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JamesL

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    Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    in Wales / Cymru weather discussion

    Posted

    Well as expected a great fall overnight. Best since TBFTE in 2018 here. We’ve been in the perfect place here near Aberdare under the brighter returns most of the night. I’m guessing 5-7 cms but I’ll get out with a tape once out of bed. 
     

    looks like heavier stuff arriving this afternoon too 

     

    A great last hurrah by winter 2022/23 

    3 minutes ago, DeepSnow said:

    Managed a nice few cm here except on the roads and still snowing though lighter now

    Could contain: Outdoors, Shelter, Moving Van, Car, Wheel, Nature, Housing, Weather, Spoke, Neighborhood

    Great to see Barry enjoying this too. Must be a first since 2018? 

    • Like 1

    Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted · Edited by JamesL

    42 minutes ago, MJB said:

    Well Banbury had no snow last night but I got to Aynho and the car roof tops were white and some fields had snow on the way to Bicester .

     

    So tomorrow looks promising

     

    gfseuw-2-30.png

    gfseuw-2-36.png

    gfseuw-2-42.png

    I’m really liking these charts for the SE Wales valleys for tomorrow. I think areas above 150m could well have 12 hours of snow according to the 0Z GFS 

     

    Had a dusting on the hills around me here today and snow here but no settling. 

     

    It will Potentially be our last snow for this season tomorrow unless the chopping and changing continues into the weekend and we get another injection of cold from the N/NW as the shortwaves exit 

    • Like 2

    Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Looks frigid here in the valleys next week 🤣 I think many in the south will be very disappointed. Not even a particularly cold spell for early March. Temps haven’t been far off that this week here with more frosts. It’s all very confusing with all this talk of cold, snow and record minima. I think it’s going to be a NE England and Scotland spell with the rest getting the left over dross 

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    • Like 1

    Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    Looks like the ECM sniffed out the more northerly approach of the low last eve. And now sadly the UKMO has also sniffed it out. As always in these cases betting against the 2 Euros over the American model is a dangerous move 

     

    cold for 2-3 days before a messy breakdown from the SW is pretty much what we will have by the looks of it 

     

    let’s move on and look for spring. Personally it was all to good 24-48 hours ago 

     

    One could argue that things may well correct south but it’s a worrying trend this morning 

     

    I think by the 00’s tonight we will know our fate 

     

     

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    Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    1 minute ago, alexisj9 said:

    With that warm core shows it is a polar low. Snow would be amazing, and proper blizzard conditions in the south. It won't stay like that. I don't think the south has seen a real blizzard in my life time. A lot of people would get onto trouble with that. Would be interesting to see, if sensible enough to listen to warnings and stay in doors. If this or something like it does materialise, I hope people do take note of the red warnings, and hope all homeless are looked after with shelter for the whole cold spell. Also heating wise those struggling now, are looked after properly so they can heat their homes.

    Errrm we had snow drifts up the the roofs and cars buried in the St David’s day blizzard in 2018. So unless you’re younger than 5 🤣

    Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    in Wales / Cymru weather discussion

    Posted

    Think this will be the last of the snow here today. The area of instability is moving away and the shower activity vanishing with it slowly but surely behind it. 
     

    Fun whilst it lasted and nice to see the forecast spot on for here near Aberdare 

     

    A perfect time to get out into the hills and grab some pics esp tomorrow with the sun out 

    Zoomed in and out. We hit this one perfectly 

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