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  1. This was a historic storm, it forced the met office to issue a red warning for flying debris and wind for the southeast and London
  2. Hi, I'm totally new to this forum, but I've joined because I want to know an answer to a question that never seems to be answered properly on the TV weather forecasts! Why is the weather in the UK being so dry? We don't seem to have had 'normal' weather' for the country, and by that I mean the predominantly 'mild and wet' weather that seems to come up from the Caribbean, with a lovely soft, low-pressure dampness that is so characteristic of 'proper' (!) English weather. I've looked at maps showing the north atlantic jet stream currently, and it seems all over the place! Is this 'normal'? Or is it more tangled and 'abnormal' because of the mess climate change is making to global weather conditions (I believe at some points the northern and southern jet streams have strayed so far out of place they have been mingling over the equator!). Is the jet stream currently blocking the arrival of low pressure systems off the mid-Atlantic? Or what? What I want to know is, when will 'proper' English weather get here - ie, the mild, wet, windy weather off the Atlantic that I call 'Westcountry Weather'..... Any info and enlightenment gratefully received! (Apols if this isn't the right thread to be posting this in.) Many thanks , Jenny
  3. Not sure if we have a thread open yet for storms as we haven't really had one yet.. Here is my post this Morning on the first to effect Southern England https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topic/86593-se-england-and-ea-regional-weather-discussion/?do=findComment&comment=3477618
  4. There is a video of storm filmed in spain, hope you enjoy https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TNtzbz2uGtA
  5. Rain Watch Hi everyone, have decided to start up a separate topic to look more closely at expected rainfall accumulations in the days ahead. It's a concern that more new floods are possible if not likely through this weekend and into next week, this coming from several large scale weather systems and possible Atlantic storms hitting the UK and ROI over the next 7 days at least, it's likely that some breaks in the rain will occur at times though. I'm not going to hide the fact that severe floods in new areas are possibly on the way I say possibly even if I think likely, which I do. Below I've put on a rain alert map created from precipitation data models of which the one's I have access, please use my map as a general guide of where the heaviest rain could be accumulated over the next 48hrs or so, please do allow for some small adjustments do not take the map as 100 percent set in stone, usually the expected accumulations of rainfall may be more or less in any one area and exact locations can change, I might not be able to update map. (Map can be shared where you like) Map expires MON 0300hrs - January 4 W = on the map this means that I am watching for upgrades of 30mm or more. Light yellow + W =30mm - rainfall may get accumulated up to 30mm but may upgrade to 40mm for a level 1 so is under a watch zone. Yellow = 40mm - 50mm accm rain Orange = 50mm - 80mm accm rain Red = 80mm - 100mm accm rain Dark red = 100+ accm rain. Many areas seeing rain this heavy at times some very heavy and prolonged, expect 10mm-25mm generally. Some of the largest rainfalls likely to occur over higher ground. For the winds associated with these weather systems/storms likely gale or severe gale at times please see other threads and warnings. Please post anything related to rainfall forecasting, model ppn data, alerts and warnings, your own rain maps and forecasts. ZONE51.
  6. Good Evening to you all. As the Warm/Hot Spell is ending as we speak or has ended depending on where you are the cool spell slowly taking over the UK with unsettled weather as it main force. Your opinions/thoughts on the spell/period. Please also be respectful of other users opinions as well...
  7. Quite surprised that the unusual rainfall and flooding last week in possibly the world's driest place hasn't received more attention, a quick overview of which can be found here - http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=2944 Appropriately the article links the synoptic conditions with the Antarctic warmth at around the same time, though long term there would be expected to be a higher chance of precipitation with El Nino conditions which may be taking hold now. Data from the rather good Chilean met office site - Dirección Meteorológica de Chile shows that precipitation has differed from normal so far this year with very dry conditions in the wetter south as well as the desert rain - http://www.meteochile.gob.cl/inf_precipitacion.php With regards to the Atacama rain they have compiled some data from the north of the country which shows it to be relatively localised (though it is a large area) with 4 of 18 stations listed recording a record March daily rainfall total But it is significant due to how extremely dry the area is normally - Iquique broke their March record since 1911 with a mere 0.3 mm!! - http://www.meteochile.gob.cl/js/PRECIPITACIONES_EN_EL_NORTE.pdf This makes the reasonably wet near-inch rainfall at Antofagasta of 23.6 mm, which is the wettest March day since records began in 1919 seem almost diluvial, but it is a mind-numbingly dry location. Sure, they had a trace of rain in January but the last measurable rainfall was 1 mm over a couple of days last September. As for March the last trace of rain was in 2012 but the rainguage last came into action with 0.7 mm on March 31st 1992!! http://164.77.222.61/climatologia/php/menuProductos.php
  8. I've just been looking around and some of the French forecasting sites are progging a big wind event for the end of next week in northern France - one even billing it as a second winter storm. The MO are also hinting at potentially very disturbed weather for the period. Any thoughts...
  9. Hello and welcome to the brand new thread and maybe the first one for 2015. To everyone on netweather have a happy new year. However back to on topic things some models are showing storms ( fine detail will come later as some go out to deep unreliable time-frame or whatever you want to call I am not talking about the new year's storm so here is a link to the new year's storm discussion below https://forum.netweather.tv/topic/82129-new-years-day-possible-storm/ So let's use the soon to be main GFS model the GFS Parallel which will soon replace the old GFS which is still in use today. So let's start with this Saturday ( 3rd January 2015 ) A area of strong gusts of winds will first hit eastern and northern Ireland Than small area of strong gusts of winds will hit the isle of man and parts of northern Wales and northern England for a time. Than will the east coast will be taking on some moderate gusts for a few hours. On Monday the of 5th January a minor storm will hit northern Scotland. Now this is where deep fi starts to do its magic and bring some 'Major' storms on the GFS P. Wednesday 7th January 2015 This storm if it happens since models change their minds on each and every run of their lives this will bring a fair banging for the coasts of Scotland and possible strong gusts inland for a time. Friday 9th January 2015 Since it doesn't do a 3 hour thing at the end of the run i will try to predict what will happen if this storm were to happen. It will bring strong/very strong gusts possibly even damaging winds to a area which will most likely be the south coast and Wales. It than moves east wards bring a windy gusty day to England however damaging winds to a area of the UK cannot be ruled out. So than what are you thoughts for a possible storm period to happen in January? Share you thoughts here. Please also note the every run is different so the pictures that i have posted may be wrong in the next 24-48 hours.
  10. From the album: Thunderstorms

