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Everything posted by JamesL

  1. Seems many of the models put south and SE Wales in the firing line on Wednesday. Looks like the Heads of the Valleys could be esp prone
  2. Well a very interesting drive from Cwmbach to Merthyr. Well didn’t make it to Merthyr lol Turned round too many abandoned vehicles ironically the most snow we have had this year and it’s still autumn at around 600’ theres a good 5cms and I’m guessing much more higher up
  3. Stopped completely now in Aberdare. The snow shower that lasted 10 minutes the other day left way more snow than this event. There's no way the second front is going to make it here. As it hits land it's just evaporating further south. Not quite sure why we are in an amber zone here. The heavy stuff just hasn't made it out of the south west
  4. Hmmmm I'm a little sceptical about this event. First front has died a death. Second front appears to be heading north east missing S Wales entirely. I await the thoughts of people a little more technically minded than myself
  5. Snowing here in Aberdare and just starting to settle but intensity will need to pick up and temp drop to see anything of note. Above 200m should do well esp SE and E facing slopes of the valleys and of course the H ot V too
  6. I can't see I'm on my iPhone ? I know it well. We have a house in Fresh East
  7. It is important that people differentiate the met office forecast from that of the BBC. As you know the BBC no longer use Met office data so that's why there is disparity between the two
  8. What is very encouraging is the fact the ground temp will be close to freezing once precip starts thanks to a penetrating and severe frost for many rural areas tonight
  9. Evening All well it's certainly looking like South, East and Mid Wales are going to get some pretty decent coverage tomorrow. Favoured spots are as always elevation and exposure to the SE. Heads of the Valleys look to be in the firing line as they were for our last snowfalls in March. If I was a betting man I would say Brynmawr is my favoured location for the biggest totals, closely followed by Ebbw Vale and Tredegar Here in Aberdare I'm expecting a decent cover but with some protection from the East I don't expect more than 5-10cms max here We shall see. T
  10. And the EC also shunting everything South as well following on from the UKMO. For comparison here are 96/120/144
  11. UKMO looking like it's keeping the snow threat going across the UK with its 0z run. Difficult to know exactly as no access to the 850's 96/120/144
  12. If we look across the main 0z suites, then we could say that the colder weather has gained a little momentum today (except gfs) and shows sub -5 air straddled across the UK right out pretty much to day 10 Next week is certainly going to throw up some wintry surprises for some in the UK Do not write winter off just yet. This has certainly got the potential to upgrade and nothing is set in stone yet. I think tomorrow's 12z will throw a little more light on a likely outcome
  13. And the 6z gfs is keen to take us back into deep winter again just a week from now.
  14. UKMO slower yes but looking like the low around Iceland has nowhere to go but move SE as a trigger low sending all that cold over Scandi southwestwards
  15. Quite remarkable Synoptics showing up this March. Especially given the fact that many have decent cold to tap into. How often in the past have we seen great charts but lacking in cold to tap into. It seems the cold over the pole keeps draining south and west. Is this still all to do with the second wave of SSW?
  16. Cwmbach, Nr Aberdare this morning. Around 7" now and still snowing
  17. Aproaching 6" here in Cwmbach and snowing steadily. Very powdery and quite remarkable for mid/late March
  18. Jeeeeeez still goin on about Derek? Really? What used to be a decent forum has become a total farce. Get a grip people, you must all lead incredibly boring lives to still be talking about Derek after 2.5 weeks. He would be flattered to know that you're still talking about him. Im done here. Over and out
  19. Quite fascinating. The Met Office's amber warning zone is the zone with no precip ??? I'm guessing there is more precip looking to move in later?
  20. All this talk of Derek is getting boring. I think everyone has made their point clear. Be better concentrating on the weather conditions in Wales. Currently dry here in Cwmbach after earlier snow
  21. Light snow now falling in Cwmbach north of Andy at the top of the Cynon Valley
  22. Wishing all the SE contingent all the very best of luck for a good fall of snow over the next 48 hours. Having lived in N. Kent for 23 years I always keep abreast of what is happening weatherwise especially when it snows. I remember 1987, 1991, 2005 to name just a few of the great falls we've had around Sittingbourne on the Downs. Im now living in SE wales just below the Heads of the Valley and we've had a fantastic winter for snowfall. Now with another amber warning for Sunday here I await our 3rd foot of snow this winter. Quite remarkabke!
  23. Indeed and it's almost a carbon copy of the area that the Red warning was issued for 2 weeks ago potentually up to 25cms I would guess for Heads of the Valleys again!!! We have had a great winter for snow
  24. Haha notification just came through. Almost exactly the same warning area as the red one issued for us just over 2 weeks ago.
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