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Named by UK Met Office, Storm Christoph - Even more rain, January flooding, gales and snow WWW.NETWEATHER.TV This week will see a lot of rain falling over the UK and the flood risk increases. The ground is sodden and with strengthening winds and then snow, Storm Christoph has got a lot going on. Heavy rain and flooding, gales and snow
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Hi all I promised to give this guide, so here it is. Its not complete and it is for those who are new to trying to work out this very difficult question. What to look for to get snow at sea level. (1) in showers (2) frontal weather (1) In showers 1) Dry bulb temperature below 5C, often 3C is a better mark 2) Dewpoint at or below zero 3) wet bulb temperature, if you have a weather station, no more than about 2C 4) 1000-500mb thickness (DAM) less than 522dm, lower if you are on the coast, but as high as 540dm it is possible in a heavy shower, but unlikely. 5) 850mb temperature of -7C or below, -5C it can occur but not often. 6) on the 850mb chart if the value shown on the contour line is below about 1290dm or 1300dm, then there is a high chance that ppn will be of snow. (The Met Office use 1293dm for a 50% and 1281dm as a 90% chance of snow) 7) zero degree isotherm or freezing level of 1,000ft or less to give a 50% or higher chance of snow at sea level. At 2,000 ft above sea level the chance is reduced considerably. (2) Frontal Weather Two types of front (1) warm front (2) cold front In (1) warmer air is flowing over the top of cold air, and in the case of (2) cold air is undercutting the warm air ahead of it. (1) is, I suppose the classic heavy snow situation which with strong winds can give blizzard conditions, even on relatively low ground, assuming all the factors are in its favour. This assumes they are, namely that very cold air lies near the surface but is not being moved away by an approaching frontal system. This stagnates and eventually retreats away again. In this instance then the above requirements need to be met along with (a) If prolonged and fairly heavy ppn occurs then what we call the wet bulb temperature will start to lower and this can enhance the probability of snow falling. In this instance if the wet bulb temperature is at 3C or below then the ppn can turn to snow from rain. Also, and this applies to showery conditions also, if the wet bulb freezing level(not easy to find on any chart!) is 2,000 ft or below, then ppn can readily turn to snow. In light ppn then, often, regardless of any of the above factors being favourable drizzle or light rain will fall not snow. (2) In this instance then if the air is not all that mild in the so called warm air and the cold air is very cold, with near negative values close behind the front, then even moderate ppn will readily turn to snow as the cold air undercuts the mild air. Use the values above for a guide. This has only touched the surface of trying to forecast will it snow or not but I hope gives, the less experienced, a guide of what to look for. On the topic of wet bulb temperature. I have still not worked out how to give Paul sufficient data that they can set up an algorithm to produce charts of wet bulb potential temperature and also wet bulb freezing level charts. If anyone knows how to do this please pm me or Paul as it would be another big step for Net Weather to be able to produce such charts from the GFS run. I hope you have lots of opportunity this winter to try this guide out. Footnote by Blessed Weather: This article was written by John Holmes, retired Met Office professional, in 2015.
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Needed a new one for this year. Here's the first post that @Summer Sun put at the end of last year's thread.
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Post two photos to show the difference of this February and last year (late Feb. into early March) #BeastfromtheEast versus record breaking UK warmth (21.2c today in London 70F) Mine from East Lothian
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Good morning all! Still cant get into my old account but here are some photos of the past 3 or 4 days here in Latvia. Some from Riga and the rest from rural Latvia in Berzpils (25-30km from Russian border). Will be here until 1st and flying back in the evening. Currently snowing lightly although not on radar but a good 6 to 10 inches... perhaps more in places. Expecting a little more snow over the next couple of days and temperature may get above 0c so may see a little snow melting but currently -3.5c. May add some more photos in the coming days. Have a very merry Christmas one and all! Blake
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Hi, I've just read on BBC that snow falls when it's between 0 - 2 degrees. Why does rain fall between those temperatures then? I live on the coast, so that is probably something to do with it, but it rained yesterday and Tuesday and the temperature hovered between one and three degrees. Thanks.
