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Happy Valley Labrador Canada Happy Valley Goose Bay Live Camera - Labrador Region - Transportation and Infrastructure WWW.GOV.NL.CA Current Camera Image Camera Options Camera Location Additional Information Return to Main Camera Page Current Camera Image Happy Valley Goose...

Happy Valley Labrador in Canada Happy Valley Goose Bay Live Camera - Labrador Region - Transportation and Infrastructure WWW.GOV.NL.CA Current Camera Image Camera Options Camera Location Additional Information Return to Main Camera Page Current Camera Image Happy Valley Goose...

Yes that was an exciting day, I was 9 . I recall helping the milk man with his deliveries, the snow turned to rain for a time in Manchester but the remnants of the snow that day remained until the end of January as I recall

I have often thought that GFS underestimates the heat flux from the ocean so tends to have 850s too low in polar maritime airmasses

Storms forming on the mid latitude jet move predictably in straight lines in intensify predictably as they develop only turning left out of the jet when they get very intense. They should have male names. Storms forming in the tropics on the other hand meander around less predictably and make sudden unexpected changes of direction

I see this is in ACP, I publish there quite frequently. It is a high impact journal with good refereeing standards with open discussion. An excellent avenue for scientific discussion.

The winter tyres available in the UK are made of soft rubber with a deep tread they are not studied 'snow tyres' but they are a big improvement over conventional tyres in ice and snow.

Really ? Reviewers report herehttp://ioppublishing.org/newsDetails/statement-from-iop-publishing-on-story-in-the-times

We know from GCM hindcasts that most of the warming up until 1950 or thereabouts was natural. The odd thing about the paper is that it does not seek to identify the driver of the warming from the analysis over the period 1860 to 1950 then 1950 to date. This would be quite an interesting result as the GCM studies do identify the source of the early 20 th century warming, does this technique agree?

What is required here though is a statistical analysis. I am disputing that there has been a period of 15 years with zero trend as this is not achieved by drawing a graph and then cherry picking start and end points. To do this properly you need to take into acount the much longer data set to avoid start and end point bias and so get a reliable analysis.

I agree the solution with temperature series is to always show the full length of the series and highlight the relevant region. Another option is to show a subset of a series where the chage is demonstrated to be statistically significant

The root of the problem is that all these graphs showing 'no warming' start in the year of the Super El-Nino in 1997. As such they are bound to be accused of cherry picking. With an underlying warming rate due to AGW of about 0.2C per decade then it is very unlikely that you will find statistically significant warming over time periods of 20 years or less due to the internal variability due to ENSO etc.

Yes and the CO2 rise caused significant global warming as those papers and related studies show.

1999 and 2000 are quite well down compared to recent years, the fact is that warming has continued from the late 90s to date.

Well as I said the warming has been between 0.1C and 0.2C per decade for the last 15 years in line with model predictions with 2010 the warmest year on record, so I think we know a lot about what is going on.