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Found 3 results

  1. Yup, spotted first on the euro models and a couple of others about a week ago, way before anything actually existed. GFS said no. Slowly(see posts in Atlantic Hurricane season) the other models came on board and the NOAA started to issue a possible , and the models started to hint at something bigger. By the 24th, we finally had confirmation from the NHC that something might happen. And by midday on the 24th.. So now we have this new thread, for a system still not declared TD, which may well become this years most costly weather event to the US.
  2. Took a while for the shear to allow previous TD9, now Tropical Storm Ian to start gaining form, but now it seems that the extremely warm gulf will allow Ian to explosively deepen and grow. Still a lot of uncertainty about track, Florida panhandle or Gulf coast, depending on a trough position, but Ian should reach Major Hurricane status for some of his journey at least.
  3. Does anyone know of any instances in the UK where sea breeze initiated storms have occurred? They occur almost daily during the wet season in Florida where the two sea breezes from the Atlantic and the Gulf of Mexico converge in the middle of the state bringing spectacular thunderstorms. Polk County gets around 25 storms a month in June, July and August. Further convergence areas are then set up by thunderstorm outflows, allowing the storms to rumble on into the night even after the sea breeze dies out. A similar effect occurs in Cuba where the sea breeze from the north meets the sea breeze from the south, although it is less pronounced than in Florida. I also believe it can occur in Italy from time to time. As the UK is also quite narrow I wonder if its possible for a westerly sea breeze to meet an easterly sea breeze to bring thunderstorms? In Florida it usually only occurs from May to September as the sea surface temperatures are in the low 30s, and the temperatures over land need to be higher than this for a sea breeze to set up, but the seas around the UK are far cooler, so sea breezes can more easily affect the UK. If anyone knows of an example of a sea breeze thunderstorm outbreak in the UK I'd very grateful if they could let me know when it happened! I have attached a diagram I found which outlines the phenomenon quite well:
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