic.php?f=7&t=23 http://geloneveromagna.altervista.org/viewtopic.php?f=7&t=24 http://geloneveromagna.altervista.org/viewtopic.php?f=7&t=25 http://geloneveromagna.altervista.org/viewtopic.php?f=7&t=26 http://geloneveromagna.altervista.org/viewtopic.php?f=7&t=27 http://geloneveromagna.altervista.org/viewtopic.php?f=7&t=28 http://geloneveromagna.altervista.org/viewtopic.php?f=7&t=29 Cusercoli (FC) - 122 m.: 12/02/12. Cusercoli (FC) - 122 m.: 12/02/12. Cusercoli (FC) - 265 m.: 12/02/12. Carpena (FC): 12/02/12. Accumuli paurosi sui tetti! La nevicata dal satellite il 14/02/12. San Biagio (RA): 14/02/12. Temepratura minima di -19,2°c. Forlì (FC): 16/02/12. Forlì (FC): 16/02/12. Forlì (FC): 16/02/12. Castiglione (FC): 16/02/12. San Biagio (RA): 16/02/12. Reti antigrandine rotte. Forlì (FC): 16/02/12. San Biagio (RA): 16/02/12. http://geloneveromagna.altervista.org/viewtopic.php?f=7&t=23 http://geloneveromagna.altervista.org/viewtopic.php?f=7&t=24 http://geloneveromagna.altervista.org/viewtopic.php?f=7&t=25 http://geloneveromagna.altervista.org/viewtopic.php?f=7&t=26 http://geloneveromagna.altervista.org/viewtopic.php?f=7&t=27 http://geloneveromagna.altervista.org/viewtopic.php?f=7&t=28 http://geloneveromagna.altervista.org/viewtopic.php?f=7&t=29
  24. Will it or wont it? It's getting really exciting now! Good luck everyone.
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