[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

7 minutes ago, 101_North said:

-2.8c here. One decent but very short shower so far. Maybe 2mm on the ground now

Yeah so far very underwhelming, has certainly lacked the immediate impact of previous easterlies over the past decade or so. Seems like we maybe have 36-48 hours left to get something decent on the ground here from the East-ENE, but so far pretty frustrating.

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

2 minutes ago, CatchMyDrift said:

Just to reinforce what @scottishandy has posted here's the Euro4's 12hr precip totals:

Up to 12pm tomorrow:

Up to midnight tomorrow:

Up to 12pm Tuesday:

It doesn't affect everyone but some of you are getting a pasting soon.

I'll be livid if Dunbar steals Leiths snaw like that on Tuesday 

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

53 minutes ago, JoeShmoe said:

Decent shower here and everything going white quickly

Yeah just back from a walk up and around Arthurs Seat and got caught in that one quite nicely.  Still a lot of water run-off in the grassy parts, but what would have been muddy paths 24 hours ago are similtaneously drying up and freezing up in that wind. Ground has been cold for weeks now so it's not taking much to put a frost back into the ground despite last weeks continuous rain.

 

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

Well its early on in this easterly, but so far its the wrong type. Grey and fairly uniform cloudsheet here, very light snow blowing in the wind, bloody freezing. Hopefully it changes in character over the next 24 hours, as a few days of constant and grey just above freezing snizzle would be very unwelcome. Seen a few of these too, and quite often in the 1970s.  We need the drama!

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

Cloudy here, visibility excellent to the Fife horizon, and most definitely lamppost snaw going on. So we're in the change for sure.

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

Just now, Stormeh said:

Somebody will be stealing someone elses snaw over the coming days, its inevitable ! 

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

1 hour ago, JoeShmoe said:

Yes as it’s not a 40 day freeze they think it’s a downgrade ... these cold spells are never that long and a 3 day easterly with the possibility of heavy snow showers - I’d take that any year 

what doesn’t look appetising here is the cold rain we’d get at the coast in any breakdown frontal event from the SW but higher areas could get a dumping from that .. 

I’ll just enjoy the next few days -as 101 says I’ll be happy to see some sun and blue sky as it’s been dreich since Monday !

Ditto. It might be the only "true easterly" we get this winter (we just never know). It looks nailed on now, and we know what it does here most of the time, so lets all just enjoy it as it unfolds. Looking forward to all the nowcasting on this thread, the incoming streamers and big blobs on the radar, the direct hits and annoying near misses ! 

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

25 minutes ago, LomondSnowstorm said:

I had to resort to using the ESRL NOAA plotter for that one

Just around -40C, converting from Kelvin, so again fairly impressive.

It's quite funny how poorly the ICON did at modelling the precipitation in 2018 even at close range:

 

One of the lessons I've learned over the years is how often an easterly of the type to come (we all hope!) is underplayed by the forecasters, in particular the metoffice. You can be getting quite close to the event and the talk might be of coastal flurries, wintry showers or whatever. In general the recipe of around -10C uppers and north sea convection in an ENE flow works pretty well and repeatably here most of the time, but only when they look out the window will some of them fall into line by nowcasting! Anyhoo, we're not quite there yet, but looking good 

 

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

7 minutes ago, 101_North said:

Time for a head lamp session with the kids

Having seen that photo from the Pentlands avalanche you better not take any chances on the slopes of Currie 101. Think the kids would go for it? 

 

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

Well we're not at Currie / Straiton resort level , but I wasn't really expecting anything from this at all before last night. 

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

Yeah steady light snow been falling here for ages now, road, pavements, cars, back green etc all nicely covered. Millimetres rather than centimetres, but we'll see what happens from from here on. Other parts of the city must be doing well.

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

16 minutes ago, Serac said:

Things can’t be that marginal , snowing reasonably heavily now in Queensferry. Bodes well for the rest of the evening 
 

mon the snow 

Aye snowing in Leith too, but not settling yet. Good signs for inland and higher up, maybe here too (fingers crossed)

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

Light covering here in Leith, nothing to write home about, but still an unexpected wee surprise.

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

Amongst all the crap we're all living through, maybe the loss of another season to the Scottish skiing resorts isn't the biggest thing to worry about. Even so, it's a bloody tragedy considering how this winter is playing out. Anyone got any idea of the snow depths up around Cairngorm, Glencoe etc just now? 

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

23 minutes ago, JoeShmoe said:

We have a cm of what looks like slush, quite weird ... 

Aye walked home in it from work. Felt like rain but all the pavements slushing up. I guess at the end of the day it is some kind of freezing rain event. Going to be horrific tomorrow if it clears later and freezes up.

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Autumn 2020 onwards]

8 minutes ago, JoeShmoe said:

Yeah will be a real shame if we are on the wrong side of marginal but it’s usually -10c uppers needed here when it’s an easterly but we can hope ! Especially as looks like potential for lots of showers / streamers next few days ..

Aye no complaints JS, things have gone right for us the last few days and its been enjoyable. Plenty of interest in the next 10 days and beyond, maybe we get lucky again !

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Autumn 2020 onwards]

1 minute ago, 101_North said:

Temp back down below freezing here but cloud is building a bit!

Was over by Bruntsfield Links earlier, sledging was still going full tilt and they've got the runs glass hard by now. I hope they get another day out of it. We're all snaw fans on here anyway,  but locally I have to say these last few days have been a real tonic at the end of a bloody long year 

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Autumn 2020 onwards]

10 minutes ago, Penicuikblizzard said:

Mildest it’s been all day here in Straiton,  now 2c  must be the Easterly affect starting to show now. 

Aye, seems inevitable. It's overcast here now and if the onshore breeze picks up then the warm up begins, well here at least  - although it's all relative of course.  The ground is cold though so maybe a slow yucky thaw for a couple of days. 

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Autumn 2020 onwards]

Happy new year everyone, hope its a better one for you and yours.

Ha! Of all the mornings to have a long lie-in, I picked this one to miss the surprise snaw here. Quite a freaky week here to be on the right side of these for once, lack of strong surface wind off the Forth has helped a lot I would say. Don't think we get away with that after today, so I'm enjoying the beauty while I can. Front of the hoose, back of the hoose.

 

 

 

 

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Autumn 2020 onwards]

Snow earlier this morning but just a snizzly wet mess here now, more cold rain/drizzle than anything else. To be fair that's exactly what I'd expect here in this situation. Inland/upland I don't doubt others will do OK from it though. 

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Autumn 2020 onwards]

Ongoing and insignificant lamppost snow here from a leaden sky, otherwise visibility perfect and can see far into the brights lights of Fife.

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Autumn 2020 onwards]

Snawing again in Leith. May not amount to much but last nights frost means it might give a fresh sheen to the existing back green cover.

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Autumn 2020 onwards]

Wee bit anti-climatic here after last night, cloud keeping the air temperature up; that said I don't suppose air frost matters much if the ground temperature is still sitting at zero. Had a good walk around town today, a braw day to be out and about on The Meadows. 

 

 

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Autumn 2020 onwards]

Definitely lamppost rain happening here just now, although this is always one of the most marginal parts of town. Guess I'll know by the morning if its a washout here, but would expect anything south and west of Viewforth/Bruntsfield to still be fine. Could do with a clearance and a bit of frost just to secure whats here.

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Autumn 2020 onwards]

Took a couple of snaps of the street, amazing timing as the local fox just rushed into picture in the first one