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Everything posted by nsrobins

  1. I actually think you'll see stuff today Tom. Shuffle up the I70 to Deer Trail and in a few hours you'll catch the line of upslope activity currently forming along the front range.
  2. Straw clutching, but we are under what I believe to be a weak CVZ running through EC KS at Lyndon, KS. Cu field developing. Surface flow SW, T 81F, Td 55C. Will watch this for a bit as HRRR still have a few storms firing here next hour.
  3. We are also in KS next two days before heading south for flight home. I'm hoping the boundary will fire elevated structure in 55-60dps (scoured a bit by last night's showers). We will start in Strong City/Emporia KS.
  4. Mad day in a really soupy atmosphere. Highballed from Hays, KS and tried to keep up with the Missouri stuff until Springfield, then noticed MDS for NE OK just as explosive development started. Stayed with a few cells dropping decent wall clouds and now in Tulsa with a lightning show. We are in Arkansas tomorrow as we'll chase anything!
  5. HRRR played a blinder today and bullseyed the cell of the day. Everything but a tornado and an attack of the killer tumbleweed in the outflow near Joes. Also several 'dust ups' as Zoe called them. Great day. Legged it east to Hays to be in range for far SE Kansas by 2pm tomorrow.
  6. Going W towards Limon on the I70. AgCu field to the west in Denver area. Already deep enough to show on radar. Pretty much spot on with the 15Z HRRR. Northern target likely not a bad choice today. Subtle boundary also evident draped to our north going east shown by sirrus line. Game on.
  7. The last few runs have developed cells in SE CO - HRRR quite bullish with this - but I'm not tempted. Sig tor/SRH better along the I70 as the LLJ cranks up later. Also I prefer boundaries to surface low stuff, and dps just north of a draped occluded/dryline boundary hit low 50s by 21Z. We're camped in Goodland and will be shifting west to Limon for lunch, gas and check on surface conditions. Whatever happens today we're committed to an evening drive SE for tomorrow's likely MDT risk. Is your GPS not working this year Paul?
  8. Lindon, CO. Just behind a nice storm producing 1.5" hail. Not expecting anything too dramatic today but good to be chasing again.
  9. Starting this today as the first of a multi-day severe risk with Saturday looking high end at the moment. Will aim to be in mid-E CO where both RAP and HRRR initiate cells off the high terrain from 19Z. A pocket of higher dps (50F) await these cells as they roll into far W KS. Structure and lightning the main play today. My target (not the NW team maybe - not sure where they are at the moment) is Limon, CO (a little north now based on latest runs)
  10. Hi Paul. We are in Brownfield and aiming for Seminole to intercept the southern cells of the upslope line now forming into NM.
  11. Risk of upslope structure today coupled with chances tomorrow will also see us hauling over to the TX Panhandle today. I'll probably aim to be in Dalhart, TX by 22Z. Nice chance to test the equipment and see if my strong Colombian blend with hazelnut shot has changed this last year!
  12. nsrobins

    Tour 2

    Despite fairly meagre moisture remaining in the Midwest region I can see two days for upslope chances Sun and Mon. In fact you can get some awesome structure with these LP elevated storms so once we're settled in we'll be targeting the TX Panhandle Sunday and the TX/NM border around Clovis south for Monday.
  13. For live coverage with multiple feeds and data: http://kfor.com/on-air/ios-live-streaming/
  14. It's going to be a long night. Cell near Altus already has a couplet and tight Meso. Be safe and please be careful on the roads - the chaser clutter is going to be ridiculous.
  15. nsrobins

    Tour 2

    I'll be over Sat afternoon for two weeks
  16. nsrobins

    Tour 2

    Next week starts quiet then ends well according to GFS. The models in the US are as prone to misleading us as they are in W Europe at the 120hr + range it must be said.
  17. Sounding for Canadian 00Z Weds. Serious helicity just east of DL in 70+ dps.
  18. Canadian is good - The Old Cattle Exchange serves as good a pepper steak as you'll likely to get this side of Amarillo
  19. If I may be obliged I'll start this one for today's likely severe threat - the highest risk so far of classic DL activity. RAP places over 4K of CAPE under a lid which will break around 23Z as the sharp DL bulges into the E TX panhandle. Combination of soundings (impressive shear) and composite radar puts me around Memphis to Headley, TX for the coffee stop and check of conditions.
  20. nsrobins

    Tour 2

    GFS now firming up on the pattern from Sat 20th. I think the weekend looks quiet with a ridge moving east but Monday onwards should see rich moisture return North bringing several rounds of severe into next week.
  21. Cheers Paul - always plenty to do on down days. Where exactly is the Twistex memorial?
  22. KAMA sweep picking up a decent broad rotation on the Matador cell at all levels.
  23. Tornado watch imminent. The detail includes a reference to the very cold tops to the hail layer. I hope you've got your hail helmets ready! Could be a 'cracking' start to the tour.
  24. Based on a hunch the current crap will throw an OFB in its wake, I'm thinking a shuffle to the Hollis/Gould area in time for afternoon tea.
  25. Paducah/Childress on the Caprock apron for me later. Let the games begin. now go to sleep lol
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