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Looking towards the Howgills, Whinash Ridge and the Yorkshire Dales from Cunswick Scar in the Lake District. Today's snow showers from the NE didn't get any further west than the Howgills. What is interesting is how the altitude has made such a difference to where the snow is lying. The River Kent valley is green whilst the surrounding hills are white. The snow event earlier this week was marginal which is so often the case here, the influence of Morecambe Bay is strong.
© Kate Willshaw
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New Thread for us souls who live in the East that get a little forgotten in the regional threads, So Its that time again to lamp post watch, whats your thoughs?
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Moving into November and it is time to open another thread to discuss the upcoming Winter Sports Season in the Northern Hemisphere. The Net Weather Ski Centre is here -> https://www.netweather.tv/weather-forecasts/travel/ski This contains a massive range of Skiing related content. Blogs - This will contain forecast blogs for this coming season, the Alps blogs will start early December to co-incide with the majority of resorts opening (hopefully). Paul will also be adding a number of blogs over the course of the season, which will also cover conditions over the the USA and Canada. Resort Weather Forecasts - Resort Weather forecasts based on GFS, updated 4 times a day, together with current conditions. Wengen Forecast and Conditions Destination Guides - We have a number of destination guides, and we are aiming to extend this over the coming season, so if you would like to contribute or would like your resort featured, please let us know. Scotland Section - There is also a section dedicated to the conditions over Scotland. https://www.netweather.tv/weather-forecasts/travel/scotland-ski This thread will now run throughout the 2017/18 season, so please give your thoughts for the season ahead, and new features you would like to see. A few thoughts :- Will the winter season start on time this year or will we have to wait until post Christmas for proper low level snow. Will the USA/Canada continue to have the best of the conditions. Will the East West Alps split be an issue again this year. How important are snow cannons to the ongoing viability of ski season. Any winter topic of your choosing. Over the course of the season keep bringing those Alpine related stories, whether from local papers or your skiing trips, which made this thread such a joy last year.
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Me, BruenSryan, standing in front of a snow covered Father Collins' Park on 2 Mar 2018.
BruenSryan posted a gallery image in Spring
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Green beside Trinity Sports & Leisure covered in snow on 28 Feb 2018
BruenSryan posted a gallery image in Spring
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This weekend's notably cold event for mid March and now with Amber warnings from the Met Office for snow
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With a potential cold end to winter and start to spring on the horizon, here's a thread to discuss the ins and outs of that, how the latest forecasts are looking and so on. There's obviously a lot of chat in the model thread about this currently, and you can also find info about the SSW over in the strat thread. Nick has also blogged about the SSW here: Sudden Stratospheric Warming This Weekend, But What Is It & How Will It Affect Our Weather? And about the model mayhem currently being caused by it here: Sudden Stratospheric Warming Brings Weather Model Mayhem It's fair to say that confidence in the exact weather we're going to see from mid-next week onward is currently very low, but the Met Office are confident enough in the likelihood of cold weather that they've recently put out a press release: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/news/releases/2018/a-sudden-stratospheric-warming-and-potential-impacts-on-uk Winter could be set to go out with a bang it seems, but it's not nailed on, yet.....
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Wallop Road Between Over Wallop and Grateley Hampshire 2nd March 2018
wallopweather posted a gallery image in Member's Gallery
From the album: Wallop Weather
© Mark Clemas Photography
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Wallop Road Between Over Wallop and Grateley Hampshire 2nd March 2018
wallopweather posted a gallery image in Member's Gallery
From the album: Wallop Weather
© Mark Clemas Photography
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King Lane Between Over Wallop and Grateley Hampshire 2nd March 2018
wallopweather posted a gallery image in Member's Gallery
From the album: Wallop Weather
© Mark Clemas Photography
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Wallop Road Between Over Wallop and Grateley Hampshire 2nd March 2018
wallopweather posted a gallery image in Member's Gallery
From the album: Wallop Weather
© Mark Clemas Photography