    One of the two thunderstorms I got to see whilst on holiday in Greece, July/ August 2014.

    © 2014 Joshua Risker

  11. Hello everyone and welcome! As we go head first into the depths of the start of this winter there seems to be a storm on the semi-reliable (or whatever you want to call it) time-frame. At the moment the strongest winds looks like to hit Scotland and some of the western coasts of England. (According to the gfs 12z run) This is 8 days out through so however because its not in the reliable time frame just yet major changes are expected at the moment becuase i think we know what models like to do. For extreme fans this might be a good storm to check out (if it happens)
  12. This weekend is looking quite wet in places with some flooding possible with large rainfall totals possible in 12-24hrs. Also the wind may play a part with gales possible and given the time of year with trees in full leaf accompanied with a lot of rain may cause branches or trees to fall causing disruption. The Met Office have an early warning out for the rain: Saturday Sunday Still uncertainty regarding where the heaviest rain will be and how deep the low will also be but its worth keeping up to date with.
  13. On holiday in the wonderful island of Skiathos at the moment. Thunderstorms have been forecast for a while now, on Friday and Saturday. Something striking has appeared on the Euro4 models. They show over 300mm of rain falling on Skiathos in two separate times. Surely this can't be right, is Skiathos in for thunder and how severe will it be...?
  14. From the album: Thunderstorms

    © Joshua Risker 2014

  15. Hello everyone. Where would you name the thunderstorm capital of the UK? I would love to hear everyones feedback Lets hope this 2014 season is a cracker!
  16. The general situation now is we have a deep low pressure on the scene, NAE surface pressure: A southwesterly flow that is unstable is bringing frequent lines of showers (call them streamers if you like) these are very heavy downpours some thundery and some could contain hail, also very windy. I want to throw in the lifted index from GFS the yellow showing the unstable airmass moving into the SW: There has recently been thunderstorms in the SW. These unstable conditions spreading more over the BI today, I'm showing the LI charts as this will enhance the downpours this morning increasing the potential for thunderstorms and so more intense rainfall. please see the convective thread for more on the thunder. Currently there are some intense lines of thundery downpours of rain as seen on the latest radar, these are affecting much of England (particularly SW) and parts of S-Wales too. EURO4: Lines of precipitation, especially the SE and it's here where the most prolonged showers could affect today. NAE: The model indicates some potentially disruptive rainfall over parts of the south, with IOW, Hampshire, Sussex and Kent also Surrey and London areas potentially severe weather today, and also the next day needs watching closely too. For Western Scotland, ppn models indicating high ppn amounts here today. UKMO: This is for Wednesday 8th ^^ NAE accumulation 00z +48: (just updated the map to inclu SW for the deeper oranges after radar review) My map is based on latest radar and ppn accm charts for today and tomorrow. (Please note that I have put deeper orange over Southern areas due to radar review and downpours and thunderstorms currently active in places and expected to continue today, more prolonged rainfall at times over the next 48hrs over Southern UK) Also note that high ppn is shown to affect Western Scotland over the next 36-48hrs too) ESS.
  17. Please continue with the discussion here folks Apologies Coast! Tried to move your last few posts over here but I've lost them in the process! In my defence I have more or less just woken up....
  18. Please use this thread to discuss the precipitation associated with the weather systems. Looking as though quite a few spells of very wet weather with heavy rain and heavy showers affecting many areas over the next week (won't go to far ahead!) these systems affecting England and Wales in particular over the next several days. The first rolling in across the south by morning tomorrow and turning milder too, gales are possible. Likely there be an increasing flood risk with local surface water and river flooding.
  19. Snowshine

    Thunderstorm A4

    From the album: Thunderstorms UK

    Just a distant thunder cloud.
  20. Snowshine

    Thunderstorm A2

    From the album: Thunderstorms UK

    A dangerous looking Thundercloud with a funnel like cloud coming out of it.

    © Daniel

  21. A fresh topic for us to discuss, report and forecast our local weather for Spring 2013.
  22. Ok, a fresh thread with a plea for constructive posting. By all means, discuss all things weather related to our region, but remember that we have no control over the weather yet do have control over our emotions when posting....ta! Old thread here ----->
  23. Here we take a look at what the weather conditions are likely to be over the next 24-36 hours, i would like to keep this to text only if you can. Please discuss the weather for the next day or two. The title is the best i can come up with for this, if this thread is accepted the title can be changed if there is a better title. Thanks.
  24. A new thread to discuss the potential for stormy weather conditions affecting the UK as we venture deeper down the path into Autumn. Looking particularly wet & windy around mid week especially over Northern and Western Britain with a risk of severe gales. To early to be pinning exact details down at this stage but it certainly looks like the first proper blow of the Autumn is just around the corner. Welcome back wild & woolly season for 2012
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