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Found 9 results

  1. Tropical cyclone IDAI has hit southern Africa bringing flooding and devastation to Mozambique, Malawi and Zimbabwe. https://www.netweather.tv/weather-forecasts/news/9473-tropical-cyclone-idai-devastates-parts-of-mozambique-malawi-and-zimbabwe
  2. A shiny new thread to take us into the new winter season. Lot's of potential in current model output to suggest that there are some turbulent times ahead as we enter the first week of December, with plenty more wind and rain on the cards. As usual when storms get officially named by the Met Office they'll be given their own separate thread as we've been doing over the last few weeks for Abigail, Barney & yesterdays storm Clodagh. Carry on the discussion! This is how the 12z suite currently see Saturday at the moment, the ECM is the best performing model as verification stats show time and time again (and my personal favourite) So I would normally side with it's solution, but it's quite a volatile set up and 5 days away so I don't think either model has quite nailed it yet, and no clear picture from the ensembles either, Although UKMO & ECM are very similar. GEFSP UKMO ECM GEM JMA
  3. INCOMING... So, we have our first named storm of the autumn & winter season 2015/16, she is called Abigail and is she expected to affect the NW of the UK later on Thursday and on into Friday, bringing windy weather for much of Northern Britain. Scotland will be closer to the core of Abigail and will bear the brunt with severe gales perhaps storm force winds for parts of Scotland with potential gusts of 70mph or more, possibly up to 80mph for the Western Isles & exposed parts of NW Scotland. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/news/releases/archive/2015/storm-Abigail?WT.mc_id=Twitter_Weather_StormAbigail 12z GFS has Abigail's central pressure down to around 965mb. Windy for much of Northern UK & across Ireland during Thursday afternoon with the core of strongest winds affecting the Isles & NW Scotland during Thursday evening onwards, gusts potentially around 80mph. Please use this thread to discuss all things relevant to incoming Storm Abigail.
  4. Starting a new thread on the rainfall/precipitation from now and into the new year. This thread is to focus on the precipitation. The storm systems continue to sweep in from the Atlantic in the days ahead with disruption likely and with the continued and increased risk of more floods. Here is the Accumulated ppn charts from 3 models starting with GFS, these are up to Wednesday morning 1 January on New years day. GFS: EURO4: NAE: It is more likely than not that some areas would see the amounts indicated on these models, if I post the written data from the EURO4 model: EURO4 DATA SW England-Devon and Cornwall, Wales 30mm+ South coast of Ireland possibly 30mm N-Wales - 40mm+ Southern England 12-15mm possibly a bit more in places parts of Eastern Scotland-Grampian, Edinburgh and the Borders 30mm+ Northern England-Cumbria- 40mm - 50mm+ West Scotland -Glasgow, Ayrshire and Lanark, Dumfries&Galloway - 30mm - risk of 40-50mm+ Irl of Man - 30-40mm It's looking very wet for many through tomorrow. I have used the 3 models to create a map on where the heaviest rainfalls could occur, inside the yellow zoned area is where heavy rainfall is most likely on Tuesday (tomorrow) within the orange zoned area the highest risk of the heaviest accumulated rainfall up to Wednesday morning with the deeper orange blobs where the largest totals are indicated. Warning map is for Tuesday 31 December: ESS
  5. Cobham,Surrey The storm that affected many areas on the 23rd and 24th of December 2013 is something one cannot forget for it's strength and just how prolonged it was, and it came at a time of festive celebrations, or for some what was meant to be.. I really do feel for those that have experienced the disruption it has caused so closely and so harshly and really hope things get back to normal for you soon. I was at Stanwell on that night and the roof above me was making deep noises and creaking, the trees where roaring, quite concerning at times to say the least and even scary, but not quite as frightening as what some have experienced. On the evening of the 24th I headed off to Cobham from Stanwell only to get stranded on the A3 motorway, on foot! so how did I end up there? the bus got to the Esher area and headed into Cobham only to get to the shut off portsmouth rd at Clarmont gardens (see pics of damage) as trees were down, after a while turned around from the line of stationary traffic, we were now heading for the A3 towards Guildford. The bus stop I was dropped off at was just on the outskirts of the town of cobham, there was Police there blocking access to the town because the river Mole had burst it's banks over Painshill roundabout, and also the other end of town it was also blocked due to the river across the road, so I was stranded for quite a while. It was either a boat or a helicopter I think! Eventually I got to my location that night via a back road but a long way round by car. The photos below are of some of the damage I discovered in Cobham during daylight hours, and also up towards Esher-(where daylight images show trees after removal from road) was really amazed at the damage done, this particular area got hit hard by the storm. Looks as though it's the worst wind damage possibly since the great storm in 1990. and the worst flooding since the big floods of Oct 2000 although it looks as though it might have beaten this record but need to wait for official records. There was a lot of tree damage along the portsmouth rd from Esher must have been something extreme to bring down severals trees over a distance of an estimate 100-200m on one side of road, one tree appears to have been twisted and snapped. Question: in the pic below of snapped tree (1081) what gust strength would do this?? I would estimate 90-100mph as a thick trunk and healthy inside. Also so in pic (1062) I see a Beech tree, but what is the red barked tree?? thanks. Please let us know your storm experiences and some photos if you have some! (If to many photos here I can upload to the gallery please let me know thanks!) ESS
  6. Please use this thread to discuss the precipitation associated with the weather systems. Looking as though quite a few spells of very wet weather with heavy rain and heavy showers affecting many areas over the next week (won't go to far ahead!) these systems affecting England and Wales in particular over the next several days. The first rolling in across the south by morning tomorrow and turning milder too, gales are possible. Likely there be an increasing flood risk with local surface water and river flooding.
  7. From the album: Weather and Weather Effects.

    After 24HRs of non-stop rain, the fields turned to swamps.

    © IBringTheHammer

  8. From the album: Random Pics

    Rainfall totals for June taken from the rainfall radar.

    © Netweather.tv

  9. From the album: Random Pics

    Rainfall totals (taken from the radar) from yesterday. Some significant falls of 60-80mm widely in northwest England, with some locations seeing 90mm plus. SW Scotland and Northern Ireland also saw some large falls. This has caused some real problems with flooding.

    © Netweather.tv

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