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Named by Meteo France General situation: the “Frederico” depression approaches Brittany at the start of Thursday. "Locally violent gusts of wind linked to the “FREDERICO” depression, as well as heavy rain in the Vosges" Meteo France
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I expect Storm Callum will become the third named Storm of the Season today or tomorrow. Latest Runs show quiet a nasty System for Ireland and Western Scotland. Gusts of 70-80mph widely over land, up to 90mph and possibly up to 100mph on coasts. Stay tuned. UKMO T72 GFS T72 T78 ICON T71 81 84 87 12Z ECM Gusts(I will mist this mornings run) Gust as it approaches SW Ireland
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Hello and welcome to the brand new thread and maybe the first one for 2015. To everyone on netweather have a happy new year. However back to on topic things some models are showing storms ( fine detail will come later as some go out to deep unreliable time-frame or whatever you want to call I am not talking about the new year's storm so here is a link to the new year's storm discussion below https://forum.netweather.tv/topic/82129-new-years-day-possible-storm/ So let's use the soon to be main GFS model the GFS Parallel which will soon replace the old GFS which is still in use today. So let's start with this Saturday ( 3rd January 2015 ) A area of strong gusts of winds will first hit eastern and northern Ireland Than small area of strong gusts of winds will hit the isle of man and parts of northern Wales and northern England for a time. Than will the east coast will be taking on some moderate gusts for a few hours. On Monday the of 5th January a minor storm will hit northern Scotland. Now this is where deep fi starts to do its magic and bring some 'Major' storms on the GFS P. Wednesday 7th January 2015 This storm if it happens since models change their minds on each and every run of their lives this will bring a fair banging for the coasts of Scotland and possible strong gusts inland for a time. Friday 9th January 2015 Since it doesn't do a 3 hour thing at the end of the run i will try to predict what will happen if this storm were to happen. It will bring strong/very strong gusts possibly even damaging winds to a area which will most likely be the south coast and Wales. It than moves east wards bring a windy gusty day to England however damaging winds to a area of the UK cannot be ruled out. So than what are you thoughts for a possible storm period to happen in January? Share you thoughts here. Please also note the every run is different so the pictures that i have posted may be wrong in the next 24-48 hours.
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Hi everyone, something i have always wanted to learn more about is how wind gusts are forecast, i know that the strongests gusts hit exposed hills and coasts but that depends on wind direction, i have heard many times about how mountains and hills can stop the wind from a certain direction even when a severe gale is in effect, and that we get most severe gusts up the Irish sea or in the Channel and other places that are prone to the wind. i used to think that if a wind storm is taking place from one direction then it would just be severe across the whole area, last year severe gales hit the North and i was reading reports that some places had not had strong gusts, wheres other had damaging winds, but the isobars tightly packed across the whole area i would have expected it to hit all areas in that zone. im now starting to understand why wind can be lighter or stronger depending on hills, coasts, and direction.
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